Notes

MARKET UPDATE CONSUMER 🔸 $SPWH Q4 adj. EPS $0.04 (est. -$0.06) on revs $340.4M (est. $329.6M), comps -0.5%. Expects positive comps in 2025; sees FY net sales -1% to +3.5% (est. +0.4%). 🔸 $TSLA sold 78,828 China-made EVs in March (-11.5% YoY); Model 3/Y deliveries +156.9% MoM. ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS 🔸 Oil dips amid tariff, sanction concerns; OPEC+ supply and mixed policies add downside risks. 🔸 $BHP considers spinning off Australian iron ore & coal units. 🔸 $ED files debt securities shelf. 🔸 $SMG upgraded to Buy at Truist. FINANCIALS 🔸 $OZK raises dividend 2.38% to $0.43/share. 🔸 $SCHW upgraded to Buy at Citi, PT raised to $102 (from $85). 🔸 $SMA prices 27M-share offering at $30.00. 🔸 $V offers AAPL ~$100M for Apple Card deal (WSJ). HEALTHCARE 🔸 $ANGO Q3 adj. EPS -$0.08 (est. -$0.13) on revs $72M (est. $70.3M); raises FY guidance. 🔸 $EWTX reports positive Phase 2 data for EDG-7500 in HCM trial. 🔸 $LLY clarifies no ties to HIMS, Zepbound prescribable by any licensed provider. 🔸 $ENOV names Damien McDonald CEO (effective May 12). TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM 🔸 $MBLY selects VLN’s VA7000 chipsets for autonomous driving. 🔸 $NCNO Q4 adj. EPS -$0.09 (est. $0.19) on revs $141.4M (est. $140.8M); announces $100M buyback; guides Q1 revs $138.75-$140.75M (est. $145.47M) and EPS $0.15-$0.16 (est. $0.21). 🔸 $RMBL fires CFO Tiffany Kice (effective April 2, 2025), appoints Michael Quartieri as interim CFO.
$SPWH $TSLA
-16.31%
$BHP $ED $SMG
-44.35%
$OZK
-4.62%
$SCHW $SMA $V $ANGO $EWTX $LLY $ENOV $MBLY $NCNO $RMBL
MORNING BID 🔸 OpenAI: Plans to reduce reliance on NVIDIA ( $NVDA) by developing its first in-house AI chip, with design finalization in the next few months. Chips will be manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) 🔸 ChipMOS Technologies ( $IMOS): Expects 6.3% revenue growth for 2024, despite a 5.4% YoY decline in Dec 2024 and 5.7% YoY decline in Q4 2024. Plans to buy back shares up to T$17.39B. 🔸 Mobileye ( $MBLY): Upgraded to Neutral by Bank of America, citing limited downside risk and bottoming sentiment. 🔸 Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM): Q1 revenue expected at the lower end of guidance due to a $161M (NT$5.3B, net of insurance) impact from a late January earthquake in southern Taiwan. 🔸 Edgewell Personal Care ( $EPC): Q1 adj. EPS $0.07 (est. $0.12); Q1 revs $478.4M (est. $480.16M). FY25 outlook: adj. EPS at lower end of $3.15-$3.35 (est. $3.18), adj. EBITDA at lower end of $356M-$368M, capex 2.5%-3% of revenue. 🔸 Rivian ( $RIVN): Now selling delivery vans to fleets of all sizes in the US, over a year after ending exclusivity with Amazon ( $AMZN). 🔸 Sun Country Airlines ( $SNCY): Announces secondary offering of 6.3M shares and $10M share repurchase from underwriters. 🔸 Illumina ( $ILMN): Downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight by Barclays. 🔸 Merck ( $MRK): Downgraded to Hold from Buy by TD Cowen, price target cut to $100 from $121. 🔸 Pliant Therapeutics ( $PLRX): Shares fall as it pauses enrollment and dosing in the ongoing Beacon-IPF Phase 2b trial of bexotegrast for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. 🔸 BP Plc ( $BP): Shares rise after Elliott Management takes a stake, expected to push for strategy and board changes. 🔸 ConocoPhillips ( $COP): Downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy by Raymond James. 🔸 Spirit AeroSystems ( $SPR): Q4 2024 net revenues $1.66B (down from $1.81B YoY, above est. $1.53B); reported $401M in net forward loss charges. 🔸 US Metals Stocks: Shares of Cleveland Cliffs ( $CLF), Nucor ( $NUE), Alcoa ( $AA), and others rise after Trump announces 25% steel and aluminum tariffs in latest trade escalation.
