Notes
MOVING UP
$GAP surged 5% after an upgrade to Overweight from Neutral by JP Morgan, with a new price target of $30. They revised their FY25 EPS to $2.30 and FY26 EPS to $2.53, expecting revenue growth and margin expansion.
$INTC rose 2% on CEO Pat Gelsinger's retirement announcement. David Zinsner and Michelle Johnston Holthaus are appointed interim Co-CEOs, with Frank Yeary as Interim Executive Chair while a permanent successor is sought.
$NBIS soared 16% after securing $700M through a private placement involving NVDA, planning to issue 33.33M Class A shares at $21/share.
$NVCR jumped 30% following successful trial results where its cancer therapy, combined with chemotherapy, extended pancreatic cancer patient survival from 14.16 to 16.20 months on average.
$PTCT climbed 14% after licensing its experimental Huntington's Disease drug, PTC518, to a Novartis unit for up to $2.9B, with $1B upfront.
$SMCI increased 14% after confirming no need to restate financials, with no evidence of shipping incomplete products to boost quarterly revenue.
$TNDM went up 6% after an upgrade to Overweight from Equal Weight by Morgan Stanley, with a $45 price target, citing undervalued stock and potential in type-2 diabetes market expansion.
$TSLA gained 2% with Stifel maintaining its Buy rating, raising the target to $411, praising Tesla's broader market vision beyond just being an automaker. Additionally, Roth MKM upgraded TSLA to Buy, setting a $380 target, highlighting potential catalysts for value increase.
MOVING DOWN
$CORZ drops 5% on news of a $500M convertible senior notes offer for 2031.
$NU falls 5%, hit by Citigroup's downgrade to Sell, citing profit-taking despite strong growth in Brazil.
$PCG slides 5% after announcing $2.4B in stock offerings.
$STLA tumbles 8% following CEO Carlos Tavares' sudden resignation after nearly four years.
$UPST plunges 11%, downgraded to Underweight at JP Morgan, with caution advised on fintech at current valuations.
DAILY RECAP
**BYD Co. ( $BYDDF)** reported a 67.8% y/y increase in November vehicle sales, reaching 506,804 units compared to 301,903 last year. Year-to-date sales hit 3.76M units, up from 2.68M last year.
**Gap ( $GAP)** received an upgrade to overweight from neutral by JPMorgan after a CEO and CFO meeting.
**Li Auto Inc. ( $LI)** delivered 48,740 vehicles in November 2024, a y/y increase of 18.8%, with a 2024 total of 441,995 and cumulative deliveries at 1,075,359.
**NIO Inc. ( $NIO)** saw a 28.9% y/y rise in November deliveries to 20,575 vehicles, split between its NIO and ONVO brands.
**Stellantis ( $STLA)** announced CEO Carlos Tavares' resignation, effective immediately, with a new CEO search set to conclude in 2025's first half.
**XPeng Inc. ( $XPEV)** delivered 30,895 Smart EVs in November, up 54% y/y and 29% m/m, with strong sales of the MONA M03 and P7+.
**Core Scientific Inc. ( $CORZ)** plans to issue $500M in convertible senior notes maturing in 2031.
**IREN Limited ( $IREN)** boosted its self-mining capacity by 33% to 28 EH/s with new substation energization.
**LendingClub ( $LC)** was downgraded to neutral by JPMorgan due to fintech sector concerns.
**Mara Holdings ( $MARA)** is set to offer $700M in zero-coupon convertible senior notes privately.
**Toast ( $TOST)** received a downgrade to Neutral from Goldman Sachs, citing high valuation and visibility issues.
**Upstart Holdings ( $UPST)** was downgraded to underweight by JP Morgan.
**Bausch + Lomb ( $BLCO)** was downgraded to Equal Weight by Morgan Stanley.
**Nevro ( $NVRO)** saw a downgrade to Underweight by Morgan Stanley.
**Tandem Diabetes ( $TNDM)** got an upgrade to Overweight from Morgan Stanley.
**Cloudflare ( $NET)** was upgraded to overweight by Morgan Stanley, optimistic about future growth.
**SentinelOne ( $S)** was downgraded to equal weight by Morgan Stanley, due to cybersecurity sector concerns.
**U.S. to implement new export restrictions on Monday targeting China's semiconductor sector**, affecting companies like Naura Technology Group, potentially impacting shares of $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC.
DAILY RECAP
• Copart Inc. ( $CPRT): Q1 EPS $0.37 met estimates, revenue $1.15B vs $1.1B expected.
• Gap Inc. ( $GAP): Q3 EPS $0.72 beat est. $0.58, sales $3.8B as expected, comps +1%, gross margin 42.7%. FY sales growth forecast +1.5-2.0%, gross margin up +220bps, op expenses $5.1B.
• Natural Grocers ( $NGVC): Q4 EPS $0.39, sales $322.7M; FY25 expects same-store sales growth +4-6%, EPS $1.52-1.60, dividend increase to 12c/share.
