Notes
QUICK MARKET SUMMARY:
CONSUMER:
🔸 Calavo Growers ( $CVGW): $25M buyback.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA): Upgraded to Overweight at Cantor, PT $425.
🔸 Waldencast ( $WALD): Q4 EBITDA missed slightly; FY guidance below estimates.
ENERGY/INDUSTRIALS/MATERIALS:
🔸 Kratos ( $KTOS): Building $50M hypersonic facility in Indiana.
🔸 Mosaic ( $MOS): Upgraded to Overweight at Barclays, PT $33.
FINANCIALS:
🔸 Goldman Sachs ( $GS), Carlyle (CG), Jefferies (JEF): Downgraded at Oppenheimer.
🔸 Morgan Stanley ( $MS): Plans 2,000 job cuts.
🔸 StoneCo ( $STNE): Strong Q4 EPS and revenue beat; upbeat 2025 profit outlook.
HEALTHCARE:
🔸 Absci ( $ABSI): Missed Q4; cash runway into 1H’27.
🔸 Gilead ( $GILD): Shares drop as CDC HIV division review raises concerns.
🔸 HealthEquity ( $HQY): Slight Q4 miss; FY guidance in line.
🔸 Inovio ( $INO): Missed Q4; cash runway into Q1’26.
🔸 OmniAb ( $OABI): Revenue beat; stronger FY outlook.
🔸 Pfizer ( $PFE): Raised $3.3B from Haleon stake sale.
🔸 Purdue Pharma: Filed new bankruptcy plan for opioid settlement.
🔸 Trevi ( $TRVI): Positive trial data; strong cash position.
TECH/MEDIA/TELECOM:
🔸 Asana ( $ASAN): Filed mixed securities shelf.
🔸 Foxconn: Expects server revenue to surpass iPhones in 2 years.
🔸 FuboTV ( $FUBO): Partnered with Texas Rangers for streaming broadcasts.
🔸 HPE & NVIDIA ( $NVDA): Launched new AI solutions.
🔸 Oracle ( $ORCL) & NVIDIA (NVDA): Announced major AI integration.
🔸 Synopsys ( $SNPS) & NVIDIA: Teaming up to speed chip design.
🔸 Teradyne Robotics ( $TER): Showcasing AI robotics at NVIDIA GTC 2025.
Everything you need to know on The Rundown podcast by @public
TOP MARKET HEADLINES
* $NFLX adds a record 19M subscribers
* $ORCL, AI stocks rally on Stargate news
* $PG tops sales estimate for first time in over a year
https://t.co/2dDEwMWkXa
MORNING RECAP
❖ Alaska Airlines ( $ALK) to launch direct flights to Tokyo and Seoul from Seattle in 2025 post-Hawaiian acquisition.
❖ Casey’s General Store ( $CASY) Q2: EPS $4.85, revs down 2.9% to $3.95B. Grocery up 8.8%, Fuel down 8.8%.
❖ eBay ( $EBAY) downgraded to Underperform by Jefferies, target cut to $52 from $60.
❖ Stellantis ( $STLA) and CATL to invest €4.1B for a low-cost EV battery plant in Spain.
❖ Toll Brothers ( $TOL) Q4: EPS $4.63, revs up 10% to $3.33B. Backlog down 6.9%, contracts up 30%.
❖ Vail Resorts ( $MTN) Q1: EPS ($4.61), revs $260.28M. Guides net income to $240M-$316M.
❖ Anglo American ( $NGLOY) faces charges in Chile over El Soldado copper mine issues.
❖ Celanese Corp. ( $CE) appoints Scott Richardson as CEO effective Jan 1, 2025.
❖ Fluence Energy ( $FLNC) offers $300M in convertible bonds due 2030.
❖ Planet Labs ( $PL) Q3: EPS loss (-$0.02), revs $61.3M. Q4 revenue expected at $61M-$63M.
