Notes

26年大家都愿意配置什么资产?麦通的这个调查有一定的代表性,这个图能看出很多含义:1)BTC 在 2026 年的样本中被提及最多,是具有全员共识特征的资产(可能是因为麦通用户很多都是币市投资者); 2)GOOGL、TSLA、HOOD、NVDA、RKLB都共识看好的,相比 25 年,大家明显对硬核科技和太空探索的兴趣显著增强,这表明投资视野正在从数字化向物理世界的极端前沿延伸。 3)持仓结构则呈现出「一极多强」的哑铃型结构,一极是极度集中的 BTC,另一极是极为分散的硬科技标的(涉及航天、存储、半导体等多个细分领域)。 4)防御板块的权重在提升,SQQQ、金、银、铜、石油等,这说明投资者在 26 年预期的不是单边上涨,而是剧烈波动中的结构性机会,其风险承受方式已从单一的追逐增长转向管理不确定性。 总的来看,26年的关键词中,金、银、铜、石油、存储、航天的密度大幅增加,这反映出从业者在数字化赛道(Web3)深耕后,逻辑开始向有形资产和底层能源/资源靠拢。 产业链深挖也是一个典型特征,投资者不再仅满足于配置 NVDA 等头部芯片股,而是向下延伸至 MU、WDC、SNDK 等存储和具体硬件环节(寻找业绩确定性),能看出来这是一种基于行业认知的专业化深挖行为。 这份报告的原文@MSX_CN" target="_blank">https://t.co/S5UOKfpjIv,这里说下麦通@MSX_CN 的麦点板块做的很好,里么内容质量越来越好。
$GD $PLTR
-4.74%
$LHX $KTOS $AVAV $CVX
+6.54%
$XOM $COP
4
物理AI的一大步,CES上波士顿动力发布的全新电驱Atlas最大亮点:1、360度旋转关节、56个自由度,机器人头部、躯干和四肢都能360°旋转,完全没有“正面”和“背面”的区别,运动效率高于人类,可以说是对人形概念的一次重构。 2、灵巧手的大进步,看Atlas的演示已经能很灵活地拿起很多细小的零部件,水上的灵活度相比之前和其他机器人大大提高。 3、与谷歌DeepMind达成了战略合作,在把谷歌Gemini Robotics基础模型和新型Atlas机器人进行深度集成和联合研究。这能够让任何形状和尺寸的机器人感知、推理、使用工具并与人类互动,它们可以解决各种复杂的现实世界任务——即使是那些它们未经训练的任务 4、已经开始大规模量产,首批Atlas机器人的量产部署计划已排满,预计将于2026年交付给现代汽车的机器人元工厂应用中心(RMAC)和谷歌DeepMind,该公司计划在2027年初再新增客户。
00:02:55
$PLTR
-4.74%
$PATH $AVAV $ONDS $RCAT
+6.35%
$UMAC $TSLA
+2.97%
$HON $TER $GOOGL
-1.46%
$AMZN
-2.04%
$MBLY $LIDR $LAZR $ISRG $PRCT $RR $OII
22
如果只能选一个的话,我会选 $CVX
$CVX
+6.54%
$GD $PLTR
-4.74%
$LHX $KTOS $AVAV $XOM $COP
14
地缘动荡下的投资机会,看到麦通上这篇文章https://t.co/jKrGHqgdFh对这美国委内瑞拉行动梳理利好那些股票以及相关逻辑,梳理很到位。川普自己说到美国石油公司将进入委内瑞拉,通过石油开采和销售“补偿”军事与重建成本(“石油偿债理论”)。本质上是资本驱动:国防、能源、基础设施、金融等领域形成完整利益链条,对委内瑞拉进行“暴力重置”。 地缘动荡下的投资机会: 1)国防军工:受益于军事行动展示,包括:$HII 航母)、 $GD 地面系统)、 $PLTR (AI情报)、$LHX (电子战)、KTOS/AVAV(无人系统)、KBR(后勤)。 2)能源sector:石油私有化重启,CVX(雪佛龙,先发优势)、XOM/COP(债务换股权)、SLB/HAL(油田服务)、VLO(炼油套利);短期油价波动,长期供给增加。 3)基础设施与环境:重建需求激增,CX(水泥)、TTEK(环境修复)、GEV(电网)。 4)金融与加密:主权债务重组(HYEM ETF), 搬运几个文章中提到个人也感兴趣的公司逻辑: Palantir( $PLTR):在「南方之矛」行动中,Palantir 的 Gotham 平台极有可能扮演了情报中枢的角色。通过整合卫星图像、无人机侦察数据和通信截获信息,美军得以在复杂的城市和丛林环境中精准定位高价值目标(HVT)。 深度洞察:值得注意的是,Palantir 近期与美国海军签署了 4.48 亿美元的合同,通过其「Warp Speed」操作系统加速造船业的供应链管理 。这种从战场前端(目标识别)到后方工厂(生产加速)的全链路覆盖,使得 PLTR 成为国防工业数字化转型的核心标的。其与 L3Harris 的合作,将 AI 引入工厂车间以解决供应链瓶颈 ,进一步证明了软件公司在现代战争后勤中的关键地位。 Anduril Industries(非上市/潜在独角兽):虽然 Anduril 尚未上市,但其技术在本次冲突中的应用值得高度关注。其「Lattice」操作系统被太空军用于升级太空监视网络 ,这种网状网络技术对于监控委内瑞拉广阔边境和海域的非法活动至关重要。