Notes
Wells Fargo's Q2 2025 Tactical Ideas list includes 10 stocks with key catalysts.
Overweight: $CHKP, $COF, $CPRI, $DLTR, $KKR, $LLY, $PTCT, $ROKU, $RYTM.
Underweight: $TSLA, citing weak auto fundamentals and overvaluation vs. the Magnificent 7. Notes Cybercab launch in June as unlikely due to limited testing.
Analyst Price Target Updates:
🔻 Cuts:
🔸 $ACVA: Jefferies $25 ($27), Needham $25 ($28)
🔸 $ALB: Piper Sandler $85 ($90)
🔸 $AMGN: Bernstein $350 ($380)
🔸 $CE: Jefferies $55 ($70), JPM $54 ($92), RBC $56 ($84), Downgraded to Sector Perform
🔸 $ETSY: BTIG $60 ($65), Canaccord $76 ($105), Guggenheim $70 ($80)
🔸 $EXAS: Jefferies $80 ($85), Leerink $85 ($95)
🔸 $WST: Jefferies $240 ($393)
🔸 $WING: Benchmark $325, Bernstein $330 ($380), Jefferies $270 ($280), TD Cowen $305 ($365)
🔸 $ZTS: Jefferies $190 ($200)
🔺 Raises:
🔸 $AMPL: Baird $17 ($12), Outperform; Piper Sandler $17 ($15)
🔸 $ADI: JPM $300 ($280), Oppenheimer $270 ($245), Piper Sandler $240 ($220), TD Cowen $280 ($260)
🔸 $AIZ: KBW $230 ($212), Upgraded to Outperform
🔸 $AXSM: H.C. Wainwright $200 ($190)
🔸 $BELFA: Needham $100 ($95)
🔸 $BMRN: Scotiabank $80 ($78)
🔸 $CVNA: D.A. Davidson $260 ($220), Jefferies $265 ($225), Needham $340 ($330), RBC $320 ($280)
🔸 $CRL: JPM $165 ($175)
🔸 $CAKE: Citigroup $67 ($66), Jefferies $63 ($58)
🔸 $CWAN: Piper Sandler $36 ($28), Upgraded to Overweight
🔸 $CVS: Bernstein $71 ($52)
🔸 $DVN: Bernstein $48 ($50), JPM $48 ($45)
🔸 $EQT: JPM $58 ($53)
🔸 $GTLB: Wells Fargo $85 ($80)
🔸 $IFF: Citigroup $99 ($100)
🔸 $KVYO: Barclays $51 ($47), Benchmark $54 ($51), Needham $56 ($46), Piper Sandler $53 ($50)
🔸 $LRCX: Susquehanna $125 ($75), Upgraded to Positive
🔸 $MTDR: JPM $76 ($75)
🔸 $RBA: CIBC $116 ($108)
🔸 $RELY: JPM $30 ($21)
🔸 $ROKU: Jefferies $100 ($55), Upgraded to Hold
🔸 $TOST: JPM $42 ($36), KBW $42 ($40)
🔸 $TNL: Jefferies $70 ($62)
🔸 $VRTX: RBC $408 ($407)
🆕 Coverage Initiations:
🔸 $SEI: Piper Sandler Overweight, PT $37
🔸 $ORA: Jefferies Buy (from Hold), PT $78 ($73)
MORNING BID
Baidu ( $BIDU) Q4 Revenue: ¥34.12B (-2% y/y, Est. ¥33.32B) 📉
🔹 Ad revenue down 7% to ¥17.9B, offset by AI Cloud growth (+26% y/y).
Broadcom ( $AVGO) & Intel ( $INTC):
🔹 Broadcom held informal talks on acquiring Intel’s chip-design unit (WSJ).
🔹 No formal offer yet; deal uncertain.
Roku ( $ROKU): Files mixed securities shelf.
Alcohol Industry Struggles:
🔹 Younger consumers opt for moderation/abstinence, hurting alcohol sales.
🔹 Underperforming stocks: TAP, DEO, BF/B, BUD.
🔹 Winners: Nonalcoholic brands like Athletic Brewing & Ritual Zero Proof thrive.
🔹 Anglo American ( $NGLOY): Selling nickel unit to MMG Ltd for up to $500M, refocusing on copper & iron ore.
🔹 Delta ( $DAL): Regional jet flipped on landing in Toronto amid high winds; 18 injured.
🔹 Diamondback ( $FANG): Acquires Double Eagle units for 6.9M shares + $3B cash to expand Midland Basin.
🔹 Entergy ( $ETR): Q4 adj. EPS $0.66 (Est. $0.63); FY25 guidance: $3.75-$3.95 (Est. $3.92).
🔹 H&E ( $HEES): Accepts Herc Rentals' $5.3B bid, rejecting United Rentals' offer (FT).
🔹 Sealed Air ( $SEE): CEO Patrick Kivits steps down; Dustin Semach appointed; FY24 outlook reaffirmed.
🔹 Capital One ( $COF): Jan. net charge-offs 6.12% (vs. 5.71% y/y); delinquencies 4.61% (vs. 4.78% y/y).
🔹 Discover ( $DFS): Jan. credit card delinquency 1.80%, charge-off 2.63% (SEC filing).
🔹 JPMorgan ( $JPM): Jan. credit card delinquency 0.88%, charge-off 1.64% (SEC filing).
🔹 Janus Henderson ( $JHG): Expanding into Saudi Arabia to grow Middle East presence (Bloomberg).
🔹 KKR ( $KKR): Buying 5% more of Eni’s (E) Enilive biofuel unit for €587.5M, raising stake to 30%.
🔹 Johnson & Johnson ( $JNJ): Faces court decision today on $10B settlement over baby powder litigation; Judge Lopez to decide on Chapter 11 filing.
🔹 Medtronic ( $MDT): Q3 adj. EPS $1.39 (Est. $1.36); Q3 revs +2.5% y/y to $8.29B (Est. $8.33B); maintains full-year guidance.
🔹 Oculis ( $OCS): 5M share secondary priced at $20.00 per share.
$ROKU - Needham expects Roku to be bought at a premium within a year
We expect Roku to be purchased for a large premium within the next 12 months. We believe that there are several categories of potential purchasers including:
Streamers ( $NFLX, etc.)
CTV ad buyers ( $TTD, etc.) Retailers ( $TGT, etc.)
LLMs (large language models) hungry for billions of new data points daily ( $AMZN/AWS,
$MSFT/OpenAI,
$GOOGL/YouTube/Gemini, etc.).
#Upgrades - Nov 18, 2024
• $AMLX: Baird Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $11 (from $3)
• $APD: UBS Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $375 (from $338)
• $AUTL: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $7.60 (from $7)
• $BFAM: BMO Capital Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $125 (from $137)
• $CBRL: Argus Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $52
• $CVS: Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight from Equal Weight - PT $66 (from $60)
• $FUTU: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $115 (from $70)
• $HOOD: Needham Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $40
• $HPE: Raymond James Upgrades to Strong Buy from Outperform - PT $29 (from $23)
• $MBI: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $9 (from $6.50)
• $MPWR: Loop Capital Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $660
• $MRNA: HSBC Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $58
• $PRMB: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $33 (from $20)
• $ROKU: Baird Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $90 (from $70)
• $UFCS: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $26 (from $19)
#Upgrades - Sep 12, 2024
$BILL: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $90
$CSBR: Craig-Hallum Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $6
$CTAS: CFRA Upgrades to Sell from Strong Sell - PT $170 (from $645)
$DEO: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $147
$PCH: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $51 (from $49)
$ROKU: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $93
#Upgrades - Sep 05, 2024
$BZH: Wedbush Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $45 (from $41)
$EGP: Mizuho Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $200 (from $175)
$JWN: Barclays Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $23 (from $18)
$KREF: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $13
$NMRK: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $16.50
$PLNT: Exane BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $97
$ROKU: Wells Fargo Upgrades to Equal Weight from Underweight - PT $72 (from $50)
$STWD: KBW Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $22.50 (from $20.50)
$XPEV: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $11.50 (from $8)