Notes

物理AI的一大步,CES上波士顿动力发布的全新电驱Atlas最大亮点:1、360度旋转关节、56个自由度,机器人头部、躯干和四肢都能360°旋转,完全没有“正面”和“背面”的区别,运动效率高于人类,可以说是对人形概念的一次重构。 2、灵巧手的大进步,看Atlas的演示已经能很灵活地拿起很多细小的零部件,水上的灵活度相比之前和其他机器人大大提高。 3、与谷歌DeepMind达成了战略合作,在把谷歌Gemini Robotics基础模型和新型Atlas机器人进行深度集成和联合研究。这能够让任何形状和尺寸的机器人感知、推理、使用工具并与人类互动,它们可以解决各种复杂的现实世界任务——即使是那些它们未经训练的任务 4、已经开始大规模量产,首批Atlas机器人的量产部署计划已排满,预计将于2026年交付给现代汽车的机器人元工厂应用中心(RMAC)和谷歌DeepMind,该公司计划在2027年初再新增客户。
00:02:55
$PLTR
-5.03%
$PATH $AVAV $ONDS $RCAT
+6.35%
$UMAC $TSLA
+2.97%
$HON $TER $GOOGL
-1.48%
$AMZN
-1.94%
$MBLY $LIDR $LAZR $ISRG $PRCT $RR $OII
20
美股机器人产业地图,川普现在把东大的产业政策学的太到位了。11月末刚签署了AI创世纪计划,现在又开始谋划推动机器人产业的发展。看报道商务部长Lutnick最近一直在与机器人行业的CEO们会面,白宫正在考虑发布一项关于机器人技术的行政令,交通部也正准备宣布成立一个机器人工作组,可能在年底前公布。 为什么要川普推动机器人产业发展: 1)机器人是AI想向物理世界的延伸的抓手,未来AI的载体线上是Agent,线下就是bot; 2)用机器人替代人工是大势所趋,劳动效率和成本考量; 3)机器人技术直接应用于国防,如无人地面/空中/水下车辆和自主系统; 4)更重要是与中国的竞争,事实上当下中国才是全球机器人产业最强者。中国在工业机器人部署上领先全球(23年安装量占世界一半以上,达180万台,是美国的四倍),并计划到2027年主导人形机器人市场。美国担心在机器人硬件和组件上依赖中国(如无人机和电动车市场的先例),因此白宫正制定国家机器人战略,确保“战略独立”。而且机器人产业链上六七成环节都在中国,从这个角度看美国振兴机器人产业任重道远,但又不得不做! 看到这位https://t.co/iEaXtFPeAg梳理的美股机器人产业地图,搬过来。机器人技术正悄然渗透到经济的各个领域: 1. $PLTR 和 $PATH 是整个车队的交通控制器,而$NVDA 、 $AVGO和$QCOM是让机器人感知和行动的引擎和神经系统。 2. $AVAV 、 $ONDS 、 $RCAT 和 $UMAC 正在构建无人机机队,这些无人机机队将为$LMT 、 $RTX和$GD运行的自主防御网络提供动力。 3. $TSLA 、 $HON 和 $TER 驱动工业机器人,实现装配线和重型制造的自动化。 4. $GOOGL 、 $AMZN 和$MSFT 提供连接每台机器的 AI 数据层,而$ROK和$ZBRA提供保持工厂生产线/仓库运转的控制器、扫描仪和移动机器人。 5. $MBLY 、 $LIDR 、 $LAZR 和$INVZ 提供感知堆栈,使机器人能够看到世界并导航。 6. $ISRG 、 $PRCT 、 $SYK和$MDT带来了手术机器人,正在重塑手术室。 7. $RR 、 $OII 和$FARO将机器人推向水下、现场和面向客户的服务角色。 8. $AMZN 部署了数十万个仓库机器人来移动和拣选货物,而$SYM和$SERV则制造了为履行和最后一公里零售物流提供支持的自主移动机器人。 个人看法,在美股确定性的高应该还是特斯拉,老马正在全力以赴推动机器人业务进展。其他onds,rr也值得关注。大家看好美股机器人产业里那些票,欢迎一起讨论下。 上面聊的美股机器人股票,有好几只 在链上美股平台@MSX_CN 上都能交易,可以关注起来https://t.co/SwrikLq3oN
$PLTR
-5.03%
$PATH $AVAV $ONDS $RCAT
+6.35%
$UMAC $TSLA
+2.97%
$HON $TER $GOOGL
-1.48%
$AMZN
-1.94%
$MBLY $LIDR $LAZR $ISRG $PRCT $RR $OII
16
MARKET UPDATE CONSUMER 🔸 $SPWH Q4 adj. EPS $0.04 (est. -$0.06) on revs $340.4M (est. $329.6M), comps -0.5%. Expects positive comps in 2025; sees FY net sales -1% to +3.5% (est. +0.4%). 🔸 $TSLA sold 78,828 China-made EVs in March (-11.5% YoY); Model 3/Y deliveries +156.9% MoM. ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS 🔸 Oil dips amid tariff, sanction concerns; OPEC+ supply and mixed policies add downside risks. 🔸 $BHP considers spinning off Australian iron ore & coal units. 🔸 $ED files debt securities shelf. 🔸 $SMG upgraded to Buy at Truist. FINANCIALS 🔸 $OZK raises dividend 2.38% to $0.43/share. 🔸 $SCHW upgraded to Buy at Citi, PT raised to $102 (from $85). 🔸 $SMA prices 27M-share offering at $30.00. 🔸 $V offers AAPL ~$100M for Apple Card deal (WSJ). HEALTHCARE 🔸 $ANGO Q3 adj. EPS -$0.08 (est. -$0.13) on revs $72M (est. $70.3M); raises FY guidance. 🔸 $EWTX reports positive Phase 2 data for EDG-7500 in HCM trial. 🔸 $LLY clarifies no ties to HIMS, Zepbound prescribable by any licensed provider. 🔸 $ENOV names Damien McDonald CEO (effective May 12). TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM 🔸 $MBLY selects VLN’s VA7000 chipsets for autonomous driving. 🔸 $NCNO Q4 adj. EPS -$0.09 (est. $0.19) on revs $141.4M (est. $140.8M); announces $100M buyback; guides Q1 revs $138.75-$140.75M (est. $145.47M) and EPS $0.15-$0.16 (est. $0.21). 🔸 $RMBL fires CFO Tiffany Kice (effective April 2, 2025), appoints Michael Quartieri as interim CFO.
