#Bitcoin - Did the Most Accurate Indicator Fail This Cycle? The PI Cycle Top has been one of the most accurate indicators for predicting the Bitcoin cycle ATH. In previous cycles, it marked the top almost perfectly. But this time… it failed to do so. The indicator prints a peak signal when the 111 DMA crosses above the 350 DMA ×2. Historically, this crossover happens during rapid expansion phase, when Bitcoin goes parabolic and price starts trading well above the 350 DMA ×2. Once the 111 DMA crosses above the 350 DMA ×2, it has consistently marked the cycle top and the beginning of the bear market. However, in this cycle: Price touched the 350 DMA x2 but never broke above it (green line). The crossover never happend and the indicator never confirmed a proper peak signal. Instead, Bitcoin broke below the long-term trendline support, catching many off guard. For the first time, the “most accurate cycle peak” indicator didn’t behave the way it historically has.