Notes

MORNING BID Amazon ( $AMZN): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.86 (Est. $1.49) 🔸 Operating Income: $21.2B (Est. $19.145B) 🔸 Sales: $187.8B (Est. $187.299B) Q1 Guidance: 🔸 Sales $151-155B (Est. $158.45B) 🔸 Operating Income $14-18B (Est. $18.347B) 🔸 AWS Sales: $107.6B Tesla ( $TSLA): 🔸 China EV Sales in Jan: 63,238 units (-11.5% YoY, -32.6% MoM) 🔸 BYD Sales: 296,446 units (+47.5% YoY, -41.8% MoM) Boyd Gaming ( $BYD): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.96 (Est. $1.79) 🔸 Revenue: $1.04B (Est. $1B) 🔸 Strong growth in Online segment Elf Beauty ( $ELF): 🔸 Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76) 🔸 Revenue: $355.3M (Est. $330.39M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: 🔸 EPS $3.27-$3.32 (from $3.47-$3.53) 🔸 Sales $1.3B-$1.31B (from $1.315B-$1.335B) Expedia ( $EXPE): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $2.39 (Est. $2.04) 🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: $643M (Est. $570.9M) 🔸 Revenue: $3.184B (Est. $3.07B) 🔸 Gross Bookings: $24.422B 🔸 Dividend reinstated Mohawk Industries ( $MHK): 🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.95 (Est. $1.85) 🔸 Revenue: $2.64B (Est. $2.54B) 🔸 Global Ceramic Sales: +1.5% reported, Flooring ROW Sales: -2.1% reported 🔸 Hurricane impact: ~$10M Nikola ( $NKLA): 🔸 Shares decline on reports of potential sale, restructuring, or bankruptcy Skechers ( $SKX): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.65 (Est. $0.75) 🔸 Sales: $2.212B (Est. $2.22B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Sales $2.4-2.43B (Est. $2.486B), EPS $1.10-1.15 (Est. $1.55) Bill Holdings ( $BILL): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.47) 🔸 Revenue: $362.6M (+14% YoY, Est. $359.99M) 🔸 Q3 Guidance: EPS $0.35-$0.38 (Est. $0.34) 🔸 Revenue $352.5M-$357.5M (Est. $360.37M) Cloudflare ( $NET): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.19 (Est. $0.18) 🔸 Revenue: $459.9M (Est. $452.12M) 🔸 Added 55 customers spending >$1M/year in 2024 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Adj EPS $0.79-$0.80 (Est. $0.85), Revenue $2.09B-$2.094B (Est. $2.1B) GoPro ( $GPRO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: -$0.09 (Est. -$0.12) 🔸 Revenue: $200.88M (Est. $196.5M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: EPS loss -$0.13 to -$0.03 (Est. -$0.08) 🔸 Revenue $115M-$135M (Est. $136.25M) 🔸 Gross Margin ~35% Fortinet ( $FTNT): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.61) 🔸 Revenue: $1.66B (Est. $1.6B), Billings: $2B 🔸 Non-GAAP Op Margin: 39% (+720 bps YoY) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: EPS $2.41-$2.47 (Est. $2.42), Revenue $6.65B-$6.85B (Est. $6.63B) Lumentum Holdings ( $LITE): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.42 (Est. $0.36) 🔸 Revenue: $402.2M (Est. $389.76M), Adj Gross Margin: 32.3%, Adj Op Margin: 7.9% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $410M-$425M (Est. $411.84M), Adj EPS $0.47-$0.53 (Est. $0.42) Microchip Technology ( $MCHP): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.28) 🔸 Revenue: $1.026B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $0.05-$0.15 (Est. $0.27), Revenue $920M-$1.0B (Est. $1.05B) 🔸 FY25 Capex: ~$135M Monolithic Power Systems ( $MPWR): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $4.09 (Est. $3.98) 🔸 Revenue: $621.67M (Est. $608.09M) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $610M-$630M (Est. $584.38M), Gross Margin 55.4%-56% 🔸 Dividend increased Netflix ( $NFLX): 🔸 Considering bid for Formula One’s U.S. TV rights Onto Innovation ( $ONTO): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.51 (Est. $1.41) 🔸 Revenue: $263.939M (Est. $260.5M), Gross Margin: 50% 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $260M-$274M (Est. $267.4M), Adj EPS $1.40-$1.54 (Est. $1.49) Pinterest ( $PINS): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.65) 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $470.943M (Est. $444.6M), Revenue: $1.154B (Est. $1.139B) 🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $837M-$852M (Est. $832.78M), Adj EBITDA $155M-$170M (Est. $140.75M) Qualys Inc. ( $QLYS): 🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.60 (Est. $1.37) 🔸 Revenue: $159.2M (Est. $156.27M) 🔸 FY25 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $5.50-$5.90 (Est. $6.09), Revenue $645M-$657M (Est. $651.13M) SS&C Technologies ( $SSNC): 🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.58 (Est. $1.32) 🔸 Adj Op Income: $581.9M (Est. $569.2M), Adj Revenue: $1.5361B (Est. $1.483B) 🔸 FY Guidance: Adj Revenue $6.085B-$6.245B (Est. $6.159B), Adj EPS $5.64-$5.96 (Est. $5.75) Synaptics ( $SYNA): 🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.92 (Est. $0.86) 🔸 Revenue: $267.2M (Est. $265.6M), Gross Margin: 53.6% 🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $250M-$280M (Est. $253.27M), Adj EPS $0.65-$1.05 (Est. $0.72) Take-Two Interactive ( $TTWO): 🔸 Q3 EPS: -$0.71 🔸 Adj EBITDA: $88.8M, Revenue: $1.36B (Est. $1.39B) 🔸 Q4 Guidance: Revenue $1.52B-$1.62B (Est. $1.538B), Adj EBITDA $223M-$277M (Est. $327.92M) ViaSat ( $VSAT): 🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.11 (Est. $0.05) 🔸 Revenue: $1.12B (Est. $1.13B) 🔸 On track for FY guidance; FY26 expects YoY revenue and Adj EBITDA growth, Capex ~$1.3B
$AMZN $TSLA
-16.31%
$BYD
-27.44%
$ELF
+1.33%
$EXPE $MHK $NKLA $SKX
+5.59%
$BILL
-18.26%
$NET
-21.88%
$GPRO $FTNT $LITE $MCHP $MPWR $NFLX $ONTO $PINS
+0.61%
$QLYS $SSNC $SYNA $TTWO $VSAT
RECAP • $AAP Q3: Sales down 21% to $2.15B, below $2.67B forecast; EPS at -$0.04 vs. $0.49 expected. Plans include store and distribution center closures, and headcount cuts. • $BZH Q4: Revenue up 25% to $806.2M vs. $777.8M expected; Adjusted EBITDA down 10.5%. Home closings up 4.8%, but gross margin decreased. • $BV Q4: Adj. EPS $0.30 vs. $0.31 est., revenue slightly below at $728.7M. FY guidance lower than expected. • $CPRI ends merger with Tapestry, which then ups its share buyback plan. • $IBTA Q3: EPS $0.94 vs. $0.35 forecast, revenue up 16% to $98.6M. Q4 revenue guidance below expectations. • $JJSF Q4: Adj. EPS $1.60 vs. $1.85 expected, sales slightly under $429.75M estimate. • $HP Q4: EPS $0.76 vs. $0.81 expected, revenue $694M vs. $695.24M forecast. FY25 CapEx guidance $290M-$325M, depreciation around $400M, R&D $32M. • $HI Q4: Adj. EPS $1.01 vs. $0.92 expected, revenue $837.6M vs. $792.98M. Q1 and FY25 EPS guidance below estimates. • $OVV agrees to acquire Montney assets for $2.377B cash from Paramount Resources Ltd. • $TTEK Q4: EPS $0.38 vs. $0.37 expected, revenue $1.37B vs. $1.135B. Provides next quarter and FY guidance. • $NU Q3: Adjusted net income $592M vs. $559M est., revenue $2.9B as expected, ROE at 30%. • $OPRX Q3: EPS $0.12 vs. $0.06 est., revenue $21.3M vs. $25M. FY guidance below expectations. • $TARS Q3: EPS ($0.61) vs. ($0.97) est., sales $48.1M vs. $43.44M. • $CSCO Q1: EPS $0.91 vs. $0.87, revenue $13.84B vs. $13.77B. Provides Q2 and FY guidance. • $DIS Q2: EPS $1.14 vs. $1.10, revenue $22.57B vs. $22.47B. Forecasts high-single digit EPS growth for FY25. • $ASML expects sales to reach €44B-€60B by 2030, with 8%-14% annual growth. • $DDD Q3 prelim: Revenue about $113M, with growth in materials but decline in printer sales. • $DIGI Q4: EPS $0.52 vs. $0.50, revenue $105.1M vs. $104.08M. Q1 guidance set. • $JD Q3: EPS $1.24 vs. $1.05, revenue up 5.1% to $37.1B. No Q4 guidance. • $KLIC Q4: EPS $0.34 vs. $0.35, revenue $181.3M vs. $180M. Announces share repurchase and dividend increase. • $NN Q3: EPS ($0.11) vs. ($0.16), revenue $1.61M vs. $1.105M. • $SONO Q4: EPS ($0.18) vs. ($0.41), revenue $255.38M vs. $247.36M. No forward guidance. • $SYNA to issue $400M in convertible notes due 2031.
$AAP $BZH $BV $CPRI $IBTA $JJSF $HP $HI
+8.71%
$OVV $TTEK $NU $OPRX $TARS $CSCO $DIS $ASML $DDD $DIGI
+1.85%
$JD $KLIC $NN $SONO $SYNA
#Downgrades - Oct 08, 2024 $ALB: CFRA Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $99 $AXP: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy $AXP: BTIG Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $230 $BUD: TD Cowen Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $68 $CME: Redburn-Atlantic Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $244 $FYBR: TD Cowen Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $38.50 (from $39) $MSFT: Oppenheimer Downgrades to Perform from Outperform $OMF: Barclays Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $46 (from $52) $OTIS: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform $QCOM: KeyBanc Downgrades to Sector Weight from Overweight $STZ: TD Cowen Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $270 (from $300) $SYNA: KeyBanc Downgrades to Sector Weight from Overweight
$ALB
-3.28%
$AXP $BUD
-9.81%
$CME $FYBR $MSFT
-12.08%
$OMF $OTIS $QCOM $STZ $SYNA
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