Anduril 代表了「低成本、自主化、大规模」的新型军工模式,其在战场上的成功将对传统军工巨头构成估值压力,同时也指引了未来一级市场的投资方向。 电子战与无人系统:看不见的硝烟 委内瑞拉拥有俄制 S-300 等防空系统,要在此类环境下确立空中优势,电子战(EW)是先决条件。 L3Harris Technologies ( $LHX):作为电子战领域的霸主,L3Harris 提供了关键的机载干扰和信号情报(SIGINT)能力。此外,其在无人水面舰艇(USV)领域的布局与南方司令部在加勒比海打击毒品潜艇和快艇的需求完美契合 。L3Harris 的技术使得美军能够以非接触的方式瘫痪敌方指挥通信网络,是现代战争「软杀伤」的核心供应商。 Kratos Defense ( $KTOS):在面对委内瑞拉可能拥有的便携式防空导弹威胁时,使用 Kratos 生产的高性能无人靶机或「女武神」(Valkyrie)无人僚机进行诱骗和前沿侦察是降低飞行员风险的最佳策略。这种可消耗型(Attritable)无人机的实战应用,将加速美军从昂贵的有人战机向无人机群战术的转型。 AeroVironment ( $AVAV):在城市巷战和针对毒枭藏身处的精确打击中,AVAV 的「弹簧刀」(Switchblade)巡飞弹提供了无可比拟的附带损伤控制能力。随着美军特种部队在委内瑞拉境内的深入活动,对此类单兵便携式精确打击武器的需求将呈指数级增长。 能源赢家赢家名单:谁能分食蛋糕 雪佛龙(Chevron, $CVX ):核心逻辑:作为在制裁期间唯一被允许在委内瑞拉保持有限运营的美国石油巨头,雪佛龙拥有无与伦比的先发优势。其合资企业(Petropiar 等)的基础设施相对完好,技术人员仍在岗。在接管后的混乱初期,雪佛龙是唯一能立即响应并扩大产量的公司。 市场预期:市场预期雪佛龙将获得新政府颁发的首批「超级特许权」,允许其不仅控制上游开采,还能直接掌控出口销售环节,从而大幅提升其在委内瑞拉资产的利润率。 埃克森美孚(ExxonMobil, $XOM )与康菲石油(ConocoPhillips, $COP ): 复仇与回报:这两家公司在 2007 年的国有化浪潮中被没收了巨额资产。康菲石油持有国际仲裁法庭判决的 87 亿美元赔偿权利。 债转股机遇:在委内瑞拉现金枯竭的现状下,新政府极有可能通过「债转股」(Debt-for-Equity)的方式,邀请这些巨头重返奥里诺科重油带。康菲和埃克森可以利用手中的仲裁裁决作为筹码,以极低的历史成本获取世界上最优质的重油资产。这不仅是资产负债表的修复,更是未来二十年储量寿命(Reserve Life)的保障。 上面聊的地缘动荡利好股票,基本上都能在链上美股平台@MSX_CN 上都能交易,可以关注起来https://t.co/SwrikLq3oN
$GD $PLTR
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$LHX $KTOS $AVAV $CVX
+6.54%
$XOM $COP
10
2026年值得关注的顶级增长主题 • 加密货币 | $HOOD $COIN $BMNR • 量子 | $IONQ $RGTI $QBTS • 机器人 | $TSLA $SYM $ISRG $RR • 核能 | $OKLO $LEU $GEV $UUUU • AI 公用设施 | $CRWV $NBIS $IREN $CIFR • AI 芯片 | $NVDA $TSM $ASML $AMD • 电网与电力 | $CEG $NEE $VST $EOSE • 无人机 | $ONDS $UMAC $DPRO $AVAV • AI 数据平台 | $PLTR $SNOW $MDB • AI 安全 | $CRWD $ZS $PANW $RBRK • 太空经济 | $RKLB $ASTS $PL $RDW • AI 网络 | $AVGO $ALAB $MRVL $CRDO • AI 云 | $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $DOCN $ORCL cc @BTCBruce1
$HOOD
-4.44%
$COIN
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$BMNR $IONQ $RGTI $QBTS $TSLA
+2.97%
$SYM $ISRG $RR $OKLO $LEU $GEV $UUUU $CRWV
-1.91%
$NBIS $IREN $CIFR $NVDA
+5.46%
$TSM
-8.8%
$ASML $AMD
-10.75%
$CEG $NEE $VST $EOSE $ONDS $UMAC $DPRO $AVAV $PLTR
-4.74%
$SNOW $MDB $CRWD $ZS $PANW $RBRK $RKLB $ASTS $PL $RDW $AVGO $ALAB $MRVL $CRDO $MSFT
-12.08%
$AMZN
-2.04%
$GOOGL
-1.46%
$DOCN $ORCL
+2.77%
22
