Notes
MORNING RECAP
• $ASO announces a $700M share buyback.
• $AEO Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. $0.46 est., rev down -0.9% to $1.29B; cuts annual sales growth forecast to 3%, expects Q4 comp sales +1%, total rev -4%.
• $CHPT Q3 loss (-$0.18) vs. est. (-$0.09), rev -10% to $99.6M; Q4 rev guidance $95M-$105M. Networked charging systems down -29%, subscription rev up +19%.
• $COST November comp sales +3.1%, net sales +5.6% to $21.87B; Q1 sales +7.5% to $60.99B.
• $FIVE Q3 EPS $0.42 vs. $0.17 est., sales +15% to $843.7M; Q4 sales guide $1.35B-$1.38B, comp sales expected to decline.
• $PVH Q3 adj EPS $3.03 vs. $2.59 est., rev $2.26B vs. $2.22B; Q4 rev expected -7% to -6%, EPS $3.05-$3.20.
• $PG now sources Gillette razor steel from India to mitigate potential Trump tariffs.
• $AVAV Q2 rev $188.5M vs. $182.9M est.; adj EBITDA $25.9M vs. $31.7M est.; maintains FY25 EPS $3.18-$3.49, revenue $790M-$820M.
• $APD: Mantle Ridge now nominates only four for the board, down from nine.
• $CULP Q2 adj op income ($2.6M) vs. ($3.589M) est., sales $55.7M vs. $58M est.; expects flat to slightly down Q3 sales, positive EBITDA in 2H, profitable by Q4.
• $GEF Q4 EPS $1.08 vs. $1.10 est.; rev up 8.3% to $1.42B, adj EBITDA down 0.8% to $197.6M; FY25 adj EBITDA expected at $675M low-end.
• $LUV boosts Q4 revenue per seat mile forecast to 5.5%-7% from 3.5%-5.5%, due to pricing and travel demand.
• $FI stock falls as CEO Frank Bisignano is nominated by Trump to lead the SSA.
• $FOUR downgraded to Hold from Buy after CEO Jared Isaacman is chosen by Trump to head NASA.
• $HOOD plans Asia expansion, setting up in Singapore.
NYPD seeks man who killed UnitedHealth $UNH executive Brian Thompson outside a Manhattan hotel, suspect fled into Central Park.
TSM discussing with $NVDA to manufacture AI chips in Arizona.
• $AMAT downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley due to memory market concerns.
• $HPE upgraded to Overweight, target price raised post-Juniper acquisition.
• $NCNO Q3 adj EPS $0.21 vs $0.16 est., Q4 rev guidance below estimates.
• $OOMA Q3 EPS $0.17 vs $0.16 est., raised yearly outlook.
• $S Q3 EPS loss ($0.25) vs $0.01 est., slightly beat on revenue for Q4 and year.
• $SNPS Q4 adj EPS $3.40 vs $3.30 est., Q1 guidance below expectations.
• $VRNT Q3 EPS $0.54 vs $0.43 est., strong SaaS growth, FY25 revenue guidance up.
• $DIS increases dividend to $1.00 per share.
• $SMTC launches $400M stock offering.
#Downgrades - Dec 05, 2024
• $ABBV: Daiwa Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $180
• $AEO: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $23 (from $27)
• $ALLY: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $AMAT: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $164 (from $179)
• $CHWY: BNP Paribas Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $30
• $CNX: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $37 (from $31)
• $DVN: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $191
• $F: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Underperform from Peerperform
• $FOUR: Benchmark Downgrades to Hold from Buy
• $FWONA: Seaport Global Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $GRAB: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $5.50 (from $4.25)
• $MRVI : Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $4.25 (from $7)
• $NAUT: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $1.75 (from $2.25)
• $NCNO: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $38
• $OTIS: Barclays Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $94
• $PB: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $PFG: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $80 (from $86)
• $RLMD: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $1 (from $23)
• $ROP: Barclays Downgrades to Underweight from Overweight - PT $569 (from $625)
• $SBRA: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $20
• $SM: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $16 (from $15)
• $VCYT: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $37 (from $38)
DAILY RECAP
**BYD Co. ( $BYDDF)** reported a 67.8% y/y increase in November vehicle sales, reaching 506,804 units compared to 301,903 last year. Year-to-date sales hit 3.76M units, up from 2.68M last year.
**Gap ( $GAP)** received an upgrade to overweight from neutral by JPMorgan after a CEO and CFO meeting.
**Li Auto Inc. ( $LI)** delivered 48,740 vehicles in November 2024, a y/y increase of 18.8%, with a 2024 total of 441,995 and cumulative deliveries at 1,075,359.
**NIO Inc. ( $NIO)** saw a 28.9% y/y rise in November deliveries to 20,575 vehicles, split between its NIO and ONVO brands.
**Stellantis ( $STLA)** announced CEO Carlos Tavares' resignation, effective immediately, with a new CEO search set to conclude in 2025's first half.
**XPeng Inc. ( $XPEV)** delivered 30,895 Smart EVs in November, up 54% y/y and 29% m/m, with strong sales of the MONA M03 and P7+.
**Core Scientific Inc. ( $CORZ)** plans to issue $500M in convertible senior notes maturing in 2031.
**IREN Limited ( $IREN)** boosted its self-mining capacity by 33% to 28 EH/s with new substation energization.
**LendingClub ( $LC)** was downgraded to neutral by JPMorgan due to fintech sector concerns.
**Mara Holdings ( $MARA)** is set to offer $700M in zero-coupon convertible senior notes privately.
**Toast ( $TOST)** received a downgrade to Neutral from Goldman Sachs, citing high valuation and visibility issues.
**Upstart Holdings ( $UPST)** was downgraded to underweight by JP Morgan.
**Bausch + Lomb ( $BLCO)** was downgraded to Equal Weight by Morgan Stanley.
**Nevro ( $NVRO)** saw a downgrade to Underweight by Morgan Stanley.
**Tandem Diabetes ( $TNDM)** got an upgrade to Overweight from Morgan Stanley.
**Cloudflare ( $NET)** was upgraded to overweight by Morgan Stanley, optimistic about future growth.
**SentinelOne ( $S)** was downgraded to equal weight by Morgan Stanley, due to cybersecurity sector concerns.
**U.S. to implement new export restrictions on Monday targeting China's semiconductor sector**, affecting companies like Naura Technology Group, potentially impacting shares of $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC.
$AMAT - U.S. Chip Toolmakers Are Cutting Off Chinese Suppliers as Washington Tightens Rules, Sources Say -- WSJ
Applied Materials, Lam Research Among Chip Toolmakers Cutting Off Chinese Suppliers, Sources Say -- WSJ
U.S. Chip Toolmakers Say Suppliers Can't Have Chinese Components or Investors, Sources Say -- WSJ