Notes
SECTOR NEWS
CONSUMER
🔸 $STZ: Q4 EPS $2.63 (est. $2.29); sales +1.2% to $2.16B (est. $2.13B). Beer sales in line, wine/spirits beat. Selling mainstream wine brands to The Wine Group. FY28 EPS growth seen low to mid-single digits. New $4B buyback plan.
🔸 $GM: Downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; target cut to $51 from $64 due to tariff impact.
🔸 $KMX: Q4 EPS $0.58 (est. $0.65); retail used sales +6.2%, comps +5.1%, wholesale units +3.1%. Revenue $6.0B (est. $5.963B).
🔸 $PSMT: Q2 EPS $1.45 (est. $1.40); sales $1.335B (est. $1.359B); comps +6.7%.
🔸 $BKE: March comps +3.7%, net sales +4.5% to $109.1M.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 $X: Shares fell after Trump opposed Nippon Steel’s takeover.
🔸 $VALE: Upgraded to Buy at Bank of America.
FINANCIALS
🔸 $AB: AUM fell to $784B in March from $805B in Feb.
🔸 $CBOE: Downgraded to Neutral at Bank of America.
🔸 $LAZ: March AUM $227.4B; net outflows $3.1B, market loss $5.4B.
🔸 $VCTR: Total client assets $171.4B as of March.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 $IDYA: Started Phase 1/2 expansion trial combining IDE397 with Gilead’s Trodelvy.
🔸 $KROS: Shares rise after adopting poison pill; exploring strategic options, including sale.
TECHNOLOGY, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 $AMZN: 2024 revenue +11% to $638B; AWS +19% to $108B; operating income +86% to $68.6B.
🔸 $ASYS: Cuts Q2 revenue forecast to $15M–$16M (from $21M–$23M) due to customer dispute.
🔸 $TSM: Q1 sales +42% to $25.6B, in line with guidance despite earthquake impact.
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 Big Tech ( $AAPL, $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA): Lower as China imposes 34% tariffs on U.S. goods in response to U.S. tariffs.
🔸 China stocks ( $BABA, $BIDU, $PDD, $JD, $SINA, $NTES): Trading sharply lower.
🔸 EU vs. "X": Possible $1B fine for disinformation law violations.
🔸 Five9 ( $FIVN): Q1 EPS, revenue in line or better than guidance; 4% workforce reduction.
CONSUMER
🔸 Booking Holdings ( $BKNG): Upgraded to Buy (BTIG), target $5,500.
🔸 Guess ( $GES): Q4 adj. EPS $1.48 (est. $1.40), revenue $932.3M (+4.6% y/y, est. $912.3M). Gross margin 44.1% (vs. 45.4%). 2026 revenue forecast +3.9%-6.2%, EPS $1.32-$1.76 (est. $2.07). Alberto Toni named CFO. Plans to close unprofitable stores.
🔸 Kraft Heinz ( $KHC): Downgraded to Sell (Citigroup), target cut to $27 due to sales growth concerns.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 ExxonMobil ( $XOM): Q1 earnings impact: Energy products (-$0.3B to -$0.7B), upstream (liquids/gas: $0.0B to -$0.4B), chemicals (-$0.1B to $0.1B), specialty (-$0.3B to -$0.1B).
🔸 Matador Resources ( $MTDR): Selling Eagle Ford assets, board reviewing stock repurchase.
🔸 Shell ( $SHEL): Selling 16.125% Colonial Enterprises stake to Brookfield (BIP) for $1.45B.
FINANCIALS
🔸 Cboe ( $CBOE): Q1 options volume 1.1B contracts, March ADV 18.8M (record).
🔸 Franklin Resources (BEN): March AUM $1.53T (Feb: $1.57T), $4B net outflows.
🔸 Progressive ( $PGR): Downgraded to Neutral (Bank of America), target cut to $287 from $300.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 LifeCore ( $LFCR): Q3 EPS -$0.47 (est. -$0.15), revs $35.2M (est. $33.23M). FY guidance: revs $126.5M-$130M, adj. EBITDA $19M-$21M.
🔸 Simulations Plus ( $SLP): Q2 adj. EPS $0.31 (est. $0.12), revs $22.4M (est. $21.9M). FY guidance: revs $90M-$93M, adj. EPS $1.07-$1.20 (est. $0.47).
#Upgrades - Nov 11, 2024
• $AKAM: HSBC Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $121
• $AMH: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $42 (from $41)
• $CBOE: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $222 (from $212)
• $CSCO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $66 (from $55)
• $EPAM: Scotiabank Upgrades to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform - PT $275
• $MLNK: UBS Upgrades to Neutral from Sell - PT $25.50 (from $18)
• $MRCY: Jefferies Upgrades to Hold from Underperform - PT $42 (from $30)
• $NTST: Scotiabank Upgrades to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform - PT $18
• $OEC: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $21 (from $20)
• $OUST: Cantor Fitzgerald Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral
• $PINS: Wedbush Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $38
• $SKT: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $40 (from $35)
• $SKT: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $40 (from $35)
• $UEIC: B.Riley Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $14 (from $11)
• $UPST: BTIG Upgrades to Neutral from Sell
• $VLY: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $11 (from $10.50)
• $WBD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Peerperform from Underperform
• $WGO: Northcoast Research Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $175