Notes
MARKET UPDATES
CONSUMER
🔸 $BSET: Q1 EPS $0.21 (est. $0.03), rev $82.2M (est. $79.62M).
🔸 $LCID: Q1 production 2,212 vehicles, 600+ in transit; delivered 3,109; files to sell $1B in notes; guides Q1 revs $232M-$236M (est. $256.3M).
🔸 $LYFT: Downgraded to Underperform at BofA, tgt cut to $10.50.
🔸 $NKE, $ADDYY: Shares drop on new 46% Vietnam tariff (impacting AEO, W).
🔸 $RH: Q4 revs $812.4M (est. $829.6M), EPS $1.58 (est. $1.91); guides FY25 rev growth 10%-13%; warns of tariff risks.
🔸 $ROST, $TJX: Upgraded to Buy at Citi; tariffs boost off-price retail inventory.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 $BALL, $CCK: Potential impact from new 25% tariff on canned beer, aluminum.
🔸 $EMN: Upgraded to Outperform at Mizuho, tgt $105 (+18% upside).
🔸 $LSTR: Q1 EPS cut to $0.90-$0.95 (prior $1.05-$1.25) due to supply chain fraud.
🔸 $MSM: Q2 EPS $0.72 in line, revs $891.72M (est. $908.3M).
🔸 $PCAR: CFO Harrie Schippers to retire; Brice Poplawski promoted.
FINANCIALS
🔸 $RGP: Q3 adj. EBITDA $1.7M (est. -$0.5M), revs $129.4M (est. $130M).
HEALTHCARE
🔸 $RXST: Cuts FY25 rev view to $160M-$175M (prior $185M-$197M).
🔸 $SRNA: Files for $100M mixed shelf.
🔸 Drugmakers ($AZN, $SNY, $NVO): Spared from Trump tariffs, benefiting exporters.
🔸 Medical Devices ($DXCM, $GHHC, $BSX, $ABT): Under pressure due to new tariffs (34% China, 20% EU).
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 $MSFT: Pausing data center projects, impacting VRT, CRWV, ETN, SMCI, DELL, VST, SMR, OKLO, NRG, CEG.
🔸 $GCT: Increases buyback by $16M.
🔸 $PDD: Investing $13B over three years to support merchants.
🔸 $PENG: Q2 EPS $0.52 (est. $0.38), sales $366M (+29% y/y, est. $345.1M).
DAILY RECAP
• Copart Inc. ( $CPRT): Q1 EPS $0.37 met estimates, revenue $1.15B vs $1.1B expected.
• Gap Inc. ( $GAP): Q3 EPS $0.72 beat est. $0.58, sales $3.8B as expected, comps +1%, gross margin 42.7%. FY sales growth forecast +1.5-2.0%, gross margin up +220bps, op expenses $5.1B.
• Natural Grocers ( $NGVC): Q4 EPS $0.39, sales $322.7M; FY25 expects same-store sales growth +4-6%, EPS $1.52-1.60, dividend increase to 12c/share.
• Ross Stores ( $ROST): Q3 EPS $1.48 vs $1.40, sales $5.071B vs $5.146B, comps +1%. Q4 expects EPS $1.57-1.64, FY EPS $6.10-6.17, Q3 operating margin 11.9%.
• Mueller Industries ( $MLI) moves to S&P MidCap 400, replacing Texas Pacific Land (TPL).
• Atlas Energy Solutions ( $AESI) joins S&P SmallCap 600, replacing Mueller Industries.
• Texas Pacific Land ( $TPL) advances to S&P 500, replacing Marathon Oil (MRO).
• BGC Group ( $BGC): Howard Lutnick to divest and resign from roles upon Senate confirmation; corporate structure unchanged.
• CBRE Group ( $CBRE): Announces a $5B stock repurchase program.
• Intuit ( $INTU): Q1 EPS $2.50 vs $2.35 est., revenue $3.283B vs $3.139B est.; Q2 guidance below consensus, FY guidance unchanged.
• Reddit ( $RDDT): Shares drop due to Advance Magazine Publishers offering shares at $145.38-$148.54 each, valuing offering at up to $1.2B.
• SL Green Realty Corp ( $SLG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
• Replimune ( $REPL) submitted a BLA to the FDA for RP1 combined with nivolumab to treat adults with advanced melanoma post-anti-PD1 therapy.
• Elastic ( $ESTC): Q2 EPS $0.59 vs $0.38 est., revenue $365M vs $356.52M est.; Q3 revenue guide $367-369M, EPS $0.46-0.48; FY revenue $1.451-1.457B, EPS $1.68-1.72.
