Basket of assets already with a good safety margin.
≈ 11-12% up if split evenly.
I personally went heavier on HYPE. If you buy these ones, you can chill. Establish SLs for good risk management to have a full cash position.
I’m being mindful of FOMC this week, but feel the R:R is skewed towards the upside:
• More cuts to be priced in the forward curve. Currently only ≈ 50 bps with a new Trump’s appointee from May onwards.
• The move in Japan is more about front running and less about real intervention. MOF hasn’t said anything yet.
• Inflation swaps re-accelerating. Potential rate cuts will make real rates to roll over.
• Gold $5,100 and Silver $117. Even if 1-5% of the wealth effect created by these assets go into BTC we will see a significant bounce. BTC $100k+ will bring this money into the asset imo.
• Not forgetting mid-term elections.
These 5 assets should benefit from improved liquidity conditions.
$hype and $lit -> bet on tradfi perps market to highly increase. Clear selling absorption on both assets. As Hype leads and tradfi perps pie grows people will realize that even a small % captured by Lighter should reprice it higher, especially as the ratio w/ hype gets bigger. Future speculation about = robinhood dex will send it higher too.
$pump -> almost 20% circ. supply absorbed below ICO prices with revenue above HL sometimes. The revenue-to-HL ratio went from 37% in October to 71% in January while mcap ratio has decreased. No unlocks until mid july.
$btc as SoV and main benefitiary of the gold/silver trades, more pricing of rate cuts, and real interest rates rolling over.
$zec as the main privacy trade, giving another +ev entry close to $300

From X
Disclaimer: The above content reflects only the author's opinion and does not represent any stance of CoinNX, nor does it constitute any investment advice related to CoinNX.



