Notes
MORNING BID
Amazon ( $AMZN):
🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.86 (Est. $1.49)
🔸 Operating Income: $21.2B (Est. $19.145B)
🔸 Sales: $187.8B (Est. $187.299B)
Q1 Guidance:
🔸 Sales $151-155B (Est. $158.45B)
🔸 Operating Income $14-18B (Est. $18.347B)
🔸 AWS Sales: $107.6B
Tesla ( $TSLA):
🔸 China EV Sales in Jan: 63,238 units (-11.5% YoY, -32.6% MoM)
🔸 BYD Sales: 296,446 units (+47.5% YoY, -41.8% MoM)
Boyd Gaming ( $BYD):
🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.96 (Est. $1.79)
🔸 Revenue: $1.04B (Est. $1B)
🔸 Strong growth in Online segment
Elf Beauty ( $ELF):
🔸 Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.76)
🔸 Revenue: $355.3M (Est. $330.39M)
🔸 FY25 Guidance:
🔸 EPS $3.27-$3.32 (from $3.47-$3.53)
🔸 Sales $1.3B-$1.31B (from $1.315B-$1.335B)
Expedia ( $EXPE):
🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $2.39 (Est. $2.04)
🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: $643M (Est. $570.9M)
🔸 Revenue: $3.184B (Est. $3.07B)
🔸 Gross Bookings: $24.422B
🔸 Dividend reinstated
Mohawk Industries ( $MHK):
🔸 Q4 Adjusted EPS: $1.95 (Est. $1.85)
🔸 Revenue: $2.64B (Est. $2.54B)
🔸 Global Ceramic Sales: +1.5% reported, Flooring ROW Sales: -2.1% reported
🔸 Hurricane impact: ~$10M
Nikola ( $NKLA):
🔸 Shares decline on reports of potential sale, restructuring, or bankruptcy
Skechers ( $SKX):
🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.65 (Est. $0.75)
🔸 Sales: $2.212B (Est. $2.22B)
🔸 Q1 Guidance: Sales $2.4-2.43B (Est. $2.486B), EPS $1.10-1.15 (Est. $1.55)
Bill Holdings ( $BILL):
🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.47)
🔸 Revenue: $362.6M (+14% YoY, Est. $359.99M)
🔸 Q3 Guidance: EPS $0.35-$0.38 (Est. $0.34)
🔸 Revenue $352.5M-$357.5M (Est. $360.37M)
Cloudflare ( $NET):
🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.19 (Est. $0.18)
🔸 Revenue: $459.9M (Est. $452.12M)
🔸 Added 55 customers spending >$1M/year in 2024
🔸 FY25 Guidance: Adj EPS $0.79-$0.80 (Est. $0.85), Revenue $2.09B-$2.094B (Est. $2.1B)
GoPro ( $GPRO):
🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: -$0.09 (Est. -$0.12)
🔸 Revenue: $200.88M (Est. $196.5M)
🔸 Q1 Guidance: EPS loss -$0.13 to -$0.03 (Est. -$0.08)
🔸 Revenue $115M-$135M (Est. $136.25M)
🔸 Gross Margin ~35%
Fortinet ( $FTNT):
🔸 Q4 EPS: $0.74 (Est. $0.61)
🔸 Revenue: $1.66B (Est. $1.6B), Billings: $2B
🔸 Non-GAAP Op Margin: 39% (+720 bps YoY)
🔸 FY25 Guidance: EPS $2.41-$2.47 (Est. $2.42), Revenue $6.65B-$6.85B (Est. $6.63B)
Lumentum Holdings ( $LITE):
🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.42 (Est. $0.36)
🔸 Revenue: $402.2M (Est. $389.76M), Adj Gross Margin: 32.3%, Adj Op Margin: 7.9%
🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $410M-$425M (Est. $411.84M), Adj EPS $0.47-$0.53 (Est. $0.42)
Microchip Technology ( $MCHP):
🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.28)
🔸 Revenue: $1.026B (Est. $1.05B)
🔸 Q4 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $0.05-$0.15 (Est. $0.27), Revenue $920M-$1.0B (Est. $1.05B)
🔸 FY25 Capex: ~$135M
Monolithic Power Systems ( $MPWR):
🔸 Q4 EPS: $4.09 (Est. $3.98)
🔸 Revenue: $621.67M (Est. $608.09M)
🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $610M-$630M (Est. $584.38M), Gross Margin 55.4%-56%
🔸 Dividend increased
Netflix ( $NFLX):
🔸 Considering bid for Formula One’s U.S. TV rights
Onto Innovation ( $ONTO):
🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.51 (Est. $1.41)
🔸 Revenue: $263.939M (Est. $260.5M), Gross Margin: 50%
🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $260M-$274M (Est. $267.4M), Adj EPS $1.40-$1.54 (Est. $1.49)
Pinterest ( $PINS):
🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $0.56 (Est. $0.65)
🔸 Adj EBITDA: $470.943M (Est. $444.6M), Revenue: $1.154B (Est. $1.139B)
🔸 Q1 Guidance: Revenue $837M-$852M (Est. $832.78M), Adj EBITDA $155M-$170M (Est. $140.75M)
Qualys Inc. ( $QLYS):
🔸 Q4 EPS: $1.60 (Est. $1.37)
🔸 Revenue: $159.2M (Est. $156.27M)
🔸 FY25 Guidance: Non-GAAP EPS $5.50-$5.90 (Est. $6.09), Revenue $645M-$657M (Est. $651.13M)
SS&C Technologies ( $SSNC):
🔸 Q4 Adj EPS: $1.58 (Est. $1.32)
🔸 Adj Op Income: $581.9M (Est. $569.2M), Adj Revenue: $1.5361B (Est. $1.483B)
🔸 FY Guidance: Adj Revenue $6.085B-$6.245B (Est. $6.159B), Adj EPS $5.64-$5.96 (Est. $5.75)
Synaptics ( $SYNA):
🔸 Q2 Adj EPS: $0.92 (Est. $0.86)
🔸 Revenue: $267.2M (Est. $265.6M), Gross Margin: 53.6%
🔸 Q3 Guidance: Revenue $250M-$280M (Est. $253.27M), Adj EPS $0.65-$1.05 (Est. $0.72)
Take-Two Interactive ( $TTWO):
🔸 Q3 EPS: -$0.71
🔸 Adj EBITDA: $88.8M, Revenue: $1.36B (Est. $1.39B)
🔸 Q4 Guidance: Revenue $1.52B-$1.62B (Est. $1.538B), Adj EBITDA $223M-$277M (Est. $327.92M)
ViaSat ( $VSAT):
🔸 Q3 EPS: $0.11 (Est. $0.05)
🔸 Revenue: $1.12B (Est. $1.13B)
🔸 On track for FY guidance; FY26 expects YoY revenue and Adj EBITDA growth, Capex ~$1.3B
#Upgrades - Dec 18, 2024
• $BILL: KeyBanc Upgrades to Overweight from Sector Weight - PT $115
• $CFG: Raymond James Double Upgrades to Strong Buy from Market Perform - PT $55
• $DOW: Evercore ISI Upgrades to Outperform from In Line - PT $56
• $MSCI: Goldman Sachs Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $723 (from $617)
• $PFG: Piper Sandler Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $90
• $PKG: Jefferies Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $280 (from $215)
• $QTWO: KeyBanc Upgrades to Overweight from Sector Weight - PT $126
• $RIG: Barclays Upgrades to Overweight from Equalweight - PT $4.50
• $WK: Stifel Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $130 (from $102)
• $WLK: Citi Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $140 (from $152)
• $XMTR: JPMorgan Upgrades to Overweight from Neutral - PT $45 (from $25)
MORNING RECAP
Tesla ( $TSLA): China-made EV sales dropped 4.3% y/y to 78,856 in November.
Month-over-month increase of 15.5% for Model 3 and Model Y deliveries.
Kroger ( $KR): Upgraded to Buy from Hold by Jefferies, target raised to $73 from $54.
Downgraded by BMO Capital, target unchanged at $60.
