Bank of America, $BAC, says there will be no Fed rate cuts this year.

我之前说过 币圈看財报的时代已经到了 这不 交易所已经开始在这方面做布道了 这次 @MyStonks_Org 走在了最前面

随着近期各项法案陆续通过，国际地缘风险解除，美债利率下降，美元指数走弱，美股不断刷新历史新高。币圈也真的按照传统经典牛市重新开始了板块轮动，虽然现在整体还处于从昨晚起的摸顶新高后的第一次较大幅度回调之中，但主流币们才完成了第一轮补涨而已，山寨季大概率也只是刚刚开始。 从上周开始到7月末，都是美股的Q2财报季，在国际形势比较缓和的当下，美股波动成了影响币圈的最大变量。比如上周二7.15贝莱德的财报刚好对应了大饼的历史最高点，那么接下来特斯拉，谷歌，Robinhood，苹果，Coinbase都有可能对美股及币圈产生重大影响，不可不提前做好研究。而且7.30号的Robinhood，7.31号的苹果及Coinbase财报公布还恰巧叠加了7.31美联储决议公布和8.1号关税落地，更显得信息密度极高。 身处币圈的我们没有那么多时间精力，可能主要关注两种类型的公司就够了，一种是AI相关的，一种是币圈直接相关的。因为AI和crypto相关公司财报将直接影响科技股和币圈情绪，这样简化后效率更高且更有效。 AI相关：特斯拉、谷歌、META、微软、苹果 币圈交易相关：Robinhood、Coinbase 参考 @BTCBruce1 的 @MyStonksCN 财报日历做了个表 大胆预测一下后续可能会走的逻辑，仅供参考，DYOR。 1. 宏观拐点确认 + 主流冲高 →（已发生） 2. 科技股财报爆发+AI继续强预期 →（正在发生） 3. 山寨补涨+叙事爆发+NFT/DePIN轮番拉升 →（即将开启） 4. DeFi蓝筹吸血+项目方撤流动性 →（后期才开始） 上周五Coinbase、Robinhood都拉出了高点，本周需要继续密切关注情绪变化，按常理来说这两家业绩表现会比较好，但美股上涨逻辑经常是需要超过预期才行，也就是说利好有可能已经被市场买入而反应在当前股价上了。 一旦Robinhood和Coinbase财报利多但市场不涨反跌，就要谨慎了，尤其是山寨币非常敏感，共识比较脆弱，但凡有风吹草动项目方和做市商跑得比兔子还快。 如果美联储仍强硬不降息口风+美股财报落地无超预期表现，币圈可能迎来一次阶段性调整。尤其是Coinbase作为纯加密标的尤其需要重点关注，财报后的电话会议可能直接影响比特币和以太坊的短线方向。 后续牛市可能就到了第二阶段，操作可能会从快速拉高脱离成本区的简单模式变成宽幅震荡的困难模式。 高风险偏好的人需要管住自己不要过度操作，多项指标共振后再下场且做好风控止损。 低风险偏好的人可以等8.1号关税落地后再进场操作。

Mystonks的美股财报全家桶来啦 @MyStonksCN @BTCBruce1 覆盖了科技、金融、芯片、链上标的等多个赛道，清晰明了不用去网上找了～ 不过能看懂财报也是技术活，比如我看完也不知道讲了啥……希望能直接在下面添加个“买不买”投票功能，用群体判断帮助我这种小白不再孤独投资💔 还没注册Mystonks的快来体验丝滑美股交易！ https://t.co/HuUBxME17T

特斯拉的财报估计一般 因为Cybertruck和新款ModelY卖的都soso 但是财报从来都不是特斯拉的重点 特斯拉的核心是“未来” 马斯克总是能把吹过的牛逼实现 总是能把画过的饼给做出来

S&P 500 year-end target raised to 6,300 from 5,600, per Bank of America, $BAC.

