Notes
Today, CoreWeave, $CRWV, announced a $2 billion senior notes upsize and rallied 18%
But interestingly, before the news, there was overwhelmingly positive sentiment for $CRWV.
TEN MINUTES BEFORE CLOSE YESTERDAY, someone went hard into deep ITM calls, as well as calls expirying on Friday.
All trades were floor trades, multilegged, combined in numerous different calls spreads
These trades made millions.
This is a clear example of loading before news, by the way.




$CRWV $NVDA - COREWEAVE'S TRADING DEBUT TO TEST INVESTOR DEMAND FOR AI
CoreWeave, a Nvidia-backed AI cloud provider, starts trading today after raising $1.5B in a weaker-than-expected IPO. Initially aiming for $2.3B at $47-$55/share, it settled for $40/share, 35% below target.
Despite explosive revenue growth ($15M in 2022 → $1.9B in 2024), losses soared to $937M (from $31M in 2022). The company relies heavily on debt and sells computing power to tech giants that also build their own data centers, a risk in downturns.
Nvidia shares fell 2% on CoreWeave’s struggles. Adding concern, its co-founders cashed out $489M in early funding rounds, raising investor skepticism.
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
CONSUMER
🔸 Lululemon ( $LULU): Q4 adj. EPS $6.14 (est. $5.85); revs +13% y/y to $3.61B (est. $3.57B). Q1 comp sales +3% (+4% constant dollar). Q4 Americas comps flat; Intl +20%. Sees Q1 EPS $2.53-$2.58 (est. $2.78) & revs $2.34B-$2.36B (est. $2.39B).
🔸 Oxford ( $OXM): Q4 adj. EPS $1.37 (est. $1.27), sales $391M (est. $383.94M). Guides Q1 sales $375M-$395M (est. $401.18M), EPS $1.70-$1.90 (est. $2.79). Sees FY revs $1.49B-$1.53B (est. $1.54B), EPS $4.60-$5.00 (est. $6.81).
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 AAR ( $AIR): Q3 adj. EPS $0.99 (est. $0.96), revs +20% y/y to $678M (est. $699.13M). Adj. EBITDA +39% y/y to $81M; margin 12% (10.3% prior). Op margin 10.5% (5.8% y/y).
🔸 Argan ( $AGX): Q4 EPS $2.22 (est. $1.15), EBITDA $39.3M (est. $19.4M), revs $232.5M (est. $197.5M).
🔸 KULR ( $KULR): Q4 EPS ($0.02) in line, op. inc. ($3.54M) (est. $3.046M), revs $3.37M (est. $2.901M). Bitcoin holdings $20.28M (as of 12/31/24).
🔸 Nippon ( $NPSCY)/US Steel (X): Offering more investment to Trump admin to close $14B merger – Semafor.
🔸 Schneider ( $SNDR): Downgraded to Neutral at BofA, tgt cut to $25 (from $34) on weaker demand, tariff uncertainty, and pricing pressure.
FINANCIALS
🔸 Voya ( $VOYA): Downgraded to Underperform at BofA, tgt cut to $71 (from $79). Estimates imply $7.10-$7.90 EPS for 2025 (vs. est. $8.14).
HEALTHCARE
🔸 Beam ( $BEAM): FDA clears NDA for BEAM-302 (alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency).
🔸 CureVac ( $CVAC): EU patent upheld with amendments.
🔸 Kodiak ( $KOD): Q4 EPS ($0.84) (est. ($0.88)); cash runway into 2026.
TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 CoreWeave ( $CRWV): 37.5M share IPO at $40, below $47-$55 range; reduced from 49M shares.
🔸 Braze ( $BRZE): Acquires OfferFit for $325M (cash & stock).
🔸 Civeo ( $CVEO): Approves share buyback up to 10%.