Live Nation Entertainment ( $LYV): Launched $1B in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Axon (AXON): Upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight by Morgan Stanley; target raised to $700 from $500.
Crane Company (CR): Agreed to sell engineered materials segment for $227M to KPS Capital Partners, LP. Forecasts Q4 adjusted EPS from continuing operations at $1.10-$1.25.
Donaldson (DCI):
Q1 adjusted EPS $0.83, slightly above estimate of $0.82; Q1 revenue $900.1M vs. $892.43M expected.
Maintains FY25 EPS guidance at $3.56-$3.72; expects revenue growth of 2%-6%.
FedEx ( $FDX): Downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein; target reduced to $316 from $337.
General Motors ( $GM): Non-binding agreement to sell stake in Ultium Cells LLC plant in Lansing to LG Energy Solutions.
Honeywell ( $HON): Signed agreement with Bombardier for next-gen aviation tech; updated 2024 outlook.
Joby Aviation Inc ( $JOBY): CFO Matthew Field to resign effective December 13, 2024.
Rayonier ( $RYN): Authorized $300M share repurchase; announced special dividend of $1.80 per share.
United States Steel ( $X): Shares fell after Trump's comments on reviving U.S. Steel and opposing Nippon Steel's acquisition.
Aflac ( $AFL): Quarterly dividend increased by 16% to $0.58 per share.
CleanSpark Inc. ( $CLSK): FY revenue at $378.9M, below estimates of $397.32M. Adjusted EBITDA at $245.8M, significantly above estimates of $141.44M.
Regional Management Corp ( $RM): Announced a $30M stock repurchase program.
State Street ( $STT): Upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform by Keefe Bruyette; target price raised to $120.
PTC Therapeutics ( $PTCT): Upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform by RBC Capital; target price increased to $63 from $39, citing transformative deal with Novartis.
TransMedics ( $TMDX): Narrowed FY24 revenue guidance to $428M-$432M from $425M-$445M. Announced new CFO, Gerardo Hernandez, replacing Stephen Gordon.
Vaxart ( $VXRT): Completed enrollment for sentinel cohort in phase 2B study of its COVID-19 oral vaccine candidate.
Microchip Technology ( $MCHP): Shares fell after lowering December 2024 revenue guidance to about $1.025B. Announced closure of Tempe wafer fabrication facility (Fab 2).
Microsoft ( $MSFT): Facing a £1 billion dispute in the U.K. over cloud software licensing practices.
AT&T ( $T): Authorized $10B in share repurchases.
Raised FY adjusted EPS guidance to $2.20-$2.25.
Maintained free cash flow and capital expenditure forecasts.
Credo Technology ( $CRDO): Q2 revenue $72.0M, above estimates; EPS $0.07 vs. $0.05 expected.
Forecasts Q3 gross margin between 60.6%-62.6%; revenue guidance $115M-$125M.
Bill Holdings ( $BILL): Offering $1.0B in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Ingram Micro ( $INGM): To reduce workforce by 850 associates.
IonQ ( $IONQ): Launched IonQ Quantum OS and IonQ Hybrid Services suite to enhance quantum computing utility.
Seagate Technologies ( $STX): Expects lower production output for fiscal Q3 2025, impacting revenue by up to $200M.
Zscaler ( $ZS): Q1 adjusted EPS $0.77, above $0.63 estimate; revenue $627.955M vs. $606.19M expected.
Provided Q2 and FY revenue and EPS guidance, both exceeding consensus estimates.