• NetApp ( $NTAP): Q2 EPS $1.87 vs $1.78 est., revenue $1.66B vs $1.64B est.; Q3 EPS guidance $1.85-1.95, revenue $1.61B-$1.76B; FY25 EPS raised to $7.20-$7.40, revenue to $6.54B-$6.74B, operating margin to 28-28.5%.
• Apple ( $AAPL): EU closes investigation into Apple's App Store audiobook practices after complainant withdrew.
• Warner Music Group ( $WMG): Files for mixed securities shelf registration.
Earnings Week Ahead
Tuesday 19th, 2024
• Ticker: $XPENG
• Company: XPeng Inc
• Market Cap: 12.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.24 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.77 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 5.66 billion USD
• Ticker: $LOW
• Company: Lowe's Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 153.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.82 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 19.94 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 11.82 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 82.99 billion USD
• Ticker: $J
• Company: Jacobs Engineering Group Inc
• Market Cap: 17.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:40 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.54 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.37 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.98 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 8.24 billion USD
• Ticker: $MDT
• Company: Medtronic PLC
• Market Cap: 110.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:45 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.25 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 8.27 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 5.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 33.62 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMT
• Company: Walmart Inc
• Market Cap: 679 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.53 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 167.72 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.45 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 678.25 billion USD
• Ticker: $KEYS
• Company: Keysight Technologies Inc
• Market Cap: 26.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.57 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.20 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.18 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.95 billion USD
Wednesday 20th, 2024
• Ticker: $NIO
• Company: Nio Inc
• Market Cap: 9.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.69 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -1.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 10.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $TGT
• Company: Target Corp
• Market Cap: 70.7 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.30 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 25.9 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 9.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 106.71 billion USD
• Ticker: $TJX
• Company: TJX Companies Inc
• Market Cap: 135.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.09 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 13.95 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 4.17 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 56.2 billion USD
• Ticker: $PANW
• Company: Palo Alto Networks Inc
• Market Cap: 129.1 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:05 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.48 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.27 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 9.13 billion USD
• Ticker: $NVDA
• Company: NVIDIA Corp
• Market Cap: 360.9 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:20 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.75 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 33.12 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 2.86 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 126.9 billion USD
• Ticker: $SQM
• Company: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
• Market Cap: 10.6 billion USD
• EST Time: 20:15 EST (previous day)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.66 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: -0.56 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.69 billion USD
Wednesday 21th, 2024
• Ticker: $BIDU
• Company: Baidu Inc
• Market Cap: 29.5 billion USD
• EST Time: 05:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.43 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 4.6 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 10.94 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $DE
• Company: Deere & Co
• Market Cap: 108 billion USD
• EST Time: 06:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 3.89 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 9.3 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 24.89 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 45.3 billion USD
• Ticker: $WMG
• Company: Warner Music Group Corp
• Market Cap: 17.3 billion USD
• EST Time: 07:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.28 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.59 billion USD
• Ticker: $GAP
• Company: Gap Inc
• Market Cap: 8.3 billion USD
• Reporting Time: After Market Close (AMC)
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.58 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.81 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.87 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 14.96 billion USD
• Ticker: $ROST
• Company: Ross Stores Inc
• Market Cap: 47.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.40 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 5.17 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 6.13 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 21.36 billion USD
• Ticker: $NTAP
• Company: NetApp Inc
• Market Cap: 24.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.78 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.64 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 7.10 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.6 billion USD
• Ticker: $INTU
• Company: Intuit Inc
• Market Cap: 196.4 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:00 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.35 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.14 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 19.34 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.27 billion USD
• Ticker: $CPRT
• Company: Copart Inc
• Market Cap: 55.2 billion USD
• EST Time: 16:30 EST
• Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.37 USD
• Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.55 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.56 billion USD
• Expected Full Year EPS: 1.08 USD
• Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.4 billion USD

#Downgrades - Nov 12, 2024
• $ABG: Seaport Global Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $ABNB: PhillipCapital Downgrades to Reduce from Neutral - PT $120
• $AESI: Barclays Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $19 (from $23)
• $ALNY: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Underperform from Peerperform
• $ALTM: B.Riley Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $5.85
• $AVAV: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $240
• $CXM: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $6 (from $8)
• $FIVN: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $40 (from $55)
• $FMBH: DA Davidson Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $47 (from $44)
• $HMN: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $44 (from $39)
• $HPP: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $5 (from $5.50)
• $KNX: Citi Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $56
• $OKTA: Deutsche Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $85 (from $115)
• $PHUN: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $6 (from $9)
• $ROST: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $152 (from $179)
• $RXO: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $33
• $SNDR: Citi Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $30 (from $32)
• $TCBK: DA Davidson Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $53 (from $50)