Notes
MARKET UPDATES:
CONSUMER:
🔸 $DG upgraded to Overweight (BofA).
🔸 Macau casinos ($WYNN, $LVS, $MLCO, $MGM): Gaming revenue +0.8% YoY.
🔸 $LI: March deliveries 36,674 (+26.5% YoY).
🔸 $NIO: March deliveries 15,039 (+14% MoM).
🔸 $PVH: Q4 EPS $3.27 (beat), revenue -4.8% YoY.
🔸 $TSLA: Denmark sales -65.6% YoY.
🔸 $ULTA: Upgraded to Buy, price target raised to $423.
ENERGY & INDUSTRIALS:
🔸 $AAL, $DAL, $LUV: Downgraded (Jefferies).
🔸 Oil: Brent stabilizes after Trump’s Russia comments.
🔸 $CVX: Sells East Texas gas assets ($1.2B+ value).
🔸 $EE: 7M-share secondary offering priced at $26.50.
FINANCIALS:
🔸 $LPLA: 4.7M-share secondary offering at $320.
🔸 $V: $375M escrow deposit, reducing Class B shares.
🔸 $WRB: Downgraded (BofA).
HEALTHCARE:
🔸 $JNJ: $10B talc settlement rejected by U.S. judge.
🔸 Drugmakers: Lobby Trump to phase in pharma tariffs.
TECH & MEDIA:
🔸 $LYV, $SEAT: Fall after Trump’s executive order on ticket pricing.
🔸 $PRGS: Q1 EPS $1.31 (beat), raises full-year guidance.
🔸 $SPIR: Q4 EPS loss ($2.21), weak Q1 outlook.
MARKET UPDATE:
CONSUMER
🔸 Autos ($GM, $F, $STLA, $TSLA): Trump plans 25% tariffs on foreign cars/parts starting Thursday. He told NBC he "couldn’t care less" if automakers raise prices.
🔸 Harley-Davidson ( $HOG): Warns EU’s potential 50% retaliatory tariff could push prices to extreme levels.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 FTC Solar ( $FTCI): Q4 adj. EPS loss (-$0.80) vs. est. (-$0.84); revenue $13.2M vs. est. $11.61M; Q1 rev. outlook ($18M-$20M) vs. consensus $23.47M.
🔸 Honeywell ( $HON): Plans to take Quantinuum public by 2026-2027, market conditions permitting.
🔸 U.S. Steel ( $X): Downgraded to Market Perform at BMO; Steel Dynamics (STLD): Upgraded to Outperform, seen benefiting from Trump's tariffs.
FINANCIALS
🔸 Cannae ( $CNNE): Plans to use $460M from Dun & Bradstreet sale for buybacks, dividends, and debt reduction.
🔸 LPL Financial ( $LPLA): Acquiring Commonwealth Financial for ~$2.7B in cash (2,900 advisors, $285B AUM).
🔸 PNC Financial ( $PNC): Upgraded to Buy at HSBC.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 RFK Jr.: Doubling HHS layoffs to 20,000, consolidating divisions from 28 to 15, renaming it "Administration for a Healthy America ( $AHA)."
🔸 Waters Corp. ( $WAT): Upgraded to Overweight at KeyBanc ($460 target), citing strength in pharma/biotech manufacturing.
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 xAI & X Merger: xAI acquires X in an all-stock deal, valuing xAI at $80B and X at $33B. The merger integrates AI expertise with X’s distribution and data.
🔸 Semiconductors: Renesas, Sumco, and Tokyo Electron among Japan’s biggest losers as Nikkei 225 slumps. Foxconn and TSMC also fell in Taiwan.
#Upgrades - Oct 09, 2024
$AFRM: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $37 (from $20)
$HD: Loop Capital Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $460
$HON: CFRA Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $235
$INTR: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $8.50 (from $7.50).
$LOW: Loop Capital Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $30
$LPLA: Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight from Equal Weight - PT $285 (from $235)
$LUV: Jefferies Upgrades to Hold from Underperform - PT $32 (from $24)
$MSCI: Redburn-Atlantic Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $680
$RJF: JMP Securities Upgrades to Market Outperform from Market Perform - PT $146
$SAIA: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform
$VLO: Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight from Equal Weight - PT $165 (from $172)
$VNET: HSBC Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $5.20