Notes
$AAPL - Morgan Stanley Raises Apple Price Target to $235
Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring raised Apple’s price target to $235 from $220, maintaining an Overweight rating.
The firm expects March quarter results and June guidance to slightly beat estimates, though June margins may face pressure from tariffs. Forecasts include $95.7B in revenue and $1.64 EPS, driven by early product demand, a weaker dollar, and 12% Services growth.
下周又是比较重要的宏观数据和重要公司财报季,你要知道5月初就要公布美联储议息会议的情况了(4月没有),目前很多分析师认为5月将会开始今年第一次降息,结果大概率就在下周数据里面。
•JOLTS 职位空缺——周二
劳动力市场景气度的领先指标,反映美国职位空缺数量变化。
• 消费者信心指数——周二
由会议委员会(Conference Board)发布,衡量消费者对经济前景的预期情绪。
• ADP 就业人数——周三
民间部门新增就业岗位数据,通常作为官方非农数据的前瞻参考。
• 第一季度 GDP 初值——周三
美国经济增长速度的初步评估,市场高度关注是否出现增长放缓迹象。
• 核心PCE物价指数数据——周三
美联储最偏好的通胀指标,直接影响未来利率决策预期。
• 微软 $MSFT 财报——周三
科技巨头微软发布季度财报,市场关注其AI、云计算业务增长情况。
• Meta平台 $META 财报——周三
社交媒体巨头Meta发布季度财报,重点关注广告收入及AI投入。
• 初请失业金人数——周四
反映美国劳动力市场流动性的最新数据。
• ISM制造业PMI——周四
制造业景气度指标,50以上代表扩张,50以下代表收缩。
• 苹果 $AAPL 财报——周四
全球最大科技公司之一苹果发布财报,关注硬件销量与服务收入表现。
• 亚马逊 $AMZN 财报——周四
电子商务和云计算巨头亚马逊发布财报,AWS(云服务)增长尤受瞩目。
•美国就业报告(非农就业数据)——周五
重点数据,涵盖新增就业岗位、失业率、薪资增长等,影响市场对美联储政策预期。
📊下周是数据与财报双重密集发布周,重点关注:
• GDP与PCE通胀数据 → 影响对经济增长与通胀趋势的判断
• 非农就业数据 → 影响未来货币政策路径
• 科技巨头财报 → 可能引发市场整体风险偏好变化
请保持关注,合理控制仓位,谨慎应对市场波动。🧐

下午跟几个哥们聊了一个很有趣的话题:如果现在你只能选一只股票,并且要持有未来10年,你会选哪个?我仔细想了一下:
苹果 $AAPL 未来10年真不好说,或者说我看不懂,自乔布斯去世至今14年,库克这些年CEO做的很成功,不瞎折腾其实很难,但是未来10年我是真看不懂,头盔貌似已经失败了?反正我买的那已经几个月没碰过了。
英伟达 $NVDA 潜在的竞争对手还是很多的, 护城河貌似撑不了10年。
特斯拉 $TSLA 马斯克是最大的不确定性,我赌了他过去10年,但是未来10年不敢再赌了,感觉现在的他有点跑偏。
台积电 $TSM 目前确实是独一无二的存在,但是地缘政治的不确定性也不敢拿10年不动。
最后讨论半天,我觉得我敢持有未来10年而且睡得着觉的是爱马仕 $HESAY
因为10年后科技发展成什么样,AI如何进步我们现在没法估计,但是有一点不变的是女人永远喜欢Birkin和Kelly
那么,如果换你会选哪个公司敢持有10年?
$AAPL - IPHONE FOLD RUMORED TO COST OVER $2000
According to serial leaker "Instant Digital" on Weibo, the price could end up being between $2,100 and $2,300 to consumers. Though they do not disclose their actual working out of that price range, the leaker claims it's based on Apple's typical iPhone profit margin.
https://t.co/1bkjYj2Rm2
This is unusual.
Marjorie Taylor Greene said on April 7th that people panicking over tariffs were "losers and failures."
On April 8th and 9th, she just refiled her trades, showing she bought hundred of thousands of dollars in stocks, including in Apple, $AAPL, $PLTR, Nvidia, $NVDIA, $QCOM, $NKE, $AMD and much more when the market was deeply red.
On April 9th, seemingly after the purchases, Trump announced his pause on the tariffs.
Then, the stock market boomed.


$AAPL - APPLE TOPS Q1 SMARTPHONE SALES: COUNTERPOINT RESEARCH
Helped by the iPhone 16e launch and continued expansion in emerging markets, Apple took the #1 spot in Q1 2025, its first ever for the first quarter, with a 19% share. Strong sales growth in markets like Japan and India helped.
https://t.co/n5whDC8V11
PREMKT
🔸 $AAPL | +4.97%
🔸 $PTON | +4.12%
🔸 $INTC | +3.19%
🔸 $BABA | +2.53%
🔸 $AMD | +2.29%
🔸 $NVDA | +1.70%
🔸 $NFLX | +1.58%
🔸 $MSFT | +1.55%
🔸 $SNAP | +1.51%
🔸 $META | +1.50%
🔸 $AMZN | +1.15%
🔸 $TSLA | +0.99%
🔸 $DIS | +0.90%
🔸 $GOOGL | +0.90%
$AAPL - KEYBANC UPGRADES TO SECTOR WEIGHT FROM UNDERWEIGHT
"We are upgrading AAPL to SW. Friday’s tariff exception for smartphones is a major positive, removing a key risk and making our previous downside target unlikely. While concerns remain — high growth expectations for FY26, weak AI efforts, and risks from the Google DOJ case — the worst-case trade war scenario now seems off the table. As a result, we no longer see further downside."
Now we know why we saw all of the bullish option premium on $AAPL on Friday — Net call premium nearly $19M
Net put premium -$18M
Traders targeting short dated $200 and $210 calls for Thursday 4/17 expiry — short week next
Check out this headline this morning @unusual_whales
$AAPL and electronics companies have been excluded from the reciprocal tariffs.
You can see below we saw numerous $AAPL calls being opened, and shared it below on Twitter / X in REALTIME.
IN FACT, Apple's new premium on Friday was first day it was positive all week.
Top unexpired chains were all the $200, $210, $220, $215 calls For Thursday!!!
It looks like people were expecting some American companies to get an exception.
Come learn the tools.

