Notes

QUICK MARKET SUMMARY: CONSUMER: 🔸 Calavo Growers ( $CVGW): $25M buyback. 🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA): Upgraded to Overweight at Cantor, PT $425. 🔸 Waldencast ( $WALD): Q4 EBITDA missed slightly; FY guidance below estimates. ENERGY/INDUSTRIALS/MATERIALS: 🔸 Kratos ( $KTOS): Building $50M hypersonic facility in Indiana. 🔸 Mosaic ( $MOS): Upgraded to Overweight at Barclays, PT $33. FINANCIALS: 🔸 Goldman Sachs ( $GS), Carlyle (CG), Jefferies (JEF): Downgraded at Oppenheimer. 🔸 Morgan Stanley ( $MS): Plans 2,000 job cuts. 🔸 StoneCo ( $STNE): Strong Q4 EPS and revenue beat; upbeat 2025 profit outlook. HEALTHCARE: 🔸 Absci ( $ABSI): Missed Q4; cash runway into 1H’27. 🔸 Gilead ( $GILD): Shares drop as CDC HIV division review raises concerns. 🔸 HealthEquity ( $HQY): Slight Q4 miss; FY guidance in line. 🔸 Inovio ( $INO): Missed Q4; cash runway into Q1’26. 🔸 OmniAb ( $OABI): Revenue beat; stronger FY outlook. 🔸 Pfizer ( $PFE): Raised $3.3B from Haleon stake sale. 🔸 Purdue Pharma: Filed new bankruptcy plan for opioid settlement. 🔸 Trevi ( $TRVI): Positive trial data; strong cash position. TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM: 🔸 Asana ( $ASAN): Filed mixed securities shelf. 🔸 Foxconn: Expects server revenue to surpass iPhones in 2 years. 🔸 FuboTV ( $FUBO): Partnered with Texas Rangers for streaming broadcasts. 🔸 HPE & NVIDIA ( $NVDA): Launched new AI solutions. 🔸 Oracle ( $ORCL) & NVIDIA (NVDA): Announced major AI integration. 🔸 Synopsys ( $SNPS) & NVIDIA: Teaming up to speed chip design. 🔸 Teradyne Robotics ( $TER): Showcasing AI robotics at NVIDIA GTC 2025.
$CVGW $TSLA
-16.31%
$WALD $KTOS $MOS $GS $MS $STNE $ABSI $GILD $HQY $INO $OABI $PFE $TRVI $ASAN $FUBO $NVDA
+5.46%
$ORCL
-1.65%
$SNPS $TER
MORNING BID 🔸 Nvidia ( $NVDA): • Q4 adj. EPS $0.89 (est. $0.84) • revs $39.33B (est. $38.05B) • Data center revs $35.6B (+93%) • Auto $570M (+103%) • Gaming $2.5B (-11%) • Q1 revs $43B ±2% (est. $41.78B). 🔸 Amazon ( $AMZN): Debuted Ocelot, its first quantum computing chip. 🔸 Snowflake ( $SNOW): • Q4 EPS $0.30 (est. $0.18) • revs $986.8M (+28%, est. $956.26M) • Q1 product revs guidance $955M-$960M (est. $962.6M); expanded Microsoft partnership. 🔸 Salesforce ( $CRM) • Q4 adj. EPS $2.78 (est. $2.61) • revs $9.99B (missed est. $10.04B) • Q1 guidance below consensus: EPS $2.53-$2.55, revs $9.71B-$9.76B. 🔸 https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI): • Q3 EPS -$0.12 (est. -$0.25) • revs $98.8M (+26%, est. $98.1M) • Q4 revs guidance $103.6M-$113.6M (est. $108.6M). 🔸 Magnite ( $MGNI) Q4 adj. EPS $0.34 (est. $0.36) revs $194M (est. $184.3M) FY adj. EBITDA guidance mid-teens % (est. +12.8%). 🔸 Nutanix ( $NTNX) Q2 adj. EPS $0.56 (est. $0.47) revs $654.7M (est. $641.86M) Q3 revs guidance $620M-$630M (est. $594.39M). 🔸 eBay ( $EBAY) Q4 adj. EPS $1.25 (est. $1.20) revs $2.6B (est. $2.58B) GMV $19.3B (+4%) Q1 adj. EPS guidance $1.32-$1.36 (est. $1.33) revs $2.52B-$2.56B (est. $2.59B) GMV $18.3B-$18.6B. 🔸 Paramount ( $PARA): Q4 revs $7.98B (est. $8.1B); Paramount+ added 5.6M subs (est. 2.58M). 🔸 Pure Storage ( $PSTG): Q4 EPS $0.45 (est. $0.42), revs $879.8M (est. $869.19M); FY revs guidance $3.515B (est. $3.52B). 🔸 Synopsys ( $SNPS): Q1 EPS $3.03 (est. $2.79), revs $1.46B (est. $1.45B); FY EPS guidance $14.88-$14.96 (est. $14.89). 🔸 TaskUs ( $TASK): Q4 EPS $0.31 (est. $0.34), revs $274.2M (est. $268.8M); FY adj. EBITDA margin ~21%. 🔸 TKO Group ( $TKO): Q4 EPS $0.28 (est. $0.21), revs $642.2M (est. $604M); FY adj. EBITDA $1.35B-$1.39B (FY24: $1.25B). 🔸 Norwegian Cruise Line ( $NCLH): Q4 adj. EPS $0.26 (est. $0.11), revs $2.11B (in line); Q1 Net Yield expected to rise ~0.5% y/y (constant currency). 🔸 Urban Outfitters ( $URBN): Q4 adj. EPS $1.04 (est. $0.94), revs $1.64B (+10%, est. $1.61B); Retail segment sales +6.3%, driven by digital and store growth. 🔸 Agilent ( $A): Q1 adj. EPS $1.31 (est. $1.27), revs $1.68B (est. $1.67B); Q2 guidance below estimates; FY25 revs cut to $6.68B-$6.76B (est. $6.82B). 🔸 CareDx ( $CDNA): Q4 adj. EPS $0.18 (est. $0.15), revs $86.6M (est. $84.56M); FY25 revs guidance $365M-$375M (est. $370.02M); Testing services revs +37% y/y. 🔸 Catalyst Pharma ( $CPRX): Q4 EPS $0.70 (est. $0.55), revs $141.8M (+28%, est. $134.2M); FY revs guidance $545M-$565M (est. $558.1M). 🔸 Outset Medical ( $OM): Filed $100M mixed securities shelf. 🔸 Sarepta ( $SRPT): Q4 adj. EPS $1.90 (in line), revs $658.4M (est. $627.58M). 🔸 Teladoc ( $TDOC): Q4 EPS -$0.28 (est. -$0.24), revs $640.49M (est. $639.55M); FY revs and EBITDA guidance below estimates. 🔸 Tandem Diabetes ( $TNDM): Q4 EPS $0.01 (est. -$0.23), revs $282.6M (est. $251.98M); FY revs guidance $997M-$1.007B (est. $1.008B). 🔸 Universal Health ( $UHS): Q4 adj. EPS $4.92 (est. $4.18), revs $4.11B (est. $4.01B); FY revs and EBITDA guidance above estimates.
