Notes
MORNING BID
🔸 $ACMR: Raises 2024 revenue forecast to $755M-$770M from $725M-$745M; sees 2025 at $850M-$950M vs. consensus $902.95M.
🔸 $APLD: Shares up 30% after Macquarie's $5B investment for 15% stake in AI data centers.
🔸 $AVGO: Secures $7.5B five-year credit facility.
🔸 $IAC: To spin off $ANGI stake to shareholders; Joey Levin steps down as CEO.
🔸 $TTAN: Q3 revenue $199.3M; Q4 expected at $199M-$201M vs. consensus $193.58M; FY25 revenue projected at $761.6M-$763.6M vs. consensus $755.37M.
🔸 $DHR: Q4 revenue expected to rise by low single digits year-over-year.
🔸 $INGN: Q4 revenue forecast at $79.0M-$80.0M, above $73.9M estimate; FY24 revenue guidance raised to $334.5M-$335.5M from $329M-$331M, vs. $329.62M consensus.
🔸 $KIDS: Q4 revenue at $52.7M vs. $50.73M estimate; FY25 revenue guidance $235-242M vs. $239.95M estimate, adjusted EBITDA $15-17M vs. $20.14M forecast.
🔸 $RGNX: Stock up after deal with Nippon Shinyaku for gene therapies; $110M upfront and potential $700M in milestones.
🔸 $TDOC: New partnership with $AMZN to broaden access to chronic care programs.
🔸 $RILY: Shares rise after Q2 2024 report showing a $14.35 per share net loss, delayed due to Franchise Group issues; expects normal filing schedule in 2025.
🔸 $AB: AUM fell to $792B in December 2024 from $813B, a 2.6% drop due to market and outflow issues.
🔸 $IVZ: AUM dropped to $1,846B, down 0.6% with $12.6B in net long-term inflows but $42B reduction from market returns.
🔸 $VRTS: Total client assets at $177.3B in December 2024, down due to outflows and market performance.
🔸 $URI: Acquiring $HEES for $92/share, valuing the deal at $4.8B including debt.
Insurance Industry: LA wildfires might cost insurers over $30B, with significant damage from Palisades and Eaton fires.
🔸 $AVAV: Secures $55.3M order for Switchblade Systems under U.S. Army's LUS program.
🔸 $CE: Upgraded to Buy from Underperform by Bank of America on valuation.
🔸 $FANG: Q4 unhedged prices at $69.48/bbl oil, $0.48/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs; hedged prices at $68.72/bbl oil, $0.82/mcf gas, $19.27/bbl NGLs.
🔸 $WAB: Agrees to purchase Evident's inspection tech division for $1.78B.
🔸 $KBH: Q4 EPS $2.52 vs. $2.45 est., revenue $1.999B vs. $2.008B est.; FY25 housing revenue guidance $7.00-7.50B, avg selling price $488-498K.
🔸 $NOMD: 2025 organic revenue growth expected at 1%-3%; confident in meeting 2024 guidance.
🔸 $SIG: Q4 adj. operating income forecast at $337M-$347M, below previous $397M-$427M; sales expected at $2.32B-$2.34B, under prior $2.38B-$2.46B.
🔸 $ADM: Downgraded to Underperform from Neutral by Bank America.
🔸 $LVS: Downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight by Morgan Stanley.
RECAP
• $HD: Q3 EPS $3.78 vs. $3.65 est., revenue up 6.6% to $40.22B. Comp sales down 1.3%, better than expected. Raised FY24 sales forecast to 4% growth.
• $BABA: Strong sales growth during Singles' Day, 45 brands hit over 1 billion yuan GMV.
• $LYV: Q3 operating income $909.8M vs. $856.6M est., revenue down 6.2% to $7.65B. Ticket sales for 2024 up 3%.
• $ONON: Q3 EPS CHF 0.16, below est. CHF 0.20. Sales CHF 635.8M, up from expected CHF 617.3M. Increased FY sales forecast.
• $VIK: Upgraded by Morgan Stanley due to robust cruise demand.
• $APAM: AUM as of October 31, 2024, was $162.8B, with $78.8B in Artisan Funds and $84.0B in other accounts.
• $AGO: Q3 EPS $2.42 vs. $1.42 est., revenue down 33% to $269M, premiums up 53% to $61M.
• $CNS: AUM decreased to $89.7B by October 31, 2024, from $91.8B, due to market depreciation and distributions.
• $IVZ: AUM dropped to $1.772T, down 1.3%, with $2B in net inflows but losses from market returns.
• $JRVR: Q3 premiums grew 6%, with a high combined ratio of 136.1% but a better current year ratio at 92.6%.
• $RMR: Q4 EPS $0.34 below $0.40 est., EBITDA slightly above estimate at $21.8M.
• $HOOD: October showed 24.4M funded customers, $159.7B in assets, with significant growth in deposits.
• $VCTR: Reported AUM of $172.3B, total client assets of $176.5B for October 31, 2024.
• $ASRT: Q3 EPS $0.03 vs. ($0.05) est., EBITDA $5.3M vs. $4.7M est., revenue $29.2M vs. $28.87M est.
• $AZN: Upgraded full-year guidance due to strong Q3, expects high teens growth for earnings and revenue in 2024.
• $BAYRY: Stock dropped after forecasting lower earnings next year due to weak ag markets.
• $NGNE: Shares fell despite positive trial data for Rett Syndrome drug, due to an adverse event.
• $NVRO: Q3 EPS ($0.41) vs. ($0.81) est., improved EBITDA, raised FY revenue guidance.
• $STXS: Q3 EPS ($0.08) vs. ($0.05) est., revenue beat expectations, kept flat year-over-year revenue guidance.
IAC: Considering spinning off Angi, which IAC controls 85% of, valued at $1.25B, after exceeding Q3 revenue forecasts due to Dotdash Meredith.
• $IVAC: Q3 EPS loss was ($0.08) vs. ($0.15) est., revenue significantly beat estimates at $28.5M.
• $OKTA: Downgraded to hold by Deutsche Bank.
• $SE: Q3 EPS $0.24 missed estimates by $0.02, but revenue hit $4.3B, beating estimates.
• $ZETA: Q3 EBITDA $53.6M vs. $49.93M est., revenue $268M vs. $252.5M est., raised Q4 guidance.