#Bitcoin regarding ISM PMI I’ve been asked about it a lot in comments and DMs, so here’s a quick look. First off, calling ISM PMI “the business cycle” is wild. Cherry-picking a single macroeconomic indicator and treating it as the cycle is, in economics, called proxy abuse.

#Bitcoin swept the previous yearly low. Short-term mean reversion toward Tenkan 🔴 looks likely.

#Bitcoin "Bottom is here"?

#Ethereum Lost the Equilibrium. Price is starting to look more interesting from a risk/reward standpoint, even if structure remains weak.

#Bitcoin This is exactly why structure matters. The warning signs were there months ago. Price just caught up.

#Bitcoin This is exactly why structure matters. The warning signs were there months ago. Price just caught up.

#Bitcoin just lost the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This has been my key bull market support since the 2022 low. Now broken on the weekly and monthly charts.

#Bitcoin regarding ISM PMI I’ve been asked about it a lot in comments and DMs, so here’s a quick look. First off, calling ISM PMI “the business cycle” is wild. Cherry-picking a single macroeconomic indicator and treating it as the cycle is, in economics, called proxy abuse. That said, let’s look at the chart. In 2013, 2016 and 2020, when PMI moved back above 50, Bitcoin showed a hidden bullish divergence. Each time, a bull run followed. Today? PMI just crossed above 50 again but this time we have a regular bearish divergence instead. Same indicator, different structure, probably different outcome.

#Bitcoin

#Bitcoin Previous monthly low ✔️ Previous quarterly low ✔️ Eyes on the 1st overhead FVG.

#Bitcoin After a rejection at the monthly fair value gap, BTC resumed the downtrend. Liquidity below still untouched.

#Bitcoin CME Futures Gap 🕳️ Large gap left open between 78k–84k. Magnets tend to get filled.

#Bitcoin

#Bitcoin Previous monthly low ✔️ Previous quarterly low ✔️ Eyes on the 1st overhead FVG.

#Bitcoin Previous monthly low ✔️ Previous quarterly low ✔️ Eyes on the 1st overhead FVG.

#Bitcoin After a rejection at the monthly fair value gap, BTC resumed the downtrend. Liquidity below still untouched.

#Bitcoin CME Futures Gap 🕳️ Large gap left open between 78k–84k. Magnets tend to get filled.

#Gold bounce? After a sharp -8% selloff, buyers stepped in at weekly Kijun 🔵

#Gold bounce? After a sharp -8% selloff, buyers stepped in at weekly Kijun 🔵

Smart money leaving metals for #Bitcoin?

Smart money leaving metals for #Bitcoin?

#Bitcoin Breakdown opens the path to the lower boundary.

🔄 Liquidity Rotation in Play. When risk appetite fade, liquidity moves to stables.

#Dollar No breakdown Still inside the long-term ascending channel.

#Bitcoin Cycle Turning Point 🔁 (update) As discussed months ago, bear market confirmations always come late and by then, price is already well off highs.

#Bitcoin Moving Average Cycle Pattern BTC has now lost the 🔴 50MA and 🔵 100MA support. Historically the 🟢 200MA becomes the next major level to watch. In past cycles, price reached it within 1 to 6 weeks after losing 100MA

#BITCOIN BEARISH BREAK OF STRUCTURE The trend has shifted. Not a sell signal. The best exits were higher. Smart money sell strength, not weakness. From here, it's about positioning and patience. Not panic.

#Bitcoin Breakdown opens the path to the lower boundary.

🔄 Liquidity Rotation in Play. When risk appetite fade, liquidity moves to stables.

#Bitcoin Cycle Turning Point 🔁 (update) As discussed months ago, bear market confirmations always come late and by then, price is already well off highs.

#Dollar No breakdown Still inside the long-term ascending channel.

#Dollar No breakdown Still inside the long-term ascending channel.

#Bitcoin Moving Average Cycle Pattern BTC has now lost the 🔴 50MA and 🔵 100MA support. Historically the 🟢 200MA becomes the next major level to watch. In past cycles, price reached it within 1 to 6 weeks after losing 100MA

#BITCOIN BEARISH BREAK OF STRUCTURE The trend has shifted. Not a sell signal. The best exits were higher. Smart money sell strength, not weakness. From here, it's about positioning and patience. Not panic.

#Bitcoin Breakdown BTC exited the Gaussian channel entirely. Historically, this leads to further downside.

#Bitcoin repeating the late-cycle playbook

#Bitcoin broke out of the Kumo cloud. No surprises. Just structure playing out. Times exposes everything. Grateful for those who trusted the process.

Scenario mapped a month ago. Upper liquidity taken first -> bearish continuation followed.

#Altcoins Structure breaking. Risk expands below.

#ETH A monthly close below $2,880 would increase the probability of further downside toward the next fair value gap.