#Bitcoin is trading at a very crucial level🚨
Price is currently trading around the middle Bollinger Band.
Historically, when price breaks above the middle Bollinger Band, Bitcoin enters a strong bullish phase.
In this cycle, price reclaimed the mid band in October 2023 around $26,000, after which it rallied to $126,000.
So far, price has tested the middle Bollinger Band for the first time this cycle, which is a key support level.
A break below could trigger a massive correction and signal a bear market, while a successful hold could lead to a strong upside move.
#Bitcoin doesn’t need to go up every day
BTC is back at Trendline 1, the primary support that has been respected since March 2023
After 766 days, price tested this trendline again in December 2025
For most of the uptrend, BTC respected Trendline 2 (secondary / upper trendline)
That structure held for a long time
Once it finally broke, price naturally rotated back to Trendline 1
This is normal market behavior
Expansion → breakdown → mean reversion to primary support
In the past, two major tests of Trendline 1 resulted in strong upside moves.
We are back at Trendline 1, and price has been holding this support for the past few months.👀
#Bitcoin doesn’t need to go up every day
BTC is back at Trendline 1, the primary support that has been respected since March 2023
After 766 days, price tested this trendline again in December 2025
For most of the uptrend, BTC respected Trendline 2 (secondary / upper trendline)
That structure held for a long time
Once it finally broke, price naturally rotated back to Trendline 1
This is normal market behavior
Expansion → breakdown → mean reversion to primary support
In the past, two major tests of Trendline 1 resulted in strong upside moves.
We are back at Trendline 1, and price has been holding this support for the past few months.
#Bitcoin New ATH is still possible?🚨
After the recent dump, BTC has been ranging around $85k for the past few weeks.
At the same time, USDT Dominance has broken out of its range.
So far, dominance is holding above the breakout zone, and BTC is also holding around 85k lows well.
Since BTC and USDT.D are inversely correlated, two main scenarios stand out:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Move) - Green
If USDT.D starts dumping from here, this breakout will turn into a fakeout.
That would likely fuel another BTC expansion, possibly even a new ATH before any distribution.
Scenario 2 (Early bear structure) - Red
If the broader trend weakens, we could still see a temporary BTC bounce, while USDT.D forms a higher low near the mid-range before continuing higher.
For Bitcoin, this would look like a higher timeframe slow distribution, not a crash but slow & choppy downtrend, early bear market behavior.
For now - BTC is holding structure & USDT.D is at a critical decision zone
Next move in dominance will likely decide whether this is just a pause before continuation or the start of a longer distribution phase followed by a New ATH.
