Notes
去年12月太空经济板块可以说是中美共振了,美股太空经济几家主力基本上都翻倍了。心头好小火箭RKLB表现也很亮眼。过去一个月对RKLB来说绝对是业务上的超级月:1、拿到了美国太空发展局超过8亿美金,18颗卫星订单。这些卫星还配备卫星配备Rocket Lab的StarLite防护传感器(可防御定向能量威胁),并扩展到向其他承包商供应传感器;
2、同时还拿到加拿大、日本航天机构的新合同;
3、25年全年完成21次Electron火箭发射,年度100%任务成功率(全球小型火箭最活跃)。包括12月为iQPS发射SAR卫星(这是iQPS的第7颗,未来计划5次更多)。
4、中性火箭中子星Neutron进展:首飞仍目标2026年中(Q1运抵Wallops发射台,资格测试中)。Hungry Hippo可重复使用整流罩已完成资格测试;
拿到太空发展局的合同意味着RKLB正式跻身为最大的国防太空承包商之一;如果26年中中子星发射成功,意味着RKLB成功从小型火箭发射升级到中性火箭发射。
美股太空经济股票,有好几只在链上美股平台@MSX_CN 上都能交易,可以关注起来https://t.co/SwrikLq3oN



中美太空资源争夺白热化,这两天一条新闻值得关注,中国在去年12月正式向国际电信联盟(ITU)提交20.3万颗低轨卫星申报,涵盖14个星座,仅两大核心星座CTC-1与CTC-2就各达9.6万余颗,规模相当于美国星链申报总量的近5倍。
本次申报主体包括无线电创新院、中国移动、垣信卫星等机构。无线电创新院于2025年12月29日提交两个近10万颗卫星的巨型星座申请,并于次日(12月30日)完成河北雄安新区注册登记,成为中国无线电管理技术领域首家新型研发机构。
战略意图:
国际电信联盟(ITU)是太空的“规则制定者”,核心规矩就一条:“先申报、先发射、先占用”。低轨(距离地球300-2000公里)是太空里的“黄金地段”,信号快、延迟低,未来6G通信、军事指挥都离不开它,就像城市里的核心停车位,占一个少一个。
老马的星链动手更早:截至2025年底,在轨卫星快到1万颗,占了全球低轨卫星的2/3,还申报了4.2万颗,把好位置占得差不多了
中国此举旨在抢占低轨卫星频轨资源,应对国际竞争。目前全球低轨资源遵循“先占先得”规则,中国通过大规模申报锁定资源。
当然ITU审批通过后并不是一劳永逸,根据ITU规则,申报单位需在7年内发射首颗卫星,第9年完成10%部署,第12年完成50%部署,第14年完成全部部署。
中国现在大规模申报意味着从卫星制造到火箭发射,全产业链都已准备就绪,这是有明确路线图的国家工程,绝不是虚张声势。
所以说太空资源争夺已是白热化

MORNING RECAP
Dollar Tree ( $DLTR) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $1.12 (beat by $0.04)
╌Revenue: $7.56B (beat by $120M)
╌Same-store sales growth: Dollar Tree +1.8%, Family Dollar +1.9%, Enterprise +1.8%
╌Q4 Guidance: EPS $2.10-$2.30, Revenue $8.1B-$8.3B
╌Continues strategic review of Family Dollar segment
Foot Locker ( $FL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.33 (missed by $0.08)
╌Sales: $1.96B (missed by $60M)
╌Comp sales: +2.4% (below estimate)
╌FY25 adjusted EPS forecast lowered to $1.20-$1.30 from $1.50-$1.70
╌FY25 comp sales growth narrowed to 1%-1.5%
╌Gross margin now expected at 28.7%-28.8%
General Motors ( $GM):
╌To record over $5B in non-cash charges for China JV:
╌Restructuring: $2.6B-$2.9B
╌Reduced value: $2.7B
Torrid Holdings ( $CURV) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.01) (missed by $0.04)
╌Adj EBITDA: $19.584M (missed by $7.2M)
╌Revenue: $263.766M (missed by $22M)
╌Q4 Guidance: Sales $255M-$270M, Adj EBITDA $9M-$15M
╌FY25 Guidance: Sales $1.083B-$1.098B, Adj EBITDA $101M-$107M
Volkswagen ( $VWAGY):
╌Recalls 4,616 vehicles in the US due to potential battery overheating/fire risk.
