Notes
美股盘后谷歌亮点还是很多的：1、营收同比12%的增长，但是利润和每股收益同比46%的增长，自由现金流的增长增速也能跟得上利润增速。降本增效的效果还是很明显，也可以认为AI在里面起到了相当大的作用。
2、公布了700亿美金的股票回购计划，延续了过往的回购力度，进一步提振市场信心。
3、资本支出持续扩大，谷歌在数据中心、芯片和其他AI基础设施上的投入持续扩大。第一季度资本支出飙升至172亿美元，高于去年同期的120亿美元，也略高于市场预估的171亿美元。公司预计2025年全年资本支出将达到750亿美元，用于建设数据中心等项目，较2024年的530亿美元显著增加。
在当下的市场环境下、谷歌超预期的财报还是能提振市场情绪的，特别是25年资本开支的增速并未放缓，在当下政策不确定性企业自然收缩开支的大背景下，继续扩大支出也是有助于情绪修复。当然一季度只是预期和情绪影响市场、并未实质性体现关税落地后的真正影响如何。
$GOOGL $NVDA - ALPHABET, NVIDIA INVEST IN OPENAI CO-FOUNDER SUTSKEVER'S SSI, SOURCE SAYS
Alphabet and Nvidia have joined prominent venture capital investors to backSafe Superintelligence (SSI), a startup co-founded by OpenAI's former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever that has quickly risen to become one of the most valuable artificial intelligence startups months after its launch, a source familiar with the matter said.
PREMKT
🔸 $AAPL | +4.97%
🔸 $PTON | +4.12%
🔸 $INTC | +3.19%
🔸 $BABA | +2.53%
🔸 $AMD | +2.29%
🔸 $NVDA | +1.70%
🔸 $NFLX | +1.58%
🔸 $MSFT | +1.55%
🔸 $SNAP | +1.51%
🔸 $META | +1.50%
🔸 $AMZN | +1.15%
🔸 $TSLA | +0.99%
🔸 $DIS | +0.90%
🔸 $GOOGL | +0.90%
PREMKT
🔸 $XPEV: -11.68%
🔸 $MSTR: -9.99%
🔸 $BABA: -7.52%
🔸 $TSLA: -7.15%
🔸 $NIO: -6.79%
🔸 $NVDA: -6.35%
🔸 $AMD: -4.40%
🔸 $APPL: -4.23%
🔸 $INTC: -3.88%
🔸 $META: -3.71%
🔸 $AMZN: -3.12%
🔸 $GOOGL: -2.69%
🔸 $BA: -2.42%
🔸 $NFLX: -2.36%
🔸 $MSFT: -2.07%
PREMKT
🔸 $XPEV: -14.20%
🔸 $BABA: -11.45%
🔸 $MSTR: -10.73%
🔸 $NIO: -9.25%
🔸 $TSLA: -8.59%
🔸 $NVDA: -7.05%
🔸 $AMD: -6.02%
🔸 $META: -5.19%
🔸 $INTC: -4.33%
🔸 $AMZN: -4.27%
🔸 $BA: -4.20%
🔸 $NFLX: -3.89%
🔸 $APPL: -3.80%
🔸 $GOOGL: -3.70%
🔸 $MSFT: -3.62%
“自 2 月 19 日以来，美国股市的市值已蒸发超过 13 万亿美元。” 多于1/3 的美国36万亿国债！
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 Big Tech ( $AAPL, $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA): Lower as China imposes 34% tariffs on U.S. goods in response to U.S. tariffs.
🔸 China stocks ( $BABA, $BIDU, $PDD, $JD, $SINA, $NTES): Trading sharply lower.
🔸 EU vs. "X": Possible $1B fine for disinformation law violations.
🔸 Five9 ( $FIVN): Q1 EPS, revenue in line or better than guidance; 4% workforce reduction.
CONSUMER
🔸 Booking Holdings ( $BKNG): Upgraded to Buy (BTIG), target $5,500.
🔸 Guess ( $GES): Q4 adj. EPS $1.48 (est. $1.40), revenue $932.3M (+4.6% y/y, est. $912.3M). Gross margin 44.1% (vs. 45.4%). 2026 revenue forecast +3.9%-6.2%, EPS $1.32-$1.76 (est. $2.07). Alberto Toni named CFO. Plans to close unprofitable stores.
🔸 Kraft Heinz ( $KHC): Downgraded to Sell (Citigroup), target cut to $27 due to sales growth concerns.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 ExxonMobil ( $XOM): Q1 earnings impact: Energy products (-$0.3B to -$0.7B), upstream (liquids/gas: $0.0B to -$0.4B), chemicals (-$0.1B to $0.1B), specialty (-$0.3B to -$0.1B).
🔸 Matador Resources ( $MTDR): Selling Eagle Ford assets, board reviewing stock repurchase.
🔸 Shell ( $SHEL): Selling 16.125% Colonial Enterprises stake to Brookfield (BIP) for $1.45B.
FINANCIALS
🔸 Cboe ( $CBOE): Q1 options volume 1.1B contracts, March ADV 18.8M (record).
🔸 Franklin Resources (BEN): March AUM $1.53T (Feb: $1.57T), $4B net outflows.
🔸 Progressive ( $PGR): Downgraded to Neutral (Bank of America), target cut to $287 from $300.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 LifeCore ( $LFCR): Q3 EPS -$0.47 (est. -$0.15), revs $35.2M (est. $33.23M). FY guidance: revs $126.5M-$130M, adj. EBITDA $19M-$21M.
🔸 Simulations Plus ( $SLP): Q2 adj. EPS $0.31 (est. $0.12), revs $22.4M (est. $21.9M). FY guidance: revs $90M-$93M, adj. EPS $1.07-$1.20 (est. $0.47).
Premkt
$VIX: 38
$BABA: -8.29%
$JD: -7.77%
$XPEV: -7.49%
$AMZN: -5.40%
$AMD: -5.29%
$INTC: -5.22%
$TSLA: -5.13%
$AAPL: -4.73%
$NIO: -4.55%
$NKE: -4.41%
$MSFT: -4.38%
$META: -4.25%
$RIVN: -3.82%
$NVDA: -3.80%
$GOOGL: -3.07%
$AMC: -2.27%
MORNING BID
🔸 Apple ( $AAPL) lost an appeal in Germany, facing tighter regulations after a long market debate.
🔸 Baidu ( $BIDU) rises on reports Tesla (TSLA) will launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China this year, partnering with Baidu. Free FSD trials run March 17–April 16.
🔸 Getty Images ( $GETY) Q4 EPS: $0.06 (est. $0.04); adj. EBITDA: $80.6M (est. $74M); FY25 revenue guidance: $918–955M (est. $955M).
🔸 Alphabet ( $GOOGL) is in advanced talks to buy cybersecurity firm Wiz for ~$30B, per WSJ; a deal could finalize soon.
🔸 Lucid ( $LCID) upgraded to equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
🔸 Masterbrand ( $MBC) adds $50M share buyback.
🔸 Nio ( $NIO) partners with CATL for battery swap network, using CATL’s Choco-Swap tech in Firefly models.
🔸 Toronto ends Tesla ( $TSLA) taxi/ride-share incentives over U.S. trade tensions.
🔸 Audi ( $VWAGY) may raise prices to offset U.S. tariffs.
🔸 Xiaomi ( $XIACY) raises 2025 EV target to 350,000 units; Q4 revenue up 48% to 109B yuan, beating estimates.
