Notes
上钟了上钟了
赚钱买美股了🙂
对不起搞错重点了
上不上钟 你别管我🙃🙃🙃🙃
主要这个可以直接充U买美股是真牛啊！
对我这种只会玩币不知道怎么买股票的人简直太友好了
这几个巨头不用说了
$AAPL、$MSFT、$GOOGL、$TSLA
还有支付系统 $V、$PYPL
芯片制造 $AMD $TSM $INTC $ASML
链上标的 $COIN $HOOD $ARM 等
全！都！可以！买！
我选了四个
1️⃣ $MSFT
OpenAI整合最深入
Copilot商业化进展领先
Azure增长稳定
AI数据中心大爆发受益者
云+AI双主线，现金流极强
2️⃣ $V
不用说 哪里都要用的Visa
现金流机器 抗风险最强
全球支付复苏中 跨境交易复苏
与加密支付有合作潜力（未来DePIN、CBDC等）
3️⃣ $TSM
AI芯片代工主力
绑定$AAPL、$NVDA、$AMD等客户
3nm+先进封装为中期爆发点
4️⃣ $Coin
受益于美加密ETF合规大趋势
Q2交易量回暖
Custody、Base链生态正在扩张
浅尝一下 研究研究怎么玩嘿嘿嘿
其实市值小不那么出名的大公司我感觉整体机会更大
有什么推荐值得购买的嘛？给我推推
让我上个钟 啊tui 不是
让我再赚点钱钱继续来投
传送门：https://t.co/WmxQcKaFoc
@MyStonksCN @BTCBruce1
我之前说过
币圈看財报的时代已经到了
这不
交易所已经开始在这方面做布道了
这次 @MyStonks_Org 走在了最前面
随着近期各项法案陆续通过，国际地缘风险解除，美债利率下降，美元指数走弱，美股不断刷新历史新高。币圈也真的按照传统经典牛市重新开始了板块轮动，虽然现在整体还处于从昨晚起的摸顶新高后的第一次较大幅度回调之中，但主流币们才完成了第一轮补涨而已，山寨季大概率也只是刚刚开始。
从上周开始到7月末，都是美股的Q2财报季，在国际形势比较缓和的当下，美股波动成了影响币圈的最大变量。比如上周二7.15贝莱德的财报刚好对应了大饼的历史最高点，那么接下来特斯拉，谷歌，Robinhood，苹果，Coinbase都有可能对美股及币圈产生重大影响，不可不提前做好研究。而且7.30号的Robinhood，7.31号的苹果及Coinbase财报公布还恰巧叠加了7.31美联储决议公布和8.1号关税落地，更显得信息密度极高。
身处币圈的我们没有那么多时间精力，可能主要关注两种类型的公司就够了，一种是AI相关的，一种是币圈直接相关的。因为AI和crypto相关公司财报将直接影响科技股和币圈情绪，这样简化后效率更高且更有效。
AI相关：特斯拉、谷歌、META、微软、苹果
币圈交易相关：Robinhood、Coinbase
参考 @BTCBruce1 的 @MyStonksCN 财报日历做了个表
大胆预测一下后续可能会走的逻辑，仅供参考，DYOR。
1. 宏观拐点确认 + 主流冲高 →（已发生）
2. 科技股财报爆发+AI继续强预期 →（正在发生）
3. 山寨补涨+叙事爆发+NFT/DePIN轮番拉升 →（即将开启）
4. DeFi蓝筹吸血+项目方撤流动性 →（后期才开始）
上周五Coinbase、Robinhood都拉出了高点，本周需要继续密切关注情绪变化，按常理来说这两家业绩表现会比较好，但美股上涨逻辑经常是需要超过预期才行，也就是说利好有可能已经被市场买入而反应在当前股价上了。
一旦Robinhood和Coinbase财报利多但市场不涨反跌，就要谨慎了，尤其是山寨币非常敏感，共识比较脆弱，但凡有风吹草动项目方和做市商跑得比兔子还快。
如果美联储仍强硬不降息口风+美股财报落地无超预期表现，币圈可能迎来一次阶段性调整。尤其是Coinbase作为纯加密标的尤其需要重点关注，财报后的电话会议可能直接影响比特币和以太坊的短线方向。
后续牛市可能就到了第二阶段，操作可能会从快速拉高脱离成本区的简单模式变成宽幅震荡的困难模式。
高风险偏好的人需要管住自己不要过度操作，多项指标共振后再下场且做好风控止损。
低风险偏好的人可以等8.1号关税落地后再进场操作。
Mystonks的美股财报全家桶来啦
@MyStonksCN @BTCBruce1
覆盖了科技、金融、芯片、链上标的等多个赛道，清晰明了不用去网上找了～
不过能看懂财报也是技术活，比如我看完也不知道讲了啥……希望能直接在下面添加个“买不买”投票功能，用群体判断帮助我这种小白不再孤独投资💔
还没注册Mystonks的快来体验丝滑美股交易！
https://t.co/HuUBxME17T
特斯拉的财报估计一般
因为Cybertruck和新款ModelY卖的都soso
但是财报从来都不是特斯拉的重点
特斯拉的核心是“未来”
马斯克总是能把吹过的牛逼实现
总是能把画过的饼给做出来
#Upgrades - Jan 23, 2025
$OPCH - Jefferies: Hold to Buy ($35 from $26)
$BOOT - KeyBanc: Sector Weight to Overweight ($190)
$RVLV - KeyBanc: Sector Weight to Overweight ($37)
$NFLX - Arete: Sell to Neutral ($833)
$NFLX - Wolfe: Peerperform to Outperform ($1,100)
$TRUP - Piper Sandler: Neutral to Overweight ($57)
$FCCO - Raymond James: Outperform to Strong Buy ($30 from $27)
$LOGI - Morgan Stanley: Underweight to Equalweight ($92 from $73)
$AEP - Guggenheim: Neutral to Buy ($101 from $86)
$IDA - Guggenheim: Neutral to Buy ($121)
$EVRG - Guggenheim: Neutral to Buy ($71 from $56)
#Downgrades - Jan 23, 2025
$VEEV - Goldman Sachs: Buy to Sell ($200 from $261)
$SAM - Piper Sandler: Overweight to Neutral ($275 from $370)
$EA - BMO Capital: Outperform to Market Perform ($145 from $160)
$EA - Raymond James: Outperform to Market Perform
$EA - BofA Securities: Buy to Neutral ($130 from $170)