美股机器人产业地图,川普现在把东大的产业政策学的太到位了。11月末刚签署了AI创世纪计划,现在又开始谋划推动机器人产业的发展。看报道商务部长Lutnick最近一直在与机器人行业的CEO们会面,白宫正在考虑发布一项关于机器人技术的行政令,交通部也正准备宣布成立一个机器人工作组,可能在年底前公布。 为什么要川普推动机器人产业发展: 1)机器人是AI想向物理世界的延伸的抓手,未来AI的载体线上是Agent,线下就是bot; 2)用机器人替代人工是大势所趋,劳动效率和成本考量; 3)机器人技术直接应用于国防,如无人地面/空中/水下车辆和自主系统; 4)更重要是与中国的竞争,事实上当下中国才是全球机器人产业最强者。中国在工业机器人部署上领先全球(23年安装量占世界一半以上,达180万台,是美国的四倍),并计划到2027年主导人形机器人市场。美国担心在机器人硬件和组件上依赖中国(如无人机和电动车市场的先例),因此白宫正制定国家机器人战略,确保“战略独立”。而且机器人产业链上六七成环节都在中国,从这个角度看美国振兴机器人产业任重道远,但又不得不做! 看到这位https://t.co/iEaXtFPeAg梳理的美股机器人产业地图,搬过来。机器人技术正悄然渗透到经济的各个领域: 1. $PLTR 和 $PATH 是整个车队的交通控制器,而$NVDA 、 $AVGO和$QCOM是让机器人感知和行动的引擎和神经系统。 2. $AVAV 、 $ONDS 、 $RCAT 和 $UMAC 正在构建无人机机队,这些无人机机队将为$LMT 、 $RTX和$GD运行的自主防御网络提供动力。 3. $TSLA 、 $HON 和 $TER 驱动工业机器人,实现装配线和重型制造的自动化。 4. $GOOGL 、 $AMZN 和$MSFT 提供连接每台机器的 AI 数据层,而$ROK和$ZBRA提供保持工厂生产线/仓库运转的控制器、扫描仪和移动机器人。 5. $MBLY 、 $LIDR 、 $LAZR 和$INVZ 提供感知堆栈,使机器人能够看到世界并导航。 6. $ISRG 、 $PRCT 、 $SYK和$MDT带来了手术机器人,正在重塑手术室。 7. $RR 、 $OII 和$FARO将机器人推向水下、现场和面向客户的服务角色。 8. $AMZN 部署了数十万个仓库机器人来移动和拣选货物,而$SYM和$SERV则制造了为履行和最后一公里零售物流提供支持的自主移动机器人。 个人看法,在美股确定性的高应该还是特斯拉,老马正在全力以赴推动机器人业务进展。其他onds,rr也值得关注。大家看好美股机器人产业里那些票,欢迎一起讨论下。 上面聊的美股机器人股票,有好几只 在链上美股平台@MSX_CN 上都能交易,可以关注起来https://t.co/SwrikLq3oN
$PLTR
-4.74%
$PATH $AVAV $ONDS $RCAT
+6.35%
$UMAC $TSLA
+2.97%
$HON $TER $GOOGL
-1.46%
$AMZN
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$MBLY $LIDR $LAZR $ISRG $PRCT $RR $OII
16
收藏一下,人形机器人相关股票是未来3-5年重要机会
$TSLA
+2.97%
$HON $TER $LECO $FANUY $MDT
-7.16%
$SYK
-0.45%
$ARAY $ISRG $AMZN
-2.04%
$SYM $SERV
-8.82%
$AUTO
+19.75%
$GXO $AVAV $KTOS $LMT
+20.38%
$NOC
+2.74%
$BA $GD $ACHR $JOBY $ONDS $ROK
-16.4%
$ABBN $ZBRA $CGNX $PATH $PEGA
+6.45%
$NVDA
+5.46%
$PTC
+6.71%
$AMD
-10.75%
$IRBT $RR $OII $DE
12
I can’t believe you missed the biggest one…
$NVDA
+5.46%
$TDY $OUST $BE $RR $GOOGL
-1.46%
$ANSS $INOD $AMZN
-2.04%
$QCOM $INTC
-0.76%
$SYM $ISRG $KTOS $DE $TER $MDT
-7.16%
$AVAV
10
可能受益的上市公司及ETF: 一、无人机相关公司 1. $AVAV (AeroVironment)– 便携式战术无人机制造商,“弹簧刀”系列实战验证强。 2.$KTOS (Kratos Defense)– 自主攻击无人机与AI空战平台,军用前沿标的。 3.$BA (Boeing)– 开发MQ-25空中加油无人机,深度参与美军体系。 4.$NOC (Northrop
$AVAV
10
