Notes
$T $26 calls 4/17 up $100 since alerted last week at $40 — up 257%
$.40 to $1.43 and in-the-money
Thanks @unusual_whales 📝✅😎
Alerted those $T $26 calls 4/17 at $40 on Wednesday
Today $100 — up 150%
Thanks @unusual_whales 📝✅😎
1/5 $T 的进场止盈位置？
参考周期为1D。从日K盘面来看的话，目前已经完成了突破后的回踩，正在反弹阶段中。
可以把阶段性TP放在前高：0.041 区域。
本文由 #Bitget ｜@Bitget_zh 赞助
$T 丨1D
目前的日K结构符合突破后的回踩完成，进入反弹的阶段。价格刚好回踩到支撑：0.026区域，暂时出现了止跌的现象。
稳点的话，就是等待日K收盘，确认反弹后进场，止损设在支撑下方。或者就是分批进底仓，成功反弹再慢慢加仓至正常仓位。
本文由 #Bitget 丨 @Bitget_zh 赞助
MORNING RECAP
Tesla ( $TSLA): China-made EV sales dropped 4.3% y/y to 78,856 in November.
Month-over-month increase of 15.5% for Model 3 and Model Y deliveries.
Kroger ( $KR): Upgraded to Buy from Hold by Jefferies, target raised to $73 from $54.
Downgraded by BMO Capital, target unchanged at $60.
Live Nation Entertainment ( $LYV): Launched $1B in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Axon (AXON): Upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight by Morgan Stanley; target raised to $700 from $500.
Crane Company (CR): Agreed to sell engineered materials segment for $227M to KPS Capital Partners, LP. Forecasts Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations at $1.10-$1.25.
Donaldson (DCI):
Q1 adjusted EPS $0.83, slightly above estimate of $0.82; Q1 revenue $900.1M vs. $892.43M expected.
Maintains FY25 EPS guidance at $3.56-$3.72; expects revenue growth of 2%-6%.
FedEx ( $FDX): Downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein; target reduced to $316 from $337.
General Motors ( $GM): Non-binding agreement to sell stake in Ultium Cells LLC plant in Lansing to LG Energy Solutions.
Honeywell ( $HON): Signed agreement with Bombardier for next-gen aviation tech; updated 2024 outlook.
Joby Aviation Inc ( $JOBY): CFO Matthew Field to resign effective December 13, 2024.
Rayonier ( $RYN): Authorized $300M share repurchase; announced special dividend of $1.80 per share.
United States Steel ( $X): Shares fell after Trump's comments on reviving U.S. Steel and opposing Nippon Steel's acquisition.
Aflac ( $AFL): Quarterly dividend increased by 16% to $0.58 per share.
CleanSpark Inc. ( $CLSK): FY revenue at $378.9M, below estimates of $397.32M. Adjusted EBITDA at $245.8M, significantly above estimates of $141.44M.
Regional Management Corp ( $RM): Announced a $30M stock repurchase program.
State Street ( $STT): Upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform by Keefe Bruyette; target price raised to $120.
PTC Therapeutics ( $PTCT): Upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform by RBC Capital; target price increased to $63 from $39, citing transformative deal with Novartis.
TransMedics ( $TMDX): Narrowed FY24 revenue guidance to $428M-$432M from $425M-$445M. Announced new CFO, Gerardo Hernandez, replacing Stephen Gordon.
Vaxart ( $VXRT): Completed enrollment for sentinel cohort in phase 2B study of its COVID-19 oral vaccine candidate.
Microchip Technology ( $MCHP): Shares fell after lowering December 2024 revenue guidance to about $1.025B. Announced closure of Tempe wafer fabrication facility (Fab 2).
Microsoft ( $MSFT): Facing a £1 billion dispute in the U.K. over cloud software licensing practices.
AT&T ( $T): Authorized $10B in share repurchases.
Raised FY adjusted EPS guidance to $2.20-$2.25.
Maintained free cash flow and capital expenditure forecasts.
Credo Technology ( $CRDO): Q2 revenue $72.0M, above estimates; EPS $0.07 vs. $0.05 expected.
Forecasts Q3 gross margin between 60.6%-62.6%; revenue guidance $115M-$125M.
Bill Holdings ( $BILL): Offering $1.0B in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Ingram Micro ( $INGM): To reduce workforce by 850 associates.
IonQ ( $IONQ): Launched IonQ Quantum OS and IonQ Hybrid Services suite to enhance quantum computing utility.
Seagate Technologies ( $STX): Expects lower production output for fiscal Q3 2025, impacting revenue by up to $200M.
Zscaler ( $ZS): Q1 adjusted EPS $0.77, above $0.63 estimate; revenue $627.955M vs. $606.19M expected.
Provided Q2 and FY revenue and EPS guidance, both exceeding consensus estimates.