自由落体了，3.11黑色星期二载入史册
自由落体了，BTC已经跌破77000，ETH马上要跌破1800，SOL要破110了，前阵子红火一下的LTC快跌破80了，熊市就这么迅雷不及掩耳地来了！我昨天说气氛是，反弹快跑，看来没错，每一次反弹都是逃生止损的机会，不信邪，就要死。过去1小时ETH爆仓5697万美元，超过BTC爆仓金额。Coinglass 数据显示，过去 1 小时全网爆仓 1.64 亿美元，其中 ETH 爆仓金额 5687 万美元，BTC 爆仓金额为 4612 万美元。
小韭菜被爆了，某巨鲸也不好受，5小时前一位巨鲸因仓位濒临清算卖出2.58万枚 ETH，亏损达3,175万美元！但是现在看，他5小时前的果断行为还是对的。
这位巨鲸因避免仓位清算而在 5 小时前以 1,853 的价格卖出 2.58 万枚 ETH，换得 4781 万 USDT 用于偿还杠杆借款。该巨鲸此前通过循环贷杠杆做多 ETH，于 2024 年 7 月以 3,084 的均价买入这些 ETH。这笔交易导致他仅在杠杆购买的 ETH 上亏损高达 3,175 万。
ETH 价格的下跌促使一些杠杆做多 ETH 的巨鲸仓位濒临清算，不得不卖出 ETH 来降低仓位清算线，而这些卖出行为进一步加剧了 ETH 的下跌。
DeFi TVL已回吐特朗普当选美国总统以来所有涨幅
自 2024 年 11 月特朗普当选美国总统以来，DeFi 协议中锁定的加密货币总价值（TVL）已完全回吐了此前的涨幅。分析师 Miles Deutscher 指出，自美国大选以来，DeFi TVL 在 12 月 17 日一度飙升至 1380 亿美元，但到 3 月 10 日已回落至 926 亿美元。DefiLlama 数据显示，以太坊的 TVL 已从周期高点下跌了 450 亿美元。尽管行业出现了积极的发展，例如美国推出现货 ETF 以及特朗普签署建立战略比特币储备的行政命令，但以太坊在 2021 年 11 月创下的 4787 美元历史高点至今未被突破。
分析师：比特币当前盘整期可能会演变为中期熊市
3 月 11 日，YouHodler 市场主管 Ruslan Lienkha 指出，去年比特币的盘整阶段曾持续数月（甚至长达半年），然后才迎来下一波上涨。不过，他认为当前的市场环境更为复杂。
「美国股市的悲观情绪占据上风，对美国可能出现经济衰退的担忧也在加剧。」Lienkha 表示，「鉴于这些因素，当前的盘整期可能会演变为中期熊市。」
但 Lienkha 指出：「尽管比特币未来有可能演变为避险资产，但目前投资者仍将其视为高风险资产，往往比传统金融市场对市场情绪变化反应更为剧烈。」
雪上加霜，开曼群岛新法规拟4月1日生效，将要求加密托管和交易公司获得许可，这对加密世界来讲，避风港又少了一处。
根据 2025 年 4 月 1 日生效的更新法规《虚拟资产服务提供商（修正案）条例》，开曼群岛将要求加密货币托管和交易公司获得许可才能运营，已经在该国运营的公司必须在 2025 年 6 月 29 日之前提交申请，详细说明资产安全措施和运营细节，据悉 Coinbase、Binance 和 Bitwise 等主要加密货币公司已经在开曼群岛获得许可，而 Sui Foundation 等一些公司已在那里设立总部。
昨晚，美股科技板块全面下跌，“7巨头”市值较近期高点缩水逾3万亿美元
据 solidintel 监测，美股科技板块全面下跌，“7 巨头”市值较近期高点缩水逾 3 万亿美元：
Strategy $MSTR ：-14％；
特斯拉 $TSLA ：-8％；
Palantir $PLTR ：-7％；
Alphabet $GOOGL ：-5％；
Broadcom $AVGO ：下跌 5%；
Meta $META ：-4％；
英伟达 $NVDA ：-4%；
亚马逊 $AMZN ：-3%；
Netflix $NFLX: -3 %；
微软 $MSFT ：-2％
一时间真是四面楚歌，伏尸百万，流血千里，哀鸿遍野！3.11，有一个黑暗的日子载入币圈史册。
当初在10万以上时，那么多人拍大腿没有买7万的比特币，现在可以买了，大家还买吗？要不要做空？谁来给一个答案？
$BTC #BTC #ETH
本文首发币安广场： https://t.co/ljyelCHPpi
Free fall, 3.11 Black Tuesday goes down in history
Free fall, BTC has fallen below 77,000, ETH is about to fall below 1,800, SOL is about to break 110, LTC, which was popular a while ago, is about to fall below 80, and the bear market has come so fast! I said yesterday that the atmosphere is to rebound and run, and it seems to be right. Every rebound is an opportunity to escape and stop loss. If you don't believe in it, you will die. In the past hour, ETH liquidated 56.97 million US dollars, exceeding the amount of BTC liquidation. Coinglass data shows that in the past hour, the entire network liquidated 164 million US dollars, of which ETH liquidated 56.87 million US dollars and BTC liquidated 46.12 million US dollars.
The small leeks were liquidated, and a giant whale was not feeling well. 5 hours ago, a giant whale sold 25,800 ETH because his position was on the verge of liquidation, with a loss of 31.75 million US dollars! But now it seems that his decisive behavior 5 hours ago was still right.
This whale sold 25,800 ETH at 1,853 5 hours ago to avoid position liquidation, in exchange for 47.81 million USDT to repay leveraged loans. The whale had previously leveraged long ETH through revolving loans and bought these ETH at an average price of 3,084 in July 2024. This transaction caused him to lose up to 31.75 million on leveraged ETH alone.
The decline in ETH prices has prompted some whales who are leveraged long ETH to be on the verge of liquidation, and they have to sell ETH to lower the position liquidation line, and these selling behaviors have further exacerbated the decline of ETH.
DeFi TVL has given up all gains since Trump was elected as the US President
Since Trump was elected as the US President in November 2024, the total value of cryptocurrencies locked in DeFi protocols (TVL) has completely given up its previous gains. Analyst Miles Deutscher noted that since the US election, DeFi TVL surged to $138 billion on December 17, but fell back to $92.6 billion by March 10. DefiLlama data shows that Ethereum's TVL has fallen by $45 billion from its cyclical high. Despite positive developments in the industry, such as the launch of spot ETFs in the United States and Trump's executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, Ethereum's all-time high of $4,787 in November 2021 has not been broken so far.
Analyst: Bitcoin's current consolidation period may evolve into a medium-term bear market
On March 11, YouHodler Market Director Ruslan Lienkha pointed out that Bitcoin's consolidation phase lasted for several months (even up to half a year) before the next wave of increases. However, he believes that the current market environment is more complicated.
"Pessimism in the U.S. stock market is prevailing, and concerns about a possible U.S. recession are also growing," Lienkha said. "Given these factors, the current consolidation period could evolve into a medium-term bear market."
But Lienkha pointed out: "Although Bitcoin has the potential to evolve into a safe-haven asset in the future, investors currently still view it as a high-risk asset, which tends to react more violently to changes in market sentiment than traditional financial markets."
To make matters worse, new regulations in the Cayman Islands are scheduled to take effect on April 1, which will require crypto custody and trading companies to obtain licenses, which is one less safe haven for the crypto world.
According to the updated regulations, the Virtual Asset Service Providers (Amendment) Regulations, which will take effect on April 1, 2025, the Cayman Islands will require cryptocurrency custody and trading companies to obtain licenses before they can operate. Companies already operating in the country must submit applications by June 29, 2025, detailing asset security measures and operational details. It is reported that major cryptocurrency companies such as Coinbase, Binance and Bitwise have already obtained licenses in the Cayman Islands, and some companies such as Sui Foundation have established headquarters there.
Last night, the U.S. tech sector fell across the board, and the market value of the "Big 7" shrunk by more than $3 trillion from its recent highs
According to solidintel monitoring, the U.S. tech sector fell across the board, and the market value of the "Big 7" shrunk by more than $3 trillion from its recent highs:
Strategy $MSTR: -14%;
Tesla $TSLA: -8%;
Palantir $PLTR: -7%;
Alphabet $GOOGL: -5%;
Broadcom $AVGO: down 5%;
Meta $META: -4%;
Nvidia $NVDA: -4%;
Amazon $AMZN: -3%;
Netflix $NFLX: -3%;
Microsoft $MSFT: -2%
For a while, it was really surrounded by enemies, with millions of corpses, thousands of miles of blood, and wailing everywhere! 3.11, there was a dark day recorded in the history of the currency circle
When the price was over 100,000, many people didn't buy 70,000 Bitcoin. Now you can buy it, will you still buy it? Do you want to short it? Who can give an answer? @Agent_SunLumi
This article was first published on Binance Square: https://t.co/ljyelCHPpi
