Notes
去年12月太空经济板块可以说是中美共振了,美股太空经济几家主力基本上都翻倍了。心头好小火箭RKLB表现也很亮眼。过去一个月对RKLB来说绝对是业务上的超级月:1、拿到了美国太空发展局超过8亿美金,18颗卫星订单。这些卫星还配备卫星配备Rocket Lab的StarLite防护传感器(可防御定向能量威胁),并扩展到向其他承包商供应传感器;
2、同时还拿到加拿大、日本航天机构的新合同;
3、25年全年完成21次Electron火箭发射,年度100%任务成功率(全球小型火箭最活跃)。包括12月为iQPS发射SAR卫星(这是iQPS的第7颗,未来计划5次更多)。
4、中性火箭中子星Neutron进展:首飞仍目标2026年中(Q1运抵Wallops发射台,资格测试中)。Hungry Hippo可重复使用整流罩已完成资格测试;
拿到太空发展局的合同意味着RKLB正式跻身为最大的国防太空承包商之一;如果26年中中子星发射成功,意味着RKLB成功从小型火箭发射升级到中性火箭发射。
美股太空经济股票,有好几只在链上美股平台@MSX_CN 上都能交易,可以关注起来https://t.co/SwrikLq3oN



中美太空资源争夺白热化,这两天一条新闻值得关注,中国在去年12月正式向国际电信联盟(ITU)提交20.3万颗低轨卫星申报,涵盖14个星座,仅两大核心星座CTC-1与CTC-2就各达9.6万余颗,规模相当于美国星链申报总量的近5倍。
本次申报主体包括无线电创新院、中国移动、垣信卫星等机构。无线电创新院于2025年12月29日提交两个近10万颗卫星的巨型星座申请,并于次日(12月30日)完成河北雄安新区注册登记,成为中国无线电管理技术领域首家新型研发机构。
战略意图:
国际电信联盟(ITU)是太空的“规则制定者”,核心规矩就一条:“先申报、先发射、先占用”。低轨(距离地球300-2000公里)是太空里的“黄金地段”,信号快、延迟低,未来6G通信、军事指挥都离不开它,就像城市里的核心停车位,占一个少一个。
老马的星链动手更早:截至2025年底,在轨卫星快到1万颗,占了全球低轨卫星的2/3,还申报了4.2万颗,把好位置占得差不多了
中国此举旨在抢占低轨卫星频轨资源,应对国际竞争。目前全球低轨资源遵循“先占先得”规则,中国通过大规模申报锁定资源。
当然ITU审批通过后并不是一劳永逸,根据ITU规则,申报单位需在7年内发射首颗卫星,第9年完成10%部署,第12年完成50%部署,第14年完成全部部署。
中国现在大规模申报意味着从卫星制造到火箭发射,全产业链都已准备就绪,这是有明确路线图的国家工程,绝不是虚张声势。
所以说太空资源争夺已是白热化

$VZ RESULTS: Q4
🔸 ADJ EPS $1.10 vs. $1.08 y/y, EST $1.09
🔸 ADJ EBITDA $11.9B, +1.7% y/y, EST $12.02B
🔸 Operating revenue $35.7B, EST $35.33B
🔸 Wireless Equipment revenue $7.5B, EST $7.21B
🔸 Consumer revenue $27.6B, EST $27.3B
🔸 Business revenue $7.5B, EST $7.48B
🔸 Wireless Service revenue $20B, EST $19.96B
🔸 FIOS Internet subscribers +51,000, -7.3% y/y, EST +44,675
F/Y GUIDANCE
🔸 Sees wireless service revenue growth +2% to +2.8%
🔸 Sees ADJ EBITDA +2% to +3.5%
🔸 Still sees capital expenditure $17.5B to $18.5B, EST $18.09B
$VZ $LUMN U.S. Officials Probe Severity of China-Tied Cyberattacks to Broadband Providers -- WSJ
Hackers Maintained Access to Some Breached Networks Within Last Week, Sources Say -- WSJ
More Potential Victims Have Been Notified of Possible Compromise, Sources Say -- WSJ
Lawmakers Send Letters to Verizon, AT&T, Lumen Requesting Information on Hacks, Responses -- WSJ
$VZ RESULTS: Q2
🔸ADJ EPS $1.15 vs. $1.21 y/y, EST $1.15
🔸Operating revenue $32.8B, EST $33.07B
🔸Consumer revenue $24.9B, EST $25.16B
🔸Business revenue $7.3B, EST $7.35B
🔸Wireless Service revenue $19.8B, EST $19.79B
🔸FIOS Internet subscribers +28,000, EST +38,089
🔸ADJ EBITDA $12.3B, EST $12.29B
F/Y GUIDANCE
🔸Still sees ADJ EPS $4.50 to $4.70, EST $4.57
🔸Still sees wireless service revenue growth +2% to +3.5%
🔸Still sees capital expenditure $17B to $17.5B, EST $17.34B
STREET RECOMMENDATION - JULY 01, 2024
Upgrades
$ADNT: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $26
$AGRO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $11.50 (from $10.50)
$BIRK: UBS Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $85 (from $52)
$COLD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $31
$ICE: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $167 (from $143)
$MGA: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
Downgrades
$AMED: William Blair Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform
$ICFI: Truist Securities Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $155 (from $168)
$NEP: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $30 (from $38)
$SAVA: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
$ZBH: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $115 (from $140)
Initiates
$AMKR: JPMorgan Initiates at Overweight - PT $48
$AMT: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $230
$ATUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $2
$AXGN: Raymond James Initiates at Outperform - PT $13
$BIVI: ThinkEquity Initiates at Buy - PT $3
$CCOI: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $56
$CHTR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $250
$DLR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $175
$EQIX: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $870
$FYBR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $29
$GAUZ: Stifel Initiates at Buy - PT $18
$GAUZ: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $24
$IMMX: H.C. Wainwright Initiates at Buy - PT $7
$LUMN: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $1
$T: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $22
$TALK: Needham Initiates at Hold
$TMUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $200
$VZ: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $50
$WRB: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $103
: JMP Securities Initiates at Market Outperform - PT $6