MORNING BID 🔸 $ACMR: Raises 2024 revenue forecast to $755M-$770M from $725M-$745M; sees 2025 at $850M-$950M vs. consensus $902.95M. 🔸 $APLD: Shares up 30% after Macquarie's $5B investment for 15% stake in AI data centers. 🔸 $AVGO: Secures $7.5B five-year credit facility. 🔸 $IAC: To spin off $ANGI stake to shareholders; Joey Levin steps down as CEO. 🔸 $TTAN: Q3 revenue $199.3M; Q4 expected at $199M-$201M vs. consensus $193.58M; FY25 revenue projected at $761.6M-$763.6M vs. consensus $755.37M. 🔸 $DHR: Q4 revenue expected to rise by low single digits year-over-year. 🔸 $INGN: Q4 revenue forecast at $79.0M-$80.0M, above $73.9M estimate; FY24 revenue guidance raised to $334.5M-$335.5M from $329M-$331M, vs. $329.62M consensus. 🔸 $KIDS: Q4 revenue at $52.7M vs. $50.73M estimate; FY25 revenue guidance $235-242M vs. $239.95M estimate, adjusted EBITDA $15-17M vs. $20.14M forecast. 🔸 $RGNX: Stock up after deal with Nippon Shinyaku for gene therapies; $110M upfront and potential $700M in milestones. 🔸 $TDOC: New partnership with $AMZN to broaden access to chronic care programs. 🔸 $RILY: Shares rise after Q2 2024 report showing a $14.35 per share net loss, delayed due to Franchise Group issues; expects normal filing schedule in 2025. 🔸 $AB: AUM fell to $792B in December 2024 from $813B, a 2.6% drop due to market and outflow issues. 🔸 $IVZ: AUM dropped to $1,846B, down 0.6% with $12.6B in net long-term inflows but $42B reduction from market returns. 🔸 $VRTS: Total client assets at $177.3B in December 2024, down due to outflows and market performance. 🔸 $URI: Acquiring $HEES for $92/share, valuing the deal at $4.8B including debt. Insurance Industry: LA wildfires might cost insurers over $30B, with significant damage from Palisades and Eaton fires. 🔸 $AVAV: Secures $55.3M order for Switchblade Systems under U.S. Army's LUS program. 🔸 $CE: Upgraded to Buy from Underperform by Bank of America on valuation. 🔸 $FANG: Q4 unhedged prices at $69.48/bbl oil, $0.48/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs; hedged prices at $68.72/bbl oil, $0.82/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs. 🔸 $WAB: Agrees to purchase Evident's inspection tech division for $1.78B. 🔸 $KBH: Q4 EPS $2.52 vs. $2.45 est., revenue $1.999B vs. $2.008B est.; FY25 housing revenue guidance $7.00-7.50B, avg selling price $488-498K. 🔸 $NOMD: 2025 organic revenue growth expected at 1%-3%; confident in meeting 2024 guidance. 🔸 $SIG: Q4 adj. operating income forecast at $337M-$347M, below previous $397M-$427M; sales expected at $2.32B-$2.34B, under prior $2.38B-$2.46B. 🔸 $ADM: Downgraded to Underperform from Neutral by Bank America. 🔸 $LVS: Downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight by Morgan Stanley.