Crescent Energy ( $CRGY):
╌Acquires Eagle Ford assets from Ridgemar Energy for $905M upfront, with additional oil price-based payments.
Intuitive Machines ( $LUNR):
╌Offers 9.523 million shares at $10.50 each.
Old Dominion ( $ODFL) November Performance:
╌LTL tons/day: -8%
╌LTL shipments/day: -6.8%
╌LTL weight/shipment: -1.2%
XPO, Inc. ( $XPO) November Metrics:
╌LTL tonnage/day down 4.0% from last year.
╌Shipments/day down 4.2%.
╌Weight/shipment up by 0.2%.
Goldman Sachs ( $GS):
╌CEO David Solomon sold 6,550 shares at $610.91/share.
Iris Energy ( $IREN):
╌Issues $300M in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Raymond James Financial Inc ( $RJF):
╌Authorizes $1.5B share repurchase.
╌Increases dividend to $0.50.
Royal Bank of Canada ( $RY) Q4:
╌Adjusted EPS: C$3.07 (up from C$2.65)
╌Revenue: C$15.07B (up from C$12.69B)
╌Dividend raised by 4.2%.
Eli Lilly ( $LLY) vs. Novo Nordisk ( $NVO):
╌Zepbound outperforms Wegovy with 20% vs. 14% body weight loss.
Novavax ( $NVAX):
╌Sells Czech manufacturing facility to Novo Nordisk for $200M, aiming for $80M annual cost reduction.
Revolution Medicines ( $RVMD):
╌Secondary offering of 14.13M shares at $46.00 each.
Salesforce Inc. ( $CRM) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $2.41 (vs. est. $2.44)
╌Revenue: $9.44B (vs. est. $9.348B)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $9.9B-$10.1B (vs. est. $10.05B)
╌FY Revenue Guidance: Raised to $37.8B-$38.0B
╌Q4 Adj EPS Guidance: $2.57-$2.62 (vs. est. $2.65)
╌FY Adj EPS Guidance: $9.98-$10.03 (vs. est. $10.11)
Box Inc. ( $BOX) Q3:
╌EPS: $0.45 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $275.9M (up 5% y/y, vs. est. $275.1M)
╌RPO: $1.282B, up 13% q/q
╌FY25 EPS Guidance Raised to $1.70
╌FY25 Revenue Guidance Narrows to $1.09B
Couchbase Inc. ( $BASE) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.35) (vs. est. ($0.08))
╌Revenue: $51.628M (vs. est. $50.78M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $52.7M-$53.5M (vs. est. $54.05M)
╌Q4 ARR: $236.5M-$239.5M
Marvell Technologies ( $MRVL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.43 (vs. est. $0.41)
╌Revenue: $1.52B (up 6.9% y/y, vs. est. $1.45B)
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.59±$0.05
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $1.8B±5% (vs. est. $1.65B)
Okta Inc. ( $OKTA):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.67 (vs. est. $0.58)
╌Revenue: $665M (vs. est. $649.7M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $667M-$669M
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.73-$0.74
╌FY Revenue Guidance: $2.595B-$2.597B
╌FY Adjusted EPS Guidance: $2.75-$2.76
Pure Storage ( $PSTG):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.50 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $831.1M (vs. est. $814.88M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $867M
╌Q4 Adjusted Operating Income: $135M
NXP Semiconductors ( $NXPI) & Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM):
╌Discussing $8B Singapore venture expansion amid U.S.-China tech tensions.