$NVDA
+5.46%
$AMZN $SNOW $CRM $AI
+7.44%
$MGNI $NTNX $EBAY $PARA $PSTG $SNPS $TASK $TKO
+1.37%
$NCLH $URBN $A $CDNA $CPRX $OM
-0.29%
$SRPT $TDOC $TNDM $UHS
$ANSS $SNPS - EU COMMISSION APPROVES ACQUISITION OF ANSYS BY SYNOPSYS SUBJECT TO CONDITIONS
$ANSS $SNPS
MORNING RECAP • $ASO announces a $700M share buyback. • $AEO Q3 EPS $0.48 vs. $0.46 est., rev down -0.9% to $1.29B; cuts annual sales growth forecast to 3%, expects Q4 comp sales +1%, total rev -4%. • $CHPT Q3 loss (-$0.18) vs. est. (-$0.09), rev -10% to $99.6M; Q4 rev guidance $95M-$105M. Networked charging systems down -29%, subscription rev up +19%. • $COST November comp sales +3.1%, net sales +5.6% to $21.87B; Q1 sales +7.5% to $60.99B. • $FIVE Q3 EPS $0.42 vs. $0.17 est., sales +15% to $843.7M; Q4 sales guide $1.35B-$1.38B, comp sales expected to decline. • $PVH Q3 adj EPS $3.03 vs. $2.59 est., rev $2.26B vs. $2.22B; Q4 rev expected -7% to -6%, EPS $3.05-$3.20. • $PG now sources Gillette razor steel from India to mitigate potential Trump tariffs. • $AVAV Q2 rev $188.5M vs. $182.9M est.; adj EBITDA $25.9M vs. $31.7M est.; maintains FY25 EPS $3.18-$3.49, revenue $790M-$820M. • $APD: Mantle Ridge now nominates only four for the board, down from nine. • $CULP Q2 adj op income ($2.6M) vs. ($3.589M) est., sales $55.7M vs. $58M est.; expects flat to slightly down Q3 sales, positive EBITDA in 2H, profitable by Q4. • $GEF Q4 EPS $1.08 vs. $1.10 est.; rev up 8.3% to $1.42B, adj EBITDA down 0.8% to $197.6M; FY25 adj EBITDA expected at $675M low-end. • $LUV boosts Q4 revenue per seat mile forecast to 5.5%-7% from 3.5%-5.5%, due to pricing and travel demand. • $FI stock falls as CEO Frank Bisignano is nominated by Trump to lead the SSA. • $FOUR downgraded to Hold from Buy after CEO Jared Isaacman is chosen by Trump to head NASA. • $HOOD plans Asia expansion, setting up in Singapore. NYPD seeks man who killed UnitedHealth $UNH executive Brian Thompson outside a Manhattan hotel, suspect fled into Central Park. TSM discussing with $NVDA to manufacture AI chips in Arizona. • $AMAT downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley due to memory market concerns. • $HPE upgraded to Overweight, target price raised post-Juniper acquisition. • $NCNO Q3 adj EPS $0.21 vs $0.16 est., Q4 rev guidance below estimates. • $OOMA Q3 EPS $0.17 vs $0.16 est., raised yearly outlook. • $S Q3 EPS loss ($0.25) vs $0.01 est., slightly beat on revenue for Q4 and year. • $SNPS Q4 adj EPS $3.40 vs $3.30 est., Q1 guidance below expectations. • $VRNT Q3 EPS $0.54 vs $0.43 est., strong SaaS growth, FY25 revenue guidance up. • $DIS increases dividend to $1.00 per share. • $SMTC launches $400M stock offering.
$ASO $AEO $CHPT $COST
+27.36%
$FIVE $PVH $PG $AVAV $APD $CULP $GEF
+0.15%
$LUV
+41.45%
$FI
-38.79%
$FOUR
+1.09%
$HOOD
+2.78%
$UNH $NVDA
+5.46%
$AMAT $HPE $NCNO $OOMA $S
+0.1%
$SNPS $VRNT $DIS $SMTC
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