$Act 那个眼睛，即出自光明会，全视之眼概念。
这也是我一开盘就在底部抄底eth的 $act 的原因。
我能get的到，只是我没有买到那个可以封神的币。
这也是我花很长时间看资料，在简化出核心概念，写欧美meme文化溯源的原因。
后面还会继续写的，是有很庞大的信息量，我自己也喜欢看阴谋学的东西。
欧美meme文化溯源二：光明会Illuminati
我们常看到的CULT meme，邪教meme的隐秘文化神秘文化概念上的起源有很大一部分来源于光明会。
美元上印刷的全视之眼、美国国防部旗下办公室的LOGO、名人们经常做出来的“光明会手势。
eth
$Illuminati 光明会
0x6fa505aaf6579cf63b1f0803d604f85af7d17588
SOL
$REPTILIANS
GBeTFumF22K55GRFKejPnWQAQby54d5RGViDMVdR84sZ
$code The Da Vinci Code 达芬奇密码
Fkj6wkoBKX3zUzvocQjkGAH9hbmRKvA89ZmAWvaypump
$EOP 全视之眼
ELtG6unPkavMN6CkjF7fwFL6hKtQj7LKZux6KTfApump
$beyonce
7wyDxyN6rhQzruysfdmPJsZwpmmTvcu9TcQQgqjApump
$JAYZ
7g7cVnCE7p7gLAr7DnFEBUCuap6me9F1RebhVhUfUstS
eth
$666,666 光明会的象征
0x552b4691652a4eb9be8cce27f7a7431e9e5633e4
$JACK 跳舞JACK
0xf8616df6de357dfaf3bf0c048d43564b11c9a6b2
$Orwel George Orwel 1984的作者
0x4e10b9e8d6d7ac33e386fa59ce9fa830924bdb8c
$DIDDY 吹牛老爹
0xefd6ea6df40c5f328cdc2f2f9d1cb68cc12b3356
$NWO:New World Order 新世界秩序
0xd7f96d3d5df23be5743a38d45e1a0725b1c4bdfa
$LIES
0xa2c363a6ee4e70fce696de62d8e6f792d1fbef00
SPX6900 SpaceX6900
0xb74f30e25dafbc9eb48af5064d4abf7b4be3d953
$SPX2.0
0xbb9f3eaef0cec3d81fc5d200360f2031c6c7b484
$SPX
0x64b0896aa6ec4739590e3f13014e93a678b9743b
$ELON President of MARS 马斯克火星总统
0xe52643c784574fc66365d22e5c941eca305a1600
$MDT
0x007ddf20ad9548c70908f894f96177de3fffaced
$Neuralink 脑机
0x9ec4ded6facaa2ceddf6f74a5768555e1d5386ad
0x06dae026fe140c341a08e4a02f4b3c79c81d0c58
0x5670b092861b7eed43dc47a27f4c8f59b31d5a47
$nuwa 火星第一个城市的名字
0x7a413844bb40c92efa9e62a9a99314e55f5e4382
0x04eac51fc55b8fa930507963859557e226ac5b95
$squirunt 火星松鼠
0x06ae8153cd7c09866ff444ebdbfcc8ec06de1e22
$starbase 火星门户
0xfa496662744989f7a24939e9bf11a23940bb1644
光明会原本是18世纪的一个秘密组织，成立于1776年的巴伐利亚地区，目的是反对宗教和国家的压迫，推动启蒙思想。
这个组织被解散后，关于它的阴谋论不断发酵，尤其是在现代阴谋理论中，光明会被描述为一个暗中控制世界、影响政治和经济局势的隐秘精英组织。
据阴谋论者称，光明会的成员包括全球的顶级富豪、政客、娱乐明星等，他们的目标是建立一个“新世界秩序”（New World Order）。
全视之眼（Eye of Providence）：被认为是光明会的象征，代表着“全知全能”的观察力和控制力。这个符号也出现在美国一美元纸币上，引发了许多阴谋论。
金字塔：象征着知识和权力的等级制度，暗示只有少数精英能够掌控世界。
在阴谋论中，光明会与“666”之间的联系被解读为光明会的精英分子推崇撒旦崇拜或黑暗势力的象征。因此，阴谋论者认为光明会成员使用“666”作为他们暗中计划的象征，以实现对世界的控制。
之前的爆款meme，比如之前我发过有很好倍数的$triangle $bill $jack $triangle 等等表层故事似乎是另外一个和谐版的meme，真的去溯源拨开就会看到光明会。
这些币我在价格合适的时候就会上车的原因就是如此。
欧美meme文化，光明会不可绕开。
比较有《达·芬奇密码》《天使与魔鬼》
《1984》（George Orwell）都是侧写或者正写光明会的阴谋论的某个角度。
虽然George Orwell这本书并没有直接提到光明会，但其描述的新世界秩序（New World Order）和极权主义政权的监控，被许多人认为与光明会的阴谋论相似。而马斯克最爱的作家就是George Orwell，光明会文化影响上对整个西方世界，影响是
