Notes

Earnings Summary (Q4 & Guidance) 📊 Beats & Positive Outlook 🟢 ✅ HubSpot ( $HUBS): EPS $2.32 (est. $2.19), revenue $703.2M (est. $673.3M). Q1 & FY revenue guidance slightly below estimates. ✅ MKS Instruments ( $MKSI): EPS $2.15 (est. $1.95), revenue $935M (est. $914.2M). Q1 guidance mixed. ✅ Pega Systems ( $PEGA): EPS $1.61 (est. $1.46), revenue $490.8M (est. $470.7M). FY guidance slightly below estimates. ✅ Q2 Holdings ( $QTWO): EBITDA $37.6M (est. $35.5M), revenue $183M (est. $179.9M). Guidance above estimates. ✅ Sony ( $SONY): Raises profit forecast 2% to 1.34T yen ($8.7B). Gaming unit profit +37%. Sold 9.5M PS5 units (vs. 8.2M YoY). ✅ Dutch Bros ( $BROS): EPS $0.07 (est. $0.02), revenue $342.8M (est. $317.8M). FY revenue & EBITDA guidance above estimates. ✅ MGM Resorts ( $MGM): EPS $0.45 (est. $0.30), revenue $4.3B (est. $4.27B). Strong demand in 2025, BetMGM expected to be profitable. ✅ Royal Caribbean ( $RCL): $1B buyback & 36% dividend increase. ✅ Service Corp. ( $SCI): EPS $1.06 (est. $1.05), revenue $1.093B (est. $1.08B). Invested $181M in funeral home/cemetery acquisitions. FY EPS guidance $3.70-$4.00 (est. $3.93). ✅ Pilgrim’s Pride ( $PPC): EPS $1.35 (est. $1.15), EBITDA $525.7M (est. $487.85M). Revenue below estimates at $4.372B (est. $4.589B). ✅ Molson Coors ( $TAP): EPS $1.30 (est. $1.13), revenue $2.74B (est. $2.7B). FY net sales expected to grow. ✅ AppLovin ( $APP): EPS $1.73 (est. $1.24), revenue $1.373B (est. $1.264B). Guides Q1 revenue $1.355-1.385B (est. $1.321B). ✅ Cisco ( $CSCO): EPS $0.94 (est. $0.91), revenue $14B (est. $13.87B). Increases dividend & buyback. Raises FY25 EPS & revenue outlook. ✅ Cognex ( $CGNX): EPS $0.20 (est. $0.16), revenue $230M (est. $220.7M). Q1 revenue guidance below estimates. ✅ Deere ( $DE): EPS $3.19 (est. $3.11); revenue $8.51B (-30% y/y, but beats est. $7.89B). FY25 sales decline expected in all divisions. ✅ Advanced Energy ( $AEIS): EPS $1.30 (est. $1.10); revenue $415.4M (est. $394.2M). Q1 guidance slightly above estimates. ✅ Williams Energy ( $WMB): EPS $0.47 (est. $0.45). Raises FY25 EBITDA guidance to $7.45B-$7.85B. ✅ Paycom Software ( $PAYC): EPS $2.32 (est. $1.97); revenue $493.8M (est. $408.8M). FY EBITDA & revenue guidance in-line. ✅ Reddit ( $RDDT): EPS $0.36 (est. $0.25); revenue $427.7M (+71% y/y, est. $405.5M). Q1 guidance above estimates. ✅ Robinhood ( $HOOD): EPS $1.01 (est. $0.52); revenue $1.01B (est. $951.8M). AUC up 88% y/y, user revenue up 102%. ✅ Curtiss-Wright ( $CW): EPS $3.27 (est. $3.09); revenue $824M (est. $789.6M). Strong FY25 guidance. ✅ Casella Waste ( $CWST): EPS $0.41 (est. $0.16); revenue $427.5M (est. $419.5M). FY25 revenue & EBITDA guidance above estimates. ✅ Hubbell ( $HUBB): Announces $500M share buyback. Mixed Results 🟡 ⚠️ Antero Resources ( $AR): EPS $0.26 (miss, est. $0.29); revenue $1.194B (beat, est. $1.17B). Raised production targets, lowered capital budget. ⚠️ GE HealthCare ( $GEHC): EPS $1.45 (est. $1.26); revenue $5.32B (in-line). Sees FY25 revenue up 2-3%, cautious on China tariffs. ⚠️ GXO Logistics ( $GXO): EPS $1.00 (est. $0.94); revenue $3.3B (est. $3.22B). FY25 EPS guidance below estimates. ⚠️ Manitowoc ( $MTW): EPS $0.10 (miss, est. $0.12); revenue $596M (miss, est. $600.1M). FY25 EPS guidance below consensus. ⚠️ Equinix ( $EQIX): AFFO/share $7.92 (est. $8.09), revenue $2.261B (est. $2.274B). FY guidance below estimates. ⚠️ Trade Desk ( $TTD): EPS $0.59 (est. $0.56), revenue $741M (est. $758.9M). Q1 guidance below estimates. ⚠️ Nestlé ( $NSRGY): Sales 91.35B francs (-1.8%), profit 10.88B francs (-2.9%). Growth driven by price hikes but warns of lower 2025 margins. ⚠️ Nissan ( $NSANY) & Honda (HMC): Terminated merger talks from December 2023. ⚠️ Rollins ( $ROL): EPS $0.23 (est. $0.23), revenue $832M (est. $817.5M). Operating income missed estimates ($151M vs. $160.4M). ⚠️ Wyndham Hotels ( $WH): EPS $1.04 (est. $0.99), revenue $341M (est. $344.47M). Guides FY RevPAR growth 2-3%. FY EPS $4.66-$4.78 (est. $4.78). Misses & Weak Guidance 🔴 ❌ 10X Genomics ( $TXG): EPS (-$0.40) (miss, est. -$0.11); revenue $165M (in-line). FY25 revenue guidance slightly below consensus. ❌ Albemarle ( $ALB): EPS (-$1.09) (miss, est. -$0.67); revenue $1.2B (miss, est. $1.34B). Plans cost cuts & production shifts. ❌ Tyler Technologies ( $TYL): EPS $1.49 (est. $1.61), revenue $541.1M (est. $540.5M). FY revenue guidance below estimates. ❌ Fastly ( Earnings Summary (Q4 & Guidance) 📊): EPS (-$0.03) (est. $0.00), revenue $140.58M (est. $138.63M). FY25 EPS & revenue guidance below estimates. Color Code: 🟢 Beat ✅ | 🟡 Mixed ⚠️ | 🔴 Miss ❌
