#FOMC: What to expect today:
In 8 hours, the FOMC will drop its decision, and while everyone expects a 25bps rate cut, that move is already priced in. The real game begins with Powell’s words. Here’s what 99% of the market doesn’t get: the end of QT doesn’t mean the start of QE. It means tight money stays, but without fresh liquidity injections. In simple terms, the money tap remains closed, banks are starved for cash, and central banks are quietly propping up a fragile system. Liquidity is vanishing, and everyone wants new liquidity injections, but based on the fact that we are 50% above the FED inflation goal, I doubt that the FED will start QE in anytime soon, unless there is a big crisis and the FED is forced to print, in any of both ways, the economic view looks very bad. That’s why I remain decisively short on BTC and Stocks.
Powell will likely confirm QT is done. But there will be no QE! Not yet. You’ll hear endless calls for it, but QE only begins when something breaks. The Fed never printed without a crisis in its entire history, that crisis is brewing right now and its the REPO market I have been speaking about since several months! Markets are blind to it: repo facilities are drained, overnight funding is collapsing, and liquidity stress is spreading quietly through the system. The entire machine is running on VERY LOW amount of available cash. I will post a very detailed report on this matter soon as well. The repo crisis is worse than 2019!
As for #BTC, my short orders remain stacked between 116,700–117,200, while holding existing short positions and mainly in USDT. I expect no sustainable strength ahead. The euphoria will fade, liquidity will vanish, and when the system cracks, that’s when the Fed prints again. Until then, I stay short.
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🚨 BULLS GETTING FOOLED ONCE AGAIN!
This chart tells you how market makers are liquidating bulls and bears in the current bear market! Nothing goes down in a straight candle! We are in a bear market, but respect short term moves, as high leverage traders needs to be wiped out on both sides before the next big downside move!
Every short-term bounce is designed to fool bulls and liquidate late bears. The next plan of the market makers is to send BTC to the 116.5k region in order to liquidate late bears and generate more than enough liquidity to send the price down again to new local lows. We will see these moves repeated over and over again in the next weeks and months. Sadly, many don’t understand this and believe that I am turning bullish when I say I’m expecting 116k for manipulation purposes, while the manipulation serves only the bears and my own shorts. Education is important
#Bitcoin/ Stock market – What’s Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All You Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
Since end of August I am warning that the top territory is an area to add shorts and sell. Everyone who listened to me understood by now that 115-125k was indeed a great region to add shorts and sell, with an average short entry of 119k and hitting the top of 125k as predicted. So what is next? Markets remain extremely bearish as we are currently in the process of playing the bearish divergence forming since August. We need to understand that this market is driven by greed, currently I have rarely seen so much greed in the market as now, and I am speaking about both the bear and bullish side. Bulls that have been greedy to sell at good prices, and bears that are now euphoric as they know what’s coming next. While I am a big supporter of the bearish case, market makers tend to punish both sides of the market before making any important move. So just to have a quick recap, in August and September BTC visited our short and sell area region between 115-125k, while bulls were greedy, calling for higher, I have called to start building short positions in these regions. BTC went to 126k, 1k more than my max top scenario of 125k and we saw the historic dump in October. Now and in the recent days many bears joined the party late. These bears caused tons of liquidations in the region of 116.5k. While the region of our short entry is far from these short liquidations, the recent bears are in danger of seeing a liquidation event before continuing to the downside. I also see many people saying that there are tons of liquidations between the 120-130k region which is simply not true. I don’t know where your data is from but as per my data there is a very low amount of liquidity, given the fact that during 120-125k almost everyone was bullish and very few people besides me really entered into a short position. So given this in contrast, will the market makers allow retail and whales to exit at a better price after already making them lose? I doubt it, so I see the max bullish scenario at the 116,500 region if the market allows to visit, which is an increase of 9% from this point as a MAX BULLISH scenario. In case the market allows to visit this region, I am more than happy to have placed many short orders in that region waiting to be triggered as the main move is to the downside.
Its very important to mention that by breaking below $101,700 Bitcoin will break below its magic bull market line which would finally confirm a bear market and silence those bulls once for all! So have patience, because the move to send BTC below this magic line will be massive! Prepare for it, and dont be a fool! I predict a breakdown below this magic line and the end of the bull market!
On top of that we also see the 112,500 short term holder realized price, which shows the average entry of short term traders and buyers. This means that those short term traders are now in a loss, and as per on-chain data they tend to sell most of their positions if prices fall down between 5-10%, adding more short term pressure to the market. Keep this as side information as more sell pressure ahead.
As per the calendar CPI data is to be published on Friday with 0.3% expectations. I can repeat my words all over again but DrProfit Premium on Telegram nailed all of these moves. None of our members that listened to DrProfit ended up liquidated in the largest liquidation event in history, no, they shorted the largest liquidation event in history and made life changing gains. I can’t repeat it more often but joining DrProfit Premium can truly change your life as many testimonies are showing. Join here: https://t.co/4ilNrRrtAu
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THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY. ALL WRITTEN HERE IS MY OPINION AND MY OWN TRADING AND INVESTING STRATEGY.
🚨#BTC: 10 YEAR FRACTAL CONFIRMS BEAR
From 2015 ATL to ATH BTC took 1050 Days
From 2017 ATH to ATL it took 364 Days
From 2018 ATL to ATH it took 1071 Days
From 2021 ATH to ATL it took 364 Days
Now BTC is up 1064 days from All time low to current ATH. If we follow the same fractal we are entering a bear market in this month and will bottom out in October 2026. (This chart was shared in the premium channel two weeks ago at an BTC price of 124k)
