Notes
QUICK MARKET SUMMARY:
Consumer
🔸 Carvana ( $CVNA) upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT raised to $280 from $260.
🔸 Cintas ( $CTAS) ended talks to buy UniFirst (UNF) for $275/share.
🔸 KB Home ( $KBH) Q1 miss: revenue down 5%, net income down 21%, lowers FY25 outlook; appoints Robert Dillard as CFO.
🔸 McCormick ( $MKC) Q1 EPS $0.60 (vs. $0.64 est.), reaffirms FY25 guidance.
🔸 Smithfield Foods sees higher annual sales and profit.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) European market share down sharply; YTD sales -42.6%.
Energy, Industrials & Materials
🔸 American Electric ( $AEP) announces $2B stock offering.
🔸 Bunge ( $BG) selling European margarine business to Vandemoortele.
🔸 Canadian Solar ( $CSIQ) Q4 EPS loss (-$1.47) vs. (-$0.24) est.; record storage shipments.
🔸 Enerpac ( $EPAC) Q2 EPS $0.38 (vs. $0.40 est.), maintains guidance.
🔸 EOG Resources ( $EOG) downgraded to Neutral at Mizuho; PT cut to $140.
🔸 Oklo ( $OKLO) FY24 EPS loss (-$0.74); first Aurora deployment expected late 2027.
🔸 Parsons ( $PSN) approves $250M share buyback.
🔸 TechnipFMC ( $FTI) wins $500M–$1B EPC contract from Equinor.
Healthcare
🔸 Aura Biosciences ( $AURA) FY loss ($96M); cash runway into 2H26.
🔸 Beyond Air ( $XAIR) secures $2M for autism therapy development.
🔸 Merck ( $MRK) signs $200M licensing deal for Lp(a) inhibitor, potential $1.77B in milestones.
🔸 Neurogene ( $NGNE) FY loss ($82.6M); files $300M shelf offering; cash runway into 2H27.
Tech, Media & Telecom
🔸 Alibaba ( $BABA) to restart hiring; Chairman Tsai warns of potential AI bubble.
🔸 Cloudflare ( $NET) double-upgraded to Buy at BofA; PT raised to $160.
🔸 India plans to scrap 6% digital ad tax, easing pressure on U.S. tech firms.
🔸 Crown Castle ( $CCI) appoints interim CEO Daniel Schlanger; reaffirms guidance.
🔸 Volkswagen ( $cVOWGY) partners with Valeo and Mobileye for advanced driver-assistance systems.
MORNING BID
🔸 OpenAI: Plans to reduce reliance on NVIDIA ( $NVDA) by developing its first in-house AI chip, with design finalization in the next few months. Chips will be manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM)
🔸 ChipMOS Technologies ( $IMOS): Expects 6.3% revenue growth for 2024, despite a 5.4% YoY decline in Dec 2024 and 5.7% YoY decline in Q4 2024. Plans to buy back shares up to T$17.39B.
🔸 Mobileye ( $MBLY): Upgraded to Neutral by Bank of America, citing limited downside risk and bottoming sentiment.
🔸 Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM): Q1 revenue expected at the lower end of guidance due to a $161M (NT$5.3B, net of insurance) impact from a late January earthquake in southern Taiwan.
🔸 Edgewell Personal Care ( $EPC): Q1 adj. EPS $0.07 (est. $0.12); Q1 revs $478.4M (est. $480.16M). FY25 outlook: adj. EPS at lower end of $3.15-$3.35 (est. $3.18), adj. EBITDA at lower end of $356M-$368M, capex 2.5%-3% of revenue.
🔸 Rivian ( $RIVN): Now selling delivery vans to fleets of all sizes in the US, over a year after ending exclusivity with Amazon ( $AMZN).
🔸 Sun Country Airlines ( $SNCY): Announces secondary offering of 6.3M shares and $10M share repurchase from underwriters.
🔸 Illumina ( $ILMN): Downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight by Barclays.
🔸 Merck ( $MRK): Downgraded to Hold from Buy by TD Cowen, price target cut to $100 from $121.
🔸 Pliant Therapeutics ( $PLRX): Shares fall as it pauses enrollment and dosing in the ongoing Beacon-IPF Phase 2b trial of bexotegrast for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
🔸 BP Plc ( $BP): Shares rise after Elliott Management takes a stake, expected to push for strategy and board changes.
🔸 ConocoPhillips ( $COP): Downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy by Raymond James.
🔸 Spirit AeroSystems ( $SPR): Q4 2024 net revenues $1.66B (down from $1.81B YoY, above est. $1.53B); reported $401M in net forward loss charges.
🔸 US Metals Stocks: Shares of Cleveland Cliffs ( $CLF), Nucor ( $NUE), Alcoa ( $AA), and others rise after Trump announces 25% steel and aluminum tariffs in latest trade escalation.
#Upgrades - Dec 04, 2024
• $BRKL: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform
• $MAC: Mizuho Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $22 (from $14)
• $MRK: HSBC Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $130
• $NFE: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Hold from Sell - PT $11 (from $7.60)
• $PNW: KeyBanc Upgrades to Overweight from Sector Weight - PT $101
• $PSTG: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $76 (from $56)
• $SHBI: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform
• $TRMB: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $92 (from $74)
#Downgrades - Nov 11, 2024
• $AGL: JMP Securities Downgrades to Market Perform from Market Outperform
• $ALTM: Scotiabank Downgrades to Sector Perform from Sector Outperform - PT $5.85
• $ARDX: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $5.50
• $ATMU: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $45 (from $42)
• $BLMN: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform
• $CBT: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral - PT $105
• $CE: BMO Capital Downgrades to Underperform from Market Perform - PT $76 (from $138)
• $CE: UBS Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $97 (from $161)
• $GCMG: TD Cowen Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $15.50
• $IMCR: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $38 (from $72)
• $MRK: Daiwa Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform
• $NOV: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $18 (from $21)
• $NRDY: JPMorgan Downgrades to Underweight from Neutral
• $NVR: Seaport Global Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $PRA: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $18
• $RVTY: Nephron Downgrades to Sell from Sell - PT $105
• $SMAR: Guggenheim Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $TDW: Raymond James Downgrades to Outperform from Strong Buy - PT $102 (from $131)
• $TEM: Stifel Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $65 (from $45)
• $VALE: UBS Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $11.50 (from $14)
• $WHF: Oppenheimer Downgrades to Perform from Outperform - PT $12 (from $14)
• $XERS: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $3