Notes
国内知名百万粉投资博主猫笔刀的文章说现在炒港美股需要缴纳个人所得税，这种情况是先查谁？我也港股盈利了一些，希望别查到我，真的感觉下头，投资盈利的也需要缴的就算了，亏的还要缴……所以这个时候链上投资美股就很有必要了，Mystonks越早使用越好，投资习惯需要尽早做转换，否则后面遇到问题措手不及。
查看原文https://t.co/xLxLHQ1C9z
https://t.co/tOy9q09x1z ！！大B哥的链上美股交易所，直接对口需求。
这个趋势是把大家都赶去币圈，爱好投资美股的朋友建议把rmb 换成币在链上投资。
分红派息全都一样，如果你想投资币对应的美股，以下是主流币对应的美股，每个币都有自己的“微策略”
BTC： $MSTR · $SQ · $BTBT
ETH： $SBET · $MPU · $ICG · $BMNR $BTBT
SOL： $DFDV · $UPXI
BNB： $WINT · $NA
TRX： $TRON ( $SRM )
HYPE： $HYPD
🔗点击购买美股：https://t.co/wnLfEIfC2h
@MyStonksCN @MyStonks_Org @BTCBruce1
最近在云南见了挺多加密的投资界老OG，交流了很多，碰撞了火花，对于未来加密牛市的趋势性和核心赛道，有了越发清晰的认识，这里做一个总结分享，讲讲其中的体悟和一些机会。
我们所有投资人的一致性观点是：感受到一种从未有过的加密“主流化趋势”正在袭来。尤其是这届特朗普大力推动数字化进程，一系列法案落地并实施，且一直强调把美国打造成为“加密中心”，其实这套路径，是最近2年的资本市场一直玩的游戏，体现的淋漓尽致。如👇
✅ 把主流币装进上市公司变成资产
✅ 把链上收益放进财报变成利润
✅ 让金融圈的人在美股“买币”而不是用钱包“买币”
✅ 美元和数字美元USDC之间，无缝衔接
所以，你会发现，不光我们这些老韭菜盯着加密市场，外围传统资本市场也在紧紧盯着这一块肥肉。所以可以预知，本轮牛市或者下一轮牛市，已经不是以前那种靠meme、靠空投、靠暴涨暴跌吸引散户的周期——而是加密资产和传统金融真正合体的一轮牛市。这里我简单梳理一下本轮行情的整体脉络：
1️⃣特朗普放话：要让美国成为全球加密中心
先别管他是不是为了拉选票，但这句话一出口，就是一个信号：监管态度在转向，“招安”模式开始了。
而美国政府一旦态度软了，那就意味着华尔街可以正式入场了，这就是牌桌变天的开始。
2️⃣上市公司开始囤币，尤其是 #BTC、#ETH
你看MicroStrategy、特斯拉、Block这些公司，直接把加密货币当“企业资产”放进报表。目的很简单：避通胀、做对冲、提升市值，顺便蹭一波热点。
币变成公司资产，等于它变成了合法、主流、可被审计的“金融工具”，这是质的飞跃。
3️⃣交易平台走向证券化：#Robinhood、#Coinbase、#MyStonks 等入场币股融合
MyStonks直接拿下美国MSB牌照，主打合规证券+加密代币。Robinhood买下Bitstamp，直接打通全球交易路径。
这时候你就知道了：不止是加密项目想“进圈”，连券商也想“出圈”，双向奔赴了。
4️⃣反向收购：加密大佬买壳上市，美股反成“链上资产”容器
这点是我们最近投资人讨论最深也是最热烈的，毕竟壳资源或者仙股来盘活资产，装新资产，讲新故事，大家都喜欢。有趣的是，以前是项目做大了去“IPO”，现在直接反过来了——主流币背后的项目方主动去美股买壳、上岸当资产。
标志性事件便是最近 #SBET 持币地址超过以太坊基金会。这基本侧面给本轮牛市定了调：#RWA 大爆发要来了！
所以，最后我们投资人，得出一个结论：认为“RWA Summer”会比“DeFi Summer”会更加迅猛。🧐
理由很简单，#DeFi 再酷炫，它的钱包用户也就几千万。而 #RWA，是要动用全球几亿股民 + 万亿资金 + 法人账户来玩资产注入、债券交易、股债转币的玩法。华尔街不会错过36万亿的债市、2000万亿的房产市值、乃至黄金、ETF、碳权等 #RWA 资产。
而链上的 #RWA 协议和项目，就成了这些传统资产的“数字包装工厂”。你想象一下，如果下一个黑石、先锋、瑞银都要发链上债券、证券Token，哪怕只转化1%的资产体量，整个加密市场都要翻倍还多！所以在大趋势面前，浩浩荡荡，顺之者昌，逆之者亡。
学习 #RWA，投资 #RWA，布局 #RWA，刻不容缓。
#RWA 参与链接🔗：https://t.co/4Nw6CYAVsz
原来川普说让美国成为世界加密的中心就是让美股上市买主流币，把主流币统统装进纳斯达克的“壳”，既利好主流币，更利好美股。
昨天晚上看大b哥的推文，说币圈板块的美股都在暴涨。
我就去mystonks @MyStonks_Org 上面挂单卖了比特数字。
哈哈哈哈，先小资金体验一把，搞清楚逻辑再上大钱。
很方便，在手机 #OKX 钱包打开网站，然后链接钱包，过一下kyc，充值之后就可以购买美股了。
其实美股比大部分山寨币更有价值。
之前一直想买特斯拉，但是一直没有途径。
也懒得研究怎么开账户充值。
这回方便了，直接链上就能买美股了。
大B哥真是个天才。
可以使用我的邀请链接注册一下，有20%的返佣金 https://t.co/IdAywIHE2c
I hope everybody had a nice week. Great to see the reactions we did as a lot of impulse signals triggered where we expected them to(when the least were expecting it once again)💪Lots to unpack and dive into this weekend
Subscriber Agenda
Video: Why did miners fade into the close?
Charts:
New Impulse- #BTC LTF potential paths, $MARA, $RIOT, $CLSK, $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, $SMLR, $XRP, $LINK, $LTC, $HOOD, $QQQ, $IWM, $SPY, $MSTR, $ETH, $DOGE
Ongoing Corrective- $TSLA, $PLTR, $SOFI, $MBLY, $MU, $PYPL, $CELH, $UPST(some of these names made big moves this week but I'm not sold corrections are over)
Correction Nearing Completion?- $CGC, $SQ, $NIO, $JD, $AMC, $LMND
Subscriber Requests- $XLM, $RUNE
So it's the weekend and that means time to relax/take it easy...what that looks like over hear is 2 a days in the gym, loading up on nature's medicine(steak, eggs, fruit, veggies), and diving into the charts 💪
-Weekend Agenda for Subs
Video: $BTC Miners what I saw in $MSTR prior to its 4x move that I'm now seeing in the miners
Charts: Speculative paths+Upside/Downside targets
Early Expansion- $LCID, $MBLY, $RIVN, $LTC
Expansion- $BTC, $SQ, $PLTR, $ARKK, $NVDA, $DOGE, $XRP, $AMZN, $MSTR
Pre-Expansion- $MARA, $CLSK, $RIOT, $IREN, $BTBT, $WULF, $CIFR, $BITF, $WGMI
Bottom Formations- $BLNK, $AMC, $ARKG, $CELH
On-Going Corrective- $TSLA, $AMD, $MU, $LMND
Requests- Subscribers chart requests will be posted
STOCKS ON THE MOVE
Lamb Weston ( $LW): Shares dropped after naming Michael Smith as CEO on Jan 3, following activist investor Jana Partners' push for board changes or a sale. LW cut FY sales forecast to $6.35B-$6.45B from $6.6B-$6.8B after Q2 sales fell 8% to $1.6B; approved $250M buyback.
Lennar Corp. ( $LEN): Q4 revenue down 9.3% to $9.95B, below estimates. New orders dropped 2.7% to 16,895, backlog down 22%. Forecasts Q1 new orders at 17,500-18,000, deliveries at 17,000-17,500.
MillerKnoll Inc. ( $MLKN): Q2 EPS $0.55 vs. $0.56 est., sales up 2.2% to $970.4M. Gross margin fell to 38.8%. Guides Q3 sales $903M-$943M, EPS $0.41-$0.47.
Steelcase ( $SCS): Q3 EPS $0.30 vs. $0.22 est., sales up 2.2% to $794.9M. Q4 guidance EPS $0.20-$0.24, revenue $770M-$795M.
Stanley Black & Decker ( $SWK): Upgraded to Outperform by Mizuho, price target $110, added to top picks.
Tri-Pointe Homes ( $TPH): Announced $250M stock buyback program.
Swiss Watch Exports: November exports down 3.8% to CHF 2.41B, with U.S. as the only top market increasing by 4.7%.
Palantir Technologies ( $PLTR): Extended U.S. Army contract worth up to $618.9M to enhance data operations, continuing data and AI support since 2018.
Block ( $SQ): Upgraded to Outperform by Oppenheimer with a $115 target, citing growth in Square's Gross Payment Volume due to product and sales investments.
Raymond James ( $RJF): November client assets under administration at $1.60T (+3.6% m/m), financial assets under management at $251.7B (+4.4% m/m).
Synchrony ( $SYF): Upgraded to Overweight from Underweight by Morgan Stanley.
Mesoblast ( $MESO): Shares up after FDA approval of Ryoncil for treating GVHD in pediatric patients not responding to steroids.
Prothena ( $PRTA): Phase IIb PADOVA study by Roche on prasinezumab for early Parkinson's missed its primary endpoint after 18 months.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals ( $VRTX): Phase 2 study of suzetrigine in LSR met primary endpoint with significant pain reduction; plans for Phase 3 advancement.
Micron Technology ( $MU): Q1 adj EPS $1.79 vs. $1.76 est., revenue up 84% to $8.71B. Shares fell after hours due to Q2 forecast below expectations: revenue $7.7B-$8.1B vs. $8.99B est., gross margin 37.5%-39.5% vs. 41.3% est., EPS $1.33-$1.53 vs. $1.92 est. FY25 capex about $14B. Memory stocks STX, WDC also dropped.
Accenture ( $ACN): Q1 EPS $3.59 vs. $3.42 est., revenue up 9% to $17.69B vs. $17.15B est. Operating margin at 16.7%. Lowered FY EPS guidance to $12.43-$12.79 from $12.55-$12.91.
Keybanc: Upgraded Okta ( $OKTA) and Fortinet ( $FTNT) to Overweight, downgraded https://t.co/n5rFzz3Pbq (AI) to Underweight.
U.S. Commerce Department: Awarded SK Hynix up to $458M for an advanced chip plant and R&D facility in Indiana for AI.
#Downgrades - Nov 25, 2024
• $ABX: CIBC Downgrades to Neutral from Outperformer
• $AJG: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $313
• $CYH: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $2.50 (from $5)
• $DESP: TD Cowen Downgrades to Sell from Buy - PT $14 (from $12)
• $EXFY: JMP Securities Downgrades to Market Perform from Market Outperform
• $EXP: Loop Capital Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $315
• $FIVE: Telsey Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $95 (from $102)
• $HCA: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $320 (from $400)
• $HCA: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Underweight from Equal Weight - PT $320 (from $400)
• $MTB: Citi Downgrades to Neutral from Buy - PT $230 (from $220)
• $MYNZ: H.C. Wainwright Downgrades to Neutral from Buy
• $NIO: Goldman Sachs Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $3.90 (from $4.80)
• $NMRK: Wolfe Research Downgrades to Peerperform from Outperform
• $RRR: Mizuho Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $44 (from $57)
• $SDHC: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $36 (from $41)
• $SEM: Benchmark Downgrades to Hold from Buy
• $SQ: BMO Capital Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $100 (from $94)
• $THC: Wells Fargo Downgrades to Equal Weight from Overweight - PT $150 (from $205)
#Downgrades - Nov 20, 2024
• $BE: HSBC Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $24.50 (from $17.20)
• $BOOM: Stifel Downgrades to Hold from Buy - PT $8 (from $16)
• $ENR: Barclays Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $36
• $FIS: BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades to Underperform from Neutral
• $FMCC: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $4 (from $2.50)
• $FN: B.Riley Downgrades to Sell from Neutral - PT $178 (from $194)
• $FNMA: KBW Downgrades to Market Perform from Outperform - PT $3 (from $2)
• $JPM: Oppenheimer Downgrades to Perform from Outperform
• $LMND: Morgan Stanley Downgrades to Equalweight from Overweight - PT $42
• $MLSS: Benchmark Downgrades to Speculative Buy from Buy - PT $1.25
• $NOG: RBC Capital Downgrades to Sector Perform from Outperform - PT $45 (from $43)
• $OCSL: JPMorgan Downgrades to Neutral from Overweight - PT $15 (from $17)
• $SQ: BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $88
• $TOST: BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $37
• $WB: CCB Int'l Downgrades to Neutral from Outperform - PT $9.90