Notes
“It’s no wonder younger generations, Millennials and Gen Z, are so economically anxious,” Larry Fink of BlackRock, $BLK has said.
“They believe my generation—the baby boomers—have focused on their own financial well-being to the detriment of who comes next. And in the case of retirement, they’re right.”
MORNING BID
🔸 $CVGW: Q4 EPS 5c vs. -2c last year; revenue up 19.5% to $170M vs. $161.93M est.; adj EBITDA $6.7M.
🔸 $GM: Multi-year deal with Vianode for synthetic graphite for EV batteries.
🔸 $TSLA: SEC sues Elon Musk for late disclosure of Twitter stake in 2022.
🔸 $VAL, $RIG, $NE, $HP, $SLB, $NOV: Downgraded to In Line from Outperform by Evercore/ISI.
🔸 $Oil Market: IEA reports 2025 oil surplus at 725k b/d, down from 950k b/d.
🔸 $Aluminum: Prices up slightly; EU eyes import limits from Russia, China's growth slows.
🔸 $PKE: Q3 EPS $0.08, sales $14.4M.
🔸 $BK: Q4 adj EPS $1.72 vs. $1.56 est.; AUM $2T; fee revenue +9% to $3.51B; net interest +8% to $1.19B; AUC/A $52.1T, up 9%.
🔸 $BHLB: Files for offering of up to 3.45M shares.
🔸 $BLK: Q4 adj EPS $11.93 vs. $11.22 est.; revenue +23% to $5.68B; AUM record $11.55T; operating margin 45.5%; $281B inflows Q4.
🔸 $DFS: Charge-off rate 2.55%, delinquency rate 1.76% at Dec 2024.
🔸 $JPM: Q4 EPS $4.81 vs. $4.04 est.; revenue $42.8B; charge-offs 1.63%, delinquencies 0.84%; FICC trading $5.01B vs. $4.37B est.; credit loss $2.63B; ROE 17%, ROTCE 21%; $486B inflows 2024.
🔸 $WFC: Q4 EPS $1.43 vs. $1.35 est.; net interest $11.84B; revenue $20.38B; commercial banking $3.17B, investment banking $4.61B, wealth management $3.96B.
🔸 $KROS: Paused dosing in TROPOS trial for pulmonary hypertension due to pericardial effusion concerns in safety review.
🔸 $VCEL: Lowers FY24 revenue forecast to $237M-$237.5M from $238M-$242M; raises gross margin to 72.5%; maintains EBITDA margin at 22%; Q4 revenue expected at $75.2M-$75.7M, under consensus.
🔸 $APLD: Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs. ($0.15) est.; EBITDA $21.4M vs. $19.68M est.; revenue $63.9M; cloud services +523% to $27.7M.
🔸 $PI: Maintains Q4 revenue and EBITDA guidance; expects EBITDA $13.6M-$15.1M, revenue $91M-$94M.
🔸 $LRCX: Downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform by Wolfe Research.
🔸 $LASR: Q4 revenue forecast $46M-$48M, below $52M est.; lower than expected margins and EBITDA.
🔸 $MGNI: Expands partnership with Samsung Ads for programmatic ads in Southeast Asia.
🔸 $S: Downgraded to Neutral from Buy by UBS.
🔸 U.S. Policy: New regulations planned to limit chip exports to China from TSMC, Samsung, and others.
BTC现货ETF的数据和ETH其实差距不大,都能看到美国投资者出现了一定的FOMO的情绪,而且也都是贝莱德的投资者开始减少购买,在过去的24小时中贝莱德净流入的BTC相比昨天降低了70%,富达虽然也有买入,但净增持并没有像 #ETH 一样大幅领先,反而还是低于贝莱德。
其实这就是我在ETH数据中说的问题,如果你看好接下来会是牛市,那么对比两个ETF中ETH可能是被低估的,所以市场也愿意去博弈低估的标的会有补涨的机会,除了贝莱德和富达以外,还是四家ETF机构有100余枚 #BTC 的净增持,可以忽略不计了。
抛售方面也只有灰度的GBTC和景顺两家,抛售的量也并不多,对于市场几乎不存在影响。最近两天有点奇怪,反而是在亚洲和欧洲主力交易时间价格拉升的不错,而到了美国交易时间就会有较大的回调,我仍然是觉得目前还是投资者之间的博弈阶段,有可能是美国投资者的FOMO情绪下调导致。
可能会有小伙伴问,前边不是说还有FOMO,为什么又说FOMO情绪下调,因为昨天在出现CPI数据后,BTC直接冲到了93,000美元,这肯定是FOMO的力量,但是到了凌晨就开始下调,就有可能是FOMO情绪的回调,毕竟冲的太快了,每天都是一次新高,这并不是一件好事。
数据已更新,地址:https://t.co/qoK1tUspE4
本推文由 @ApeXProtocolCN 赞助|Dex With ApeX

前边逼逼叨叨的半天结果正事忘记了,BTC现货ETF的数据忘记发了,前边看了ETH的数据,最直接的结论就是贝莱德已经让自己的理财经理或类似的角色开始在用户之间带起了FOMO的情绪,其实不仅是在 #ETH ,在 #BTC 也是一样,过去的24小时虽然别的美国ETF机构的增持很一般,但是贝莱德净增持了8,691枚BTC,和周一同样的数量。
这就真的代表了最起码贝莱德在向自己的用户传递BTC和ETH值得投资的信息,这个事情我们从贝莱德的股票( $BLK )发布财报的时候就在说了,到了现在可以证明完全是正确的。所以我也建议很多还在对BTC观望的小伙伴,不如做一个“定投”,只要某一天贝莱德增持BTC继续保持领先,就定投哪怕千分之一的资金去买BTC。
除了贝莱德,还有几只现货ETF基金有净流入,但几乎可以忽略不计了,抛售方面也只有ARK减持了60枚BTC,其它的都没有太大的变化。过去的24小时中美国现货ETF净增持了9,745枚BTC,也是个不错的数据了,虽然绝大多数都是贝莱德贡献的。
数据已更新,地址:https://t.co/qoK1tUsXtC
本推文由 @ApeXProtocolCN 赞助|Dex With ApeX
