Notes
PancakeSwap 也开始 pump 了!刚上线两个,上车了 $CAKEDOG $BRK ,一个翻倍,一个腰斩,等于白玩😩


资本顾问Jeff Walton计算得出,只有当比特币价格跌至18,826美元时,MicroStrategy的资产才会低于其负债。
有兴趣的小伙伴可以仔细研究下😁
理论上未来18个月内的主要恐慌风险就是美国经济衰退引发又一次312,或者全球流动性危机,或者其他什么事件,比如或者在未来的某一天东大西大发生直接战争。。。
先不说战争,除非美国经济衰退、流动性危机发生在一起,中间间隔时间很短,倒是有可能看到这么低也就是20,000美金左右的 $BTC ,但是个人认为理论上不太可能。实际还是要看在将要发生实际的美国衰退、流动性危机时前夕BTC的价格是多少,也就是说从90,000跌和跟60,000开始跌,是不一样的。
当然还有就是当发生衰退、流动性危机这样的事件的前后,MSTR会如何处理手里持有的 $BTC ,如果选择抛售,不管基于什么理由抛售,只要抛售,肯定会进一步引发情绪恐慌造成砸盘的。如果届时 $MSTR 不仅不抛售还在购买,那肯定是情绪提升。
然后衰退、流动性危机之后,还是没有跌破20,000,而后美联储肯定要放水,再往后会不会跌破20,000,可能性就更加小了。
当然呢,鉴于BTC价格的剧烈波动,未来一切不好那么明确。
作为普通交易者的我们,要做好仓位配置,适时根据市场宏观变化调整自己的仓位情况。DYOR
When I first came to the U.S. in 2013, I only had $500,000. At that time, I had to choose between buying a house or investing, and I chose to invest. I put everything into @Tesla stock, and that investment later earned me tens of millions of dollars.
If I had followed Buffett’s and bought $BRK back then, I would have probably only made about $3 million today, which wouldn’t even keep up with California’s inflation.
Buffett’s value investing might be right, but it’s only suited for old money and huge funds.
A few years ago, I invested in SpaceX, and today I received a report showing I’ve gained several times over again.
Investing is about investing in people. Choosing the right person is the key.
Thank you @elonmusk
Thank you Mom @mayemusk