Notes
MORNING BID
🔸 Nvidia ( $NVDA):
• Q4 adj. EPS $0.89 (est. $0.84)
• revs $39.33B (est. $38.05B)
• Data center revs $35.6B (+93%)
• Auto $570M (+103%)
• Gaming $2.5B (-11%)
• Q1 revs $43B ±2% (est. $41.78B).
🔸 Amazon ( $AMZN): Debuted Ocelot, its first quantum computing chip.
🔸 Snowflake ( $SNOW):
• Q4 EPS $0.30 (est. $0.18)
• revs $986.8M (+28%, est. $956.26M)
• Q1 product revs guidance $955M-$960M (est. $962.6M); expanded Microsoft partnership.
🔸 Salesforce ( $CRM)
• Q4 adj. EPS $2.78 (est. $2.61)
• revs $9.99B (missed est. $10.04B)
• Q1 guidance below consensus: EPS $2.53-$2.55, revs $9.71B-$9.76B.
🔸 https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI):
• Q3 EPS -$0.12 (est. -$0.25)
• revs $98.8M (+26%, est. $98.1M)
• Q4 revs guidance $103.6M-$113.6M (est. $108.6M).
🔸 Magnite ( $MGNI)
Q4 adj. EPS $0.34 (est. $0.36)
revs $194M (est. $184.3M)
FY adj. EBITDA guidance mid-teens % (est. +12.8%).
🔸 Nutanix ( $NTNX)
Q2 adj. EPS $0.56 (est. $0.47)
revs $654.7M (est. $641.86M)
Q3 revs guidance $620M-$630M (est. $594.39M).
🔸 eBay ( $EBAY)
Q4 adj. EPS $1.25 (est. $1.20)
revs $2.6B (est. $2.58B)
GMV $19.3B (+4%)
Q1 adj. EPS guidance $1.32-$1.36 (est. $1.33)
revs $2.52B-$2.56B (est. $2.59B)
GMV $18.3B-$18.6B.
🔸 Paramount ( $PARA): Q4 revs $7.98B (est. $8.1B); Paramount+ added 5.6M subs (est. 2.58M).
🔸 Pure Storage ( $PSTG): Q4 EPS $0.45 (est. $0.42), revs $879.8M (est. $869.19M); FY revs guidance $3.515B (est. $3.52B).
🔸 Synopsys ( $SNPS): Q1 EPS $3.03 (est. $2.79), revs $1.46B (est. $1.45B); FY EPS guidance $14.88-$14.96 (est. $14.89).
🔸 TaskUs ( $TASK): Q4 EPS $0.31 (est. $0.34), revs $274.2M (est. $268.8M); FY adj. EBITDA margin ~21%.
🔸 TKO Group ( $TKO): Q4 EPS $0.28 (est. $0.21), revs $642.2M (est. $604M); FY adj. EBITDA $1.35B-$1.39B (FY24: $1.25B).
🔸 Norwegian Cruise Line ( $NCLH): Q4 adj. EPS $0.26 (est. $0.11), revs $2.11B (in line); Q1 Net Yield expected to rise ~0.5% y/y (constant currency).
🔸 Urban Outfitters ( $URBN): Q4 adj. EPS $1.04 (est. $0.94), revs $1.64B (+10%, est. $1.61B); Retail segment sales +6.3%, driven by digital and store growth.
🔸 Agilent ( $A): Q1 adj. EPS $1.31 (est. $1.27), revs $1.68B (est. $1.67B); Q2 guidance below estimates; FY25 revs cut to $6.68B-$6.76B (est. $6.82B).
🔸 CareDx ( $CDNA): Q4 adj. EPS $0.18 (est. $0.15), revs $86.6M (est. $84.56M); FY25 revs guidance $365M-$375M (est. $370.02M); Testing services revs +37% y/y.
🔸 Catalyst Pharma ( $CPRX): Q4 EPS $0.70 (est. $0.55), revs $141.8M (+28%, est. $134.2M); FY revs guidance $545M-$565M (est. $558.1M).
