Notes
Earnings Summary (Q4 & Guidance) 📊
Beats & Positive Outlook 🟢
✅ HubSpot ( $HUBS): EPS $2.32 (est. $2.19), revenue $703.2M (est. $673.3M). Q1 & FY revenue guidance slightly below estimates.
✅ MKS Instruments ( $MKSI): EPS $2.15 (est. $1.95), revenue $935M (est. $914.2M). Q1 guidance mixed.
✅ Pega Systems ( $PEGA): EPS $1.61 (est. $1.46), revenue $490.8M (est. $470.7M). FY guidance slightly below estimates.
✅ Q2 Holdings ( $QTWO): EBITDA $37.6M (est. $35.5M), revenue $183M (est. $179.9M). Guidance above estimates.
✅ Sony ( $SONY): Raises profit forecast 2% to 1.34T yen ($8.7B). Gaming unit profit +37%. Sold 9.5M PS5 units (vs. 8.2M YoY).
✅ Dutch Bros ( $BROS): EPS $0.07 (est. $0.02), revenue $342.8M (est. $317.8M). FY revenue & EBITDA guidance above estimates.
✅ MGM Resorts ( $MGM): EPS $0.45 (est. $0.30), revenue $4.3B (est. $4.27B). Strong demand in 2025, BetMGM expected to be profitable.
✅ Royal Caribbean ( $RCL): $1B buyback & 36% dividend increase.
✅ Service Corp. ( $SCI): EPS $1.06 (est. $1.05), revenue $1.093B (est. $1.08B). Invested $181M in funeral home/cemetery acquisitions. FY EPS guidance $3.70-$4.00 (est. $3.93).
✅ Pilgrim’s Pride ( $PPC): EPS $1.35 (est. $1.15), EBITDA $525.7M (est. $487.85M). Revenue below estimates at $4.372B (est. $4.589B).
✅ Molson Coors ( $TAP): EPS $1.30 (est. $1.13), revenue $2.74B (est. $2.7B). FY net sales expected to grow.
✅ AppLovin ( $APP): EPS $1.73 (est. $1.24), revenue $1.373B (est. $1.264B). Guides Q1 revenue $1.355-1.385B (est. $1.321B).
✅ Cisco ( $CSCO): EPS $0.94 (est. $0.91), revenue $14B (est. $13.87B). Increases dividend & buyback. Raises FY25 EPS & revenue outlook.
✅ Cognex ( $CGNX): EPS $0.20 (est. $0.16), revenue $230M (est. $220.7M). Q1 revenue guidance below estimates.
✅ Deere ( $DE): EPS $3.19 (est. $3.11); revenue $8.51B (-30% y/y, but beats est. $7.89B). FY25 sales decline expected in all divisions.
✅ Advanced Energy ( $AEIS): EPS $1.30 (est. $1.10); revenue $415.4M (est. $394.2M). Q1 guidance slightly above estimates.
✅ Williams Energy ( $WMB): EPS $0.47 (est. $0.45). Raises FY25 EBITDA guidance to $7.45B-$7.85B.
✅ Paycom Software ( $PAYC): EPS $2.32 (est. $1.97); revenue $493.8M (est. $408.8M). FY EBITDA & revenue guidance in-line.
✅ Reddit ( $RDDT): EPS $0.36 (est. $0.25); revenue $427.7M (+71% y/y, est. $405.5M). Q1 guidance above estimates.
✅ Robinhood ( $HOOD): EPS $1.01 (est. $0.52); revenue $1.01B (est. $951.8M). AUC up 88% y/y, user revenue up 102%.
✅ Curtiss-Wright ( $CW): EPS $3.27 (est. $3.09); revenue $824M (est. $789.6M). Strong FY25 guidance.
✅ Casella Waste ( $CWST): EPS $0.41 (est. $0.16); revenue $427.5M (est. $419.5M). FY25 revenue & EBITDA guidance above estimates.
✅ Hubbell ( $HUBB): Announces $500M share buyback.
Mixed Results 🟡
⚠️ Antero Resources ( $AR): EPS $0.26 (miss, est. $0.29); revenue $1.194B (beat, est. $1.17B). Raised production targets, lowered capital budget.
⚠️ GE HealthCare ( $GEHC): EPS $1.45 (est. $1.26); revenue $5.32B (in-line). Sees FY25 revenue up 2-3%, cautious on China tariffs.
⚠️ GXO Logistics ( $GXO): EPS $1.00 (est. $0.94); revenue $3.3B (est. $3.22B). FY25 EPS guidance below estimates.
⚠️ Manitowoc ( $MTW): EPS $0.10 (miss, est. $0.12); revenue $596M (miss, est. $600.1M). FY25 EPS guidance below consensus.