❖ Amazon ( $AMZN) and Intuit ( $INTU) expand partnership, leveraging AWS since 2013 for enhanced customer experiences.
❖ Arthur J. Gallagher ( $AJG) offers $8.5B in common stock at $280/share.
❖ Cohen & Steers ( $CNS) AUM up to $91.4B from $89.7B, driven by $1.9B market appreciation, offset by net outflows.
❖ Lazard ( $LAZ) AUM at $234.4B, with $3B market appreciation, $2.3B net outflows, and $2.2B forex depreciation.
❖ Eli Lilly ( $LLY) launches $15B share buyback, increases dividend by 15% to $1.50/share.
❖ Fate Therapeutics ( $FATE) shares positive Phase 1 data for FT819 in treating lupus, showing sustained B-cell depletion and remission in first patient.
❖ HealthEquity ( $HQY) Q3: EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.72; revs $300.4M vs. est. $290M; adjusted EBITDA up 24% to $118.2M. Forecasts FY24 EPS $3.08-$3.16, revs $1.185B-$1.195B.
❖ Oracle ( $ORCL) Q2: adj EPS $1.47 vs. $1.48 est., revs $14.06B vs. $14.12B est. AI demand boosts Oracle Cloud Infrastructure by 52%; Total Remaining Performance Obligations up 49% to $97B; Cloud Revenue up 24% to $5.9B.
❖ Braze ( $BRZE) Q3: adj EPS $0.02 vs. loss (-$0.01) est., revs $152.1M vs. $148.19M est. Q4 guidance and FY25 revenue outlook raised to $588M-$589M.
❖ https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI) Q2: revs up 29% to $94.3M, adj EPS loss (-$0.06) vs. (-$0.16) est. Q3 revs forecast at $95.5M-$100.5M; FY25 revenue expected at $378M-$398M.
❖ Micron Technology ( $MU) receives $6.1B subsidy for U.S. semiconductor facilities.
❖ MongoDB ( $MDB) Q3: adj EPS $1.16 vs. $0.69 est., revs up 22% to $529.4M. Atlas revenue up 26%, customer base at 52,600. Raises FY25 EPS and revenue forecasts; CFO resigns.
❖ Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) November sales up 34% y/y to NT$276.06B, down 12.2% m/m.
#Upgrades - Sep 16, 2024
$ACRV: Ladenburg Thalmann Upgrades to Buy from Neutral
$AEE: Mizuho Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $89 (from $82)
$BHP: Bernstein Upgrades to Outperform from Market Perform
$BLDR: Truist Securities Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $220 (from $165)
$BNTX: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $125 (from $91)
$CHCT: Evercore ISI Upgrades to In Line from Underperform - PT $18
$CMPX: Ladenburg Thalmann Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $5
$DK: Mizuho Upgrades to Neutral Underperform - PT $26 (from $28)
$EGP: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $204
$ENTG: Citi Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $130 (from $119)
$GTLS: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $175
$KMI: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Equalweight from Underweight - PT $24
$OKE: Morgan Stanley Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $111 (from $103)
$ORCL: Melius Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $20
$SFM: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $120 (from $96)
$SLG: Evercore ISI Upgrades to In Line from Underperform - PT $66
$SPG: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $172
$ZG: Wedbush Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $80 (from $50)
#Downgrades - Sep 10, 2024
$CFB: Janney Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $21
$DK: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $26 (from $23)
$DKNG: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $35
$EQR: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $83 (from $62)
$JCI: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $80 (from $70)
$ORCL: JMP Securities Upgrades to Market Outperform from Market Perform - PT $175
$RLAY: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $16 (from $10.60)
#Upgrades - Sep 10, 2024
$CFB: Janney Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $21
$DK: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $26 (from $23)
$DKNG: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $35
$EQR: Deutsche Bank Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $83 (from $62)
$JCI: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $80 (from $70)
$ORCL: JMP Securities Upgrades to Market Outperform from Market Perform - PT $175
$RLAY: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $16 (from $10.60)