光明会和蜥蜴人的关联（蜥蜴人相关CA见欧美meme文化溯源一）
根据阴谋论者的说法，光明会实际上是由蜥蜴人掌控的，他们通过操控人类社会的精英来实现对全球的控制。
光明会的成员被认为是蜥蜴人或他们的仆从，受命于更高层的外星主子，推动“新世界秩序”的建立，以便最终控制人类。
阴谋论认为，光明会和蜥蜴人一起控制全球的政治、经济、媒体和教育体系，以维持对地球的统治。他们的目的是削弱人类的独立性，最终使地球成为他们的殖民地。
光明会和SPX的联系
光明会作为全球精英的隐秘组织，通过控制金融市场（包括标普500）来实现其全球统治的计划。
光明会和马斯克的联系
马斯克的很多项目（如Neuralink的脑机接口和SpaceX的火星殖民）被解读为光明会推动的“人类控制”和“新世界秩序”的一部分。这些技术可能会彻底改变社会结构，甚至被认为是控制人类意识和行为的工具。
光明会和娱乐明星的联系
1. Jay-Z
关联原因：Jay-Z经常在音乐视频和演唱会中使用“全视之眼”符号，并且他以三角形手势（被称为“Roc”手势）而闻名。阴谋论者认为这是光明会的标志。
相关符号：Jay-Z的服装品牌“Rocawear”也被认为使用了光明会的象征符号。
2. Beyoncé
关联原因：作为Jay-Z的妻子，Beyoncé同样被指与光明会有联系。她在音乐视频中使用神秘符号，并且一些阴谋论者认为她的 alter ego（“Sasha Fierce”）是她加入光明会的暗示。
相关符号：她的歌曲《Formation》和《Run the World (Girls)》被解读为光明会的象征性信息。
3.吹牛老爹 Diddy
另一种阴谋论声称，吹牛老爹与90年代嘻哈界的著名死亡事件有关，如**2Pac（Tupac Shakur）和The Notorious B.I.G.（Biggie Smalls）**的死亡。有些人推测，这些事件与光明会的“牺牲仪式”有关，以巩固吹牛老爹在音乐行业的地位。
近期因为婴儿油事件吹牛老爹进去坐牢了。
$BILL - a character inspired by Gravity Falls, in the movie Bill even said: "Buy Crypto Suckers".
The eye symbol is also the symbol of the Great Seal of the United States Reverse - Amerian Revolution.
Its story is really interesting if you look it up, it also explains #Elon - #Trump and the number 42069
CA: Ca8AnVoDbwv31gddMHVyNLpHWYkGRRQFoXCcfe4gpump
”$BILL WILL TAKE OVER THE WORLD!”
https://t.co/dfP42dCnP8
https://t.co/Qf7LPaKd6f
https://t.co/scidaOss9q
DEXX 持仓数据中，新增了一个很好的功能: “持仓转移” 👀 👀
今天分享一下，如何找到庄家的隐藏钱包。
安装dexx🔥 https://t.co/HMDuU0QiyT
以 $BILL 为例解释如何使用👇🏻
https://t.co/Jo5PZueZnz
找到“持币人”列表
查看Top10 钱包
你会发现其中 3d4444 钱包，明明买入了 $33866 代币，但当前持仓仅 $3513
你以为他是小散户。
在看交易记录，会发现其中有灰色的 move position (转移持仓)的多条记录。
最终发现全部转入了 Top1 地址。
该地址目前总持仓接近高达 32%
这为后续的拉盘做了很好的基础。
$BILL
0x6666669b30f12dc4107e4096d5427a1a42607b90
我观测链上数据，怀疑可能在进行CTO (社区接管) 目前没看到市场运作。
① TOP 10 回购持仓几乎接近 70%
② 第二大地址是一个多链桥协议(看不懂意图？多链？)
③ 今天还是反 V 上涨了 📈
一直底部吸筹，最近有突然慢涨。
市值 $90K ，先埋伏一手了。
https://t.co/xil3byV0iL
图表📊: https://t.co/Jo5PZueZnz
#Upgrades - Sep 12, 2024
$BILL: BNP Paribas Upgrades to Outperform from Neutral - PT $90
$CSBR: Craig-Hallum Upgrades to Buy from Hold - PT $6
$CTAS: CFRA Upgrades to Sell from Strong Sell - PT $170 (from $645)
$DEO: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $147
$PCH: BofA Securities Upgrades to Buy from Neutral - PT $51 (from $49)
$ROKU: Wolfe Research Upgrades to Outperform from Peerperform - PT $93
After a round of bottoming, $BILL returned from the bottom under great selling pressure.