$T YEAR FORECAST
Sees adjusted EPS $2.20 to $2.25, saw $2.15 to $2.25
Sees capital expenditure high end of $21B to $22B, saw $21B to $22B, estimate $19.48B
Still sees free cash flow $17B to $18B, estimate $17.47B
Still sees adjusted EBITDA +3%2025
YEAR FORECAST
Sees free cash flow at least $16B
Sees capital expenditure about $22B, estimate $19.54B
Sees adjusted EPS $1.97 to $2.07
Sees adjusted EBITDA at least +3%
$T RESULTS: Q3
🔸 ADJ EPS $0.60, EST $0.57
🔸 Revenue $30.2B, -0.7% y/y, EST $30.45B
🔸 Communications Segment Operating revenue $29.07B, -0.6% y/y, EST $29.29B
🔸 Latin America Segment Operating revenue $1.02B, +3% y/y, EST $1.08B
🔸 Mobility revenue $21.1B, +1.9% y/y, EST $21.17B
🔸 ADJ EBITDA $11.6B, EST $11.38B
🔸 Free cash flow $5.1B, -1.9% y/y, EST $4.69B
🔸 Wireless postpaid phone net adds +403,000, EST +394,645
🔸 AT&T Fiber net adds 226,000, EST 265,390
🔸 Postpaid phone-only churn 0.78% vs. 0.79% y/y, EST 0.77%
F/Y GUIDANCE
🔸 Still sees capital expenditure $21B to $22B, EST $18.63B
🔸 Still sees ADJ EPS $2.15 to $2.25
🔸 Still sees ADJ EBITDA +3%
🔸 Sees full-year Business Wireline EBITDA down high-teens range, saw down mid-teens range
🔸 Still sees full-year Consumer Wireline EBITDA growth in the mid-to-high-single-digit range
#雨中狂睡 GM 九月展望来了
九月对于我而言依然是一个危险的月份，我不会考虑进行过多交易行为（目前空仓）。等待。
这篇内容旨在从我个人的角度，用更简单精确的语言描述一下我会在九月重点关注的赛道和标的。
1⃣️看好 $BTC 生态，BTC 质押、wBTC 竞争对手（ $T ）和铭文/符文（ $SATS $ORDI ），以及 $RUNE ；
2⃣️看好 DeFi 的 Uniswap v4 $UNI ，是当前 DeFi 生态最重要的催化剂。（ $COW 也在做一些小动作）；
3⃣️Solana 生态遇冷可能会给我们一个抄底的机会，我觉得 $JTO $CLOUD $DRIFT $KMNO 这几个标的挺好的，看看哪个能吸引市场注意力吧；
4⃣️考虑 RWA 标的时需要谨慎， $MPL 和 $CPOOL 是两个值得关注的项目；
5⃣️MakerDAO 改名给了市场炒作的机会，也可能会利好 $LQTY ；
6⃣️CZ 刑满释放对 $BNB 相关是一个很好的预期；
7⃣️Pendle 正在向 BTCFi 靠拢；
深潮早报 8月23日
$BTC - 昨日 10 家比特币 ETF 净流入 1,515 枚 BTC
$ETH-Vitalik：以太坊的基本面实际上非常强劲，L2网络交易费用降至0.01美元以下
$BNB-币安前CEO CZ 离开监狱转至洛杉矶地区管理设施，预计9月29日获释
$AVAX-灰度为Avalanche的AVAX代币推出投资信托
$ALPACA $POPCAT $SUN -Binance 将上线ALPACA 、POPCAT 、SUN 永续合约
$RENDER $SAGA $T -Coinbase 国际站将上线 RENDER、SAGA 和 T 永续合约
$WLD-哥伦比亚监管机构指控Worldcoin涉嫌违反个人数据保护规定
Magic Eden 基金会宣布推出 ME 代币
Babylon 上线比特币质押主网，第一阶段的 1000 枚 BTC 的质押上限已达成
Puffer Finance 发布新路线图，TGE 定于第四季度推出
推荐阅读：
解读 FBTC：全链 BTC 合成资产先行者，将资本效率覆盖到更广加密世界
https://t.co/5ZCWR0oy8k
Pump 风吹到 BSC，全链蹭 Meme 变成新潮流？
https://t.co/Tl8bilhsXg
CZ 出狱概念，盘点 BNB Chain 值得关注的代币
https://t.co/63ARz2Tcs9
对话 MegaETH 和 Monad 创始人：重塑以太坊的未来（完整版）
https://t.co/MyXiYNJtcr
盘点各链 「https://t.co/lh7cHMjjiD」 ，去哪儿玩才赚钱 ？
https://t.co/Ec2LTBCqml
深度解读：Ethereum、Solana 和 Tron 三大公链的收入可持续性
https://t.co/5eGy9b3cLZ
从顶流 Meme KOL 到亏麻无语， Ansem 为什么不灵了？
https://t.co/R2xVvZHW5b
STREET RECOMMENDATION - JULY 01, 2024
Upgrades
$ADNT: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Neutral from Underperform - PT $26
$AGRO: JPMorgan Upgrades to Neutral from Underweight - PT $11.50 (from $10.50)
$BIRK: UBS Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $85 (from $52)
$COLD: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $31
$ICE: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $167 (from $143)
$MGA: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
$TFX: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $245 (from $205)
Downgrades
$AMED: William Blair Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform
$ICFI: Truist Securities Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $155 (from $168)
$NEP: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $30 (from $38)
$SAVA: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
$ZBH: Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $115 (from $140)
Initiates
$AMKR: JPMorgan Initiates at Overweight - PT $48
$AMT: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $230
$ATUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $2
$AXGN: Raymond James Initiates at Outperform - PT $13
$BIVI: ThinkEquity Initiates at Buy - PT $3
$CCOI: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $56
$CHTR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $250
$DLR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $175
$EQIX: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $870
$FYBR: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $29
$GAUZ: Stifel Initiates at Buy - PT $18
$GAUZ: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $24
$IMMX: H.C. Wainwright Initiates at Buy - PT $7
$LUMN: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Sell - PT $1
$T: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $22
$TALK: Needham Initiates at Hold
$TMUS: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Buy - PT $200
$VZ: Goldman Sachs Initiates at Neutral - PT $50
$WRB: TD Cowen Initiates at Buy - PT $103
: JMP Securities Initiates at Market Outperform - PT $6