Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped -70%. Will this time be different?

$BTC has failed to reclaim the STH Realized price. We will likely we get a continuation towards the downside from here.

We are more than halfway through the bear market now. The bottom is getting close.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump just gave Iran a new deadline. Make a deal or face the bombs this weekend. And this time he’s not bluffing. He was an hour away from restarting the war last weekend.

HUGE: NATO considers deploying troops in the Strait of Hormuz to help ships pass through the waterway if not reopened by early July.

Hey @grok Explain how bad this is for risk assets:

MASSIVE: 🇨🇳 China is dumping US treasuries at an incredibly fast pace. We haven’t seen anything like this since the Great Financial Crisis.

BREAKING: EVERYTHING

BREAKING: Blackrock deposits ~$450M worth of $BTC into Coinbase. MORE SELLING?!

Bitfinex whales short positions on $ETH are going parabolic. You know what this means.

🚨 WARNING: The US 30Y bond yield hits 5.182%, its highest level since 2007.

INSANE: Kalshi traders now expect US inflation to hit 5.1% in 2026.

$BTC is breaking down from this textbook falling wedge setup. A sharper drop is expected.

BREAKING: 🇮🇷 Iran proposes US troops leave bases near Iran, pay war reparations, end blockade, lift sanctions, and release frozen assets.

🚨 THIS IS VERY CONCERNING 🇺🇸 US National debt is now larger than $39 TRILLION. The US needs to refinance ~$10 trillion this year. And this is while bond yields are rising aggressively & rate HIKES are being priced in. The more yields rise, the more money gets taken out of risk assets. Not good for crypto.

$BTC is rejecting from the 200MA. We will likely see a bigger drawdown than most people expect.

🚨 MASSIVE WARNING SIGNAL Odds of a rate HIKE by January 2027 rises to 55%. There’s also 0% chance of a cut.

The CME Gap at $79,000 remains. This will likely close before we see a more drastic move to the downside.

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Whales are getting bullish on $ETH. What do they know that retail doesn’t? 👀

BEARISH: Crypto Sentiment falls down to 25, Extreme Fear.

Massive Rejection At Resistance Watch here:

$BTC JUST LOST THE STH REALIZED PRICE If Bitcoin stays below $78,000, bears will remain in control. Not looking good here…

🇺🇸 US debt is going parabolic, while bond yields are skyrocketing. This is not sustainable.

Historically speaking, when a new Fed Chair takes office, the market has a correction. It’s happened every single time. The average 3-month drawdown is -12%. History is likely to repeat.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS THERE WILL BE NO ATTACK ON IRAN TOMORROW BUT THEY ARE PREPARED TO ATTACK AT A MOMENT’S NOTICE.

Will we get an altseason in 2026?

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump says the Iran deal is happening soon.

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Kevin Warsh to be sworn in as Fed Chair on Friday.

Ethereum’s inverse correlation to Oil is the highest it’s ever been. We need macro to improve before we can get bullish on $ETH again.

INSANE: Berkshire Hathaway is now sitting on its biggest cash reserve in history. $397 BILLION in cash. They’re clearly expecting cheaper prices in the near future. Does this worry you?

Bitcoin history is repeating. Do you see what comes next? 🫵

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Governor of Minnesota signs bill allowing banks and credit unions to offer crypto custody services.

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen on @CNBC. By 2030, ~10% of ALL financial assets will be tokenised. Today: > MMFs & private credit: 0.5–1% > Equities: 0.1% of a $125T market Stablecoins are the rail. NYSE & Nasdaq are already testing it. The CLARITY Act gets us closer. AI isn't crypto's enemy, it works with it. Full breakdown below 👇

The altcoin market cap broke out of this trend & is now doing a retest. If it holds, we could see a revival of the altcoin market. But that likely won’t happen unless macro gets less shaky.

BREAKING: 🇮🇷 Iran demands permanent end to the war, sanctions to be lifted & Hormuz to be reopened.

$BTC FALLS BELOW $77,000…

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Stock market futures flip green & bonds retrace slightly ahead of US market open!

BREAKING: Tom Lee’s BitMine bought 72,300 $ETH last week.

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL 🇯🇵 Japan’s 30Y Yield is currently at ATHs. The higher this goes, the more concerning it becomes for risk assets.