"Buy-the-dip strength in the Nasdaq in 2025 has been one of the strongest ever in its history, currently run-rating above the historically strong tech bubble years of 1998 & 1999," per Bank of America, $BAC:

Bank of America, $BAC, has said that autonomous cars are having their 'ChatGPT' moment.

Foreign investors are reducing US Treasury holdings, signaling future bond volatility, Bank of America, $BAC, has said.

21% of prospective Gen Z buyers said they plan to rely on family loans for a down payment, compared to 15% of survey respondents overall, per Bank of America, $BAC.

54% of fund managers believe international stocks will be the top-performing asset, Bank of America's, $BAC, latest survey has found.

Most investors see international stocks beating US peers over the next 5 years, per Bank of America, $BAC.

15% of prospective homebuyers plan to pay for their down payment with a loan from parents or family, compared to 12% in 2024, and 9% in 2023, per Bank of America, $BAC.

21% of Gen Z prospective homebuyers plan to rely on family loans for a down payment, an all time high, per Bank of America, $BAC.

22% of Gen Z homeowners reported that they purchased their home with siblings, compared to 12% in 2024 and 4% in 2023, per Bank of America, $BAC.

60% of current homeowners and prospective buyers cannot tell if it is a good time to buy a home or not, per Bank of America, $BAC:

92% of Gen Z and Millennial homeowners say they don’t live in their ideal area, compared to just 64% of Baby Boomers, per Bank of America, $BAC.

75% of prospective homebuyers say they expect prices and interest rates to fall and are waiting until then to buy a new home, per Bank of America, $BAC:

Prospective homebuyers who believe the homebuying market is better now than it was a year ago, per Bank of America, $BAC:

30% of Gen Z homeowners reported that they paid for their down payment by taking on an extra job, compared to 28% in 2024 and 24% in 2023, per Bank of America, $BAC.

The S&P 500 could soon return to record highs as sentiment improves, Bank of America, $BAC, has said.

Fund managers are the most underweight equities in years, per Bank of America, $BAC:

Investors view gold as the most overvalued on record, Bank of America's, $BAC, May global fund manager survey says. Data go back to May 2008. A net 45% of investors say that gold is overvalued.

Bank of America, $BAC, says the S&P 500 is expensive on "any valuation metric"

Bank of America, $BAC, CEO says research team does not see rate cuts this year due to the sticky inflation

Michael Hartnett, Bank of America's, $BAC, chief investment strategist, has said the U.S. is no longer the global economy's primary growth engine.

49% of fund managers expect a hard landing in the next 12 months, per Bank of America, $BAC:

A record share of investors are planning to pare stock holdings, per Bank of America, $BAC.

US households have allocated 29% of their financial assets to stocks, an all-time high, per Bank of America, $BAC

Bank of America's, $BAC, CEO says economic growth is 'better than people think'

Bank of America’s, $BAC, monthly global fund manager survey has revealed stock market sentiment decreased in March, resulting in the second-worst plunge in global growth expectations and biggest drop in U.S. equity allocation since BofA began conducting the survey in 1994.

Bank of America, $BAC, has said "Short the S&P500"

Bank of America, $BAC, says gold could reach $3,500/oz within two years if investment demand rises 10%

55% of fund managers have said a trade war-induced recession is the biggest “tail risk” faced by the market, per Bank of America, $BAC.

Over 70% of fund managers expect stagflation in the global economy in next year, per Bank of America, $BAC

Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, $BAC, has said consumers are in a ‘classic’ situation of worrying about money but continuing to spend

Prices of vehicles could increase by $4,500 due to 25% tariffs, per Bank of America, $BAC.

55% of Bank of America, $BAC, investors believe the biggest risk to markets is that the "trade war triggers global recession."

Investors' bullish sentiment for US stocks came to a screeching halt over the past month, per Bank of America, $BAC.

The U.S. has the lowest trade barrier of any G20 country, per Bank of America, $BAC.