Notes
QUICK MARKET SUMMARY:
CONSUMER
🔸 BRP ( $DOOO) & Polaris ( $PII) cut to Sell by Citi due to weakening markets, tariff risks.
🔸 Five Below ( $FIVE) beats Q4 EPS ($3.48 vs. $3.37), guides Q1 & FY ahead of estimates but below EPS consensus.
🔸 Shoe Carnival ( $SCVL) beats Q4 EPS, misses revenue; guides FY25 below expectations.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) recalls 46K Cybertrucks over panel detachment risk.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 U.S. may extend Chevron's ( $CVX) Venezuela license, penalize others (WSJ).
🔸 QXO buying Beacon Roofing ( $BECN) for $11B cash.
🔸 Worthington Steel ( $WS) misses Q3; margins & EBIT sharply down.
FINANCIALS
🔸 FactSet ( $FDS) beats Q2; raises FY revenue outlook.
🔸 ProAssurance ( $PRA) bought by Doctors Company for $1.3B (60% premium).
🔸 Raymond James ( $RJF) AUM down 0.7% m/m to $1.58T.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 Capricor ( $CAPR) beats Q4 estimates; cash runway into 2027.
🔸 Jasper ( $JSPR) & MediWound (MDWD) file $300M & $125M shelf offerings.
🔸 scPharmaceuticals ( $SCPH) beats Q4 estimates.
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 Aeva ( $AEVA) beats Q4, raises FY25 guidance; progressing with Daimler Truck.
🔸 Microchip ( $MCHP) launches $1.35B offering.
🔸 PDD ( $PDD) misses Q4 revenue estimates on weak China demand.
🔸 SoftBank ( $SFTBY) buys Ampere Computing for $6.5B; Oracle & Carlyle exit.
MORNING RECAP
• $ASO announces a $700M share buyback.
• $AEO Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. $0.46 est., rev down -0.9% to $1.29B; cuts annual sales growth forecast to 3%, expects Q4 comp sales +1%, total rev -4%.
• $CHPT Q3 loss (-$0.18) vs. est. (-$0.09), rev -10% to $99.6M; Q4 rev guidance $95M-$105M. Networked charging systems down -29%, subscription rev up +19%.
• $COST November comp sales +3.1%, net sales +5.6% to $21.87B; Q1 sales +7.5% to $60.99B.
• $FIVE Q3 EPS $0.42 vs. $0.17 est., sales +15% to $843.7M; Q4 sales guide $1.35B-$1.38B, comp sales expected to decline.
• $PVH Q3 adj EPS $3.03 vs. $2.59 est., rev $2.26B vs. $2.22B; Q4 rev expected -7% to -6%, EPS $3.05-$3.20.
• $PG now sources Gillette razor steel from India to mitigate potential Trump tariffs.
• $AVAV Q2 rev $188.5M vs. $182.9M est.; adj EBITDA $25.9M vs. $31.7M est.; maintains FY25 EPS $3.18-$3.49, revenue $790M-$820M.
• $APD: Mantle Ridge now nominates only four for the board, down from nine.
• $CULP Q2 adj op income ($2.6M) vs. ($3.589M) est., sales $55.7M vs. $58M est.; expects flat to slightly down Q3 sales, positive EBITDA in 2H, profitable by Q4.
• $GEF Q4 EPS $1.08 vs. $1.10 est.; rev up 8.3% to $1.42B, adj EBITDA down 0.8% to $197.6M; FY25 adj EBITDA expected at $675M low-end.
• $LUV boosts Q4 revenue per seat mile forecast to 5.5%-7% from 3.5%-5.5%, due to pricing and travel demand.
• $FI stock falls as CEO Frank Bisignano is nominated by Trump to lead the SSA.
• $FOUR downgraded to Hold from Buy after CEO Jared Isaacman is chosen by Trump to head NASA.
• $HOOD plans Asia expansion, setting up in Singapore.
NYPD seeks man who killed UnitedHealth $UNH executive Brian Thompson outside a Manhattan hotel, suspect fled into Central Park.
TSM discussing with $NVDA to manufacture AI chips in Arizona.
• $AMAT downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley due to memory market concerns.
• $HPE upgraded to Overweight, target price raised post-Juniper acquisition.
• $NCNO Q3 adj EPS $0.21 vs $0.16 est., Q4 rev guidance below estimates.
• $OOMA Q3 EPS $0.17 vs $0.16 est., raised yearly outlook.
• $S Q3 EPS loss ($0.25) vs $0.01 est., slightly beat on revenue for Q4 and year.
• $SNPS Q4 adj EPS $3.40 vs $3.30 est., Q1 guidance below expectations.
• $VRNT Q3 EPS $0.54 vs $0.43 est., strong SaaS growth, FY25 revenue guidance up.
• $DIS increases dividend to $1.00 per share.
• $SMTC launches $400M stock offering.
#Downgrades - Nov 25, 2024
• $ABX: CIBC Downgrades to Neutral from Outperformer
• $AJG: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $313
• $CYH: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $2.50 (from $5)
• $DESP: TD Cowen Downgrades to Sell from Buy - PT $14 (from $12)
• $EXFY: JMP Securities Downgrades to Market Perform from Market Outperform
• $EXP: Loop Capital Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $315
• $FIVE: Telsey Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $95 (from $102)
• $HCA: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $320 (from $400)
• $HCA: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $320 (from $400)
• $MTB: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $230 (from $220)
• $MYNZ: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $NIO: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $3.90 (from $4.80)
• $NMRK: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $RRR: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $44 (from $57)
• $SDHC: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $36 (from $41)
• $SEM: Benchmark Downgrades to Hold from Buy
• $SQ: BMO Capital Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $100 (from $94)
• $THC: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $150 (from $205)
#Downgrades - Sep 19, 2024
$ATHA: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $0.50 (from $5)
$BX: CFRA Downgrades to Sell from Hold - PT $140 (from $107)
$CASY: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $337 (from $300)
$ELAN: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $15 (from $17)
$FIVE: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $95 (from $89)
$HALO: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $57 (from $52)
$LFT: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform
$MUSA: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $435 (from $415)
$NREF: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Strong Buy
$PGNY: JMP Securities Downgrades to Market Perform from Market Outperform
$VSTO: Roth/MKM Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $42
$WSC: Barclays Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $44 (from $50)
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