• Ross Stores ( $ROST): Q3 EPS $1.48 vs $1.40, sales $5.071B vs $5.146B, comps +1%. Q4 expects EPS $1.57-1.64, FY EPS $6.10-6.17, Q3 operating margin 11.9%.
• Mueller Industries ( $MLI) moves to S&P MidCap 400, replacing Texas Pacific Land (TPL).
• Atlas Energy Solutions ( $AESI) joins S&P SmallCap 600, replacing Mueller Industries.
• Texas Pacific Land ( $TPL) advances to S&P 500, replacing Marathon Oil (MRO).
• BGC Group ( $BGC): Howard Lutnick to divest and resign from roles upon Senate confirmation; corporate structure unchanged.
• CBRE Group ( $CBRE): Announces a $5B stock repurchase program.
• Intuit ( $INTU): Q1 EPS $2.50 vs $2.35 est., revenue $3.283B vs $3.139B est.; Q2 guidance below consensus, FY guidance unchanged.
• Reddit ( $RDDT): Shares drop due to Advance Magazine Publishers offering shares at $145.38-$148.54 each, valuing offering at up to $1.2B.
• SL Green Realty Corp ( $SLG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
• Replimune ( $REPL) submitted a BLA to the FDA for RP1 combined with nivolumab to treat adults with advanced melanoma post-anti-PD1 therapy.
• Elastic ( $ESTC): Q2 EPS $0.59 vs $0.38 est., revenue $365M vs $356.52M est.; Q3 revenue guide $367-369M, EPS $0.46-0.48; FY revenue $1.451-1.457B, EPS $1.68-1.72.
• NetApp ( $NTAP): Q2 EPS $1.87 vs $1.78 est., revenue $1.66B vs $1.64B est.; Q3 EPS guidance $1.85-1.95, revenue $1.61B-$1.76B; FY25 EPS raised to $7.20-$7.40, revenue to $6.54B-$6.74B, operating margin to 28-28.5%.
• Apple ( $AAPL): EU closes investigation into Apple's App Store audiobook practices after complainant withdrew.
• Warner Music Group ( $WMG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
Earnings Week Ahead
Tuesday 19th, 2024
• Ticker: $XPENG
• Company: XPeng Inc
• Market Cap: 12.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.24 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.77 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 5.66 billion USD
• Ticker: $LOW
• Company: Lowe's Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 153.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.82 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 19.94 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 11.82 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 82.99 billion USD
• Ticker: $J
• Company: Jacobs Engineering Group Inc
• Market Cap: 17.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:40 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.54 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.98 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 8.24 billion USD
• Ticker: $MDT
• Company: Medtronic PLC
• Market Cap: 110.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:45 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.25 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 8.27 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 5.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 33.62 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMT
• Company: Walmart Inc
• Market Cap: 679 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.53 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 167.72 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 678.25 billion USD
• Ticker: $KEYS
• Company: Keysight Technologies Inc
• Market Cap: 26.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.57 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.20 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.18 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.95 billion USD
Wednesday 20th, 2024
• Ticker: $NIO
• Company: Nio Inc
• Market Cap: 9.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.69 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -1.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 10.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $TGT
• Company: Target Corp
• Market Cap: 70.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 25.9 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 9.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 106.71 billion USD
• Ticker: $TJX
• Company: TJX Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 135.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.09 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 13.95 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 4.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 56.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $PANW
• Company: Palo Alto Networks Inc
• Market Cap: 129.1 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.48 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.27 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 9.13 billion USD
• Ticker: $NVDA
• Company: NVIDIA Corp
• Market Cap: 360.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:20 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.75 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 33.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.86 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 126.9 billion USD
• Ticker: $SQM
• Company: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
• Market Cap: 10.6 billion USD
• EST Time: 20:15 EST (previous day)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.66 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.56 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.69 billion USD
Wednesday 21th, 2024
• Ticker: $BIDU
• Company: Baidu Inc
• Market Cap: 29.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.43 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 4.6 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 10.94 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $DE
• Company: Deere & Co
• Market Cap: 108 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 3.89 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 9.3 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 24.89 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 45.3 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMG
• Company: Warner Music Group Corp
• Market Cap: 17.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.28 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.59 billion USD
• Ticker: $GAP
• Company: Gap Inc
• Market Cap: 8.3 billion USD
• Reporting Time: After Market Close (AMC)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.58 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.81 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.87 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 14.96 billion USD
• Ticker: $ROST
• Company: Ross Stores Inc
• Market Cap: 47.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.40 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 5.17 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.13 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 21.36 billion USD
• Ticker: $NTAP
• Company: NetApp Inc
• Market Cap: 24.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.78 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.64 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 7.10 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $INTU
• Company: Intuit Inc
• Market Cap: 196.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.35 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.14 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 19.34 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.27 billion USD
• Ticker: $CPRT
• Company: Copart Inc
• Market Cap: 55.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.37 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.56 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.08 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.4 billion USD
