#FOMC 芝商所年底预计美国利率有较大变化：
目前降息一档概率6%，冻息概率64%，加息一档概率25%，加息两档概率4%
从去年年底预测2026底降息3档变为冻息甚至加息，美股下周很危险，大饼以拉高埋伏空单为主方向，注意大回调风险
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