$NVDA
+5.46%
$TSM
-8.8%
$IMOS $MBLY $EPC $RIVN $AMZN $SNCY $ILMN $MRK $PLRX $BP $COP $SPR
-18.72%
$CLF $NUE $AA
I hope everybody had a nice week. Great to see the reactions we did as a lot of impulse signals triggered where we expected them to(when the least were expecting it once again)💪Lots to unpack and dive into this weekend Subscriber Agenda Video: Why did miners fade into the close? Charts: New Impulse- #BTC LTF potential paths, $MARA, $RIOT, $CLSK, $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, $SMLR, $XRP, $LINK, $LTC, $HOOD, $QQQ, $IWM, $SPY, $MSTR, $ETH, $DOGE Ongoing Corrective- $TSLA, $PLTR, $SOFI, $MBLY, $MU, $PYPL, $CELH, $UPST(some of these names made big moves this week but I'm not sold corrections are over) Correction Nearing Completion?- $CGC, $SQ, $NIO, $JD, $AMC, $LMND Subscriber Requests- $XLM, $RUNE
$MARA $RIOT $CLSK $IREN $WULF $CIFR $SMLR $XRP
+0.82%
$LINK
+2.37%
$LTC
+1.96%
$HOOD
+2.78%
$QQQ
-13.82%
$IWM $SPY $MSTR
-99.97%
$ETH
+3.51%
$DOGE
+1.95%
$TSLA
-16.31%
$PLTR $SOFI $MBLY $MU $PYPL $CELH $UPST $CGC $SQ $NIO $JD $AMC
+4.81%
$LMND $XLM
-0.53%
$RUNE
+1.96%
$MBLY: The question without historical data is always….is this start of a new trend or a “Counter trend” move. Both options on the table. Monitoring weekly in subs
$MBLY
So it's the weekend and that means time to relax/take it easy...what that looks like over hear is 2 a days in the gym, loading up on nature's medicine(steak, eggs, fruit, veggies), and diving into the charts 💪 -Weekend Agenda for Subs Video: $BTC Miners what I saw in $MSTR prior to its 4x move that I'm now seeing in the miners Charts: Speculative paths+Upside/Downside targets Early Expansion- $LCID, $MBLY, $RIVN, $LTC Expansion- $BTC, $SQ, $PLTR, $ARKK, $NVDA, $DOGE, $XRP, $AMZN, $MSTR Pre-Expansion- $MARA, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $BTBT, $WULF, $CIFR, $BITF, $WGMI Bottom Formations- $BLNK, $AMC, $ARKG, $CELH On-Going Corrective- $TSLA, $AMD, $MU, $LMND Requests- Subscribers chart requests will be posted
$BTC
+1.52%
$MSTR
-99.97%
$LCID $MBLY $RIVN $LTC
+1.96%
$SQ $PLTR $ARKK $NVDA
+5.46%
$DOGE
+1.95%
$XRP
+0.82%
$AMZN $MARA $CLSK $RIOT $IREN $BTBT $WULF $CIFR $BITF $WGMI $BLNK $AMC
+4.81%
$ARKG $CELH $TSLA
-16.31%
$AMD $MU $LMND
$MBLY: First re-claim of 30w in a year…weekly coverage beginning in subs
$MBLY
$MBLY - MOBILEYE MAY HAVE SUGGESTED IT'S CLOSE TO WINNING SV DEAL: RBC
$MBLY
$MBLY
$MBLY
#Upgrades - Dec 05, 2024 • $BRKR: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Neutral from Sell - PT $60 • $COP: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $123 (from $120) • $DEO: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $141 (from $129) • $EXAS: CFRA Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $72 (from $48) • $GTES: Barclays Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $25 (from $21) • $HPE: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $28 (from $23) • $ITW: Barclays Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $270 (from $230) • $MBLY: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform • $MGA: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Peerperform from Underperform • $OKTA: Bernstein Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform - PT $129 (from $123) • $ROK: Barclays Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $290 (from $255) • $WTW: Raymond James Upgrades to Strong Buy from Outperform - PT $400 (from $365)
$BRKR $COP $DEO $EXAS $GTES $HPE $ITW $MBLY $MGA $OKTA $ROK
-16.4%
$WTW
#Downgrades - Oct 11, 2024 $ACDC: Stifel Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $7 $ALTM: KeyBanc Downgrades to Sector Weight from Overweight $FLYW: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $18 (from $20) $GD: Seaport Research Downgrades to Neutral from Buy $GM: DZ Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $49 $MBLY: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $13 (from $30) $NAPA: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $11.10 (from $11) $SQM: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $44 (from $55)
$ACDC $ALTM $FLYW $GD $GM
+24.49%
$MBLY $NAPA $SQM
#Downgrades - Oct 02, 2024 $NKE: CFRA Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $89 $GRTS: Jones Trading Downgrades to Hold from Buy $SSTK: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $2 (from $8) $GEV: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $PRMW: Raymond James Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $PBF: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $40 (from $53) $HOG: Baird Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $40 (from $44) $MELI: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $2,400 $FMBH: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $42 $NTB: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $41 (from $44) $ESQ: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $72 (from $68) $TMUS: Raymond James Downgrades to Outperform from Strong Buy - PT $221 (from $208) $IBM: DZ Bank Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $215 $STTK: Needham Downgrades to Hold from Buy $SITC: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $19 $PVH: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $107 (from $130) $CRL: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $215 (from $250) $TEM: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $60 (from $45) $ZIM: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $25 $KZR: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy $MBLY: BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades to Underperform from Neutral - PT $12 $GRTS: B.Riley Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $1 (from $3)
$NKE $GRTS $SSTK $GEV $PRMW $PBF $HOG
-0.53%
$MELI $FMBH $NTB $ESQ $TMUS $IBM $STTK $SITC $PVH $CRL $TEM
-38.99%
$ZIM $KZR $MBLY
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