$PSN - William Blair: Outperform to Market Perform
$FE - Wolfe Research: Outperform to Peerperform
$ASML - Aletheia Capital: Hold to Sell ($525)
$GOLF - JPMorgan: Neutral to Underweight ($64)
$EIX - Guggenheim: Buy to Neutral ($60)
$CNP - Guggenheim: Buy to Neutral ($33)
$CMS - Guggenheim: Buy to Neutral ($69)
$SO - Guggenheim: Buy to Neutral ($93)
RECAP
• $AAP Q3: Sales down 21% to $2.15B, below $2.67B forecast; EPS at -$0.04 vs. $0.49 expected. Plans include store and distribution center closures, and headcount cuts.
• $BZH Q4: Revenue up 25% to $806.2M vs. $777.8M expected; Adjusted EBITDA down 10.5%. Home closings up 4.8%, but gross margin decreased.
• $BV Q4: Adj. EPS $0.30 vs. $0.31 est., revenue slightly below at $728.7M. FY guidance lower than expected.
• $CPRI ends merger with Tapestry, which then ups its share buyback plan.
• $IBTA Q3: EPS $0.94 vs. $0.35 forecast, revenue up 16% to $98.6M. Q4 revenue guidance below expectations.
• $JJSF Q4: Adj. EPS $1.60 vs. $1.85 expected, sales slightly under $429.75M estimate.
• $HP Q4: EPS $0.76 vs. $0.81 expected, revenue $694M vs. $695.24M forecast. FY25 CapEx guidance $290M-$325M, depreciation around $400M, R&D $32M.
• $HI Q4: Adj. EPS $1.01 vs. $0.92 expected, revenue $837.6M vs. $792.98M. Q1 and FY25 EPS guidance below estimates.
• $OVV agrees to acquire Montney assets for $2.377B cash from Paramount Resources Ltd.
• $TTEK Q4: EPS $0.38 vs. $0.37 expected, revenue $1.37B vs. $1.135B. Provides next quarter and FY guidance.
• $NU Q3: Adjusted net income $592M vs. $559M est., revenue $2.9B as expected, ROE at 30%.
• $OPRX Q3: EPS $0.12 vs. $0.06 est., revenue $21.3M vs. $25M. FY guidance below expectations.
• $TARS Q3: EPS ($0.61) vs. ($0.97) est., sales $48.1M vs. $43.44M.
• $CSCO Q1: EPS $0.91 vs. $0.87, revenue $13.84B vs. $13.77B. Provides Q2 and FY guidance.
• $DIS Q2: EPS $1.14 vs. $1.10, revenue $22.57B vs. $22.47B. Forecasts high-single digit EPS growth for FY25.
• $ASML expects sales to reach €44B-€60B by 2030, with 8%-14% annual growth.
• $DDD Q3 prelim: Revenue about $113M, with growth in materials but decline in printer sales.
• $DIGI Q4: EPS $0.52 vs. $0.50, revenue $105.1M vs. $104.08M. Q1 guidance set.
• $JD Q3: EPS $1.24 vs. $1.05, revenue up 5.1% to $37.1B. No Q4 guidance.
• $KLIC Q4: EPS $0.34 vs. $0.35, revenue $181.3M vs. $180M. Announces share repurchase and dividend increase.
• $NN Q3: EPS ($0.11) vs. ($0.16), revenue $1.61M vs. $1.105M.
• $SONO Q4: EPS ($0.18) vs. ($0.41), revenue $255.38M vs. $247.36M. No forward guidance.
• $SYNA to issue $400M in convertible notes due 2031.
$ASML
ASML Says 3Q Results Published Early Due to Technical Error
ASML: Technical Error Led to Early Publication of 3Q Results
ASML: 3Q Information Was Erroneously Published Earlier Tuesday on Company's Website
ASML: For Transparency, ASML Brought Forward Publication of Results
ASML Brought Forward Publication of Full 3Q Results For Transparency