Notes
MORNING BID
🔸 Apple ( $AAPL) lost an appeal in Germany, facing tighter regulations after a long market debate.
🔸 Baidu ( $BIDU) rises on reports Tesla (TSLA) will launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China this year, partnering with Baidu. Free FSD trials run March 17–April 16.
🔸 Getty Images ( $GETY) Q4 EPS: $0.06 (est. $0.04); adj. EBITDA: $80.6M (est. $74M); FY25 revenue guidance: $918–955M (est. $955M).
🔸 Alphabet ( $GOOGL) is in advanced talks to buy cybersecurity firm Wiz for ~$30B, per WSJ; a deal could finalize soon.
🔸 Lucid ( $LCID) upgraded to equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
🔸 Masterbrand ( $MBC) adds $50M share buyback.
🔸 Nio ( $NIO) partners with CATL for battery swap network, using CATL’s Choco-Swap tech in Firefly models.
🔸 Toronto ends Tesla ( $TSLA) taxi/ride-share incentives over U.S. trade tensions.
🔸 Audi ( $VWAGY) may raise prices to offset U.S. tariffs.
🔸 Xiaomi ( $XIACY) raises 2025 EV target to 350,000 units; Q4 revenue up 48% to 109B yuan, beating estimates.
MORNING RECAP
Dollar Tree ( $DLTR) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $1.12 (beat by $0.04)
╌Revenue: $7.56B (beat by $120M)
╌Same-store sales growth: Dollar Tree +1.8%, Family Dollar +1.9%, Enterprise +1.8%
╌Q4 Guidance: EPS $2.10-$2.30, Revenue $8.1B-$8.3B
╌Continues strategic review of Family Dollar segment
Foot Locker ( $FL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.33 (missed by $0.08)
╌Sales: $1.96B (missed by $60M)
╌Comp sales: +2.4% (below estimate)
╌FY25 adjusted EPS forecast lowered to $1.20-$1.30 from $1.50-$1.70
╌FY25 comp sales growth narrowed to 1%-1.5%
╌Gross margin now expected at 28.7%-28.8%
General Motors ( $GM):
╌To record over $5B in non-cash charges for China JV:
╌Restructuring: $2.6B-$2.9B
╌Reduced value: $2.7B
Torrid Holdings ( $CURV) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.01) (missed by $0.04)
╌Adj EBITDA: $19.584M (missed by $7.2M)
╌Revenue: $263.766M (missed by $22M)
╌Q4 Guidance: Sales $255M-$270M, Adj EBITDA $9M-$15M
╌FY25 Guidance: Sales $1.083B-$1.098B, Adj EBITDA $101M-$107M
Volkswagen ( $VWAGY):
╌Recalls 4,616 vehicles in the US due to potential battery overheating/fire risk.
Crescent Energy ( $CRGY):
╌Acquires Eagle Ford assets from Ridgemar Energy for $905M upfront, with additional oil price-based payments.
Intuitive Machines ( $LUNR):
╌Offers 9.523 million shares at $10.50 each.
Old Dominion ( $ODFL) November Performance:
╌LTL tons/day: -8%
╌LTL shipments/day: -6.8%
╌LTL weight/shipment: -1.2%
XPO, Inc. ( $XPO) November Metrics:
╌LTL tonnage/day down 4.0% from last year.
╌Shipments/day down 4.2%.
╌Weight/shipment up by 0.2%.
Goldman Sachs ( $GS):
╌CEO David Solomon sold 6,550 shares at $610.91/share.
Iris Energy ( $IREN):
╌Issues $300M in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Raymond James Financial Inc ( $RJF):
╌Authorizes $1.5B share repurchase.
╌Increases dividend to $0.50.
Royal Bank of Canada ( $RY) Q4:
╌Adjusted EPS: C$3.07 (up from C$2.65)
╌Revenue: C$15.07B (up from C$12.69B)
╌Dividend raised by 4.2%.
Eli Lilly ( $LLY) vs. Novo Nordisk ( $NVO):
╌Zepbound outperforms Wegovy with 20% vs. 14% body weight loss.
Novavax ( $NVAX):
╌Sells Czech manufacturing facility to Novo Nordisk for $200M, aiming for $80M annual cost reduction.
Revolution Medicines ( $RVMD):
╌Secondary offering of 14.13M shares at $46.00 each.
