Notes
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
CONSUMER
🔸 Lululemon ( $LULU): Q4 adj. EPS $6.14 (est. $5.85); revs +13% y/y to $3.61B (est. $3.57B). Q1 comp sales +3% (+4% constant dollar). Q4 Americas comps flat; Intl +20%. Sees Q1 EPS $2.53-$2.58 (est. $2.78) & revs $2.34B-$2.36B (est. $2.39B).
🔸 Oxford ( $OXM): Q4 adj. EPS $1.37 (est. $1.27), sales $391M (est. $383.94M). Guides Q1 sales $375M-$395M (est. $401.18M), EPS $1.70-$1.90 (est. $2.79). Sees FY revs $1.49B-$1.53B (est. $1.54B), EPS $4.60-$5.00 (est. $6.81).
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 AAR ( $AIR): Q3 adj. EPS $0.99 (est. $0.96), revs +20% y/y to $678M (est. $699.13M). Adj. EBITDA +39% y/y to $81M; margin 12% (10.3% prior). Op margin 10.5% (5.8% y/y).
🔸 Argan ( $AGX): Q4 EPS $2.22 (est. $1.15), EBITDA $39.3M (est. $19.4M), revs $232.5M (est. $197.5M).
🔸 KULR ( $KULR): Q4 EPS ($0.02) in line, op. inc. ($3.54M) (est. $3.046M), revs $3.37M (est. $2.901M). Bitcoin holdings $20.28M (as of 12/31/24).
🔸 Nippon ( $NPSCY)/US Steel (X): Offering more investment to Trump admin to close $14B merger – Semafor.
🔸 Schneider ( $SNDR): Downgraded to Neutral at BofA, tgt cut to $25 (from $34) on weaker demand, tariff uncertainty, and pricing pressure.
FINANCIALS
🔸 Voya ( $VOYA): Downgraded to Underperform at BofA, tgt cut to $71 (from $79). Estimates imply $7.10-$7.90 EPS for 2025 (vs. est. $8.14).
HEALTHCARE
🔸 Beam ( $BEAM): FDA clears NDA for BEAM-302 (alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency).
🔸 CureVac ( $CVAC): EU patent upheld with amendments.
🔸 Kodiak ( $KOD): Q4 EPS ($0.84) (est. ($0.88)); cash runway into 2026.
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 CoreWeave ( $CRWV): 37.5M share IPO at $40, below $47-$55 range; reduced from 49M shares.
🔸 Braze ( $BRZE): Acquires OfferFit for $325M (cash & stock).
🔸 Civeo ( $CVEO): Approves share buyback up to 10%.
MORNING RECAP
❖ Alaska Airlines ( $ALK) to launch direct flights to Tokyo and Seoul from Seattle in 2025 post-Hawaiian acquisition.
❖ Casey’s General Store ( $CASY) Q2: EPS $4.85, revs down 2.9% to $3.95B. Grocery up 8.8%, Fuel down 8.8%.
❖ eBay ( $EBAY) downgraded to Underperform by Jefferies, target cut to $52 from $60.
❖ Stellantis ( $STLA) and CATL to invest €4.1B for a low-cost EV battery plant in Spain.
❖ Toll Brothers ( $TOL) Q4: EPS $4.63, revs up 10% to $3.33B. Backlog down 6.9%, contracts up 30%.
❖ Vail Resorts ( $MTN) Q1: EPS ($4.61), revs $260.28M. Guides net income to $240M-$316M.
❖ Anglo American ( $NGLOY) faces charges in Chile over El Soldado copper mine issues.
❖ Celanese Corp. ( $CE) appoints Scott Richardson as CEO effective Jan 1, 2025.
❖ Fluence Energy ( $FLNC) offers $300M in convertible bonds due 2030.
❖ Planet Labs ( $PL) Q3: EPS loss (-$0.02), revs $61.3M. Q4 revenue expected at $61M-$63M.
❖ Amazon ( $AMZN) and Intuit ( $INTU) expand partnership, leveraging AWS since 2013 for enhanced customer experiences.
❖ Arthur J. Gallagher ( $AJG) offers $8.5B in common stock at $280/share.
❖ Cohen & Steers ( $CNS) AUM up to $91.4B from $89.7B, driven by $1.9B market appreciation, offset by net outflows.
❖ Lazard ( $LAZ) AUM at $234.4B, with $3B market appreciation, $2.3B net outflows, and $2.2B forex depreciation.
❖ Eli Lilly ( $LLY) launches $15B share buyback, increases dividend by 15% to $1.50/share.
❖ Fate Therapeutics ( $FATE) shares positive Phase 1 data for FT819 in treating lupus, showing sustained B-cell depletion and remission in first patient.
❖ HealthEquity ( $HQY) Q3: EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.72; revs $300.4M vs. est. $290M; adjusted EBITDA up 24% to $118.2M. Forecasts FY24 EPS $3.08-$3.16, revs $1.185B-$1.195B.
❖ Oracle ( $ORCL) Q2: adj EPS $1.47 vs. $1.48 est., revs $14.06B vs. $14.12B est. AI demand boosts Oracle Cloud Infrastructure by 52%; Total Remaining Performance Obligations up 49% to $97B; Cloud Revenue up 24% to $5.9B.
❖ Braze ( $BRZE) Q3: adj EPS $0.02 vs. loss (-$0.01) est., revs $152.1M vs. $148.19M est. Q4 guidance and FY25 revenue outlook raised to $588M-$589M.
❖ https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI) Q2: revs up 29% to $94.3M, adj EPS loss (-$0.06) vs. (-$0.16) est. Q3 revs forecast at $95.5M-$100.5M; FY25 revenue expected at $378M-$398M.
❖ Micron Technology ( $MU) receives $6.1B subsidy for U.S. semiconductor facilities.
❖ MongoDB ( $MDB) Q3: adj EPS $1.16 vs. $0.69 est., revs up 22% to $529.4M. Atlas revenue up 26%, customer base at 52,600. Raises FY25 EPS and revenue forecasts; CFO resigns.
❖ Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) November sales up 34% y/y to NT$276.06B, down 12.2% m/m.