Notes
Market Updates:
🔸 American Eagle ( $AEO) adds 50M shares to buyback; Q4 revs $1.6B (est. $1.6B); Q1 off to slow start; sees FY25 revs declining low-single digits (est. +2.97%).
🔸 Calavo Growers ( $CVGW) Q1 adj. EPS $0.33 (est. $0.29); revs +21% y/y to $154.39M (est. $161.55M); says Mexico tariffs won’t significantly impact operations.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) partners with Baidu ( $BIDU) to enhance ADAS in China (Reuters).
🔸 Adobe ( $ADBE) Q1 adj. EPS $5.08 (est. $4.97), revs $5.71B (est. $5.66B); reaffirms FY25 targets; Q2 revs guidance $5.77B-$5.82B (est. $5.8B).
🔸 Intel ( $INTC) appoints Lip-Bu Tan as CEO, replacing interim co-CEOs.
🔸 SentinelOne ( $S) Q4 EPS (-$0.22) (est. -$0.21); revs +29% y/y to $225.5M (est. $222.33M); FY26 revs guidance $1.007B-$1.012B (est. $1.03B).
🔸 UiPath ( $PATH) Q4 adj. EPS $0.26 (est. $0.20); revs +4.5% y/y to $423.6M (est. $424.9M); Q1 revs guidance $330M-$335M (est. $367.4M).
🔸 Marvell ( $MRVL) files mixed securities shelf.
🔸 Microsoft ( $MSFT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson.
🔸 Phreesia ( $PHR) Q4 EPS (-$0.11) (est. $0.11); revs $109.7M (est. $108.9M); maintains FY26 revs $472M-$482M, adj. EBITDA outlook.
🔸 Dentsply Sirona ( $XRAY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham.
🔸 Berry ( $BRY) Q4 adj. EPS $0.21 (est. $0.15), revs $187.79M (est. $173M); Q4 production +5% QoQ, +1% YoY; FY25 production 24.8-26 MBoe/d (93% oil); capex $110M-$120M.
🔸 Cummins ( $CMI), Paccar (PCAR) shares down as EPA moves to reverse EV rules; Jefferies sees downside risk if 2027 prebuy doesn’t happen.
🔸 Freight Car ( $RAIL) Q4 revs $137.7M (est. $152.02M); sees FY25 railcar deliveries 4,500-4,900, revs $530M-$595M; Q4 gross margin 15.3% (vs. 9.6% y/y).
🔸 Murphy Oil ( $MUR) acquires FPSO vessels in Gulf of Mexico; cuts annual costs by $60M, reaffirms 2025 capex.
🔸 Sunnova ( $NOVA) exploring restructuring, possible bankruptcy; holds $8.5B in debt (WSJ).
MORNING RECAP
• $ASO announces a $700M share buyback.
• $AEO Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. $0.46 est., rev down -0.9% to $1.29B; cuts annual sales growth forecast to 3%, expects Q4 comp sales +1%, total rev -4%.
• $CHPT Q3 loss (-$0.18) vs. est. (-$0.09), rev -10% to $99.6M; Q4 rev guidance $95M-$105M. Networked charging systems down -29%, subscription rev up +19%.
• $COST November comp sales +3.1%, net sales +5.6% to $21.87B; Q1 sales +7.5% to $60.99B.
• $FIVE Q3 EPS $0.42 vs. $0.17 est., sales +15% to $843.7M; Q4 sales guide $1.35B-$1.38B, comp sales expected to decline.
• $PVH Q3 adj EPS $3.03 vs. $2.59 est., rev $2.26B vs. $2.22B; Q4 rev expected -7% to -6%, EPS $3.05-$3.20.
• $PG now sources Gillette razor steel from India to mitigate potential Trump tariffs.
• $AVAV Q2 rev $188.5M vs. $182.9M est.; adj EBITDA $25.9M vs. $31.7M est.; maintains FY25 EPS $3.18-$3.49, revenue $790M-$820M.
• $APD: Mantle Ridge now nominates only four for the board, down from nine.
• $CULP Q2 adj op income ($2.6M) vs. ($3.589M) est., sales $55.7M vs. $58M est.; expects flat to slightly down Q3 sales, positive EBITDA in 2H, profitable by Q4.
• $GEF Q4 EPS $1.08 vs. $1.10 est.; rev up 8.3% to $1.42B, adj EBITDA down 0.8% to $197.6M; FY25 adj EBITDA expected at $675M low-end.
• $LUV boosts Q4 revenue per seat mile forecast to 5.5%-7% from 3.5%-5.5%, due to pricing and travel demand.
• $FI stock falls as CEO Frank Bisignano is nominated by Trump to lead the SSA.
• $FOUR downgraded to Hold from Buy after CEO Jared Isaacman is chosen by Trump to head NASA.
• $HOOD plans Asia expansion, setting up in Singapore.
NYPD seeks man who killed UnitedHealth $UNH executive Brian Thompson outside a Manhattan hotel, suspect fled into Central Park.
TSM discussing with $NVDA to manufacture AI chips in Arizona.
• $AMAT downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley due to memory market concerns.
• $HPE upgraded to Overweight, target price raised post-Juniper acquisition.
• $NCNO Q3 adj EPS $0.21 vs $0.16 est., Q4 rev guidance below estimates.
• $OOMA Q3 EPS $0.17 vs $0.16 est., raised yearly outlook.
• $S Q3 EPS loss ($0.25) vs $0.01 est., slightly beat on revenue for Q4 and year.
• $SNPS Q4 adj EPS $3.40 vs $3.30 est., Q1 guidance below expectations.
• $VRNT Q3 EPS $0.54 vs $0.43 est., strong SaaS growth, FY25 revenue guidance up.
• $DIS increases dividend to $1.00 per share.
• $SMTC launches $400M stock offering.
#Downgrades - Dec 05, 2024
• $ABBV: Daiwa Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $180
• $AEO: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $23 (from $27)
• $ALLY: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $AMAT: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $164 (from $179)
• $CHWY: BNP Paribas Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $30
• $CNX: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $37 (from $31)
• $DVN: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $191
• $F: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Underperform from Peerperform
• $FOUR: Benchmark Downgrades to Hold from Buy
• $FWONA: Seaport Global Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $GRAB: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $5.50 (from $4.25)
• $MRVI : Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $4.25 (from $7)
• $NAUT: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $1.75 (from $2.25)
• $NCNO: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $38
• $OTIS: Barclays Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $94
• $PB: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $PFG: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $80 (from $86)
• $RLMD: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $1 (from $23)
• $ROP: Barclays Downgrades to Underweight from Overweight - PT $569 (from $625)
• $SBRA: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $20
• $SM: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $16 (from $15)
• $VCYT: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $37 (from $38)