Salesforce Inc. ( $CRM) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $2.41 (vs. est. $2.44)
╌Revenue: $9.44B (vs. est. $9.348B)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $9.9B-$10.1B (vs. est. $10.05B)
╌FY Revenue Guidance: Raised to $37.8B-$38.0B
╌Q4 Adj EPS Guidance: $2.57-$2.62 (vs. est. $2.65)
╌FY Adj EPS Guidance: $9.98-$10.03 (vs. est. $10.11)
Box Inc. ( $BOX) Q3:
╌EPS: $0.45 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $275.9M (up 5% y/y, vs. est. $275.1M)
╌RPO: $1.282B, up 13% q/q
╌FY25 EPS Guidance Raised to $1.70
╌FY25 Revenue Guidance Narrows to $1.09B
Couchbase Inc. ( $BASE) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.35) (vs. est. ($0.08))
╌Revenue: $51.628M (vs. est. $50.78M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $52.7M-$53.5M (vs. est. $54.05M)
╌Q4 ARR: $236.5M-$239.5M
Marvell Technologies ( $MRVL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.43 (vs. est. $0.41)
╌Revenue: $1.52B (up 6.9% y/y, vs. est. $1.45B)
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.59±$0.05
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $1.8B±5% (vs. est. $1.65B)
Okta Inc. ( $OKTA):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.67 (vs. est. $0.58)
╌Revenue: $665M (vs. est. $649.7M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $667M-$669M
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.73-$0.74
╌FY Revenue Guidance: $2.595B-$2.597B
╌FY Adjusted EPS Guidance: $2.75-$2.76
Pure Storage ( $PSTG):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.50 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $831.1M (vs. est. $814.88M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $867M
╌Q4 Adjusted Operating Income: $135M
NXP Semiconductors ( $NXPI) & Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM):
╌Discussing $8B Singapore venture expansion amid U.S.-China tech tensions.
DAILY RECAP
$AAPL saw minimal smartphone shipment growth in 2024 amidst a strong market rebound, according to IDC.
$AMBA Q3 adj EPS $0.11 vs $0.03 est., revenue $82.7M vs $79.02M est.; Q4 rev guidance $76-80M.
$ADSK Q3 EPS $2.17 vs $2.12 est., revenue $1.57B vs $1.562B est.; Q4 revs $1.623-1.638B, FY revs $6.115-6.13B.
$CRWD Q3 EPS $0.93 vs $0.81 est., revenue $1.01B vs $982.36M est.; Q4 revs $1.029-1.035B.
$DELL Q3 EPS $2.15 vs $2.06 est., revenue $24.4B vs $24.72B est.; strong growth in infrastructure, slight decline in client solutions.
$HPQ Q4 EPS $0.93 as expected, revenue $14.1B vs $13.986B est.; Q1 and FY EPS guidance lowered.
$NTNX Q1 EPS $0.42 vs $0.32 est., revenue $591M vs $571.8M est.; Q2 rev guidance $635M-$645M.
$PD Q3 EPS $0.28 vs $0.17 est., revenue $118.9M vs $116.52M est.; Q4 revs $118.5-120.5M, FY revs $464.5-466.5M.
$WDAY Q3 EPS $1.89 vs $1.76 est., revenue $2.16B vs $2.13B est.; Q4 subscription revs lower than expected.
$DDD Q3 EPS ($0.12) vs ($0.10) est., revenue $112.9M vs $115.27M est.; FY rev guidance $440-450M, improving adj EBITDA.
$GES reported Q3 EPS at $0.34, under $0.38 expected, with revenue up 13% to $738.5M. They've cut FY25 EPS and revenue growth forecasts.
$JWN beat with Q3 EPS of $0.33 vs. $0.22, revenues up 4.3% to $3.46B, and raised FY24 revenue outlook.
$URBN excelled with Q3 EPS at $1.10 vs. $0.85, revenue up 6.3% to $1.36B. Growth in Anthropologie, Free People, and Nuuly, but a decline at Urban Outfitters.
$GRO priced its IPO at $15/share, offering 2M shares instead of the planned 4.25M.
$BYDDY is seeking supplier price reductions, bracing for tougher competition in China's EV market.
$SEDG is ending its storage division, cutting jobs by 500, with expected charges for assets and inventory.
$VWAGY has agreed to divest from its Xinjiang plant amidst human rights concerns.
$IREN reported a Q1 Bitcoin mining revenue drop to $49.6M from $54.3M due to higher network difficulty and lower Bitcoin prices, despite increased hashrate. AI Cloud Services revenue rose by 28% to $3.2M from $2.5M with new GPU's added. Adjusted EBITDA fell to $2.6M from $12.2M, with 813 Bitcoins mined compared to 821 in the prior quarter.
$ACAD has secured exclusive rights to SAN711 from Saniona for global development and sales.
$GRFS stock fell after Bloomberg reported Brookfield is set to abandon its €6.45 billion acquisition attempt due to pricing disagreements.