Notes

MORNING BID Amazon ( $AMZN): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.86 (Est. $1.49) 🔸 Operating Income: $21.2B (Est. $19.145B) 🔸 Sales: $187.8B (Est. $187.299B) Q1 Guidance: 🔸 Sales $151-155B (Est. $158.45B) 🔸 Operating Income $14-18B (Est. $18.347B) 🔸 AWS Sales: $107.6B Tesla ( $TSLA): 🔸 China EV Sales in Jan: 63,238 units (-11.5% YoY, -32.6% MoM) 🔸 BYD Sales: 296,446 units (+47.5% YoY, -41.8% MoM) Boyd Gaming ( $BYD): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.96 (Est. $1.79) 🔸 Revenue: $1.04B (Est. $1B) 🔸 Strong growth in Online segment Elf Beauty ( $ELF): 🔸 Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76) 🔸 Revenue: $355.3M (Est. $330.39M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: 🔸 EPS $3.27-$3.32 (from $3.47-$3.53) 🔸 Sales $1.3B-$1.31B (from $1.315B-$1.335B) Expedia ( $EXPE): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $2.39 (Est. $2.04) 🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: $643M (Est. $570.9M) 🔸 Revenue: $3.184B (Est. $3.07B) 🔸 Gross Bookings: $24.422B 🔸 Dividend reinstated Mohawk Industries ( $MHK): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.95 (Est. $1.85) 🔸 Revenue: $2.64B (Est. $2.54B) 🔸 Global Ceramic Sales: +1.5% reported, Flooring ROW Sales: -2.1% reported 🔸 Hurricane impact: ~$10M Nikola ( $NKLA): 🔸 Shares decline on reports of potential sale, restructuring, or bankruptcy Skechers ( $SKX): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.65 (Est. $0.75) 🔸 Sales: $2.212B (Est. $2.22B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Sales $2.4-2.43B (Est. $2.486B), EPS $1.10-1.15 (Est. $1.55) Bill Holdings ( $BILL): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.47) 🔸 Revenue: $362.6M (+14% YoY, Est. $359.99M) 🔸 Q3 Guidance: EPS $0.35-$0.38 (Est. $0.34) 🔸 Revenue $352.5M-$357.5M (Est. $360.37M) Cloudflare ( $NET): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.19 (Est. $0.18) 🔸 Revenue: $459.9M (Est. $452.12M) 🔸 Added 55 customers spending >$1M/year in 2024 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Adj EPS $0.79-$0.80 (Est. $0.85), Revenue $2.09B-$2.094B (Est. $2.1B) GoPro ( $GPRO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: -$0.09 (Est. -$0.12) 🔸 Revenue: $200.88M (Est. $196.5M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: EPS loss -$0.13 to -$0.03 (Est. -$0.08) 🔸 Revenue $115M-$135M (Est. $136.25M) 🔸 Gross Margin ~35% Fortinet ( $FTNT): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.61) 🔸 Revenue: $1.66B (Est. $1.6B), Billings: $2B 🔸 Non-GAAP Op Margin: 39% (+720 bps YoY) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: EPS $2.41-$2.47 (Est. $2.42), Revenue $6.65B-$6.85B (Est. $6.63B) Lumentum Holdings ( $LITE): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.42 (Est. $0.36) 🔸 Revenue: $402.2M (Est. $389.76M), Adj Gross Margin: 32.3%, Adj Op Margin: 7.9% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $410M-$425M (Est. $411.84M), Adj EPS $0.47-$0.53 (Est. $0.42) Microchip Technology ( $MCHP): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.28) 🔸 Revenue: $1.026B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $0.05-$0.15 (Est. $0.27), Revenue $920M-$1.0B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 FY25 Capex: ~$135M Monolithic Power Systems ( $MPWR): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $4.09 (Est. $3.98) 🔸 Revenue: $621.67M (Est. $608.09M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $610M-$630M (Est. $584.38M), Gross Margin 55.4%-56% 🔸 Dividend increased Netflix ( $NFLX): 🔸 Considering bid for Formula One’s U.S. TV rights Onto Innovation ( $ONTO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.51 (Est. $1.41) 🔸 Revenue: $263.939M (Est. $260.5M), Gross Margin: 50% 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $260M-$274M (Est. $267.4M), Adj EPS $1.40-$1.54 (Est. $1.49) Pinterest ( $PINS): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.65) 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $470.943M (Est. $444.6M), Revenue: $1.154B (Est. $1.139B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $837M-$852M (Est. $832.78M), Adj EBITDA $155M-$170M (Est. $140.75M) Qualys Inc. ( $QLYS): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.60 (Est. $1.37) 🔸 Revenue: $159.2M (Est. $156.27M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $5.50-$5.90 (Est. $6.09), Revenue $645M-$657M (Est. $651.13M) SS&C Technologies ( $SSNC): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.58 (Est. $1.32) 🔸 Adj Op Income: $581.9M (Est. $569.2M), Adj Revenue: $1.5361B (Est. $1.483B) 🔸 FY Guidance: Adj Revenue $6.085B-$6.245B (Est. $6.159B), Adj EPS $5.64-$5.96 (Est. $5.75) Synaptics ( $SYNA): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.92 (Est. $0.86) 🔸 Revenue: $267.2M (Est. $265.6M), Gross Margin: 53.6% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $250M-$280M (Est. $253.27M), Adj EPS $0.65-$1.05 (Est. $0.72) Take-Two Interactive ( $TTWO): 🔸 Q3 EPS: -$0.71 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $88.8M, Revenue: $1.36B (Est. $1.39B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Revenue $1.52B-$1.62B (Est. $1.538B), Adj EBITDA $223M-$277M (Est. $327.92M) ViaSat ( $VSAT): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.11 (Est. $0.05) 🔸 Revenue: $1.12B (Est. $1.13B) 🔸 On track for FY guidance; FY26 expects YoY revenue and Adj EBITDA growth, Capex ~$1.3B
$AMZN $TSLA
-16.31%
$BYD
-27.44%
$ELF
+1.33%
$EXPE $MHK $NKLA $SKX
+5.59%
$BILL
-18.26%
$NET
-21.88%
$GPRO $FTNT $LITE $MCHP $MPWR $NFLX $ONTO $PINS
+0.61%
$QLYS $SSNC $SYNA $TTWO $VSAT
If you thought last week was a big one for earnings.. hold onto your butts... $AMD $AMGN $AMZN $AFRM $CMG $DIS $FTNT $GOOGL $ICE $LLY $NVO $NXPI $PLTR $PYPL $QCOM $RBLX $SPOT $UBER
$AMD $AMGN $AMZN $AFRM $CMG $DIS $FTNT
STOCKS ON THE MOVE Lamb Weston ( $LW): Shares dropped after naming Michael Smith as CEO on Jan 3, following activist investor Jana Partners' push for board changes or a sale. LW cut FY sales forecast to $6.35B-$6.45B from $6.6B-$6.8B after Q2 sales fell 8% to $1.6B; approved $250M buyback. Lennar Corp. ( $LEN): Q4 revenue down 9.3% to $9.95B, below estimates. New orders dropped 2.7% to 16,895, backlog down 22%. Forecasts Q1 new orders at 17,500-18,000, deliveries at 17,000-17,500. MillerKnoll Inc. ( $MLKN): Q2 EPS $0.55 vs. $0.56 est., sales up 2.2% to $970.4M. Gross margin fell to 38.8%. Guides Q3 sales $903M-$943M, EPS $0.41-$0.47. Steelcase ( $SCS): Q3 EPS $0.30 vs. $0.22 est., sales up 2.2% to $794.9M. Q4 guidance EPS $0.20-$0.24, revenue $770M-$795M. Stanley Black & Decker ( $SWK): Upgraded to Outperform by Mizuho, price target $110, added to top picks. Tri-Pointe Homes ( $TPH): Announced $250M stock buyback program. Swiss Watch Exports: November exports down 3.8% to CHF 2.41B, with U.S. as the only top market increasing by 4.7%. Palantir Technologies ( $PLTR): Extended U.S. Army contract worth up to $618.9M to enhance data operations, continuing data and AI support since 2018. Block ( $SQ): Upgraded to Outperform by Oppenheimer with a $115 target, citing growth in Square's Gross Payment Volume due to product and sales investments. Raymond James ( $RJF): November client assets under administration at $1.60T (+3.6% m/m), financial assets under management at $251.7B (+4.4% m/m). Synchrony ( $SYF): Upgraded to Overweight from Underweight by Morgan Stanley. Mesoblast ( $MESO): Shares up after FDA approval of Ryoncil for treating GVHD in pediatric patients not responding to steroids. Prothena ( $PRTA): Phase IIb PADOVA study by Roche on prasinezumab for early Parkinson's missed its primary endpoint after 18 months. Vertex Pharmaceuticals ( $VRTX): Phase 2 study of suzetrigine in LSR met primary endpoint with significant pain reduction; plans for Phase 3 advancement. Micron Technology ( $MU): Q1 adj EPS $1.79 vs. $1.76 est., revenue up 84% to $8.71B. Shares fell after hours due to Q2 forecast below expectations: revenue $7.7B-$8.1B vs. $8.99B est., gross margin 37.5%-39.5% vs. 41.3% est., EPS $1.33-$1.53 vs. $1.92 est. FY25 capex about $14B. Memory stocks STX, WDC also dropped. Accenture ( $ACN): Q1 EPS $3.59 vs. $3.42 est., revenue up 9% to $17.69B vs. $17.15B est. Operating margin at 16.7%. Lowered FY EPS guidance to $12.43-$12.79 from $12.55-$12.91. Keybanc: Upgraded Okta ( $OKTA) and Fortinet ( $FTNT) to Overweight, downgraded https://t.co/n5rFzz3Pbq (AI) to Underweight. U.S. Commerce Department: Awarded SK Hynix up to $458M for an advanced chip plant and R&D facility in Indiana for AI.
$LW $LEN
+7.2%
$MLKN $SCS $SWK
+7.79%
$TPH $PLTR $SQ $RJF $SYF $MESO $PRTA $VRTX
-68.05%
$MU $ACN $OKTA $FTNT
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