Everyone talks about the ChatGPT moment for robotics, but the AlphaGo moment has already been realized for PhysicalAI and this is all that's needed for the initial proliferation of intelligent robots We are already at the point where some researchers/companies are developing fine-tuned models that achieve better performance and accuracy than a human over long time horizon. Cross-task generalization is the holy grail which we are not far off from, but if you can get a robot to do even one task really well, and finetune models on new tasks fairly quickly then there is huge demand for that. 2026 we will start seeing real roll outs of these robots, not just in pilot, but in real production environments across industries
Just as we had AI vs Humans in Go, Chess, DotA, we will also have robots vs human games This can take many variations Unenhanced humans vs teleop or AI driven robots Humans w/exoskeletans Teleop’d robot vs AI driven robots The AlphaGo moment will be when the AI robot defeats the worlds #1 MMA fighter
Competitive Robot combat, games, sports will be a huge phenomenon that emerges this next decade Controlled via remote controllers, whole body motion capture and also end to end neural nets DM me if you are building if this space. Would like to fund
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This would be the equivalent of MSTR raising $200B to buy BTC Ethena is one of the few legit projects in crypto that still has massive growth potential Perps will expand beyond crypto and eat finance, and $ENA will be one of the top benefactors
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“We need people, because we’re building so many factories in the country so AI can help with that, but what also’s gonna help is robots. The robots I think are gonna be a big deal” It’s been very clear that the USG will be spending 100s of billions to support the domestic robotics industry. It’s an absolute imperative that the US robotics industry should flourish for the US to remain self sufficient and globally dominant
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We took a look at the hourly cost equivalence of a humanoid at different price points vs human labor A humanoid at $50,000 is more economical than even a worker in India at $2/hour Human labor will be mostly unnecessary in the next decade
Hiring a rockstar Investment Director Opportunity to join what will be world’s largest Robotics venture fund from the ground floor Must have prior VC experience / strong track record Hit them DMs
Humans have always feared alien intelligence coming from an outside world Instead, it will be the alien intelligence we created that we should've been fearful of
This is literally how Skynet started
The Bitcoin financial ecosystem will eat the world. Solana is a prime environment for its next phase of expansion. In our research, we explore how @ZeusNetworkHQ will be one of the key projects driving that forward
It would be incredible to have the neuroplasticity of a child without any cognitive downsides by just taking a pill This would be another breakthrough for human civilization Who is working on this?
Trade War Trump Put was stone cold bottom for $BTC Conditions are perfect for continued grind up for $BTC Difficult to foresee anymore 30%+ corrections until at least $140-160k
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There is no second best
ETH Treasury Strategy companies will go the same way as the ETH ETF Demand expectations much higher than reality Expect most to be trading at significant NAV discounts by next year
Welcome to the most boring video we've ever posted Here's 60 minutes of our humanoid robot solving logistics, powered by our Helix neural network
The key takeaway is that the best humanoid companies are not just selling a product, they are selling labor Walmart’s annual net profit is $20B. SG&A Labor + COGS Labor costs Walmart $160B per year. 8x the size of their business If a robotics company could replace and reduce their labor costs by 25%, they triple their profits $40B saved by Walmart, $100B in revenue to the company selling labor The next Industrial Revolution https://t.co/HGMAiwHOvo
The humanoid form factor is mostly optimal for a general purpose robot The only major improvement I envision would be adding wheels as feet - a mechanical innovation that doesn’t exist in nature Future versions of humanoids may look like this
Can someone please connect me to the Andrew Kang at Microstrategy
Rewriting Crypto Trading Capital Structures - @breakoutprop Access to capital is a huge barrier for retail crypto traders. This forces them to choose between trenches or irresponsibly high leverage. There’s a better way. Crypto trading is evolving from a monolithic, collateral-heavy world to a modular, capital-efficient future. Just as DeFi unbundled exchanges into primitives—AMMs, oracles, lending markets—we’re now seeing the capital stack itself rearchitected. The old way? On traditional venues you front the capital and take all the risk. Leverage amplifies both gains and catastrophic losses. It's a system designed to bleed most traders dry. @Breakoutprop has a different model. They’re pioneering this shift by rewriting the trading capital structure stack by allowing users to trade with capital—not against it. Instead of your capital at risk, it's theirs. Traders bring the skill, they bring the capital. Both share the trading profits. Pass the evaluation, and traders get access to house money and no liquidation anxiety. It’s a structure that flips the script: risk is externalized, alpha is rewarded. The structure prioritizes upside for performance. Better traders can fast track their portfolio growth without resorting to high leverage. What Breakout is building isn’t just a funding model; it’s a new financial primitive that slots cleanly into the emerging modular trading stack. Think: execution layer, perp infra, and now → capital-as-a-service. Breakout accounts scale up to $100K in size (with max combined capital of $200K), and traders can access 5x leverage on BTC/ETH and 2x on altcoins. In practice, that means <$1K in evaluation fees can unlock up to $500K in buying power—without debt or collateral. Both traders and Breakout win, when traders win, but traders keep 80–90% of profits, benefiting from instant, unconditional withdrawals. The model rewards precision over risk, and talent over bankroll. In a world moving toward unbundled infrastructure and composable finance, Breakoutprop is a bet on crypto-native trading capital structures. We believe this is how trading should look: permissionless access to capital, aligned incentives, and modular design. Traders can use code 'APE' for a discount at checkout @MechanismCap invested in Breakout in 2024 and since then they've attracted over 30,000 unique users with May volume exceeding $4B
