Notes
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
AUTOS:
🔸 GM & Ford drop as Trump imposes 25% import tax on foreign cars (effective April 3); European & Asian automakers also down.
🔸 S&P Changes: Cava ( $CAVA) replaces Altair ( $ALTR) in S&P MidCap 400 (March 31) after Siemens acquires Altair.
🔸 Crypto: GameStop ( $GME) plans $1.3B convertible notes offering to buy Bitcoin.
EARNINGS:
🔸 MillerKnoll ( $MLKN): Q3 EPS $0.44 in line, revenue $876.2M (miss); Q4 guide below estimates.
🔸 Nio ( $NIO): Raises $450M via share placement for EV development.
🔸 Petco ( $WOOF): Q4 EBITDA beats, but weak Q1 & FY guidance.
🔸 Steelcase ( $SCS): Q4 EPS beats; Q1 revenue & EPS guidance above estimates.
INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS:
🔸 Chemours ( $CC) upgraded at Mizuho;
🔸 Liberty Energy ( $LBRT) upgraded at Morgan Stanley.
🔸 HB Fuller ( $FUL) beats Q1 EPS, guides FY revenue lower.
FINANCIALS:
🔸 Jefferies ( $JEF) Q4 EPS misses; cites challenging capital markets.
HEALTHCARE:
🔸 Medicaid overpaid insurers ( $CI, $HUM, $UNH, $ELV), per WSJ.
🔸 Nkarta ( $NKTX): Q4 EPS beats, cash runway to 2029.
🔸 Soleno ( $SLNO): FDA approves Vykat XR for genetic disorder.
🔸 Zentalis ( $ZNTL): Files mixed shelf offering up to $250M.
TECH & MEDIA:
🔸 $AMD downgraded at Jefferies (AI concerns, competition).
🔸 S&P Changes: Angi ( $ANGI) replaces ODP in SmallCap 600.
🔸 3D Systems ( $DDD): Q4 EPS misses, weak FY guidance.
🔸 Concentrix ( $CNXC): Q1 EPS & revenue beat, reiterates FY outlook.
🔸 OpenAI nears $40B funding at $300B valuation (Bloomberg).
🔸 Verint ( $VRNT): Q4 EPS & revenue miss, weak FY guidance.
Stock Gainers Brief:
• $CVS: +3%; added four new board members, including Larry Robbins from Glenview Capital, expanding to 16 members; upgraded by Wells Fargo.
• $FOUR: +4%; to join S&P MidCap 400 in place of RCM on November 20.
• $HOOD: +6%; upgraded to Buy by Needham due to expected benefits from Trump's policy changes at SEC.
• $LBRT: +2%; stock up with Chris Wright, a fracking advocate, nominated for Energy Secretary.
• $MBI: +10%; upgraded to Outperform by KBW with a new $9 target after favorable legal and earnings news.
• $SMCI: +9%; plans to meet Nasdaq compliance requirements for continued listing.
• $TSLA: +8%; due to Trump team's interest in autonomous vehicle regulations.
• $WOLF: +5%; CEO Gregg Lowe ousted, Thomas Werner steps in as Executive Chairman during CEO search.
Stock Laggards Brief:
• $BIIB: -1%; downgraded to Hold by Needham, with no expected upside in the next year.
• $CMAX: -55%; filed for bankruptcy with $693M in debt, $390M in assets.
• $LLY: -4%; continues to decline with other obesity/healthcare stocks.
• $MARA: -6%; issuing $700M in convertible notes.
• $NGNE: -35%; halted development of high-dose gene therapy due to serious side effect.
• $PLTR: -9%; despite being a top S&P performer YTD, sees significant drop.
• $UBER & $LYFT: -6%; both affected by news of potential regulations for autonomous vehicles.
MORNING RECAP
• $TSLA +8% pre-market on report of Trump's team prioritizing self-driving vehicle regulations.
• $BG approved $500M more for stock buybacks.
• $F faces recall investigation for 112,567 vehicles due to seat belt issues.
• $GIS prepares for mixed securities offering.
• $SAVE files for bankruptcy due to financial losses.
• $LBRT shares up as Chris Wright, its CEO and fracking advocate, is named Energy Secretary by Trump.
• Trump's efficiency drive to slash federal contractor rates, led by Vivek Ramaswamy and Elon Musk.
• Oil prices decline due to ample global supply and weak demand outlook from China.
• Manulife's CEO Roy Gori to retire in May 2025.
• $MARA plans to offer $700M in convertible notes.
• $HOODupgraded to Buy by Needham, target $40.
• Shift4 Payments to join S&P MidCap 400, replacing RCM, effective Nov 20. R1 RCM acquisition by TowerBrook and CD&R set for Nov 19.
• $BIIB downgraded to Hold by Needham with no expected upside in the next year.
• $CVS upgraded to Overweight by Wells Fargo, target price now $66.
• $CVS to add four new board members including Larry Robbins from Glenview Capital.
• $NVDA faces overheating issues with its Blackwell GPUs in server setups.
• $ALAB gets Buy rating from Citigroup with $120 target.
• $MPWR upgraded to Buy after stock drop.
• $SMCI aims to submit Nasdaq compliance plan.
• $WBD settles NBA lawsuit, extends partnership for 10+ years.