Notes

MORNING BID Amazon ( $AMZN): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.86 (Est. $1.49) 🔸 Operating Income: $21.2B (Est. $19.145B) 🔸 Sales: $187.8B (Est. $187.299B) Q1 Guidance: 🔸 Sales $151-155B (Est. $158.45B) 🔸 Operating Income $14-18B (Est. $18.347B) 🔸 AWS Sales: $107.6B Tesla ( $TSLA): 🔸 China EV Sales in Jan: 63,238 units (-11.5% YoY, -32.6% MoM) 🔸 BYD Sales: 296,446 units (+47.5% YoY, -41.8% MoM) Boyd Gaming ( $BYD): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.96 (Est. $1.79) 🔸 Revenue: $1.04B (Est. $1B) 🔸 Strong growth in Online segment Elf Beauty ( $ELF): 🔸 Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76) 🔸 Revenue: $355.3M (Est. $330.39M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: 🔸 EPS $3.27-$3.32 (from $3.47-$3.53) 🔸 Sales $1.3B-$1.31B (from $1.315B-$1.335B) Expedia ( $EXPE): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $2.39 (Est. $2.04) 🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: $643M (Est. $570.9M) 🔸 Revenue: $3.184B (Est. $3.07B) 🔸 Gross Bookings: $24.422B 🔸 Dividend reinstated Mohawk Industries ( $MHK): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.95 (Est. $1.85) 🔸 Revenue: $2.64B (Est. $2.54B) 🔸 Global Ceramic Sales: +1.5% reported, Flooring ROW Sales: -2.1% reported 🔸 Hurricane impact: ~$10M Nikola ( $NKLA): 🔸 Shares decline on reports of potential sale, restructuring, or bankruptcy Skechers ( $SKX): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.65 (Est. $0.75) 🔸 Sales: $2.212B (Est. $2.22B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Sales $2.4-2.43B (Est. $2.486B), EPS $1.10-1.15 (Est. $1.55) Bill Holdings ( $BILL): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.47) 🔸 Revenue: $362.6M (+14% YoY, Est. $359.99M) 🔸 Q3 Guidance: EPS $0.35-$0.38 (Est. $0.34) 🔸 Revenue $352.5M-$357.5M (Est. $360.37M) Cloudflare ( $NET): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.19 (Est. $0.18) 🔸 Revenue: $459.9M (Est. $452.12M) 🔸 Added 55 customers spending >$1M/year in 2024 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Adj EPS $0.79-$0.80 (Est. $0.85), Revenue $2.09B-$2.094B (Est. $2.1B) GoPro ( $GPRO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: -$0.09 (Est. -$0.12) 🔸 Revenue: $200.88M (Est. $196.5M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: EPS loss -$0.13 to -$0.03 (Est. -$0.08) 🔸 Revenue $115M-$135M (Est. $136.25M) 🔸 Gross Margin ~35% Fortinet ( $FTNT): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.61) 🔸 Revenue: $1.66B (Est. $1.6B), Billings: $2B 🔸 Non-GAAP Op Margin: 39% (+720 bps YoY) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: EPS $2.41-$2.47 (Est. $2.42), Revenue $6.65B-$6.85B (Est. $6.63B) Lumentum Holdings ( $LITE): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.42 (Est. $0.36) 🔸 Revenue: $402.2M (Est. $389.76M), Adj Gross Margin: 32.3%, Adj Op Margin: 7.9% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $410M-$425M (Est. $411.84M), Adj EPS $0.47-$0.53 (Est. $0.42) Microchip Technology ( $MCHP): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.28) 🔸 Revenue: $1.026B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $0.05-$0.15 (Est. $0.27), Revenue $920M-$1.0B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 FY25 Capex: ~$135M Monolithic Power Systems ( $MPWR): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $4.09 (Est. $3.98) 🔸 Revenue: $621.67M (Est. $608.09M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $610M-$630M (Est. $584.38M), Gross Margin 55.4%-56% 🔸 Dividend increased Netflix ( $NFLX): 🔸 Considering bid for Formula One’s U.S. TV rights Onto Innovation ( $ONTO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.51 (Est. $1.41) 🔸 Revenue: $263.939M (Est. $260.5M), Gross Margin: 50% 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $260M-$274M (Est. $267.4M), Adj EPS $1.40-$1.54 (Est. $1.49) Pinterest ( $PINS): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.65) 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $470.943M (Est. $444.6M), Revenue: $1.154B (Est. $1.139B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $837M-$852M (Est. $832.78M), Adj EBITDA $155M-$170M (Est. $140.75M) Qualys Inc. ( $QLYS): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.60 (Est. $1.37) 🔸 Revenue: $159.2M (Est. $156.27M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $5.50-$5.90 (Est. $6.09), Revenue $645M-$657M (Est. $651.13M) SS&C Technologies ( $SSNC): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.58 (Est. $1.32) 🔸 Adj Op Income: $581.9M (Est. $569.2M), Adj Revenue: $1.5361B (Est. $1.483B) 🔸 FY Guidance: Adj Revenue $6.085B-$6.245B (Est. $6.159B), Adj EPS $5.64-$5.96 (Est. $5.75) Synaptics ( $SYNA): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.92 (Est. $0.86) 🔸 Revenue: $267.2M (Est. $265.6M), Gross Margin: 53.6% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $250M-$280M (Est. $253.27M), Adj EPS $0.65-$1.05 (Est. $0.72) Take-Two Interactive ( $TTWO): 🔸 Q3 EPS: -$0.71 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $88.8M, Revenue: $1.36B (Est. $1.39B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Revenue $1.52B-$1.62B (Est. $1.538B), Adj EBITDA $223M-$277M (Est. $327.92M) ViaSat ( $VSAT): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.11 (Est. $0.05) 🔸 Revenue: $1.12B (Est. $1.13B) 🔸 On track for FY guidance; FY26 expects YoY revenue and Adj EBITDA growth, Capex ~$1.3B
