Notes
上钟了上钟了
赚钱买美股了🙂
对不起搞错重点了
上不上钟 你别管我🙃🙃🙃🙃
主要这个可以直接充U买美股是真牛啊!
对我这种只会玩币不知道怎么买股票的人简直太友好了
这几个巨头不用说了
$AAPL、$MSFT、$GOOGL、$TSLA
还有支付系统 $V、$PYPL
芯片制造 $AMD $TSM $INTC $ASML
链上标的 $COIN $HOOD $ARM 等
全!都!可以!买!
我选了四个
1️⃣ $MSFT
OpenAI整合最深入
Copilot商业化进展领先
Azure增长稳定
AI数据中心大爆发受益者
云+AI双主线,现金流极强
2️⃣ $V
不用说 哪里都要用的Visa
现金流机器 抗风险最强
全球支付复苏中 跨境交易复苏
与加密支付有合作潜力(未来DePIN、CBDC等)
3️⃣ $TSM
AI芯片代工主力
绑定$AAPL、$NVDA、$AMD等客户
3nm+先进封装为中期爆发点
4️⃣ $Coin
受益于美加密ETF合规大趋势
Q2交易量回暖
Custody、Base链生态正在扩张
浅尝一下 研究研究怎么玩嘿嘿嘿
其实市值小不那么出名的大公司我感觉整体机会更大
有什么推荐值得购买的嘛?给我推推
让我上个钟 啊tui 不是
让我再赚点钱钱继续来投
传送门:https://t.co/WmxQcKaFoc
@MyStonksCN @BTCBruce1
我之前说过
币圈看財报的时代已经到了
这不
交易所已经开始在这方面做布道了
这次 @MyStonks_Org 走在了最前面
随着近期各项法案陆续通过,国际地缘风险解除,美债利率下降,美元指数走弱,美股不断刷新历史新高。币圈也真的按照传统经典牛市重新开始了板块轮动,虽然现在整体还处于从昨晚起的摸顶新高后的第一次较大幅度回调之中,但主流币们才完成了第一轮补涨而已,山寨季大概率也只是刚刚开始。
从上周开始到7月末,都是美股的Q2财报季,在国际形势比较缓和的当下,美股波动成了影响币圈的最大变量。比如上周二7.15贝莱德的财报刚好对应了大饼的历史最高点,那么接下来特斯拉,谷歌,Robinhood,苹果,Coinbase都有可能对美股及币圈产生重大影响,不可不提前做好研究。而且7.30号的Robinhood,7.31号的苹果及Coinbase财报公布还恰巧叠加了7.31美联储决议公布和8.1号关税落地,更显得信息密度极高。
身处币圈的我们没有那么多时间精力,可能主要关注两种类型的公司就够了,一种是AI相关的,一种是币圈直接相关的。因为AI和crypto相关公司财报将直接影响科技股和币圈情绪,这样简化后效率更高且更有效。
AI相关:特斯拉、谷歌、META、微软、苹果
币圈交易相关:Robinhood、Coinbase
参考 @BTCBruce1 的 @MyStonksCN 财报日历做了个表
大胆预测一下后续可能会走的逻辑,仅供参考,DYOR。
1. 宏观拐点确认 + 主流冲高 →(已发生)
2. 科技股财报爆发+AI继续强预期 →(正在发生)
3. 山寨补涨+叙事爆发+NFT/DePIN轮番拉升 →(即将开启)
4. DeFi蓝筹吸血+项目方撤流动性 →(后期才开始)
上周五Coinbase、Robinhood都拉出了高点,本周需要继续密切关注情绪变化,按常理来说这两家业绩表现会比较好,但美股上涨逻辑经常是需要超过预期才行,也就是说利好有可能已经被市场买入而反应在当前股价上了。
一旦Robinhood和Coinbase财报利多但市场不涨反跌,就要谨慎了,尤其是山寨币非常敏感,共识比较脆弱,但凡有风吹草动项目方和做市商跑得比兔子还快。
如果美联储仍强硬不降息口风+美股财报落地无超预期表现,币圈可能迎来一次阶段性调整。尤其是Coinbase作为纯加密标的尤其需要重点关注,财报后的电话会议可能直接影响比特币和以太坊的短线方向。
后续牛市可能就到了第二阶段,操作可能会从快速拉高脱离成本区的简单模式变成宽幅震荡的困难模式。
高风险偏好的人需要管住自己不要过度操作,多项指标共振后再下场且做好风控止损。
低风险偏好的人可以等8.1号关税落地后再进场操作。

Mystonks的美股财报全家桶来啦
@MyStonksCN @BTCBruce1
覆盖了科技、金融、芯片、链上标的等多个赛道,清晰明了不用去网上找了~
不过能看懂财报也是技术活,比如我看完也不知道讲了啥……希望能直接在下面添加个“买不买”投票功能,用群体判断帮助我这种小白不再孤独投资💔
还没注册Mystonks的快来体验丝滑美股交易!
https://t.co/HuUBxME17T

特斯拉的财报估计一般
因为Cybertruck和新款ModelY卖的都soso
但是财报从来都不是特斯拉的重点
特斯拉的核心是“未来”
马斯克总是能把吹过的牛逼实现
总是能把画过的饼给做出来
下午跟几个哥们聊了一个很有趣的话题:如果现在你只能选一只股票,并且要持有未来10年,你会选哪个?我仔细想了一下:
苹果 $AAPL 未来10年真不好说,或者说我看不懂,自乔布斯去世至今14年,库克这些年CEO做的很成功,不瞎折腾其实很难,但是未来10年我是真看不懂,头盔貌似已经失败了?反正我买的那已经几个月没碰过了。
英伟达 $NVDA 潜在的竞争对手还是很多的, 护城河貌似撑不了10年。
特斯拉 $TSLA 马斯克是最大的不确定性,我赌了他过去10年,但是未来10年不敢再赌了,感觉现在的他有点跑偏。
台积电 $TSM 目前确实是独一无二的存在,但是地缘政治的不确定性也不敢拿10年不动。
最后讨论半天,我觉得我敢持有未来10年而且睡得着觉的是爱马仕 $HESAY
因为10年后科技发展成什么样,AI如何进步我们现在没法估计,但是有一点不变的是女人永远喜欢Birkin和Kelly
那么,如果换你会选哪个公司敢持有10年?
SECTOR NEWS
CONSUMER
🔸 $STZ: Q4 EPS $2.63 (est. $2.29); sales +1.2% to $2.16B (est. $2.13B). Beer sales in line, wine/spirits beat. Selling mainstream wine brands to The Wine Group. FY28 EPS growth seen low to mid-single digits. New $4B buyback plan.
🔸 $GM: Downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; target cut to $51 from $64 due to tariff impact.
🔸 $KMX: Q4 EPS $0.58 (est. $0.65); retail used sales +6.2%, comps +5.1%, wholesale units +3.1%. Revenue $6.0B (est. $5.963B).
🔸 $PSMT: Q2 EPS $1.45 (est. $1.40); sales $1.335B (est. $1.359B); comps +6.7%.
🔸 $BKE: March comps +3.7%, net sales +4.5% to $109.1M.
ENERGY, INDUSTRIALS & MATERIALS
🔸 $X: Shares fell after Trump opposed Nippon Steel’s takeover.
🔸 $VALE: Upgraded to Buy at Bank of America.
FINANCIALS
🔸 $AB: AUM fell to $784B in March from $805B in Feb.
🔸 $CBOE: Downgraded to Neutral at Bank of America.
🔸 $LAZ: March AUM $227.4B; net outflows $3.1B, market loss $5.4B.
🔸 $VCTR: Total client assets $171.4B as of March.
HEALTHCARE
🔸 $IDYA: Started Phase 1/2 expansion trial combining IDE397 with Gilead’s Trodelvy.
🔸 $KROS: Shares rise after adopting poison pill; exploring strategic options, including sale.
TECHNOLOGY, MEDIA & TELECOM
🔸 $AMZN: 2024 revenue +11% to $638B; AWS +19% to $108B; operating income +86% to $68.6B.
🔸 $ASYS: Cuts Q2 revenue forecast to $15M–$16M (from $21M–$23M) due to customer dispute.
🔸 $TSM: Q1 sales +42% to $25.6B, in line with guidance despite earthquake impact.
While the market was collapsing, someone was front-loading Intel $INTC calls before $TSM news today.
At 12pm EST someone bought $100k in $INTC $23.5 calls expiring Apr 17.
As soon as news came out, stock rallied, they sold full position for $500k.
$INTC was red, lost most of tech, and completely devoid of bids until this trader conveniently came.
In the first image on the top right screen you can actually see the bump clearly, where the whale trade came in, and others started following shortly after. Most exited for gains after the bump.
Very disgusting to see on a day where most people were worrying about their portfolios and retirement.
Very cool, very legal.


MORNING BID
🔸 QXO ( $QXO) is in talks to buy Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN) for $11B ($124.35/share in cash).
🔸 Uber ( $UBER) & Lyft ( $LYFT) dominate North American ride-hailing, but Bolt aims to challenge them, per The Information.
🔸 Xpeng ( $XPEV) plans to mass-produce its modular flying car by 2026, said Chairman He Xiaopeng.
🔸 Yum China ( $YUM) appointed Adrian Ding as CFO, removing his interim title after a search following Andy Yeung’s resignation.
🔸 Franco-Nevada ( $FNV) Q4 adj. EPS $0.95 (est. $0.89), revenue $321M (+6% y/y, est. $304.44M); expects 2025 revenue to rise 25%+ with gold at $2,800/oz.
Upgrades:
🔸 Grainger ( $GWW), Fastenal (FAST) → Outperform (from Market Perform) at William Blair.
🔸 Knight-Swift ( $KNX) → Neutral (from Sell) at Citigroup.
Downgrade:
🔸 Sherwin-Williams ( $SHW) → Hold (from Buy) at Jefferies.
🔸 Beam Therapeutics ( $BEAM) prices 16.2M shares at $28.48 each.
🔸 DexCom ( $DXCM) gets FDA warning after inspections but sees no material impact on FY25 revenue.
🔸 Nordisk ( $NVO) reports REDEFINE 2 trial met its primary endpoint, showing significant weight loss with CagriSema in 1,206 patients over 68 weeks.
🔸 Trevi ( $TRVI) Phase 2a RIVER trial: Haduvio reduced 24-hour cough frequency by 67% (57% placebo-adjusted, p<0.0001).
🔸 Cognizant ( $CTSH) shares rose as Mantle Ridge built a $1B+ stake, seeing them as undervalued (WSJ).
Upgrades:
🔸 DocuSign ( $DOCU) → Neutral (from Underweight) at JPMorgan.
Deals:
🔸 NVent ( $NVT) to buy Avail’s electrical products for $975M, expects EPS boost in year one.
🔸 Perion ( $PERI) expands buyback program to $125M.
🔸 Taiwan Semi ( $TSM) Feb revenue NT$260.01B (+43% y/y, -11% m/m); Jan-Feb total NT$553.30B (+39% y/y).
$INTC
Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM is considering operating Intel $INTC factories after Trump's request yesterday.
Calls pouring in. @unusual_whales
MORNING BID
🔸 OpenAI: Plans to reduce reliance on NVIDIA ( $NVDA) by developing its first in-house AI chip, with design finalization in the next few months. Chips will be manufactured by Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM)
🔸 ChipMOS Technologies ( $IMOS): Expects 6.3% revenue growth for 2024, despite a 5.4% YoY decline in Dec 2024 and 5.7% YoY decline in Q4 2024. Plans to buy back shares up to T$17.39B.
🔸 Mobileye ( $MBLY): Upgraded to Neutral by Bank of America, citing limited downside risk and bottoming sentiment.
🔸 Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM): Q1 revenue expected at the lower end of guidance due to a $161M (NT$5.3B, net of insurance) impact from a late January earthquake in southern Taiwan.
🔸 Edgewell Personal Care ( $EPC): Q1 adj. EPS $0.07 (est. $0.12); Q1 revs $478.4M (est. $480.16M). FY25 outlook: adj. EPS at lower end of $3.15-$3.35 (est. $3.18), adj. EBITDA at lower end of $356M-$368M, capex 2.5%-3% of revenue.
🔸 Rivian ( $RIVN): Now selling delivery vans to fleets of all sizes in the US, over a year after ending exclusivity with Amazon ( $AMZN).
🔸 Sun Country Airlines ( $SNCY): Announces secondary offering of 6.3M shares and $10M share repurchase from underwriters.
🔸 Illumina ( $ILMN): Downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight by Barclays.
🔸 Merck ( $MRK): Downgraded to Hold from Buy by TD Cowen, price target cut to $100 from $121.
🔸 Pliant Therapeutics ( $PLRX): Shares fall as it pauses enrollment and dosing in the ongoing Beacon-IPF Phase 2b trial of bexotegrast for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
🔸 BP Plc ( $BP): Shares rise after Elliott Management takes a stake, expected to push for strategy and board changes.
🔸 ConocoPhillips ( $COP): Downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy by Raymond James.
🔸 Spirit AeroSystems ( $SPR): Q4 2024 net revenues $1.66B (down from $1.81B YoY, above est. $1.53B); reported $401M in net forward loss charges.
🔸 US Metals Stocks: Shares of Cleveland Cliffs ( $CLF), Nucor ( $NUE), Alcoa ( $AA), and others rise after Trump announces 25% steel and aluminum tariffs in latest trade escalation.
We're thrilled to announce that the @TusimaNetwork Kickstarter has concluded and $TSM will be listed on #MEXC!
🔹Deposit: Opened
🔹TSM/USDT Trading in the Innovation Zone: 2024-12-19 10:00 (UTC)
Details:

.@TusimaNetwork, a global consumer payment network that seamlessly connects real-world spending scenarios with digital currencies, is coming to #MEXCKickstarter 🚀
🗳Vote with $MX to share massive airdrops
📈 $TSM/USDT Trading: 2024-12-19 10:00 (UTC)
Details: https://t.co/WbQk8Z0zzq

MORNING RECAP
❖ Alaska Airlines ( $ALK) to launch direct flights to Tokyo and Seoul from Seattle in 2025 post-Hawaiian acquisition.
❖ Casey’s General Store ( $CASY) Q2: EPS $4.85, revs down 2.9% to $3.95B. Grocery up 8.8%, Fuel down 8.8%.
❖ eBay ( $EBAY) downgraded to Underperform by Jefferies, target cut to $52 from $60.
❖ Stellantis ( $STLA) and CATL to invest €4.1B for a low-cost EV battery plant in Spain.
❖ Toll Brothers ( $TOL) Q4: EPS $4.63, revs up 10% to $3.33B. Backlog down 6.9%, contracts up 30%.
❖ Vail Resorts ( $MTN) Q1: EPS ($4.61), revs $260.28M. Guides net income to $240M-$316M.
❖ Anglo American ( $NGLOY) faces charges in Chile over El Soldado copper mine issues.
❖ Celanese Corp. ( $CE) appoints Scott Richardson as CEO effective Jan 1, 2025.
❖ Fluence Energy ( $FLNC) offers $300M in convertible bonds due 2030.
❖ Planet Labs ( $PL) Q3: EPS loss (-$0.02), revs $61.3M. Q4 revenue expected at $61M-$63M.
❖ Amazon ( $AMZN) and Intuit ( $INTU) expand partnership, leveraging AWS since 2013 for enhanced customer experiences.
❖ Arthur J. Gallagher ( $AJG) offers $8.5B in common stock at $280/share.
❖ Cohen & Steers ( $CNS) AUM up to $91.4B from $89.7B, driven by $1.9B market appreciation, offset by net outflows.
❖ Lazard ( $LAZ) AUM at $234.4B, with $3B market appreciation, $2.3B net outflows, and $2.2B forex depreciation.
❖ Eli Lilly ( $LLY) launches $15B share buyback, increases dividend by 15% to $1.50/share.
❖ Fate Therapeutics ( $FATE) shares positive Phase 1 data for FT819 in treating lupus, showing sustained B-cell depletion and remission in first patient.
❖ HealthEquity ( $HQY) Q3: EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.72; revs $300.4M vs. est. $290M; adjusted EBITDA up 24% to $118.2M. Forecasts FY24 EPS $3.08-$3.16, revs $1.185B-$1.195B.
❖ Oracle ( $ORCL) Q2: adj EPS $1.47 vs. $1.48 est., revs $14.06B vs. $14.12B est. AI demand boosts Oracle Cloud Infrastructure by 52%; Total Remaining Performance Obligations up 49% to $97B; Cloud Revenue up 24% to $5.9B.
❖ Braze ( $BRZE) Q3: adj EPS $0.02 vs. loss (-$0.01) est., revs $152.1M vs. $148.19M est. Q4 guidance and FY25 revenue outlook raised to $588M-$589M.
❖ https://t.co/dPTowbRrks ( $AI) Q2: revs up 29% to $94.3M, adj EPS loss (-$0.06) vs. (-$0.16) est. Q3 revs forecast at $95.5M-$100.5M; FY25 revenue expected at $378M-$398M.
❖ Micron Technology ( $MU) receives $6.1B subsidy for U.S. semiconductor facilities.
❖ MongoDB ( $MDB) Q3: adj EPS $1.16 vs. $0.69 est., revs up 22% to $529.4M. Atlas revenue up 26%, customer base at 52,600. Raises FY25 EPS and revenue forecasts; CFO resigns.
❖ Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM) November sales up 34% y/y to NT$276.06B, down 12.2% m/m.
MORNING RECAP
Dollar Tree ( $DLTR) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $1.12 (beat by $0.04)
╌Revenue: $7.56B (beat by $120M)
╌Same-store sales growth: Dollar Tree +1.8%, Family Dollar +1.9%, Enterprise +1.8%
╌Q4 Guidance: EPS $2.10-$2.30, Revenue $8.1B-$8.3B
╌Continues strategic review of Family Dollar segment
Foot Locker ( $FL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.33 (missed by $0.08)
╌Sales: $1.96B (missed by $60M)
╌Comp sales: +2.4% (below estimate)
╌FY25 adjusted EPS forecast lowered to $1.20-$1.30 from $1.50-$1.70
╌FY25 comp sales growth narrowed to 1%-1.5%
╌Gross margin now expected at 28.7%-28.8%
General Motors ( $GM):
╌To record over $5B in non-cash charges for China JV:
╌Restructuring: $2.6B-$2.9B
╌Reduced value: $2.7B
Torrid Holdings ( $CURV) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.01) (missed by $0.04)
╌Adj EBITDA: $19.584M (missed by $7.2M)
╌Revenue: $263.766M (missed by $22M)
╌Q4 Guidance: Sales $255M-$270M, Adj EBITDA $9M-$15M
╌FY25 Guidance: Sales $1.083B-$1.098B, Adj EBITDA $101M-$107M
Volkswagen ( $VWAGY):
╌Recalls 4,616 vehicles in the US due to potential battery overheating/fire risk.
Crescent Energy ( $CRGY):
╌Acquires Eagle Ford assets from Ridgemar Energy for $905M upfront, with additional oil price-based payments.
Intuitive Machines ( $LUNR):
╌Offers 9.523 million shares at $10.50 each.
Old Dominion ( $ODFL) November Performance:
╌LTL tons/day: -8%
╌LTL shipments/day: -6.8%
╌LTL weight/shipment: -1.2%
XPO, Inc. ( $XPO) November Metrics:
╌LTL tonnage/day down 4.0% from last year.
╌Shipments/day down 4.2%.
╌Weight/shipment up by 0.2%.
Goldman Sachs ( $GS):
╌CEO David Solomon sold 6,550 shares at $610.91/share.
Iris Energy ( $IREN):
╌Issues $300M in convertible senior notes due 2030.
Raymond James Financial Inc ( $RJF):
╌Authorizes $1.5B share repurchase.
╌Increases dividend to $0.50.
Royal Bank of Canada ( $RY) Q4:
╌Adjusted EPS: C$3.07 (up from C$2.65)
╌Revenue: C$15.07B (up from C$12.69B)
╌Dividend raised by 4.2%.
Eli Lilly ( $LLY) vs. Novo Nordisk ( $NVO):
╌Zepbound outperforms Wegovy with 20% vs. 14% body weight loss.
Novavax ( $NVAX):
╌Sells Czech manufacturing facility to Novo Nordisk for $200M, aiming for $80M annual cost reduction.
Revolution Medicines ( $RVMD):
╌Secondary offering of 14.13M shares at $46.00 each.
Salesforce Inc. ( $CRM) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $2.41 (vs. est. $2.44)
╌Revenue: $9.44B (vs. est. $9.348B)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $9.9B-$10.1B (vs. est. $10.05B)
╌FY Revenue Guidance: Raised to $37.8B-$38.0B
╌Q4 Adj EPS Guidance: $2.57-$2.62 (vs. est. $2.65)
╌FY Adj EPS Guidance: $9.98-$10.03 (vs. est. $10.11)
Box Inc. ( $BOX) Q3:
╌EPS: $0.45 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $275.9M (up 5% y/y, vs. est. $275.1M)
╌RPO: $1.282B, up 13% q/q
╌FY25 EPS Guidance Raised to $1.70
╌FY25 Revenue Guidance Narrows to $1.09B
Couchbase Inc. ( $BASE) Q3:
╌EPS: ($0.35) (vs. est. ($0.08))
╌Revenue: $51.628M (vs. est. $50.78M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $52.7M-$53.5M (vs. est. $54.05M)
╌Q4 ARR: $236.5M-$239.5M
Marvell Technologies ( $MRVL) Q3:
╌Adjusted EPS: $0.43 (vs. est. $0.41)
╌Revenue: $1.52B (up 6.9% y/y, vs. est. $1.45B)
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.59±$0.05
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $1.8B±5% (vs. est. $1.65B)
Okta Inc. ( $OKTA):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.67 (vs. est. $0.58)
╌Revenue: $665M (vs. est. $649.7M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $667M-$669M
╌Q4 Adjusted EPS Guidance: $0.73-$0.74
╌FY Revenue Guidance: $2.595B-$2.597B
╌FY Adjusted EPS Guidance: $2.75-$2.76
Pure Storage ( $PSTG):
╌Q3 Adjusted EPS: $0.50 (vs. est. $0.42)
╌Revenue: $831.1M (vs. est. $814.88M)
╌Q4 Revenue Guidance: $867M
╌Q4 Adjusted Operating Income: $135M
NXP Semiconductors ( $NXPI) & Taiwan Semiconductor ( $TSM):
╌Discussing $8B Singapore venture expansion amid U.S.-China tech tensions.
RECAP
• $AMZN: Developing smart glasses for delivery drivers to aid navigation.
• $ARMK: Q4 EPS $0.54 vs. $0.53 est., new $500M buyback, dividend up 11%, FY25 guidance increased.
• $BLMN: Downgraded to Market Perform by Raymond James.
• $BKNG: Announces organizational changes and layoffs.
• $TSLA: Shares up 7% premarket, reached $1T market cap post-Trump win.
• $ENPH: Cutting 17% of workforce, expects $17-20M in restructuring costs.
• $NOV: Downgraded to Neutral by Citigroup, target price cut to $18.
• $SMR: Filed for up to $200M share offering.
• $Russia: Potential merger of major oil companies into one entity.
• $FTX: Sued Binance & Zhao for $1.8B, also suing Scaramucci.
• $GEHC & $RDNT: Collaborating on AI in imaging.
• $INSP: $75M share repurchase program.
• $TEVA: Seeking to reverse patent decision.
• $TSM: Ordered to stop exporting advanced AI chips to China.
• $SPNS: Reduced FY24 revenue forecast, Q3 underperformed.
• $SONY: Q2 profit up 69%, game biz profits doubled, PS5 sales at 3.8M.
• $PINS: Upgraded to Outperform by Wedbush.
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