$SPWH $TSLA
+2.97%
$BHP $ED $SMG
-44.35%
$OZK
-10.58%
$SCHW $SMA $V
-9.69%
$ANGO $EWTX $LLY $ENOV $MBLY $NCNO $RMBL
4
MORNING BID 🔸 OpenAI: Plans to reduce reliance on NVIDIA ( $NVDA) by developing its first in-house AI chip, with design finalization in the next few months. Chips will be manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) 🔸 ChipMOS Technologies ( $IMOS): Expects 6.3% revenue growth for 2024, despite a 5.4% YoY decline in Dec 2024 and 5.7% YoY decline in Q4 2024. Plans to buy back shares up to T$17.39B. 🔸 Mobileye ( $MBLY): Upgraded to Neutral by Bank of America, citing limited downside risk and bottoming sentiment. 🔸 Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM): Q1 revenue expected at the lower end of guidance due to a $161M (NT$5.3B, net of insurance) impact from a late January earthquake in southern Taiwan. 🔸 Edgewell Personal Care ( $EPC): Q1 adj. EPS $0.07 (est. $0.12); Q1 revs $478.4M (est. $480.16M). FY25 outlook: adj. EPS at lower end of $3.15-$3.35 (est. $3.18), adj. EBITDA at lower end of $356M-$368M, capex 2.5%-3% of revenue. 🔸 Rivian ( $RIVN): Now selling delivery vans to fleets of all sizes in the US, over a year after ending exclusivity with Amazon ( $AMZN). 🔸 Sun Country Airlines ( $SNCY): Announces secondary offering of 6.3M shares and $10M share repurchase from underwriters. 🔸 Illumina ( $ILMN): Downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight by Barclays. 🔸 Merck ( $MRK): Downgraded to Hold from Buy by TD Cowen, price target cut to $100 from $121. 🔸 Pliant Therapeutics ( $PLRX): Shares fall as it pauses enrollment and dosing in the ongoing Beacon-IPF Phase 2b trial of bexotegrast for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. 🔸 BP Plc ( $BP): Shares rise after Elliott Management takes a stake, expected to push for strategy and board changes. 🔸 ConocoPhillips ( $COP): Downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy by Raymond James. 🔸 Spirit AeroSystems ( $SPR): Q4 2024 net revenues $1.66B (down from $1.81B YoY, above est. $1.53B); reported $401M in net forward loss charges. 🔸 US Metals Stocks: Shares of Cleveland Cliffs ( $CLF), Nucor ( $NUE), Alcoa ( $AA), and others rise after Trump announces 25% steel and aluminum tariffs in latest trade escalation.