$AMZN $TSLA
-16.31%
$BYD
-27.44%
$ELF
+1.33%
$EXPE $MHK $NKLA $SKX
+5.59%
$BILL
-18.26%
$NET
-21.88%
$GPRO $FTNT $LITE $MCHP $MPWR $NFLX $ONTO $PINS
+0.61%
$QLYS $SSNC $SYNA $TTWO $VSAT
#Downgrades - Dec 10, 2024 • $AAOI: B.Riley Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $14 • $BIOA: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Underweight from Equalweight - PT $5 (from $40) • $BSIG: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $33 • $CARM: BTIG Downgrades to Neutral from Buy • $CCI: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $100 (from $105) • $CNC: Jefferies Downgrades to Underperform from Hold - PT $52 (from $68) • $DHI: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $183 • $EBAY: Jefferies Downgrades to Underperform from Hold - PT $52 (from $60) • $FAF: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $80 • $IAC: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $54 (from $68) • $IREN: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $15 (from $9.50) • $MLM: BNP Paribas Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $650 • $MTG: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $29 • $PGR: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $267 • $PINS: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $36 (from $41) • $PTVE: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $18 (from $13) • $RKT: KBW Downgrades to Underperform from Market Perform - PT $11.50 (from $16) • $TOL: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $164
$AAOI $BIOA $BSIG $CARM $CCI $CNC
-7.47%
$DHI $EBAY $FAF
-11.44%
$IAC $IREN $MLM $MTG $PGR $PINS
+0.61%
$PTVE $RKT $TOL
RECAP • $AMZN: Developing smart glasses for delivery drivers to aid navigation. • $ARMK: Q4 EPS $0.54 vs. $0.53 est., new $500M buyback, dividend up 11%, FY25 guidance increased. • $BLMN: Downgraded to Market Perform by Raymond James. • $BKNG: Announces organizational changes and layoffs. • $TSLA: Shares up 7% premarket, reached $1T market cap post-Trump win. • $ENPH: Cutting 17% of workforce, expects $17-20M in restructuring costs. • $NOV: Downgraded to Neutral by Citigroup, target price cut to $18. • $SMR: Filed for up to $200M share offering. • $Russia: Potential merger of major oil companies into one entity. • $FTX: Sued Binance & Zhao for $1.8B, also suing Scaramucci. • $GEHC & $RDNT: Collaborating on AI in imaging. • $INSP: $75M share repurchase program. • $TEVA: Seeking to reverse patent decision. • $TSM: Ordered to stop exporting advanced AI chips to China. • $SPNS: Reduced FY24 revenue forecast, Q3 underperformed. • $SONY: Q2 profit up 69%, game biz profits doubled, PS5 sales at 3.8M. • $PINS: Upgraded to Outperform by Wedbush.
$AMZN $ARMK $BLMN $BKNG $TSLA
-16.31%
$ENPH $NOV $SMR
-49.77%
$Russia $FTX $GEHC $RDNT
-6.08%
$INSP
-18.09%
$TEVA
+3.71%
$TSM
-8.8%
$SPNS $SONY $PINS
+0.61%
#Upgrades - Nov 11, 2024 • $AKAM: HSBC Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $121 • $AMH: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $42 (from $41) • $CBOE: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $222 (from $212) • $CSCO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $66 (from $55) • $EPAM: Scotiabank Upgrades to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform - PT $275 • $MLNK: UBS Upgrades to Neutral from Sell - PT $25.50 (from $18) • $MRCY: Jefferies Upgrades to Hold from Underperform - PT $42 (from $30) • $NTST: Scotiabank Upgrades to Sector Outperform from Sector Perform - PT $18 • $OEC: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $21 (from $20) • $OUST: Cantor Fitzgerald Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral • $PINS: Wedbush Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $38 • $SKT: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $40 (from $35) • $SKT: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $40 (from $35) • $UEIC: B.Riley Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $14 (from $11) • $UPST: BTIG Upgrades to Neutral from Sell • $VLY: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $11 (from $10.50) • $WBD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Peerperform from Underperform • $WGO: Northcoast Research Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $175
$AKAM $AMH $CBOE $CSCO $EPAM $MLNK $MRCY $NTST $OEC $OUST $PINS
+0.61%
$SKT $UEIC $UPST $VLY $WBD $WGO
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