Notes
MORNING RECAP
❖ Alaska Airlines ( $ALK) to launch direct flights to Tokyo and Seoul from Seattle in 2025 post-Hawaiian acquisition.
❖ Casey’s General Store ( $CASY) Q2: EPS $4.85, revs down 2.9% to $3.95B. Grocery up 8.8%, Fuel down 8.8%.
❖ eBay ( $EBAY) downgraded to Underperform by Jefferies, target cut to $52 from $60.
❖ Stellantis ( $STLA) and CATL to invest €4.1B for a low-cost EV battery plant in Spain.
❖ Toll Brothers ( $TOL) Q4: EPS $4.63, revs up 10% to $3.33B. Backlog down 6.9%, contracts up 30%.
❖ Vail Resorts ( $MTN) Q1: EPS ($4.61), revs $260.28M. Guides net income to $240M-$316M.
❖ Anglo American ( $NGLOY) faces charges in Chile over El Soldado copper mine issues.
❖ Celanese Corp. ( $CE) appoints Scott Richardson as CEO effective Jan 1, 2025.
❖ Fluence Energy ( $FLNC) offers $300M in convertible bonds due 2030.
❖ Planet Labs ( $PL) Q3: EPS loss (-$0.02), revs $61.3M. Q4 revenue expected at $61M-$63M.
❖ Amazon ( $AMZN) and Intuit ( $INTU) expand partnership, leveraging AWS since 2013 for enhanced customer experiences.
❖ Arthur J. Gallagher ( $AJG) offers $8.5B in common stock at $280/share.
❖ Cohen & Steers ( $CNS) AUM up to $91.4B from $89.7B, driven by $1.9B market appreciation, offset by net outflows.
❖ Lazard ( $LAZ) AUM at $234.4B, with $3B market appreciation, $2.3B net outflows, and $2.2B forex depreciation.
❖ Eli Lilly ( $LLY) launches $15B share buyback, increases dividend by 15% to $1.50/share.
❖ Fate Therapeutics ( $FATE) shares positive Phase 1 data for FT819 in treating lupus, showing sustained B-cell depletion and remission in first patient.
❖ HealthEquity ( $HQY) Q3: EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.72; revs $300.4M vs. est. $290M; adjusted EBITDA up 24% to $118.2M. Forecasts FY24 EPS $3.08-$3.16, revs $1.185B-$1.195B.
❖ Oracle ( $ORCL) Q2: adj EPS $1.47 vs. $1.48 est., revs $14.06B vs. $14.12B est. AI demand boosts Oracle Cloud Infrastructure by 52%; Total Remaining Performance Obligations up 49% to $97B; Cloud Revenue up 24% to $5.9B.
❖ Braze ( $BRZE) Q3: adj EPS $0.02 vs. loss (-$0.01) est., revs $152.1M vs. $148.19M est. Q4 guidance and FY25 revenue outlook raised to $588M-$589M.
❖ https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI) Q2: revs up 29% to $94.3M, adj EPS loss (-$0.06) vs. (-$0.16) est. Q3 revs forecast at $95.5M-$100.5M; FY25 revenue expected at $378M-$398M.
❖ Micron Technology ( $MU) receives $6.1B subsidy for U.S. semiconductor facilities.
❖ MongoDB ( $MDB) Q3: adj EPS $1.16 vs. $0.69 est., revs up 22% to $529.4M. Atlas revenue up 26%, customer base at 52,600. Raises FY25 EPS and revenue forecasts; CFO resigns.
❖ Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) November sales up 34% y/y to NT$276.06B, down 12.2% m/m.
DAILY RECAP
• Copart Inc. ( $CPRT): Q1 EPS $0.37 met estimates, revenue $1.15B vs $1.1B expected.
• Gap Inc. ( $GAP): Q3 EPS $0.72 beat est. $0.58, sales $3.8B as expected, comps +1%, gross margin 42.7%. FY sales growth forecast +1.5-2.0%, gross margin up +220bps, op expenses $5.1B.
• Natural Grocers ( $NGVC): Q4 EPS $0.39, sales $322.7M; FY25 expects same-store sales growth +4-6%, EPS $1.52-1.60, dividend increase to 12c/share.
• Ross Stores ( $ROST): Q3 EPS $1.48 vs $1.40, sales $5.071B vs $5.146B, comps +1%. Q4 expects EPS $1.57-1.64, FY EPS $6.10-6.17, Q3 operating margin 11.9%.
• Mueller Industries ( $MLI) moves to S&P MidCap 400, replacing Texas Pacific Land (TPL).
• Atlas Energy Solutions ( $AESI) joins S&P SmallCap 600, replacing Mueller Industries.
• Texas Pacific Land ( $TPL) advances to S&P 500, replacing Marathon Oil (MRO).
• BGC Group ( $BGC): Howard Lutnick to divest and resign from roles upon Senate confirmation; corporate structure unchanged.
• CBRE Group ( $CBRE): Announces a $5B stock repurchase program.
• Intuit ( $INTU): Q1 EPS $2.50 vs $2.35 est., revenue $3.283B vs $3.139B est.; Q2 guidance below consensus, FY guidance unchanged.
• Reddit ( $RDDT): Shares drop due to Advance Magazine Publishers offering shares at $145.38-$148.54 each, valuing offering at up to $1.2B.
• SL Green Realty Corp ( $SLG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
• Replimune ( $REPL) submitted a BLA to the FDA for RP1 combined with nivolumab to treat adults with advanced melanoma post-anti-PD1 therapy.
• Elastic ( $ESTC): Q2 EPS $0.59 vs $0.38 est., revenue $365M vs $356.52M est.; Q3 revenue guide $367-369M, EPS $0.46-0.48; FY revenue $1.451-1.457B, EPS $1.68-1.72.
• NetApp ( $NTAP): Q2 EPS $1.87 vs $1.78 est., revenue $1.66B vs $1.64B est.; Q3 EPS guidance $1.85-1.95, revenue $1.61B-$1.76B; FY25 EPS raised to $7.20-$7.40, revenue to $6.54B-$6.74B, operating margin to 28-28.5%.
• Apple ( $AAPL): EU closes investigation into Apple's App Store audiobook practices after complainant withdrew.
• Warner Music Group ( $WMG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
Earnings Week Ahead
Tuesday 19th, 2024
• Ticker: $XPENG
• Company: XPeng Inc
• Market Cap: 12.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.24 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.77 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 5.66 billion USD
• Ticker: $LOW
• Company: Lowe's Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 153.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.82 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 19.94 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 11.82 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 82.99 billion USD
• Ticker: $J
• Company: Jacobs Engineering Group Inc
• Market Cap: 17.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:40 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.54 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.98 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 8.24 billion USD
• Ticker: $MDT
• Company: Medtronic PLC
• Market Cap: 110.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:45 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.25 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 8.27 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 5.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 33.62 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMT
• Company: Walmart Inc
• Market Cap: 679 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.53 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 167.72 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 678.25 billion USD
• Ticker: $KEYS
• Company: Keysight Technologies Inc
• Market Cap: 26.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.57 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.20 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.18 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.95 billion USD
Wednesday 20th, 2024
• Ticker: $NIO
• Company: Nio Inc
• Market Cap: 9.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.69 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -1.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 10.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $TGT
• Company: Target Corp
• Market Cap: 70.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 25.9 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 9.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 106.71 billion USD
• Ticker: $TJX
• Company: TJX Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 135.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.09 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 13.95 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 4.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 56.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $PANW
• Company: Palo Alto Networks Inc
• Market Cap: 129.1 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.48 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.27 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 9.13 billion USD
• Ticker: $NVDA
• Company: NVIDIA Corp
• Market Cap: 360.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:20 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.75 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 33.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.86 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 126.9 billion USD
• Ticker: $SQM
• Company: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
• Market Cap: 10.6 billion USD
• EST Time: 20:15 EST (previous day)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.66 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.56 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.69 billion USD
Wednesday 21th, 2024
• Ticker: $BIDU
• Company: Baidu Inc
• Market Cap: 29.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.43 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 4.6 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 10.94 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $DE
• Company: Deere & Co
• Market Cap: 108 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 3.89 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 9.3 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 24.89 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 45.3 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMG
• Company: Warner Music Group Corp
• Market Cap: 17.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.28 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.59 billion USD
• Ticker: $GAP
• Company: Gap Inc
• Market Cap: 8.3 billion USD
• Reporting Time: After Market Close (AMC)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.58 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.81 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.87 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 14.96 billion USD
• Ticker: $ROST
• Company: Ross Stores Inc
• Market Cap: 47.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.40 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 5.17 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.13 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 21.36 billion USD
• Ticker: $NTAP
• Company: NetApp Inc
• Market Cap: 24.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.78 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.64 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 7.10 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $INTU
• Company: Intuit Inc
• Market Cap: 196.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.35 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.14 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 19.34 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.27 billion USD
• Ticker: $CPRT
• Company: Copart Inc
• Market Cap: 55.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.37 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.56 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.08 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.4 billion USD