🔸 Outset Medical ( $OM): Filed $100M mixed securities shelf.
🔸 Sarepta ( $SRPT): Q4 adj. EPS $1.90 (in line), revs $658.4M (est. $627.58M).
🔸 Teladoc ( $TDOC): Q4 EPS -$0.28 (est. -$0.24), revs $640.49M (est. $639.55M); FY revs and EBITDA guidance below estimates.
🔸 Tandem Diabetes ( $TNDM): Q4 EPS $0.01 (est. -$0.23), revs $282.6M (est. $251.98M); FY revs guidance $997M-$1.007B (est. $1.008B).
🔸 Universal Health ( $UHS): Q4 adj. EPS $4.92 (est. $4.18), revs $4.11B (est. $4.01B); FY revs and EBITDA guidance above estimates.
MORNING BID
🔸 $CVGW: Q4 EPS 5c vs. -2c last year; revenue up 19.5% to $170M vs. $161.93M est.; adj EBITDA $6.7M.
🔸 $GM: Multi-year deal with Vianode for synthetic graphite for EV batteries.
🔸 $TSLA: SEC sues Elon Musk for late disclosure of Twitter stake in 2022.
🔸 $VAL, $RIG, $NE, $HP, $SLB, $NOV: Downgraded to In Line from Outperform by Evercore/ISI.
🔸 $Oil Market: IEA reports 2025 oil surplus at 725k b/d, down from 950k b/d.
🔸 $Aluminum: Prices up slightly; EU eyes import limits from Russia, China's growth slows.
🔸 $PKE: Q3 EPS $0.08, sales $14.4M.
🔸 $BK: Q4 adj EPS $1.72 vs. $1.56 est.; AUM $2T; fee revenue +9% to $3.51B; net interest +8% to $1.19B; AUC/A $52.1T, up 9%.
🔸 $BHLB: Files for offering of up to 3.45M shares.
🔸 $BLK: Q4 adj EPS $11.93 vs. $11.22 est.; revenue +23% to $5.68B; AUM record $11.55T; operating margin 45.5%; $281B inflows Q4.
🔸 $DFS: Charge-off rate 2.55%, delinquency rate 1.76% at Dec 2024.
🔸 $JPM: Q4 EPS $4.81 vs. $4.04 est.; revenue $42.8B; charge-offs 1.63%, delinquencies 0.84%; FICC trading $5.01B vs. $4.37B est.; credit loss $2.63B; ROE 17%, ROTCE 21%; $486B inflows 2024.
🔸 $WFC: Q4 EPS $1.43 vs. $1.35 est.; net interest $11.84B; revenue $20.38B; commercial banking $3.17B, investment banking $4.61B, wealth management $3.96B.
🔸 $KROS: Paused dosing in TROPOS trial for pulmonary hypertension due to pericardial effusion concerns in safety review.
🔸 $VCEL: Lowers FY24 revenue forecast to $237M-$237.5M from $238M-$242M; raises gross margin to 72.5%; maintains EBITDA margin at 22%; Q4 revenue expected at $75.2M-$75.7M, under consensus.
🔸 $APLD: Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs. ($0.15) est.; EBITDA $21.4M vs. $19.68M est.; revenue $63.9M; cloud services +523% to $27.7M.
🔸 $PI: Maintains Q4 revenue and EBITDA guidance; expects EBITDA $13.6M-$15.1M, revenue $91M-$94M.
🔸 $LRCX: Downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform by Wolfe Research.
🔸 $LASR: Q4 revenue forecast $46M-$48M, below $52M est.; lower than expected margins and EBITDA.
🔸 $MGNI: Expands partnership with Samsung Ads for programmatic ads in Southeast Asia.
🔸 $S: Downgraded to Neutral from Buy by UBS.
🔸 U.S. Policy: New regulations planned to limit chip exports to China from TSMC, Samsung, and others.