Notes
兄弟们,找到了熟悉的感觉
隆重介绍当下北美最火的cult stock $OPEN
基本面:
Open是美国最大的在线房地产交易平台
业务模式:
用户输入自己的房屋信息—> Open大数据算出房屋价值—>用户接受—>落槌成交
历史:
Opendoor曾因为市场高利率和管理不善等问题一度濒临破产,股价最低跌至$0.5
后来经过管理层的变动和AI战略转型
今年Q2营收16亿美金
YES!它又起死回生了
现状:
在带头大哥 @ericjackson (视频中这位)带领下,北美散户们蜂拥而至,如今 $OPEN 已经成了Reddit上讨论热度最高的meme stock
散户们坚信 $OPEN 会成为2025年降息周期后的游戏驿站或Carvana
游戏驿站大家都非常熟悉就不介绍了Carvana这家公司是一个二手车销售平台,股票 $CVNA 过去两年涨了100多倍。
至于 $OPEN 会不会复刻当年的游戏驿站
我发现了几个非常相似的地方:
1. 在英文股票讨论区热度持续第一
2. 社区有影响力的带头大哥
3. 非常高的空头比例,容易出现逼空行情
4. 新任CEO增持股票向散户表忠心
5. 降息大背景下房贷利率下降利好基本面
6. 刚刚经历过起死回生,市场信心大增
7. 散户自发性抱团,这是我认为最难得、可遇不可求,也是最核心的一点
目前Open Army大军们已经把目标价喊到了$82,今日股价 $6.65
投资有风险 or 富贵险中求
插播一条广告:买 $OPEN 上麦通
QUICK MARKET SUMMARY:
Consumer
🔸 Carvana ( $CVNA) upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT raised to $280 from $260.
🔸 Cintas ( $CTAS) ended talks to buy UniFirst (UNF) for $275/share.
🔸 KB Home ( $KBH) Q1 miss: revenue down 5%, net income down 21%, lowers FY25 outlook; appoints Robert Dillard as CFO.
🔸 McCormick ( $MKC) Q1 EPS $0.60 (vs. $0.64 est.), reaffirms FY25 guidance.
🔸 Smithfield Foods sees higher annual sales and profit.
🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) European market share down sharply; YTD sales -42.6%.
Energy, Industrials & Materials
🔸 American Electric ( $AEP) announces $2B stock offering.
🔸 Bunge ( $BG) selling European margarine business to Vandemoortele.
🔸 Canadian Solar ( $CSIQ) Q4 EPS loss (-$1.47) vs. (-$0.24) est.; record storage shipments.
🔸 Enerpac ( $EPAC) Q2 EPS $0.38 (vs. $0.40 est.), maintains guidance.
🔸 EOG Resources ( $EOG) downgraded to Neutral at Mizuho; PT cut to $140.
🔸 Oklo ( $OKLO) FY24 EPS loss (-$0.74); first Aurora deployment expected late 2027.
🔸 Parsons ( $PSN) approves $250M share buyback.
🔸 TechnipFMC ( $FTI) wins $500M–$1B EPC contract from Equinor.
Healthcare
🔸 Aura Biosciences ( $AURA) FY loss ($96M); cash runway into 2H26.
🔸 Beyond Air ( $XAIR) secures $2M for autism therapy development.
🔸 Merck ( $MRK) signs $200M licensing deal for Lp(a) inhibitor, potential $1.77B in milestones.
🔸 Neurogene ( $NGNE) FY loss ($82.6M); files $300M shelf offering; cash runway into 2H27.
Tech, Media & Telecom
🔸 Alibaba ( $BABA) to restart hiring; Chairman Tsai warns of potential AI bubble.
🔸 Cloudflare ( $NET) double-upgraded to Buy at BofA; PT raised to $160.
🔸 India plans to scrap 6% digital ad tax, easing pressure on U.S. tech firms.
🔸 Crown Castle ( $CCI) appoints interim CEO Daniel Schlanger; reaffirms guidance.
🔸 Volkswagen ( $cVOWGY) partners with Valeo and Mobileye for advanced driver-assistance systems.
Analyst Price Target Updates:
🔻 Cuts:
🔸 $ACVA: Jefferies $25 ($27), Needham $25 ($28)
🔸 $ALB: Piper Sandler $85 ($90)
🔸 $AMGN: Bernstein $350 ($380)
🔸 $CE: Jefferies $55 ($70), JPM $54 ($92), RBC $56 ($84), Downgraded to Sector Perform
🔸 $ETSY: BTIG $60 ($65), Canaccord $76 ($105), Guggenheim $70 ($80)
🔸 $EXAS: Jefferies $80 ($85), Leerink $85 ($95)
🔸 $WST: Jefferies $240 ($393)
🔸 $WING: Benchmark $325, Bernstein $330 ($380), Jefferies $270 ($280), TD Cowen $305 ($365)
🔸 $ZTS: Jefferies $190 ($200)
🔺 Raises:
🔸 $AMPL: Baird $17 ($12), Outperform; Piper Sandler $17 ($15)
🔸 $ADI: JPM $300 ($280), Oppenheimer $270 ($245), Piper Sandler $240 ($220), TD Cowen $280 ($260)
🔸 $AIZ: KBW $230 ($212), Upgraded to Outperform
🔸 $AXSM: H.C. Wainwright $200 ($190)
🔸 $BELFA: Needham $100 ($95)
🔸 $BMRN: Scotiabank $80 ($78)
🔸 $CVNA: D.A. Davidson $260 ($220), Jefferies $265 ($225), Needham $340 ($330), RBC $320 ($280)
🔸 $CRL: JPM $165 ($175)
🔸 $CAKE: Citigroup $67 ($66), Jefferies $63 ($58)
🔸 $CWAN: Piper Sandler $36 ($28), Upgraded to Overweight
🔸 $CVS: Bernstein $71 ($52)
🔸 $DVN: Bernstein $48 ($50), JPM $48 ($45)
🔸 $EQT: JPM $58 ($53)
🔸 $GTLB: Wells Fargo $85 ($80)
🔸 $IFF: Citigroup $99 ($100)
🔸 $KVYO: Barclays $51 ($47), Benchmark $54 ($51), Needham $56 ($46), Piper Sandler $53 ($50)
🔸 $LRCX: Susquehanna $125 ($75), Upgraded to Positive
🔸 $MTDR: JPM $76 ($75)
🔸 $RBA: CIBC $116 ($108)
🔸 $RELY: JPM $30 ($21)
🔸 $ROKU: Jefferies $100 ($55), Upgraded to Hold
🔸 $TOST: JPM $42 ($36), KBW $42 ($40)
🔸 $TNL: Jefferies $70 ($62)
🔸 $VRTX: RBC $408 ($407)
🆕 Coverage Initiations:
🔸 $SEI: Piper Sandler Overweight, PT $37
🔸 $ORA: Jefferies Buy (from Hold), PT $78 ($73)
Carvana ($CVNA) is up 62x from bottom 2 years ago

Carvana $CVNA looks like prime candidate for short squeeze
- Down 98% from top
- 50%+ short interest
- Capitulatory candles and rounded bottom + recent reclaims
- Equities and retail flow coming back strong
If WSB gets ahold of this does it pull a $GME? @WSBChairman



















