forget the fiat noise for a second
what happens when you chart bitcoin against another scarce asset like gold?
if you smooth out the volatility and cycles and focus only on the long-term average trend, the data fits an exponential curve
btc/xau = 0.015 × (1.85)^t
t = years since early 2013
this rough model suggests an average growth factor of ~1.85x per year relative to gold during this period
projected trendline (ignoring real-world volatility):
51.5 oz/BTC by april 2026
95.2 oz/BTC by april 2027
176.1 oz/BTC by april 2028
no predictive value
not financial advice
just an illustration of the long-term trend against another form of scarcity
From X
Disclaimer: The above content reflects only the author's opinion and does not represent any stance of CoinNX, nor does it constitute any investment advice related to CoinNX.