$HUBS $MKSI $PEGA
+6.45%
$QTWO $SONY $BROS $MGM $RCL $SCI
-10.6%
$PPC $TAP
-1%
$APP
-33.49%
$CSCO $CGNX $DE $AEIS $WMB $PAYC $RDDT $HOOD
+2.78%
$CW $CWST $HUBB $AR
+1.79%
$GEHC $GXO $MTW $EQIX $TTD $NSRGY $NSANY $ROL $WH $TXG $ALB
-3.28%
$TYL
$APLT: Baird's target price adjustment: $14 to $5. RBC's target price change: $12 to $4, rating shift from outperform to sector perform. $ADSK: Citigroup's slight target price increase: $358 to $361. $BFb: Barclays' target price reduction: $53 to $49. $CF: Berenberg's target price elevation: $69 to $74. $CRWD: Citigroup's significant target price hike: $300 to $400. $DSGX: RBC's target price upgrade: $115 to $133. $DOMO: TD Cowen's minor target price lift: $9 to $10. $EQIX: Truist Securities' substantial target price increase: $935 to $1,090. $GNL: Truist Securities' target price reduction: $8.50 to $8. $SJM: Citigroup's target price rise: $134 to $137. Barclays' target price elevation: $121 to $126. $PASG: Wedbush's initiation of coverage with outperform rating, target price set at $4 from a previous $3. $PEB: Stifel's target price adjustment: $15 to $16.25. $PFE: Berenberg's target price uptick: $27 to $29. $PLL: BMO's target price increase: $9.50 to $14. $PLYM: Truist Securities' price target cut: $27 to $22. $RDNT: Truist Securities' target price boost: $80 to $94. $SW: JP Morgan's target price adjustment: $65 to $69. $SBEV: H.C. Wainwright's target price decrease: $1 to $0.50. $TXNM: Barclays' target price elevation: $46 to $52. $ULTA: Citigroup's target price increase: $345 to $390. $URBN: Citigroup's rating upgrade to buy from neutral, target price rise from $42 to $59. $VYGR: Wedbush's initiation of coverage with outperform rating, target price set at $11 from $7. $WMG: Citigroup's target price adjustment: $31 to $34.
$APLT $ADSK $BFb $CF $CRWD $DSGX $DOMO
-16.73%
$EQIX $GNL $SJM $PASG $PEB $PFE $PLL $PLYM $RDNT
-6.08%
$SW $SBEV $TXNM $ULTA $URBN $VYGR $WMG
STREET RECOMMENDATION - JULY 01, 2024 Upgrades $ADNT: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $26 $AGRO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $11.50 (from $10.50) $BIRK: UBS Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $85 (from $52) $COLD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $31 $ICE: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $167 (from $143) $MGA: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral $TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205) $TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205) Downgrades $AMED: William Blair Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $ICFI: Truist Securities Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $155 (from $168) $NEP: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $30 (from $38) $SAVA: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy $ZBH: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $115 (from $140) Initiates $AMKR: JPMorgan Initiates at Overweight - PT $48 $AMT: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $230 $ATUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $2 $AXGN: Raymond James Initiates at Outperform - PT $13 $BIVI: ThinkEquity Initiates at Buy - PT $3 $CCOI: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $56 $CHTR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $250 $DLR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $175 $EQIX: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $870 $FYBR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $29 $GAUZ: Stifel Initiates at Buy - PT $18 $GAUZ: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $24 $IMMX: H.C. Wainwright Initiates at Buy - PT $7 $LUMN: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $1 $T: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $22 $TALK: Needham Initiates at Hold $TMUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $200 $VZ: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $50 $WRB: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $103 : JMP Securities Initiates at Market Outperform - PT $6
$ADNT $AGRO $BIRK $COLD $ICE
+3.92%
$MGA $TFX $AMED $ICFI $NEP $SAVA $ZBH $AMKR $AMT $ATUS $AXGN $BIVI $CCOI $CHTR $DLR $EQIX $FYBR $GAUZ $IMMX $LUMN $T
-2.78%
$TALK
-3.74%
$TMUS $VZ
+8.77%
$WRB
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