AMA is currently under way with members of @ETH_Daily, and it is decided to burn $BILL to provide the value of existing tokens.
and cex on the way...
last time buy $BILL under $1M..
I discovered a new crypto religion!
10x is definitely on the way!
It’s hard for me to imagine that $BILL was online for two days and less than $1M!
This is the official recommendation:
@billcipherERC20
This is the contract:
0x6666669b30F12dc4107E4096d5427A1A42607b90
The contract address starts with the distinctive number 0x666666.
Theme features the Illuminati logo eyes!
Here comes the point ⬇️
我发现了一个新的加密宗教 ！
10 倍必定在路上 ！
我很难想象 $BILL 上线两天，不足 $1M ！
这是官推： @billcipherERC20
这是合约： 0x6666669b30F12dc4107E4096d5427A1A42607b90
合约地址以鲜明的靓号 0x666666 开始。
主题以光明会标识眼睛 !
重点来了 ⬇️
1. pumpfun外盘盯盘总结。
①IP类原创meme类打满之后90%的盘子会破发归零，真正有财富效应的机会不到10%，长期玩这种盘子胜率低于10%，基本等于必亏。
②盯pumpfun外盘，唯一的解:长期盯盘，舍弃IP类盘，只玩冷开大热点。
2. 个人直播盯盘调整
我个人花所有时间盯这种小概率冷开，性价比不高。会寻找多位伙伴盯这类盘子。我花更多时间去找一些内幕IP类盘子玩，优先给麦上盯盘的伙伴。
3. 关于如何玩meme
玩meme最正确的打开方式是构建自己的个人影响力，可以是一个微信群，一个电报群，你可以触达和影响的群体越大，个人影响力越大，玩meme越得心应手。
日常积累玩meme的微信群电报群，树立自己在群里的威信。每个人有个5个群，找到100个志同道合的伙伴一起，我们将所向披靡。
我们就是Alpha。
4. 想要赚钱，就要付出不亚于任何人的努力。 日日精进，有效努力。
纵情向前！
Ps 今天抓到金狗
$gou 10✘
$pgun 10✘
$bill 3✘
$based 领了十几e空投卖飞
加入电报:
https://t.co/hBVns1bx3A
一起直播抓金狗
APED $bill
0x6666669b30f12dc4107e4096d5427a1a42607b90
meme is different style
find your entry
@billcipherERC20
ETH 上需要点新创意了。
这个项目关注下， 上线一天了没归零。洗盘洗掉了前排。
官方推文制作的： 视频、官网、 文案
显示出该团队相当专业， 非流水盘制作， 目前也是在冷启动。
$BILL 市值仅 $180K
推特： https://t.co/xil3byV0iL
合约也是特殊制作的靓号： 0x6666669b30F12dc4107E4096d5427A1A42607b90
📈 https://t.co/Jo5PZueZnz
Sigma 交易: https://t.co/UyCdAU4z02
有金狗的潜质， 不能错过上点仓位等风来。
$BILL: your new internet bestie!
@billthebearmeme looking for adventure and good company. Let's explore the weird and wonderful corners of the Web3 together.
With $BILL by your side, every day is an online adventure. Join his community!
🔑 C.A: 5o817YNoR97F1h5suzBghwc8dP53oureRuFbgJiaCFuZ
🔗 Telegram: https://t.co/CT1RtvPGth
