Notes

*TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERING DELISTING OF CHINESE STOCKS ON U.S. EXCHANGES $BABA $KWEB $BIDU $JD $PDD
$BABA
+8.89%
$KWEB $BIDU $JD $PDD
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS TECH, MEDIA & TELECOM 🔸 Big Tech ( $AAPL, $AMZN, $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA): Lower as China imposes 34% tariffs on U.S. goods in response to U.S. tariffs. 🔸 China stocks ( $BABA, $BIDU, $PDD, $JD, $SINA, $NTES): Trading sharply lower. 🔸 EU vs. "X": Possible $1B fine for disinformation law violations. 🔸 Five9 ( $FIVN): Q1 EPS, revenue in line or better than guidance; 4% workforce reduction. CONSUMER 🔸 Booking Holdings ( $BKNG): Upgraded to Buy (BTIG), target $5,500. 🔸 Guess ( $GES): Q4 adj. EPS $1.48 (est. $1.40), revenue $932.3M (+4.6% y/y, est. $912.3M). Gross margin 44.1% (vs. 45.4%). 2026 revenue forecast +3.9%-6.2%, EPS $1.32-$1.76 (est. $2.07). Alberto Toni named CFO. Plans to close unprofitable stores. 🔸 Kraft Heinz ( $KHC): Downgraded to Sell (Citigroup), target cut to $27 due to sales growth concerns. ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS 🔸 ExxonMobil ( $XOM): Q1 earnings impact: Energy products (-$0.3B to -$0.7B), upstream (liquids/gas: $0.0B to -$0.4B), chemicals (-$0.1B to $0.1B), specialty (-$0.3B to -$0.1B). 🔸 Matador Resources ( $MTDR): Selling Eagle Ford assets, board reviewing stock repurchase. 🔸 Shell ( $SHEL): Selling 16.125% Colonial Enterprises stake to Brookfield (BIP) for $1.45B. FINANCIALS 🔸 Cboe ( $CBOE): Q1 options volume 1.1B contracts, March ADV 18.8M (record). 🔸 Franklin Resources (BEN): March AUM $1.53T (Feb: $1.57T), $4B net outflows. 🔸 Progressive ( $PGR): Downgraded to Neutral (Bank of America), target cut to $287 from $300. HEALTHCARE 🔸 LifeCore ( $LFCR): Q3 EPS -$0.47 (est. -$0.15), revs $35.2M (est. $33.23M). FY guidance: revs $126.5M-$130M, adj. EBITDA $19M-$21M. 🔸 Simulations Plus ( $SLP): Q2 adj. EPS $0.31 (est. $0.12), revs $22.4M (est. $21.9M). FY guidance: revs $90M-$93M, adj. EPS $1.07-$1.20 (est. $0.47).
$AAPL $AMZN $META
+1.03%
$GOOGL $MSFT
-12.08%
$NVDA
+5.46%
$BABA
+8.89%
$BIDU $PDD $JD $SINA $NTES $FIVN $BKNG $GES $KHC $XOM $MTDR $SHEL $CBOE $PGR $LFCR $SLP
+3.13%
MORNING BID 🔸 Apple ( $AAPL) lost an appeal in Germany, facing tighter regulations after a long market debate. 🔸 Baidu ( $BIDU) rises on reports Tesla (TSLA) will launch Full Self-Driving (FSD) in China this year, partnering with Baidu. Free FSD trials run March 17–April 16. 🔸 Getty Images ( $GETY) Q4 EPS: $0.06 (est. $0.04); adj. EBITDA: $80.6M (est. $74M); FY25 revenue guidance: $918–955M (est. $955M). 🔸 Alphabet ( $GOOGL) is in advanced talks to buy cybersecurity firm Wiz for ~$30B, per WSJ; a deal could finalize soon. 🔸 Lucid ( $LCID) upgraded to equal weight at Morgan Stanley. 🔸 Masterbrand ( $MBC) adds $50M share buyback. 🔸 Nio ( $NIO) partners with CATL for battery swap network, using CATL’s Choco-Swap tech in Firefly models. 🔸 Toronto ends Tesla ( $TSLA) taxi/ride-share incentives over U.S. trade tensions. 🔸 Audi ( $VWAGY) may raise prices to offset U.S. tariffs. 🔸 Xiaomi ( $XIACY) raises 2025 EV target to 350,000 units; Q4 revenue up 48% to 109B yuan, beating estimates.
$AAPL $BIDU $GETY $GOOGL $LCID $MBC
-0.63%
$NIO $TSLA
-16.31%
$VWAGY $XIACY
Market Updates: 🔸 American Eagle ( $AEO) adds 50M shares to buyback; Q4 revs $1.6B (est. $1.6B); Q1 off to slow start; sees FY25 revs declining low-single digits (est. +2.97%). 🔸 Calavo Growers ( $CVGW) Q1 adj. EPS $0.33 (est. $0.29); revs +21% y/y to $154.39M (est. $161.55M); says Mexico tariffs won’t significantly impact operations. 🔸 Tesla ( $TSLA) partners with Baidu ( $BIDU) to enhance ADAS in China (Reuters). 🔸 Adobe ( $ADBE) Q1 adj. EPS $5.08 (est. $4.97), revs $5.71B (est. $5.66B); reaffirms FY25 targets; Q2 revs guidance $5.77B-$5.82B (est. $5.8B). 🔸 Intel ( $INTC) appoints Lip-Bu Tan as CEO, replacing interim co-CEOs. 🔸 SentinelOne ( $S) Q4 EPS (-$0.22) (est. -$0.21); revs +29% y/y to $225.5M (est. $222.33M); FY26 revs guidance $1.007B-$1.012B (est. $1.03B). 🔸 UiPath ( $PATH) Q4 adj. EPS $0.26 (est. $0.20); revs +4.5% y/y to $423.6M (est. $424.9M); Q1 revs guidance $330M-$335M (est. $367.4M). 🔸 Marvell ( $MRVL) files mixed securities shelf. 🔸 Microsoft ( $MSFT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson. 🔸 Phreesia ( $PHR) Q4 EPS (-$0.11) (est. $0.11); revs $109.7M (est. $108.9M); maintains FY26 revs $472M-$482M, adj. EBITDA outlook. 🔸 Dentsply Sirona ( $XRAY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham. 🔸 Berry ( $BRY) Q4 adj. EPS $0.21 (est. $0.15), revs $187.79M (est. $173M); Q4 production +5% QoQ, +1% YoY; FY25 production 24.8-26 MBoe/d (93% oil); capex $110M-$120M. 🔸 Cummins ( $CMI), Paccar (PCAR) shares down as EPA moves to reverse EV rules; Jefferies sees downside risk if 2027 prebuy doesn’t happen. 🔸 Freight Car ( $RAIL) Q4 revs $137.7M (est. $152.02M); sees FY25 railcar deliveries 4,500-4,900, revs $530M-$595M; Q4 gross margin 15.3% (vs. 9.6% y/y). 🔸 Murphy Oil ( $MUR) acquires FPSO vessels in Gulf of Mexico; cuts annual costs by $60M, reaffirms 2025 capex. 🔸 Sunnova ( $NOVA) exploring restructuring, possible bankruptcy; holds $8.5B in debt (WSJ).
$AEO $CVGW $TSLA
-16.31%
$BIDU $ADBE $INTC $S
+1.76%
$PATH $MRVL $MSFT
-12.08%
$PHR $XRAY $BRY $CMI $RAIL $MUR $NOVA
+10.17%
MORNING BID Baidu ( $BIDU) Q4 Revenue: ¥34.12B (-2% y/y, Est. ¥33.32B) 📉 🔹 Ad revenue down 7% to ¥17.9B, offset by AI Cloud growth (+26% y/y). Broadcom ( $AVGO) & Intel ( $INTC): 🔹 Broadcom held informal talks on acquiring Intel’s chip-design unit (WSJ). 🔹 No formal offer yet; deal uncertain. Roku ( $ROKU): Files mixed securities shelf. Alcohol Industry Struggles: 🔹 Younger consumers opt for moderation/abstinence, hurting alcohol sales. 🔹 Underperforming stocks: TAP, DEO, BF/B, BUD. 🔹 Winners: Nonalcoholic brands like Athletic Brewing & Ritual Zero Proof thrive. 🔹 Anglo American ( $NGLOY): Selling nickel unit to MMG Ltd for up to $500M, refocusing on copper & iron ore. 🔹 Delta ( $DAL): Regional jet flipped on landing in Toronto amid high winds; 18 injured. 🔹 Diamondback ( $FANG): Acquires Double Eagle units for 6.9M shares + $3B cash to expand Midland Basin. 🔹 Entergy ( $ETR): Q4 adj. EPS $0.66 (Est. $0.63); FY25 guidance: $3.75-$3.95 (Est. $3.92). 🔹 H&E ( $HEES): Accepts Herc Rentals' $5.3B bid, rejecting United Rentals' offer (FT). 🔹 Sealed Air ( $SEE): CEO Patrick Kivits steps down; Dustin Semach appointed; FY24 outlook reaffirmed. 🔹 Capital One ( $COF): Jan. net charge-offs 6.12% (vs. 5.71% y/y); delinquencies 4.61% (vs. 4.78% y/y). 🔹 Discover ( $DFS): Jan. credit card delinquency 1.80%, charge-off 2.63% (SEC filing). 🔹 JPMorgan ( $JPM): Jan. credit card delinquency 0.88%, charge-off 1.64% (SEC filing). 🔹 Janus Henderson ( $JHG): Expanding into Saudi Arabia to grow Middle East presence (Bloomberg). 🔹 KKR ( $KKR): Buying 5% more of Eni’s (E) Enilive biofuel unit for €587.5M, raising stake to 30%. 🔹 Johnson & Johnson ( $JNJ): Faces court decision today on $10B settlement over baby powder litigation; Judge Lopez to decide on Chapter 11 filing. 🔹 Medtronic ( $MDT): Q3 adj. EPS $1.39 (Est. $1.36); Q3 revs +2.5% y/y to $8.29B (Est. $8.33B); maintains full-year guidance. 🔹 Oculis ( $OCS): 5M share secondary priced at $20.00 per share.
$BIDU $AVGO $INTC $ROKU $NGLOY $DAL $FANG $ETR $HEES $SEE $COF $DFS $JPM $JHG $KKR $JNJ $MDT
-1.43%
$OCS
🇺🇸EARNINGS THIS WEEK: • WALMART $WMT • ALIBABA $BABA • BAIDU $BIDU • ARISTA NETWORKS $ANET • UNITY SOFTWARE $U • ANALOG DEVICES $ADI • BLOCK $XYZ • MERCADO LIBRE $MELI • ETSY $ETSY • CARVANA $CVNA • RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE $RIVN • MEDTRONIC $MDT • TOAST $TOST • BOOKING
$WMT $BABA
+8.89%
$BIDU $ANET $U
-0.67%
BREAKING: Michael Burry (Scion Asset Management) updated their portfolio. As soon as his filing comes in, we update the full positions and portfolios on Unusual Whales. Get it live and first! He reduced $BABA, $JD, added $EL, and sold out of $JD $BIDU, adding $PDD $HCA $VFC.
$BABA
+8.89%
$JD $EL $BIDU $PDD $HCA $VFC
$AAPL $BIDU - APPLE STILL WORKING W/ BAIDU ON AI FOR CHINA IPHONE: THE INFORMATION
$AAPL $BIDU
$BIDU 0DTE calls 15X
$BIDU
Earnings Week Ahead Tuesday 19th, 2024 • Ticker: $XPENG • Company: XPeng Inc • Market Cap: 12.9 billion USD • EST Time: 05:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.24 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.37 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: -0.77 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 5.66 billion USD • Ticker: $LOW • Company: Lowe's Companies Inc • Market Cap: 153.4 billion USD • EST Time: 06:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.82 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 19.94 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 11.82 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 82.99 billion USD • Ticker: $J • Company: Jacobs Engineering Group Inc • Market Cap: 17.5 billion USD • EST Time: 06:40 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.54 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.37 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 6.98 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 8.24 billion USD • Ticker: $MDT • Company: Medtronic PLC • Market Cap: 110.3 billion USD • EST Time: 06:45 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.25 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 8.27 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 5.45 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 33.62 billion USD • Ticker: $WMT • Company: Walmart Inc • Market Cap: 679 billion USD • EST Time: 07:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.53 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 167.72 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 2.45 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 678.25 billion USD • Ticker: $KEYS • Company: Keysight Technologies Inc • Market Cap: 26.7 billion USD • EST Time: 16:05 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.57 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.20 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 6.18 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.95 billion USD Wednesday 20th, 2024 • Ticker: $NIO • Company: Nio Inc • Market Cap: 9.2 billion USD • EST Time: 05:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: -0.30 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.69 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: -1.17 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 10.2 billion USD • Ticker: $TGT • Company: Target Corp • Market Cap: 70.7 billion USD • EST Time: 06:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.30 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 25.9 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 9.55 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 106.71 billion USD • Ticker: $TJX • Company: TJX Companies Inc • Market Cap: 135.2 billion USD • EST Time: 07:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.09 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 13.95 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 4.17 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 56.2 billion USD • Ticker: $PANW • Company: Palo Alto Networks Inc • Market Cap: 129.1 billion USD • EST Time: 16:05 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.48 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 2.12 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 6.27 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 9.13 billion USD • Ticker: $NVDA • Company: NVIDIA Corp • Market Cap: 360.9 billion USD • EST Time: 16:20 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.75 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 33.12 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 2.86 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 126.9 billion USD • Ticker: $SQM • Company: Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA • Market Cap: 10.6 billion USD • EST Time: 20:15 EST (previous day) • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.66 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: -0.56 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.69 billion USD Wednesday 21th, 2024 • Ticker: $BIDU • Company: Baidu Inc • Market Cap: 29.5 billion USD • EST Time: 05:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.43 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 4.6 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 10.94 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.6 billion USD • Ticker: $DE • Company: Deere & Co • Market Cap: 108 billion USD • EST Time: 06:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 3.89 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 9.3 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 24.89 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 45.3 billion USD • Ticker: $WMG • Company: Warner Music Group Corp • Market Cap: 17.3 billion USD • EST Time: 07:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.28 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.59 billion USD • Ticker: $GAP • Company: Gap Inc • Market Cap: 8.3 billion USD • Reporting Time: After Market Close (AMC) • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.58 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.81 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 1.87 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 14.96 billion USD • Ticker: $ROST • Company: Ross Stores Inc • Market Cap: 47.2 billion USD • EST Time: 16:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.40 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 5.17 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 6.13 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 21.36 billion USD • Ticker: $NTAP • Company: NetApp Inc • Market Cap: 24.2 billion USD • EST Time: 16:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 1.78 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.64 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 7.10 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.6 billion USD • Ticker: $INTU • Company: Intuit Inc • Market Cap: 196.4 billion USD • EST Time: 16:00 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 2.35 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 3.14 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 19.34 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 18.27 billion USD • Ticker: $CPRT • Company: Copart Inc • Market Cap: 55.2 billion USD • EST Time: 16:30 EST • Expected Quarterly EPS: 0.37 USD • Expected Quarterly Revenue: 1.09 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 1.55 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 4.56 billion USD • Expected Full Year EPS: 1.08 USD • Expected Full Year Revenue: 6.4 billion USD
$XPENG $LOW $J
-8.71%
$MDT
-1.43%
$WMT $KEYS $NIO $TGT $TJX $PANW $NVDA
+5.46%
$SQM $BIDU $DE $WMG $GAP $ROST $NTAP $INTU $CPRT
#Downgrades - Sep 24, 2024 $BIDU: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $100 $COST: Truist Securities Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $873 $CTLT: Baird Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $63.50 $CUBI: Wedbush Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $53 (from $79) $DOYU: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $6.60 $DRS: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $30 (from $26) $EQR: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $82 (from $78) $ESS: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $321 (from $307) $FCNCA: Wedbush Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $2,150 (from $2,450) $FHN: Wedbush Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $17 (from $20) $INVH: BofA Securities Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $37 (from $39) $KVUE: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $24 $MCK: Baird Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $531 (from $603) $MNSO: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $14.91 $NTR: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $50 (from $62) $NSP: William Blair Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform $PRGO: Jefferies Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $30 (from $50) $REGN: Leerink Partners Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $1,077 (from $1,175) $SBUX: Jefferies Downgrades to Underperform from Hold - PT $76 (from $80) $TGI: BofA Securities Downgrades to Underperform from Buy - PT $12 (from $17) $XOM: Redburn-Atlantic Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $120 (from $119)
$BIDU $COST
+27.36%
$CTLT $CUBI $DOYU $DRS $EQR $ESS
+1.23%
$FCNCA $FHN $INVH $KVUE $MCK $MNSO $NTR $NSP $PRGO $REGN $SBUX $TGI $XOM
依靠高精度地图和人为硬编码的规则做出来的自动驾驶 L2 解决方案,面临类似所有做题家都无法避免的结局: 1. 遇到新情况,没有高精度地图指引或者路上没有清晰标志的时候就可能卡壳。 2. 因为和其它做题家是同样的套路,最后大家竞相杀价,都不赚钱。
Just finished a one-week trip to China. I've now "survived" all the major (~20) L2 self-driving and robotaxi vehicles in both the US and China. Some thoughts & observations: ▶️L2 self-driving I tested major brands like $Huawei, $Li, $NIO, $Xpeng, and $Xiaomi. Overall, they https://t.co/2iTluT24SU
00:00:31
00:01:28
00:00:12
00:00:30
$Huawei $Li $NIO $Xpeng $Xiaomi $Tsla
-16.31%
$Didi $Bidu $Waymo $RIVN $CATL
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