$BTC Happy Monday, everyone.
We are basically in the same area as yesterday. During the night, there was a spike down near the 65k support level I had indicated.
The most important thing now is to let the levels guide us.
Let's start with an assumption: given the current macroeconomic and geopolitical context, it is very likely that the market will remain choppy, with messy and undirectional movements.
Yellow box: support in H12, possibility of remaining in the up structure.
Loss of the yellow box: high probability of returning to the low to make a liquidity deviation.
This is the general market map at the moment.
The idea remains the same: make fewer trades and only move when there are clear and easy-to-manage invalidations.
$BTC The decision was perfect: if I hadn't closed the position, I would have taken a 4% loss.
I let objectivity guide me, and that's what really makes the difference in trading.
A quick market update: the situation with Donald Trump and global tensions is not improving, quite the contrary. The macro climate remains uncertain and this continues to weigh on the markets. I can't wait for his term to end! Everything he touches turns to lead.
As for Bitcoin, it is currently trying to defend the monthly open, which could represent an area of possible recovery in the short term. The main problem remains the very low volume, which makes every movement unreliable and easily manipulated.
If the monthly open were to give way, the most likely scenario would be a decline towards 63–62k, where we could see the next area of interest.
For now, there is not much else to add: remain objective, follow the levels and react to the market.
You need to understand one fundamental thing: a trade can go well, or it can go very well. But if you are unable to manage your profits intelligently, in the end all that favourable movement is useless.
In trading, it's not just about getting in right, it's mainly about how you get out.
You can have the perfect trade, but if you don't take profits, reduce your position or protect your gains... sooner or later, the market will take them back. This is one of those market phases where the less you do, the more your portfolio benefits.
This is not the time to force trades or look for trades everywhere. In such uncertain contexts, the real skill is often knowing how to stay put, wait for the right levels and only intervene when there is a real advantage.
In trading, it is not always the one who does the most who wins, but the one who knows how to do the least... at the right time. I too occasionally scalp here and there, but always with very tight stops, small percentages and few pounds at risk.
The idea is simple: push when the market really gives you the opportunity and calm down when there is no advantage.
In trading, you need to know how to accelerate at the right moments and slow down when the context is unclear. It is precisely this management of pace that, in the long run, protects your capital and makes the difference.
Many people here work as CT.
I, on the other hand, am a trader. And that's a huge difference.
CT live on opinions, posts and engagement.
Traders live on the market, risk and real results.
CT can afford to make a thousand mistakes and still keep talking.
Traders cannot: they pay for every mistake out of their own pocket.
That's why I'm not interested in being a public figure.
I'm interested in reading the market, protecting capital and striking when the odds are in my favour.
That's the difference between commenting on the market
and living in it every day.
Let me clarify a few things. On $BTC and $ETH
Is the market bullish? No.
Is the market still structurally weak? Yes.
What we are seeing, quite simply, are movements within a range. There is no real change in structure for now.
In these phases, there is no need to invent anything: it is just a matter of identifying the triggers and key levels and reacting to them. Everything else is noise.
From an economic point of view, the situation in Dubai could become very complicated. Personally, I have always been cautious when it comes to investing in those areas, precisely because of the proximity and instability of some neighbouring countries.
I really hope that everything works out for the best, because you should never wish ill on anyone. Ever.
That said, thinking about it in a cold, purely economic way, difficult times often create opportunities. For now, however, I prefer to just observe and understand how the situation will evolve, hoping first and foremost that the crisis will subside, but I will certainly evaluate investments afterwards.