$ACMR $APLD $AVGO $IAC $ANGI $TTAN $DHR $INGN $KIDS $RGNX $TDOC $AMZN
-2.04%
$RILY $AB
-3.16%
$IVZ $VRTS $URI $HEES $AVAV $CE $FANG $WAB $KBH $NOMD $SIG $ADM
+86.78%
$LVS
54
MORNING RECAP • $ASO announces a $700M share buyback. • $AEO Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. $0.46 est., rev down -0.9% to $1.29B; cuts annual sales growth forecast to 3%, expects Q4 comp sales +1%, total rev -4%. • $CHPT Q3 loss (-$0.18) vs. est. (-$0.09), rev -10% to $99.6M; Q4 rev guidance $95M-$105M. Networked charging systems down -29%, subscription rev up +19%. • $COST November comp sales +3.1%, net sales +5.6% to $21.87B; Q1 sales +7.5% to $60.99B. • $FIVE Q3 EPS $0.42 vs. $0.17 est., sales +15% to $843.7M; Q4 sales guide $1.35B-$1.38B, comp sales expected to decline. • $PVH Q3 adj EPS $3.03 vs. $2.59 est., rev $2.26B vs. $2.22B; Q4 rev expected -7% to -6%, EPS $3.05-$3.20. • $PG now sources Gillette razor steel from India to mitigate potential Trump tariffs. • $AVAV Q2 rev $188.5M vs. $182.9M est.; adj EBITDA $25.9M vs. $31.7M est.; maintains FY25 EPS $3.18-$3.49, revenue $790M-$820M. • $APD: Mantle Ridge now nominates only four for the board, down from nine. • $CULP Q2 adj op income ($2.6M) vs. ($3.589M) est., sales $55.7M vs. $58M est.; expects flat to slightly down Q3 sales, positive EBITDA in 2H, profitable by Q4. • $GEF Q4 EPS $1.08 vs. $1.10 est.; rev up 8.3% to $1.42B, adj EBITDA down 0.8% to $197.6M; FY25 adj EBITDA expected at $675M low-end. • $LUV boosts Q4 revenue per seat mile forecast to 5.5%-7% from 3.5%-5.5%, due to pricing and travel demand. • $FI stock falls as CEO Frank Bisignano is nominated by Trump to lead the SSA. • $FOUR downgraded to Hold from Buy after CEO Jared Isaacman is chosen by Trump to head NASA. • $HOOD plans Asia expansion, setting up in Singapore. NYPD seeks man who killed UnitedHealth $UNH executive Brian Thompson outside a Manhattan hotel, suspect fled into Central Park. TSM discussing with $NVDA to manufacture AI chips in Arizona. • $AMAT downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley due to memory market concerns. • $HPE upgraded to Overweight, target price raised post-Juniper acquisition. • $NCNO Q3 adj EPS $0.21 vs $0.16 est., Q4 rev guidance below estimates. • $OOMA Q3 EPS $0.17 vs $0.16 est., raised yearly outlook. • $S Q3 EPS loss ($0.25) vs $0.01 est., slightly beat on revenue for Q4 and year. • $SNPS Q4 adj EPS $3.40 vs $3.30 est., Q1 guidance below expectations. • $VRNT Q3 EPS $0.54 vs $0.43 est., strong SaaS growth, FY25 revenue guidance up. • $DIS increases dividend to $1.00 per share. • $SMTC launches $400M stock offering.
$ASO $AEO $CHPT $COST
+27.36%
$FIVE $PVH $PG $AVAV $APD
+1.51%
$CULP $GEF
+0.15%
$LUV
+41.45%
$FI
-38.79%
$FOUR
+0.48%
$HOOD
-4.44%
$UNH $NVDA
+5.46%
$AMAT $HPE
-85.86%
$NCNO $OOMA $S
-2.4%
$SNPS $VRNT $DIS
+9.73%
$SMTC
10
MORNING RECAP • Target Corp. ( $TGT): Shares fell after Q3 results missed expectations; EPS $1.85 vs. $2.30 est., sales up 0.9% to $25.23B missing $25.74B est., and operating margin at 4.6% vs. 5.6% est. FY EPS guidance lowered to $8.30-$8.90 from $9-$9.70. • Azek Company ( $AZEK): Beat Q4 expectations with EPS at $0.29 vs. $0.27 est., adjusted EBITDA $91.8M vs. $88.1M, and sales at $348.22M. FY25 guidance: revenue $1.51B-$1.54B, adjusted EBITDA $400M-$415M. • Chewy ( $CHWY): Upgraded to 'Buy' by Bank America with price target raised to $40 from $24. • Delta Air Lines ( $DAL): Projects mid-single digit revenue growth for 2025, with capacity expansion up to 4%. • La-Z-Boy ( $LZB): Q2 EPS $0.71 vs. $0.64 est., sales up 1.9% to $521M, Q3 guidance provided, dividend raised to $0.22. • Uber ( $UBER): Launched Uber XXL for airport travel in 60+ airports and new reservation features with flight tracking. • AeroVironment ( $AVAV): Upgraded to Buy from Hold by Jefferies. • DT Midstream ( $DTM): Acquires three pipelines from Oneok for $1.2B, spanning 1,300 miles across seven Midwest states. • Dycom ( $DY): Q3 EPS $2.68 vs. $2.26 est., revenue $1.27B vs. $1.22B est.; anticipates mid- to high single-digit revenue growth in Q4. • Patrick Industries ( $PATK): Announces a 3-for-2 stock split. • Powell Industries ( $POWL): Q4 revenue up 32.1% to $275.1M, but missed $284.3M est.; EPS $3.77 vs. $3.55 est.; orders up 56% to $267M, backlog steady at $1.3B, expects