⚠️ Equinix ( $EQIX): AFFO/share $7.92 (est. $8.09), revenue $2.261B (est. $2.274B). FY guidance below estimates.
⚠️ Trade Desk ( $TTD): EPS $0.59 (est. $0.56), revenue $741M (est. $758.9M). Q1 guidance below estimates.
⚠️ Nestlé ( $NSRGY): Sales 91.35B francs (-1.8%), profit 10.88B francs (-2.9%). Growth driven by price hikes but warns of lower 2025 margins.
⚠️ Nissan ( $NSANY) & Honda (HMC): Terminated merger talks from December 2023.
⚠️ Rollins ( $ROL): EPS $0.23 (est. $0.23), revenue $832M (est. $817.5M). Operating income missed estimates ($151M vs. $160.4M).
⚠️ Wyndham Hotels ( $WH): EPS $1.04 (est. $0.99), revenue $341M (est. $344.47M). Guides FY RevPAR growth 2-3%. FY EPS $4.66-$4.78 (est. $4.78).
Misses & Weak Guidance 🔴
❌ 10X Genomics ( $TXG): EPS (-$0.40) (miss, est. -$0.11); revenue $165M (in-line). FY25 revenue guidance slightly below consensus.
❌ Albemarle ( $ALB): EPS (-$1.09) (miss, est. -$0.67); revenue $1.2B (miss, est. $1.34B). Plans cost cuts & production shifts.
❌ Tyler Technologies ( $TYL): EPS $1.49 (est. $1.61), revenue $541.1M (est. $540.5M). FY revenue guidance below estimates.
❌ Fastly ( Earnings Summary (Q4 & Guidance) 📊): EPS (-$0.03) (est. $0.00), revenue $140.58M (est. $138.63M). FY25 EPS & revenue guidance below estimates.
Color Code:
🟢 Beat ✅ | 🟡 Mixed ⚠️ | 🔴 Miss ❌
$APLT: Baird's target price adjustment: $14 to $5.
RBC's target price change: $12 to $4, rating shift from outperform to sector perform.
$ADSK: Citigroup's slight target price increase: $358 to $361.
$BFb: Barclays' target price reduction: $53 to $49.
$CF: Berenberg's target price elevation: $69 to $74.
$CRWD: Citigroup's significant target price hike: $300 to $400.
$DSGX: RBC's target price upgrade: $115 to $133.
$DOMO: TD Cowen's minor target price lift: $9 to $10.
$EQIX: Truist Securities' substantial target price increase: $935 to $1,090.
$GNL: Truist Securities' target price reduction: $8.50 to $8.
$SJM: Citigroup's target price rise: $134 to $137.
Barclays' target price elevation: $121 to $126.
$PASG: Wedbush's initiation of coverage with outperform rating, target price set at $4 from a previous $3.
$PEB: Stifel's target price adjustment: $15 to $16.25.
$PFE: Berenberg's target price uptick: $27 to $29.
$PLL: BMO's target price increase: $9.50 to $14.
$PLYM: Truist Securities' price target cut: $27 to $22.
$RDNT: Truist Securities' target price boost: $80 to $94.
$SW: JP Morgan's target price adjustment: $65 to $69.
$SBEV: H.C. Wainwright's target price decrease: $1 to $0.50.
$TXNM: Barclays' target price elevation: $46 to $52.
$ULTA: Citigroup's target price increase: $345 to $390.
$URBN: Citigroup's rating upgrade to buy from neutral, target price rise from $42 to $59.
$VYGR: Wedbush's initiation of coverage with outperform rating, target price set at $11 from $7.
$WMG: Citigroup's target price adjustment: $31 to $34.
STREET RECOMMENDATION - JULY 01, 2024
Upgrades
$ADNT: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $26
$AGRO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $11.50 (from $10.50)
$BIRK: UBS Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $85 (from $52)
$COLD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $31
$ICE: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $167 (from $143)
$MGA: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
Downgrades
$AMED: William Blair Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform
$ICFI: Truist Securities Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $155 (from $168)
$NEP: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $30 (from $38)
$SAVA: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
$ZBH: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $115 (from $140)
Initiates
$AMKR: JPMorgan Initiates at Overweight - PT $48
$AMT: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $230
$ATUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $2
$AXGN: Raymond James Initiates at Outperform - PT $13
$BIVI: ThinkEquity Initiates at Buy - PT $3
$CCOI: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $56
$CHTR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $250
$DLR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $175
$EQIX: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $870
$FYBR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $29
$GAUZ: Stifel Initiates at Buy - PT $18
$GAUZ: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $24
$IMMX: H.C. Wainwright Initiates at Buy - PT $7
$LUMN: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $1
$T: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $22
$TALK: Needham Initiates at Hold
$TMUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $200
$VZ: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $50
$WRB: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $103
: JMP Securities Initiates at Market Outperform - PT $6