$NVDA
+5.46%
$TSM
-8.8%
$IMOS $MBLY $EPC $RIVN
-0.64%
$AMZN
-1.94%
$SNCY $ILMN $MRK $PLRX $BP $COP $SPR
-18.72%
$CLF $NUE $AA
+4.27%
10
I hope everybody had a nice week. Great to see the reactions we did as a lot of impulse signals triggered where we expected them to(when the least were expecting it once again)💪Lots to unpack and dive into this weekend Subscriber Agenda Video: Why did miners fade into the close? Charts: New Impulse- #BTC LTF potential paths, $MARA, $RIOT, $CLSK, $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, $SMLR, $XRP, $LINK, $LTC, $HOOD, $QQQ, $IWM, $SPY, $MSTR, $ETH, $DOGE Ongoing Corrective- $TSLA, $PLTR, $SOFI, $MBLY, $MU, $PYPL, $CELH, $UPST(some of these names made big moves this week but I'm not sold corrections are over) Correction Nearing Completion?- $CGC, $SQ, $NIO, $JD, $AMC, $LMND Subscriber Requests- $XLM, $RUNE
$MARA $RIOT $CLSK $IREN $WULF $CIFR $SMLR $XRP
-0.8%
$LINK
-0.26%
$LTC
+1.31%
$HOOD
-3.95%
$QQQ
+1.7%
$IWM
+0.37%
$SPY $MSTR
+274.5%
$ETH
-2.54%
$DOGE
+1.33%
$TSLA
+2.97%
$PLTR
-5.03%
$SOFI
+0.61%
$MBLY $MU
-18.09%
$PYPL $CELH $UPST $CGC $SQ $NIO $JD $AMC
+4.81%
$LMND $XLM
-0.21%
$RUNE
-1.33%
24
$MBLY: The question without historical data is always….is this start of a new trend or a “Counter trend” move. Both options on the table. Monitoring weekly in subs
$MBLY
6
So it's the weekend and that means time to relax/take it easy...what that looks like over hear is 2 a days in the gym, loading up on nature's medicine(steak, eggs, fruit, veggies), and diving into the charts 💪 -Weekend Agenda for Subs Video: $BTC Miners what I saw in $MSTR prior to its 4x move that I'm now seeing in the miners Charts: Speculative paths+Upside/Downside targets Early Expansion- $LCID, $MBLY, $RIVN, $LTC Expansion- $BTC, $SQ, $PLTR, $ARKK, $NVDA, $DOGE, $XRP, $AMZN, $MSTR Pre-Expansion- $MARA, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $BTBT, $WULF, $CIFR, $BITF, $WGMI Bottom Formations- $BLNK, $AMC, $ARKG, $CELH On-Going Corrective- $TSLA, $AMD, $MU, $LMND Requests- Subscribers chart requests will be posted
$BTC
-2.76%
$MSTR
+274.5%
$LCID $MBLY $RIVN
-0.64%
$LTC
+1.31%
$SQ $PLTR
-5.03%
$ARKK $NVDA
+5.46%
$DOGE
+1.33%
$XRP
-0.8%
$AMZN
-1.94%
$MARA $CLSK $RIOT $IREN $BTBT $WULF $CIFR $BITF $WGMI $BLNK $AMC
+4.81%
$ARKG $CELH $TSLA
+2.97%
$AMD
-11.29%
$MU
-18.09%
$LMND
20
$MBLY: First re-claim of 30w in a year…weekly coverage beginning in subs
$MBLY
4
$MBLY - MOBILEYE MAY HAVE SUGGESTED IT'S CLOSE TO WINNING SV DEAL: RBC
$MBLY
4
$MBLY
$MBLY
4
#Upgrades - Dec 05, 2024 • $BRKR: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Neutral from Sell - PT $60 • $COP: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $123 (from $120) • $DEO: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $141 (from $129) • $EXAS: CFRA Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $72 (from $48) • $GTES: Barclays Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $25 (from $21) • $HPE: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $28 (from $23) • $ITW: Barclays Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $270 (from $230) • $MBLY: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform • $MGA: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Peerperform from Underperform • $OKTA: Bernstein Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $129 (from $123) • $ROK: Barclays Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $290 (from $255) • $WTW: Raymond James Upgrades to Strong Buy from Outperform - PT $400 (from $365)
$BRKR $COP $DEO $EXAS $GTES $HPE
-85.86%
$ITW $MBLY $MGA $OKTA $ROK
-16.4%
$WTW
6
#Downgrades - Oct 11, 2024 $ACDC: Stifel Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $7 $ALTM: KeyBanc Downgrades to Sector Weight from Overweight $FLYW: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $18 (from $20) $GD: Seaport Research Downgrades to Neutral from Buy $GM: DZ Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $49 $MBLY: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $13 (from $30) $NAPA: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $11.10 (from $11) $SQM: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $44 (from $55)
$ACDC $ALTM $FLYW $GD $GM
-22.36%
$MBLY $NAPA $SQM
8
#Downgrades - Oct 02, 2024 $NKE: CFRA Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $89 $GRTS: Jones Trading Downgrades to Hold from Buy $SSTK: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $2 (from $8) $GEV: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $PRMW: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $PBF: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $40 (from $53) $HOG: Baird Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $40 (from $44) $MELI: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $2,400 $FMBH: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $42 $NTB: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $41 (from $44) $ESQ: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $72 (from $68) $TMUS: Raymond James Downgrades to Outperform from Strong Buy - PT $221 (from $208) $IBM: DZ Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $215 $STTK: Needham Downgrades to Hold from Buy $SITC: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $19 $PVH: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $107 (from $130) $CRL: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $215 (from $250) $TEM: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $60 (from $45) $ZIM: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $25 $KZR: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy $MBLY: BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades to Underperform from Neutral - PT $12 $GRTS: B.Riley Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $1 (from $3)
$NKE $GRTS $SSTK $GEV $PRMW $PBF $HOG
-0.53%
$MELI $FMBH $NTB $ESQ $TMUS $IBM $STTK $SITC $PVH $CRL $TEM
-38.99%
$ZIM $KZR $MBLY
16
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