Notes
MORNING BID
🔸 $ACMR: Raises 2024 revenue forecast to $755M-$770M from $725M-$745M; sees 2025 at $850M-$950M vs. consensus $902.95M.
🔸 $APLD: Shares up 30% after Macquarie's $5B investment for 15% stake in AI data centers.
🔸 $AVGO: Secures $7.5B five-year credit facility.
🔸 $IAC: To spin off $ANGI stake to shareholders; Joey Levin steps down as CEO.
🔸 $TTAN: Q3 revenue $199.3M; Q4 expected at $199M-$201M vs. consensus $193.58M; FY25 revenue projected at $761.6M-$763.6M vs. consensus $755.37M.
🔸 $DHR: Q4 revenue expected to rise by low single digits year-over-year.
🔸 $INGN: Q4 revenue forecast at $79.0M-$80.0M, above $73.9M estimate; FY24 revenue guidance raised to $334.5M-$335.5M from $329M-$331M, vs. $329.62M consensus.
🔸 $KIDS: Q4 revenue at $52.7M vs. $50.73M estimate; FY25 revenue guidance $235-242M vs. $239.95M estimate, adjusted EBITDA $15-17M vs. $20.14M forecast.
🔸 $RGNX: Stock up after deal with Nippon Shinyaku for gene therapies; $110M upfront and potential $700M in milestones.
🔸 $TDOC: New partnership with $AMZN to broaden access to chronic care programs.
🔸 $RILY: Shares rise after Q2 2024 report showing a $14.35 per share net loss, delayed due to Franchise Group issues; expects normal filing schedule in 2025.
🔸 $AB: AUM fell to $792B in December 2024 from $813B, a 2.6% drop due to market and outflow issues.
🔸 $IVZ: AUM dropped to $1,846B, down 0.6% with $12.6B in net long-term inflows but $42B reduction from market returns.
🔸 $VRTS: Total client assets at $177.3B in December 2024, down due to outflows and market performance.
🔸 $URI: Acquiring $HEES for $92/share, valuing the deal at $4.8B including debt.
Insurance Industry: LA wildfires might cost insurers over $30B, with significant damage from Palisades and Eaton fires.
🔸 $AVAV: Secures $55.3M order for Switchblade Systems under U.S. Army's LUS program.
🔸 $CE: Upgraded to Buy from Underperform by Bank of America on valuation.
🔸 $FANG: Q4 unhedged prices at $69.48/bbl oil, $0.48/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs; hedged prices at $68.72/bbl oil, $0.82/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs.
🔸 $WAB: Agrees to purchase Evident's inspection tech division for $1.78B.
🔸 $KBH: Q4 EPS $2.52 vs. $2.45 est., revenue $1.999B vs. $2.008B est.; FY25 housing revenue guidance $7.00-7.50B, avg selling price $488-498K.
🔸 $NOMD: 2025 organic revenue growth expected at 1%-3%; confident in meeting 2024 guidance.
🔸 $SIG: Q4 adj. operating income forecast at $337M-$347M, below previous $397M-$427M; sales expected at $2.32B-$2.34B, under prior $2.38B-$2.46B.
🔸 $ADM: Downgraded to Underperform from Neutral by Bank America.
🔸 $LVS: Downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight by Morgan Stanley.
MORNING RECAP
• $LOW Q3: EPS $2.89 (beat consensus $2.81), sales $20.2B (beat consensus $19.92B); Q3 comp sales -1.1% due to weak DIY demand, offset by storm sales and growth in Pro and online. Revised full-year outlook: sales $83B-$83.5B, EPS $11.80-$11.90.
• $ADM: Q3 profit fell due to weak North American crush margins; Nutrition segment expects better Q4 but not as high as Q3 2024.
• $CTRN: Appointed Ken Seipel as CEO; Q3 sales $179.1M, comp sales up 5.7%.
• $WEN: Ken Cook appointed as CFO, effective December 2, 2024.
• $XPEV: Q3 revenue $1.39B, above estimates; EPS loss of $1.90, worse than expected $1.71 loss. Q4 revenue forecast at $2.09B-$2.21B; launched P7+ sedan.
• $ACM increases buyback to $1B; Q4 EPS $1.27, revenue $4.11B, slightly below consensus. FY25 EPS forecast $5.00-$5.20.
• $AMCR to acquire $BERY in $8.4B stock deal at a 10% premium.
• $AVAV acquiring BlueHalo in $4.1B stock deal.
Oil prices dip as Johan Sverdrup field restarts post-outage.
• $ERII launches $50M stock repurchase.
• $NPSCY engages with $X stakeholders to push for $15B acquisition.
• $SYAXF to merge with $PLL in an all-stock deal, valuing the new entity at $623M.
• $SYM Q4 operating income exceeds expectations; sets Q1 revenue guidance at $495-515M.
U.S. defense stocks rise following Russia's updated nuclear policy and threats.
• $DOC ups 2024 FFO guidance to $1.80-$1.82, citing strong portfolio performance.
• $INCY stock drops after pausing a phase 2 study due to preclinical findings.
• $MDT Q2 revenue up 5.2% to $8.4B, raises FY25 EPS outlook slightly.
• $OMCL issues $150M in convertible senior notes.
• $SYRE plans to offer $200M in common stock and warrants.
• $AMD: Darla Smith resigns as Chief Accounting Officer on November 15.
• $GOOGL stock declines as DOJ plans to demand the sale of Chrome browser.
• $INTC: Efforts to distribute manufacturing grants under the Chips Act are stalled, with most of the $39B yet to be disbursed.
• $MSTR aims to raise $1.75B through convertible senior notes.
• $MCHP: Ganesh Moorthy retires; Steve Sanghi appointed as interim CEO.
• $SMCI stock rises after appointing BDO USA as auditor and seeking Nasdaq compliance extension