strong FY25. • SolarEdge ( $SEDG): Upgraded to Neutral from Sell by Guggenheim, previous $10 price target dropped. • Forestar Group ( $FOR): Files for potential sale of up to $300M in common stock. • JPMorgan ( $JPM): Downgraded to Perform from Outperform by Oppenheimer due to valuation. • Lemonade ( $LMND): Upgraded to equal weight from underweight by Morgan Stanley post-investor day. • StoneX Group ( $SNEX): Q4 EPS $2.32 vs $2.05 est., net revenue $454.8M vs $462.98M est. • XP Inc. ( $XP): Launches a buyback program up to R$1.0B; Q3 EPS as expected at 2.18, revenue slightly below at 4.319B; active clients increased to 4.7M. • Concentra Group Holdings Inc. ( $CON) will replace Myers Industries Inc. (MYE) in the S&P SmallCap 600 on November 27, following a distribution by Select Medical Holdings Corp. (SEM). • Pfizer ( $PFE) appointed Chris Boshoff as its R&D chief starting January 1. It also received EC approval for Hympavzi for hemophilia treatment. • Sangamo Therapeutics ( $SGMO) received FDA clearance for ST-503 human trials, with enrollment planned for mid-2025. • Varex Imaging ( $VREX) reported Q4 EPS at $0.19, beating the $0.09 estimate, but revenue dropped 10% to $205.7M. Forecasts Q1 revenue between $195M-$215M. • Viking Therapeutics ( $VKTX) shared positive mid-stage trial results for VK2809, showing significant improvement in liver fibrosis over placebo. • Comcast Corp. ( $CMCSA) is set to spin off cable channels like MSNBC, CNBC, and USA to reduce exposure to declining viewership and ad revenue, keeping NBC and Peacock, per WSJ. • Dolby Labs ( $DLB) Q4 EPS $0.81 vs. $0.70 est., revenue slightly below at $305M. Forecasts Q1 revenue $330-360M and FY revenue $1.33-1.39B. • Flex Ltd ( $FLEX) will replace Azenta Inc. ( $AZTA) in S&P MidCap 400, with Azenta moving to S&P SmallCap 600, effective November 25. • Keysight Technologies (KEYS) Q4 EPS $1.65 vs. $1.57 est., revenue at $1.287B. Q1 guidance: revenue $1.265-1.285B, EPS $1.65-1.71. • https://t.co/jK5z8CZLV2 ( $WIX) Q3 EPS $1.62 vs. $1.51 est., revenue $444.67M vs. $457.9M est. Increases FY24 revenue and bookings forecasts. • ZoomInfo Technologies ( $ZI) Chairman Schuck purchased 492,500 shares at $10.25 each on November 15, transaction worth $5,049,750.
