Notes
QUICK MARKET SUMMARY:
Consumer
🔸 Carvana ( $CVNA) upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT raised to $280 from $260.
🔸 Cintas ( $CTAS) ended talks to buy UniFirst (UNF) for $275/share.
🔸 KB Home ( $KBH) Q1 miss: revenue down 5%, net income down 21%, lowers FY25 outlook; appoints Robert Dillard as CFO.
🔸 McCormick ( $MKC) Q1 EPS $0.60 (vs. $0.64 est.), reaffirms FY25 guidance.
🔸 Smithfield Foods sees higher annual sales and profit.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) European market share down sharply; YTD sales -42.6%.
Energy, Industrials & Materials
🔸 American Electric ( $AEP) announces $2B stock offering.
🔸 Bunge ( $BG) selling European margarine business to Vandemoortele.
🔸 Canadian Solar ( $CSIQ) Q4 EPS loss (-$1.47) vs. (-$0.24) est.; record storage shipments.
🔸 Enerpac ( $EPAC) Q2 EPS $0.38 (vs. $0.40 est.), maintains guidance.
🔸 EOG Resources ( $EOG) downgraded to Neutral at Mizuho; PT cut to $140.
🔸 Oklo ( $OKLO) FY24 EPS loss (-$0.74); first Aurora deployment expected late 2027.
🔸 Parsons ( $PSN) approves $250M share buyback.
🔸 TechnipFMC ( $FTI) wins $500M–$1B EPC contract from Equinor.
Healthcare
🔸 Aura Biosciences ( $AURA) FY loss ($96M); cash runway into 2H26.
🔸 Beyond Air ( $XAIR) secures $2M for autism therapy development.
🔸 Merck ( $MRK) signs $200M licensing deal for Lp(a) inhibitor, potential $1.77B in milestones.
🔸 Neurogene ( $NGNE) FY loss ($82.6M); files $300M shelf offering; cash runway into 2H27.
Tech, Media & Telecom
🔸 Alibaba ( $BABA) to restart hiring; Chairman Tsai warns of potential AI bubble.
🔸 Cloudflare ( $NET) double-upgraded to Buy at BofA; PT raised to $160.
🔸 India plans to scrap 6% digital ad tax, easing pressure on U.S. tech firms.
🔸 Crown Castle ( $CCI) appoints interim CEO Daniel Schlanger; reaffirms guidance.
🔸 Volkswagen ( $cVOWGY) partners with Valeo and Mobileye for advanced driver-assistance systems.
Stock Gainers Brief:
• $CVS: +3%; added four new board members, including Larry Robbins from Glenview Capital, expanding to 16 members; upgraded by Wells Fargo.
• $FOUR: +4%; to join S&P MidCap 400 in place of RCM on November 20.
• $HOOD: +6%; upgraded to Buy by Needham due to expected benefits from Trump's policy changes at SEC.
• $LBRT: +2%; stock up with Chris Wright, a fracking advocate, nominated for Energy Secretary.
• $MBI: +10%; upgraded to Outperform by KBW with a new $9 target after favorable legal and earnings news.
• $SMCI: +9%; plans to meet Nasdaq compliance requirements for continued listing.
• $TSLA: +8%; due to Trump team's interest in autonomous vehicle regulations.
• $WOLF: +5%; CEO Gregg Lowe ousted, Thomas Werner steps in as Executive Chairman during CEO search.
Stock Laggards Brief:
• $BIIB: -1%; downgraded to Hold by Needham, with no expected upside in the next year.
• $CMAX: -55%; filed for bankruptcy with $693M in debt, $390M in assets.
• $LLY: -4%; continues to decline with other obesity/healthcare stocks.
• $MARA: -6%; issuing $700M in convertible notes.
• $NGNE: -35%; halted development of high-dose gene therapy due to serious side effect.
• $PLTR: -9%; despite being a top S&P performer YTD, sees significant drop.
• $UBER & $LYFT: -6%; both affected by news of potential regulations for autonomous vehicles.
RECAP
• $HD: Q3 EPS $3.78 vs. $3.65 est., revenue up 6.6% to $40.22B. Comp sales down 1.3%, better than expected. Raised FY24 sales forecast to 4% growth.
• $BABA: Strong sales growth during Singles' Day, 45 brands hit over 1 billion yuan GMV.
• $LYV: Q3 operating income $909.8M vs. $856.6M est., revenue down 6.2% to $7.65B. Ticket sales for 2024 up 3%.
• $ONON: Q3 EPS CHF 0.16, below est. CHF 0.20. Sales CHF 635.8M, up from expected CHF 617.3M. Increased FY sales forecast.
• $VIK: Upgraded by Morgan Stanley due to robust cruise demand.
• $APAM: AUM as of October 31, 2024, was $162.8B, with $78.8B in Artisan Funds and $84.0B in other accounts.
• $AGO: Q3 EPS $2.42 vs. $1.42 est., revenue down 33% to $269M, premiums up 53% to $61M.
• $CNS: AUM decreased to $89.7B by October 31, 2024, from $91.8B, due to market depreciation and distributions.
• $IVZ: AUM dropped to $1.772T, down 1.3%, with $2B in net inflows but losses from market returns.
• $JRVR: Q3 premiums grew 6%, with a high combined ratio of 136.1% but a better current year ratio at 92.6%.
• $RMR: Q4 EPS $0.34 below $0.40 est., EBITDA slightly above estimate at $21.8M.
• $HOOD: October showed 24.4M funded customers, $159.7B in assets, with significant growth in deposits.
• $VCTR: Reported AUM of $172.3B, total client assets of $176.5B for October 31, 2024.
• $ASRT: Q3 EPS $0.03 vs. ($0.05) est., EBITDA $5.3M vs. $4.7M est., revenue $29.2M vs. $28.87M est.
• $AZN: Upgraded full-year guidance due to strong Q3, expects high teens growth for earnings and revenue in 2024.
• $BAYRY: Stock dropped after forecasting lower earnings next year due to weak ag markets.
• $NGNE: Shares fell despite positive trial data for Rett Syndrome drug, due to an adverse event.
• $NVRO: Q3 EPS ($0.41) vs. ($0.81) est., improved EBITDA, raised FY revenue guidance.
• $STXS: Q3 EPS ($0.08) vs. ($0.05) est., revenue beat expectations, kept flat year-over-year revenue guidance.
IAC: Considering spinning off Angi, which IAC controls 85% of, valued at $1.25B, after exceeding Q3 revenue forecasts due to Dotdash Meredith.
• $IVAC: Q3 EPS loss was ($0.08) vs. ($0.15) est., revenue significantly beat estimates at $28.5M.
• $OKTA: Downgraded to hold by Deutsche Bank.
• $SE: Q3 EPS $0.24 missed estimates by $0.02, but revenue hit $4.3B, beating estimates.
• $ZETA: Q3 EBITDA $53.6M vs. $49.93M est., revenue $268M vs. $252.5M est., raised Q4 guidance.