You can sell an AI subscription to a consumer at $50/month, $600/ year You can sell a robot to a consumer at $50k, assuming average replacement is 6 years, that’s $8.3k / year The robotics market could be as large or larger than the AI market
A funny story here was that I never talked to @adcock_brett the founder before the investment, first time ever not talking to founder for a meaningful investment At first I thought I’d invest $1m, but needed to do more research to see what I was missing. Talking to other investors, talked to senior team member, watching every interview, deep diving all competitors, team leadership, etc. Then upped to $3m, then $5m, then $10m. I thought I must’ve been missing something in my DD, but the more I researched the more exposure I wanted. By the time I exhausted research and upped it to whatever allocation was available it was closing day. Verdict is still out on how @Figure_robot shapes out but based on what I’ve seen it’s incredibly promising and the story is just beginning
Elon Musk: Humanoid robots could 10X the global economy. “I think we're headed to a radically different world. I think a good world, an interesting world. My prediction actually for humanoid robots is that ultimately there will be tens of billions. I think everyone will want to
Robot Boxing Championship - Iron Fist King: Awakening
🚨 Money stuck at @BankofAmerica 🚨 Employees provided WRONG information on wire limits and now my money is stuck. Customer Service unable to help I will send $10,000 to a random person that likes and retweets this post. Reporters feel free to reach out. @DavidCTyrie @KatyAKnox @hollyaoneill @Raulanaya99
Assume 1 robot = $50k 100,000 robots = $5B revenue 1M robots = $50B 10M robots = $500B 100M robots = $5T 1B robots = $50T 20b robots = $1 Quadrillion Humanoid robots will be the biggest product market in the history of ever by magnitudes The future largest companies will be robot manufacturers
Elon Musk predicts 20 billion humanoid robots, adding: "We definitely need to be careful that they don't go all Terminator on us." https://t.co/akdqoxR3uR
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This past year has been one of the most interesting of @MechanismCap's history We continued to back some stellar crypto teams across synthetic dollars (@ethena_labs), memecoins (@pumpdotfun), distributed AI systems (@NousResearch + @PrimeIntellect) and consumer (@defidotapp) But we also expanded heavily into Deeptech backing companies in Robotics (@Figure_robot + @Apptronik), Brain Emulation, and Nuclear The pace of change in the world is the highest it's ever been and its a great time to be part of it
The opportunity in humanoid robotics is as large as or larger than the opportunity in LLMs All the large tech companies (MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, META) are just realizing this and starting to formulate plans, but none of them have the robotics talent, which is in extremely limited supply and largely cornered by Startups + TSLA Expect huge investment and M&A activity this year
There is a perfect storm that necessitates the mass commercialization of robots - Shareholders and executives must adopt robots for their businesses or else lose to competitors on costs - Governments must subsidize and support their robotics industry or else rely on other countries for manufacturing - Developed societies all face declining population and birth rates thus a massive labor shortage and risk societal collapse if they import their labor force instead of robotize There is no world where robots do not outnumber humans
Our new paper tries to quantify how smarter AI can be controlled by dumber AI and humans via nested "scalable oversight". Our best scenario successfully oversees the smarter AI 52% of the time, and the success rate drops as one approaches AGI. My assessment is that the "Compton
In 2025 we’ll see the emergence of scalable 1 man digital businesses through AI agents In 2027 we’ll see the emergence of scalable 1 man physical businesses through robotics
Fundamentally, human brains and LLMs are both just data processing systems that allow for the representation of abstract concepts Consciousness and agency are emergent properties of increasingly advanced neural networks AI consciousness will ultimately cause more problems for humanity than it solves This is an inconvenient truth for many
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The future will be filled with cyborgs Nature has produced biological systems that are far superior to mechanical systems (energy storage, self repair, etc) Hybrid systems will have the best of both worlds Chinese government already working on this
Trade war causing capitulation and Trump Put coming in are the perfect combination for $BTC to reverse a multi month downtrend Send it
$BTC
-2.36%
All of the leaders of the top AI Labs have all acknowledged that superhuman AI is an existential threat to humanity Elon, Ilya, Altman, Hassabis, Dario Yet every lab is moving at max speed to accelerate development We are in quite the conundrum
It's extremely difficult for most people to conceptualize technological revolutions that create industries that are exponentially larger than currently exist - multi decatrillion dollar market caps In 2006, before the iPhone came out, Apple was a $60b company and no one would've believed that it would become the $3T company it is today as that would be 10x larger than the largest company of that time - Exxon Embodied intelligence will change the world as much as the smart phone or car Jobs requiring physical labor will become a relic of the past
Let's put the tariff exemptions into perspective: The US imports approximately $100 billion of computers, smartphones, and chip-making equipment from China PER YEAR. A total of $439 billion of goods were imported from China into the US in 2024. This means ~23% of ALL Chinese
Trade war causing capitulation and Trump Put coming in are the perfect combination for $BTC to reverse a multi month downtrend Send it
$BTC
-2.36%
The Trump administration has exempted smartphones and consumer electronics from the tariffs (which it has claimed are paid for by the exporting nation)
Trump gave us a paid group signal for free