$TGT
-33.65%
$AZEK $CHWY
+15.63%
$DAL $LZB $UBER $AVAV $DTM $DY $PATK $POWL $SEDG $FOR
+7.27%
$JPM $LMND $SNEX $XP
-1.53%
$CON
+1.5%
$PFE $SGMO $VREX $VKTX $CMCSA $DLB
-8.34%
$FLEX $AZTA $WIX $ZI
16
#Upgrades - Nov 20, 2024 • $AVAV: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $230 (from $240) • $CHWY: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Underperform - PT $40 (from $24) • $ENR: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $39 (from $32) • $GLPI: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $54 (from $49) • $INSP: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Underperform - PT $255 (from $220) • $LMND: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Equalweight from underweight - PT $42 (from $23) • $NWL: Barclays Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $10 (from $8) • $SEDG: Guggenheim Upgrades to Neutral from Sell • $XPEV: CMB International Securities Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $16 (from $8)
$AVAV $CHWY
+15.63%
$ENR $GLPI $INSP
-6.49%
$LMND $NWL $SEDG $XPEV
12
MORNING RECAP • $LOW Q3: EPS $2.89 (beat consensus $2.81), sales $20.2B (beat consensus $19.92B); Q3 comp sales -1.1% due to weak DIY demand, offset by storm sales and growth in Pro and online. Revised full-year outlook: sales $83B-$83.5B, EPS $11.80-$11.90. • $ADM: Q3 profit fell due to weak North American crush margins; Nutrition segment expects better Q4 but not as high as Q3 2024. • $CTRN: Appointed Ken Seipel as CEO; Q3 sales $179.1M, comp sales up 5.7%. • $WEN: Ken Cook appointed as CFO, effective December 2, 2024. • $XPEV: Q3 revenue $1.39B, above estimates; EPS loss of $1.90, worse than expected $1.71 loss. Q4 revenue forecast at $2.09B-$2.21B; launched P7+ sedan. • $ACM increases buyback to $1B; Q4 EPS $1.27, revenue $4.11B, slightly below consensus. FY25 EPS forecast $5.00-$5.20. • $AMCR to acquire $BERY in $8.4B stock deal at a 10% premium. • $AVAV acquiring BlueHalo in $4.1B stock deal. Oil prices dip as Johan Sverdrup field restarts post-outage. • $ERII launches $50M stock repurchase. • $NPSCY engages with $X stakeholders to push for $15B acquisition. • $SYAXF to merge with $PLL in an all-stock deal, valuing the new entity at $623M. • $SYM Q4 operating income exceeds expectations; sets Q1 revenue guidance at $495-515M. U.S. defense stocks rise following Russia's updated nuclear policy and threats. • $DOC ups 2024 FFO guidance to $1.80-$1.82, citing strong portfolio performance. • $INCY stock drops after pausing a phase 2 study due to preclinical findings. • $MDT Q2 revenue up 5.2% to $8.4B, raises FY25 EPS outlook slightly. • $OMCL issues $150M in convertible senior notes. • $SYRE plans to offer $200M in common stock and warrants. • $AMD: Darla Smith resigns as Chief Accounting Officer on November 15. • $GOOGL stock declines as DOJ plans to demand the sale of Chrome browser. • $INTC: Efforts to distribute manufacturing grants under the Chips Act are stalled, with most of the $39B yet to be disbursed. • $MSTR aims to raise $1.75B through convertible senior notes. • $MCHP: Ganesh Moorthy retires; Steve Sanghi appointed as interim CEO. • $SMCI stock rises after appointing BDO USA as auditor and seeking Nasdaq compliance extension
$LOW $ADM
+86.78%
$CTRN $WEN
-3.46%
$XPEV $ACM
-12.77%
$AMCR $BERY $AVAV $ERII $NPSCY $X
-4.27%
$SYAXF $PLL $SYM $DOC $INCY $MDT
-7.16%
$OMCL $SYRE $AMD
-10.75%
$GOOGL
-1.46%
$INTC
-0.76%
$MSTR
+274.5%
$MCHP $SMCI
8
#Downgrades - Nov 12, 2024 • $ABG: Seaport Global Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy • $ABNB: PhillipCapital Downgrades to Reduce from Neutral - PT $120 • $AESI: Barclays Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $19 (from $23) • $ALNY: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Underperform from Peerperform • $ALTM: B.Riley Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $5.85 • $AVAV: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $240 • $CXM: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $6 (from $8) • $FIVN: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $40 (from $55) • $FMBH: DA Davidson Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $47 (from $44) • $HMN: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $44 (from $39) • $HPP: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $5 (from $5.50) • $KNX: Citi Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $56 • $OKTA: Deutsche Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $85 (from $115) • $PHUN: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $6 (from $9) • $ROST: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $152 (from $179) • $RXO: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $33 • $SNDR: Citi Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $30 (from $32) • $TCBK: DA Davidson Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $53 (from $50)
$ABG $ABNB $AESI $ALNY $ALTM $AVAV $CXM $FIVN $FMBH $HMN $HPP
-13.83%
$KNX $OKTA $PHUN
-4.74%
$ROST $RXO $SNDR $TCBK
18
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